Author Topic: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed  (Read 6597 times)

Online davew

  • Gentleman Jim
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #80 on: December 30, 2017, 09:53:02 PM »
Mike I enjoy reading your stat's, as a retired accountant numbers always interested me, keep up the good work!

Offline MJG

  • Graham Leggat
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #81 on: January 02, 2018, 11:24:44 PM »






Form since International break in November



Offline Twig

  • cebu
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #82 on: January 03, 2018, 08:30:51 AM »
It’s irrational but I’m beginning to think we might squeeze in. Apart from M’borough we have a run of eminently winnable games ahead of us.


Offline Dixie

  • Graham Leggat
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #83 on: January 03, 2018, 01:56:07 PM »
Loving these stats MJG - keep it coming!
Thanks

Online General

  • Jimmy Hill
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #84 on: January 03, 2018, 02:09:59 PM »
Each week they are essentially proving that you can't predict the future and they're irrelevant - am I the only one who sees this!? All it shows is that having been off the pace, we're now on the pace, despite being off the pace.. which means our form has improved and could do better or worse as the games come and go.. which we can't forecast.

Offline MJG

  • Graham Leggat
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #85 on: January 03, 2018, 02:41:32 PM »
Each week they are essentially proving that you can't predict the future and they're irrelevant - am I the only one who sees this!? All it shows is that having been off the pace, we're now on the pace, despite being off the pace.. which means our form has improved and could do better or worse as the games come and go.. which we can't forecast.
Once again I'll point out and say you know what is in this thread, you dont like it so give it a miss.

To defend it I'll say it shows a changing picture as the season goes by and helps some to understand whats required going forward.
I disagree in not predicting the future tho. Yes there is an error figure against each prediction, probably for 6th place a 2 or 3 point swing either way. Last week it was 75, this week its 76. Currently I'd bet money whoever gets 6th will need 76 plus

In the end its a bit of fun as well. Some like it, some dont. But I ask dont come on here twice to tell us you dont like it, we get the picture.


Offline Porthogs FC

  • tjl
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #86 on: January 03, 2018, 02:47:57 PM »
I don't understand how you can't like someone putting in the time and effort that most of us are not willing to put in. It's free information about the form our favorite team is in, and the form we likely need to be in to squeak into playoffs or automatic promotion.

Offline Keynsham

  • Graham Leggat
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #87 on: January 03, 2018, 03:02:21 PM »
Yes.

I love looking at this stuff and can't understand why people would want to knock the effort that somebody puts in to provide them.

Offline MJG

  • Graham Leggat
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #88 on: January 13, 2018, 08:38:17 PM »










Offline Twig

  • cebu
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #89 on: January 13, 2018, 09:21:50 PM »
So we are now ahead of last season’s equivalent points accrued.  That suggests we have a great chance of making the play offs again.

Offline Statto

  • cebu
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #90 on: January 13, 2018, 11:04:56 PM »
So we are now ahead of last season’s equivalent points accrued.  That suggests we have a great chance of making the play offs again.
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Online Woolly Mammoth

  • Moritz Volz
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #91 on: January 14, 2018, 12:32:21 AM »
It will be interesting to see if we can keep up a similiar run of results like we did from this stage last season.
If we can emulate that, then we are in business.
Looking at the League Table, it’s eye opening to see that we are only one point behind 6th, and ten behind 2nd.
With 19 matches left or 57 points.


Offline Fulham Tup North

  • Jimmy Hill
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #92 on: January 14, 2018, 01:22:29 AM »
So we are now ahead of last season’s equivalent points accrued.  That suggests we have a great chance of making the play offs again.
As long as we hit the form we hit last season ! We finished really strongly last season.
Last 19 games we had 12 / 4 / 3. We gained 40 points out of 57.
That was an amazing run. We would reach 82 points if we matched that form!
Start with Burton and take each game as it comes.
COYW

Offline toshes mate

  • Jimmy Hill
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Re: 2017-18 Champtionship Projected table, form, gaps and pts needed
« Reply #93 on: January 14, 2018, 07:04:47 PM »
So we are now ahead of last season’s equivalent points accrued.  That suggests we have a great chance of making the play offs again.
I think we should also note (i) we have done this in a slightly different way to last season; (ii) we haven't yet hit best form; (iii)much less settled team; and (iv) shades of last season's possession football appeared again yesterday afternoon without TC in the side. 

I think we just need to keep taking the same small steps that SJ and his staff regime's encourage.  Signings may help or hinder and so I'll wait until we see them and are sure of who may be leaving too.  Hope nobody goes rather than see us signing high risk players.

Offline MJG

  • Graham Leggat
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I have seen a few comments about finishing 2nd is still on, so I thought I'd share the stats on that.

Last 16 years the average points total for 2nd has been 87 (Current projection is 89)

Highest was 93 (twice)
Lowest was 79 (twice)
Last 5 years it has been 93,89,89,93,79

This season the whole table is looking to be slightly above average, so Id still stick at needing 87 plus to get 2nd

So we have 19 games left and to get 87 we requires 45 more points.
To put that in context, Wolves have 62pts from 27. We would have to do better than that by a couple of points.






Offline Fulham Tup North

  • Jimmy Hill
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I have seen a few comments about finishing 2nd is still on, so I thought I'd share the stats on that.

Last 16 years the average points total for 2nd has been 87 (Current projection is 89)

Highest was 93 (twice)
Lowest was 79 (twice)
Last 5 years it has been 93,89,89,93,79

This season the whole table is looking to be slightly above average, so Id still stick at needing 87 plus to get 2nd

So we have 19 games left and to get 87 we requires 45 more points.
To put that in context, Wolves have 62pts from 27. We would have to do better than that by a couple of points.





Well, anything can look difficult once you start including FACTS into the equation!! 😨
COYW