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General Category => General Discussion => Topic started by: I Ronic on March 01, 2020, 11:35:15 AM

Title: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: I Ronic on March 01, 2020, 11:35:15 AM
Several matches have been cancelled in Italy today due to worries of the spread of the Coronavirus virus. I believe the French have or are considering cancelling large indoor events
Coronavirus isn't likely to go away anytime time soon and it could lead to matches being cancelled and league positions frozen.
Any thoughts on this?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: sunburywhite on March 01, 2020, 11:36:34 AM
Its not to be sneezed at
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fulhamfan666 on March 01, 2020, 03:17:46 PM
Yeah if this spread continues events etc will eventually be cancelled.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PM
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Riversider on March 01, 2020, 03:39:07 PM
Weird to think that if the Government ban all large gatherings , QPR will be the only team in London still allowed to play home games !  :dft012:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: bobbo on March 01, 2020, 04:13:26 PM
Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PM
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
great reply . The media don't know where their next feeding frenzy will be. brexit, Harry and Megan,the poor love island girl . They rarely latch on to good news and keep shovelling it out to us.

Not denying it's serious but it's being rammed down our throats many times during news bulletins.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 01, 2020, 04:23:36 PM
There's always something promoted to hide the real issues. We saw it over the weekend.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on March 01, 2020, 05:18:13 PM
As the father of a disabled son who has nearly died of pneumonia more than once, I have been following the coronavirus situation very carefully. We will have a period when they try and halt the spread before letting it go. We want it to hit in the summer to ensure that the hospitals are under less strain.

My favourite bit of news is that the alcohol gels that are selling out are bad for us. You have to wash your hands after use as there are bacteria that live on the alcohol that are worse for us than the normal bacteria. Within fifteen minutes you have twice as many bacteria on your hands than you would if you just washed with soap and water.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: cookieg on March 01, 2020, 05:45:43 PM
Wouldn't it be great if the Prem got cancelled just as Liverpool are likely to win it after all these years.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: terryr on March 01, 2020, 06:43:12 PM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
That's what they said in China at the beginning of January.
Now 300 million people are on virtual lock down.
300 million.
My office in Beijing has 160 people and no one has left their house for a month except to get food.
As of today there are 88,300 cases
42,000 have recovered
3,100 deaths
7,200 in serious condition
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 01, 2020, 06:49:05 PM
Quote from: TerryR on March 01, 2020, 06:43:12 PM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
That's what they said in China at the beginning of January.
Now 300 million people are on virtual lock down.
300 million.
My office in Beijing has 160 people and no one has left their house for a month except to get food.
As of today there are 88,300 cases
42,000 have recovered
3,100 deaths
7,200 in serious condition
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


I was in Salzburg yesterday. In December it was swarming with Chinese tourists, yesterday not one to be seen.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: terryr on March 01, 2020, 11:27:27 PM
Pope now seems to be suspected of being infected
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fulham Tup North on March 02, 2020, 12:40:08 AM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

Not wanting to show disrespect to those who have passed away due to this illness, but to put it into some sort of perspective, during the Great War between 9-11 million soldiers died, added to that was around 20 million civilians.  The year after the war ended, Spanish Flu killed between 40 - 50 million people.  At the time it effected over 25% of the worlds population....500 million people.  If 25% of today's world population were to be infected, we would be looking at around 1 billion, eight hundred & eighty two million, 500 thousand people.
I think TV & newspapers are simply trying to frighten people into panic buying or scaremongering them.  Look after those most at risk and keep an eye out for your neighbours especially if they are elderly. The world is not ending folks!!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 02, 2020, 01:27:22 AM
Quote from: Fulham Tup North on March 02, 2020, 12:40:08 AM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

Not wanting to show disrespect to those who have passed away due to this illness, but to put it into some sort of perspective, during the Great War between 9-11 million soldiers died, added to that was around 20 million civilians.  The year after the war ended, Spanish Flu killed between 40 - 50 million people.  At the time it effected over 25% of the worlds population....500 million people.  If 25% of today's world population were to be infected, we would be looking at around 1 billion, eight hundred & eighty two million, 500 thousand people.
I think TV & newspapers are simply trying to frighten people into panic buying or scaremongering them.  Look after those most at risk and keep an eye out for your neighbours especially if they are elderly. The world is not ending folks!!

FTN The voice of reason.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: cookieg on March 02, 2020, 07:00:59 AM
One of the very few things I remember from my Geography O-Level is Thomas Malthus and his theory on population growth. Maybe nature has had enough of the damage we are causing to the planet and is starting to fight back.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 02, 2020, 07:51:13 AM
Quote from: cookieg on March 02, 2020, 07:00:59 AM
One of the very few things I remember from my Geography O-Level is Thomas Malthus and his theory on population growth. Maybe nature has had enough of the damage we are causing to the planet and is starting to fight back.


Can the planet start with QPR supporters  :dft012:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 02, 2020, 08:31:57 AM
Quote from: cookieg on March 02, 2020, 07:00:59 AM
One of the very few things I remember from my Geography O-Level is Thomas Malthus and his theory on population growth. Maybe nature has had enough of the damage we are causing to the planet and is starting to fight back.

That is an interesting philosophical way of looking at it. Our species is part and parcel of Nature, as a system, and sooner or later the system will adapt and adjust. I wouldn't go quite so far as to suggest that Nature has detected an infection and is repelling it but that is a valid notion, if one wanted to go down that route.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Gezza on March 02, 2020, 07:10:27 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on March 01, 2020, 05:18:13 PM
As the father of a disabled son who has nearly died of pneumonia more than once, I have been following the coronavirus situation very carefully. We will have a period when they try and halt the spread before letting it go. We want it to hit in the summer to ensure that the hospitals are under less strain.

My favourite bit of news is that the alcohol gels that are selling out are bad for us. You have to wash your hands after use as there are bacteria that live on the alcohol that are worse for us than the normal bacteria. Within fifteen minutes you have twice as many bacteria on your hands than you would if you just washed with soap and water.

According to health expert on 5 Live this morning, who seemed to know what she was talking about, what you say about alcohol gels is simply not true with regard to tackling the Coronavirus.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Whitesideup on March 02, 2020, 07:52:05 PM
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 02, 2020, 07:51:13 AM
Quote from: cookieg on March 02, 2020, 07:00:59 AM
One of the very few things I remember from my Geography O-Level is Thomas Malthus and his theory on population growth. Maybe nature has had enough of the damage we are causing to the planet and is starting to fight back.




Can the planet start with QPR supporters  :dft012:
First QPR are cited as the only London club that host games without it constituting a large gathering, and now this post !!

Lol chaps. Keep it up !!!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on March 02, 2020, 09:32:52 PM
Quote from: Gezza on March 02, 2020, 07:10:27 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on March 01, 2020, 05:18:13 PM
As the father of a disabled son who has nearly died of pneumonia more than once, I have been following the coronavirus situation very carefully. We will have a period when they try and halt the spread before letting it go. We want it to hit in the summer to ensure that the hospitals are under less strain.

My favourite bit of news is that the alcohol gels that are selling out are bad for us. You have to wash your hands after use as there are bacteria that live on the alcohol that are worse for us than the normal bacteria. Within fifteen minutes you have twice as many bacteria on your hands than you would if you just washed with soap and water.

According to health expert on 5 Live this morning, who seemed to know what she was talking about, what you say about alcohol gels is simply not true with regard to tackling the Coronavirus.
Yes, I heard her this morning. All I can say is that the interview that I quoted was from the Chief Medical Officer for the UK. Doesn't help when the medical profession doesn't provide a consistent message.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on March 02, 2020, 09:43:10 PM
There has been no official information comparing the seriousness of Coronavirus against the current Flu virus. Just possible that more people will suffer from Flu this year.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tonywa on March 02, 2020, 10:11:37 PM
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
What? Like it does for Summer colds?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: cottage expat on March 02, 2020, 11:24:34 PM
Quote from: Fulham Tup North on March 02, 2020, 12:40:08 AM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

Not wanting to show disrespect to those who have passed away due to this illness, but to put it into some sort of perspective, during the Great War between 9-11 million soldiers died, added to that was around 20 million civilians.  The year after the war ended, Spanish Flu killed between 40 - 50 million people.  At the time it effected over 25% of the worlds population....500 million people.  If 25% of today's world population were to be infected, we would be looking at around 1 billion, eight hundred & eighty two million, 500 thousand people.
I think TV & newspapers are simply trying to frighten people into panic buying or scaremongering them.  Look after those most at risk and keep an eye out for your neighbours especially if they are elderly. The world is not ending folks!!
[/quote





Well said !
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 02, 2020, 11:46:56 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

If you take our population of 66million and this virus kills around 2% that will mean 1320000 deaths..does that put it into perspective? Let's assume that only 50% of the population get it then we are talking about 670,000 deaths.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 03, 2020, 02:04:11 AM
Quote from: cottage expat on March 02, 2020, 11:24:34 PM
Quote from: Fulham Tup North on March 02, 2020, 12:40:08 AM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

Not wanting to show disrespect to those who have passed away due to this illness, but to put it into some sort of perspective, during the Great War between 9-11 million soldiers died, added to that was around 20 million civilians.  The year after the war ended, Spanish Flu killed between 40 - 50 million people.  At the time it effected over 25% of the worlds population....500 million people.  If 25% of today's world population were to be infected, we would be looking at around 1 billion, eight hundred & eighty two million, 500 thousand people.
I think TV & newspapers are simply trying to frighten people into panic buying or scaremongering them.  Look after those most at risk and keep an eye out for your neighbours especially if they are elderly. The world is not ending folks!!
[/quote





Well said !



Agree.

I think there has definitely been an  overreaction,  and a climate of panic has been  created by the media - who i don't think  are out to frighten people on purpose, but it's a sign of the times , goes along with the rise of the internet - an absurd overreaction to things that often aren't nearly as terrible as depicted.

Flu is a virus that   kills more people  percentage wise than Conovirus so far, and old  and sick people are more at risk from this, as they are at risk generally from infections.

Now we have a  flu  vaccination - free to older people in this country, and i believe a conovirus vaccination will  very soon become available.

Shutting down  mass gatherings and closing schools, etc,  because of this virus, just seems well over the top at the moment, considering the  percentage of people  dying from Conovirus - many who have been infected don't even realise they've had it.

The floods, caused by global warming are much more of threat tp people in this country, and taking action against the causes, and to mitigate the  effects, is far more important than this virus imo.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 03, 2020, 07:25:06 AM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 02, 2020, 11:46:56 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

If you take our population of 66million and this virus kills around 2% that will mean 1320000 deaths..does that put it into perspective? Let's assume that only 50% of the population get it then we are talking about 670,000 deaths.
that 2% figure is way off as far as I'm aware. They only test those who died in hospital to see if it was corona that killed them. All those who were welded shut into their own homes were taken straight in for cremation without being tested if the accounts of the whistle blowers are to be believed.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 03, 2020, 08:46:47 AM
My original post was aimed more towards  large scale gatherings of people being cancelled. Which could lead to the last games of the season at best held behind closed doors at worst cancelled. If they were cancelled could you see the FA deciding that the tables at that moment were frozen and in the Championship for instance the top three went up?
Going back to the virus, the relatively low death toll at the moment maybe due in part to lock downs in certain areas. This may well work but it could have a devastating effect on economies. Which could cause bigger problems down the line.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 03, 2020, 09:05:29 AM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 03, 2020, 08:46:47 AM
My original post was aimed more towards  large scale gatherings of people being cancelled. Which could lead to the last games of the season at best held behind closed doors at worst cancelled. If they were cancelled could you see the FA deciding that the tables at that moment were frozen and in the Championship for instance the top three went up?
Going back to the virus, the relatively low death toll at the moment maybe due in part to lock downs in certain areas. This may well work but it could have a devastating effect on economies. Which could cause bigger problems down the line.
if the fa just allowed the top 3 to go up, I'd imagine that would open them up to one hell of a law suit from every club that could still mathematically achieve that position. What happened in war time, did a league ever get suspended then
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 03, 2020, 10:09:35 AM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 03, 2020, 09:05:29 AM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 03, 2020, 08:46:47 AM
My original post was aimed more towards  large scale gatherings of people being cancelled. Which could lead to the last games of the season at best held behind closed doors at worst cancelled. If they were cancelled could you see the FA deciding that the tables at that moment were frozen and in the Championship for instance the top three went up?
Going back to the virus, the relatively low death toll at the moment maybe due in part to lock downs in certain areas. This may well work but it could have a devastating effect on economies. Which could cause bigger problems down the line.
if the fa just allowed the top 3 to go up, I'd imagine that would open them up to one hell of a law suit from every club that could still mathematically achieve that position. What happened in war time, did a league ever get suspended then
In 1939 after a few games had been played they changed the rules no team was allowed to travel more than 50 miles and a max of 8000 fans per game later on this was increased to 15000
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 03, 2020, 10:53:23 AM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 03, 2020, 07:25:06 AM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 02, 2020, 11:46:56 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

If you take our population of 66million and this virus kills around 2% that will mean 1320000 deaths..does that put it into perspective? Let's assume that only 50% of the population get it then we are talking about 670,000 deaths.
that 2% figure is way off as far as I'm aware. They only test those who died in hospital to see if it was corona that killed them. All those who were welded shut into their own homes were taken straight in for cremation without being tested if the accounts of the whistle blowers are to be believed.

WHO is saying the mortality rate is 2-5% but I think that's them humouring the likes of China and Iran who are likely missing the most mild cases.

I think one of the reasons the authorities are so concerned about further spread is that actually, there are probably hundreds of cases already in the UK and other countries going under the radar because they're so mild.

Most Western experts seem to be expecting a mortality rate around 1%, if anything slightly lower.

But of course even that would be 10x as a bad as influenza which is something like 0.1%, and as indicated above, if it infected 50% of the UK population, just 1% of that would be 300,000 of our loved ones, in particular the sick and elderly, being taken in the coming months, and many more hospitalised. It's still an awful situation.

With that said, we're an awful long way from 50% of the population being infected. Even at the rate at 500+ new cases per day they're currently seeing in South Korea and Italy, it would take 3-4 year just to infect 1% of our population of 60m. The issue now is IMO is whether we see the controls those countries have implemented starting to work over the coming days and weeks, and the spread being successfully contained like it was in China.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 03, 2020, 11:03:55 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

Which Month are you thinking of? They said the same thing in January, then by February they kinda agreed it was not as containable as they first let on, and this month it is still moving into new countries. So which Month was it you meant?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 03, 2020, 11:41:08 AM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 03, 2020, 08:46:47 AM
My original post was aimed more towards  large scale gatherings of people being cancelled. Which could lead to the last games of the season at best held behind closed doors at worst cancelled. If they were cancelled could you see the FA deciding that the tables at that moment were frozen and in the Championship for instance the top three went up?
Going back to the virus, the relatively low death toll at the moment maybe due in part to lock downs in certain areas. This may well work but it could have a devastating effect on economies. Which could cause bigger problems down the line.

Quite right, we are already seeing this in action, not only in the short term with the markets, but in the long term whereby China being a source for so many businesses world-wide have cut production, in some areas almost totally, and so those reliant businesses are already forecasting reduced sales and profits (Apple amongst them for the big players has already seen some 100 billion USD market value drop). Some of the smaller businesses just won't survive if this continues for months.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on March 04, 2020, 03:03:14 PM
If the corona virus became so bad that large gatherings were not allowed and some of the biggest events were shut down. Would the play off final be delayed and for how long or would 3rd place be enough to get promoted
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 04, 2020, 06:08:40 PM
Quote from: Andy S on March 04, 2020, 03:03:14 PM
If the corona virus became so bad that large gatherings were not allowed and some of the biggest events were shut down. Would the play off final be delayed and for how long or would 3rd place be enough to get promoted

If the play off final is delayed then the winners are at a disadvantage  as they'll  get a very short window to strengthen the team.
If third goes up automatically then the teams below will probably go legal against the FA.
It could of course be settled  with the toss of a coin. Whatever happens nobody's going.to be happy with the outcome.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: PhilEsh on March 04, 2020, 06:22:29 PM
Quote from: Andy S on March 04, 2020, 03:03:14 PM
If the corona virus became so bad that large gatherings were not allowed and some of the biggest events were shut down. Would the play off final be delayed and for how long or would 3rd place be enough to get promoted

Or could the game itself be played behind closed doors to avoid any criticism from other teams about unfairness, and the process of promotion being adhered to incorrectly?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: grandad on March 04, 2020, 07:07:50 PM
Quote from: TerryR on March 01, 2020, 11:27:27 PM
Pope now seems to be suspected of being infected
From all the people kissing his ring. The one on his finger possibly.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: JoelH5 on March 04, 2020, 10:09:59 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 03, 2020, 10:53:23 AM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 03, 2020, 07:25:06 AM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 02, 2020, 11:46:56 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

If you take our population of 66million and this virus kills around 2% that will mean 1320000 deaths..does that put it into perspective? Let's assume that only 50% of the population get it then we are talking about 670,000 deaths.
that 2% figure is way off as far as I'm aware. They only test those who died in hospital to see if it was corona that killed them. All those who were welded shut into their own homes were taken straight in for cremation without being tested if the accounts of the whistle blowers are to be believed.

WHO is saying the mortality rate is 2-5% but I think that's them humouring the likes of China and Iran who are likely missing the most mild cases.

I think one of the reasons the authorities are so concerned about further spread is that actually, there are probably hundreds of cases already in the UK and other countries going under the radar because they're so mild.

Most Western experts seem to be expecting a mortality rate around 1%, if anything slightly lower.

But of course even that would be 10x as a bad as influenza which is something like 0.1%, and as indicated above, if it infected 50% of the UK population, just 1% of that would be 300,000 of our loved ones, in particular the sick and elderly, being taken in the coming months, and many more hospitalised. It's still an awful situation.

With that said, we're an awful long way from 50% of the population being infected. Even at the rate at 500+ new cases per day they're currently seeing in South Korea and Italy, it would take 3-4 year just to infect 1% of our population of 60m. The issue now is IMO is whether we see the controls those countries have implemented starting to work over the coming days and weeks, and the spread being successfully contained like it was in China.

Unfortunately it doesn't work like that. The transmission rate is x2/3 meaning one person on average infects two to three others. That means the more that get infected, the quicker it spreads. In about 2 to 3 months we could be at a peak.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 04, 2020, 11:19:22 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 04, 2020, 07:07:50 PM
Quote from: TerryR on March 01, 2020, 11:27:27 PM
Pope now seems to be suspected of being infected
From all the people kissing his ring. The one on his finger possibly.

It appears he doesn't have a ring on his finger anymore.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 05, 2020, 05:06:28 AM
How come  i all my 70 odd years on the planet there's never been such a reaction to any of the viruses or diseases that have been around?

Ok,  vulnerable people are at risk - as they are generally at this time of year, but this has  been an overreaction.

Residents of an old people's home said they were fr more frightened of losing their, mostly foreign, carers, than of catching this illness.

They are now worrying about  workers on  self-employed and zero hours contracts who are unable to work if being in contact with this  illness, but who worried about them before? - when  many of these people have had to go to work  while being treated for such diseases as cancer - because they had no access to sick pay.

Whatever the government says , do you think people can  just claim benefits as soon as they are  off work - maybe forced to stay at home  although feeling ok - just like that?

The reaction to  coronavirus is  completely over the top, and is causing panic.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 05, 2020, 06:11:53 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 05, 2020, 05:06:28 AM
How come i all my 70 odd years on the planet there's never been such a reaction to any of the viruses or diseases that have been around?

The reaction to coronavirus is completely over the top, and is causing panic.

We panicked about Brexit ruining some lives which I consider a much greater overreaction, but coronavirus is many orders of magnitude scarier.

We have no idea about "what are the necessary precautions?" and "what is unnecessary panic?".
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 05, 2020, 07:34:27 AM
Whether all this is a overreaction or not a lot of people in this country work for small firms or Agency's, this means many will only get £94 statuary sick pay weekly if ill. Many workers who try to claim Universal Credit for rent help will find it takes 4 weeks to get if their lucky.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 05, 2020, 08:27:34 AM
Quote from: JoelH5 on March 04, 2020, 10:09:59 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 03, 2020, 10:53:23 AM
With that said, we're an awful long way from 50% of the population being infected. Even at the rate at 500+ new cases per day they're currently seeing in South Korea and Italy, it would take 3-4 year just to infect 1% of our population of 60m. The issue now is IMO is whether we see the controls those countries have implemented starting to work over the coming days and weeks, and the spread being successfully contained like it was in China.

Unfortunately it doesn't work like that. The transmission rate is x2/3 meaning one person on average infects two to three others. That means the more that get infected, the quicker it spreads. In about 2 to 3 months we could be at a peak.

I don't dispute that it has the potential to accelerate like that but it's not doing it at the moment. Look at the new case data coming from South Korea for example, and it has plateaued in the last week, which suggests the measures they've taken are containing it, for now. FWIW I accept the majority of expert opinion now seems to be saying that sooner or later it will spread widely... but it also says that for the majority of us it will be so mild that we don't even realise we have it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: snarks on March 05, 2020, 08:44:46 AM
It does have a higher mortality rate than Flu, hence the "fuss" and the advice.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 05, 2020, 08:45:56 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 05, 2020, 05:06:28 AM
How come  i all my 70 odd years on the planet there's never been such a reaction to any of the viruses or diseases that have been around?

Ok,  vulnerable people are at risk - as they are generally at this time of year, but this has  been an overreaction.

Residents of an old people's home said they were fr more frightened of losing their, mostly foreign, carers, than of catching this illness.

They are now worrying about  workers on  self-employed and zero hours contracts who are unable to work if being in contact with this  illness, but who worried about them before? - when  many of these people have had to go to work  while being treated for such diseases as cancer - because they had no access to sick pay.

Whatever the government says , do you think people can  just claim benefits as soon as they are  off work - maybe forced to stay at home  although feeling ok - just like that?

The reaction to  coronavirus is  completely over the top, and is causing panic.
I have to agree with you on all fronts.

Coronavirus-19 may be one of the uglier of its types but the media response has been typical of the genre for quite a long time - sensationally OTT and often misinforming. 
Perhaps we are also lacking the necessary strong and responsible political leadership on a global scale which is not going to help matters either.  The important work necessary toward containment will go on regardless of any and all efforts that may make matters worse.     
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 05, 2020, 11:02:16 AM
It seems to me that a lot of the concern/caution about corona stems from how little is firmly known about it, the degree to which it manifests itself and similarity to/confusion with other viral infections in many instances.

In its worst manifestation it can be deadly to those who are vulnerable but, in other instances, symptoms are reportedly mild and people may not even know that what they've had is corona and not just a routine cold or flu. Thus, the source of infection and spread can innocently be at large and not isolated. There's a suggestion that, because of this, the virus is already more widespread than reported. A further suggestion is that it can be transmissible in the incubation phase (two weeks, reportedly) whilst symptoms are not evident. If so, that will inevitably cause a faster rate of spread. Finally, unless someone gets bad or specific symptoms, how do they know that it isn't a normal cold when they wouldn't curtail normal activities (shopping, socialising, work)?

For all those reasons, I can understand why the experts have no ready answers and the talk is of delay rather than containment. If people just came out in red spots it would be so much easier.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 05, 2020, 11:32:38 AM
I'd assume that there would be more concern on here since 3/4ths of this board seem to be 65+ years old.

But as to football reprecussions, they have started in Italy. Games in the zones of most infection are suspended and the rest are played behind closed doors.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 05, 2020, 11:40:09 AM
I do think things have reached a serious point, up till a few days ago I was not changing my life at all, but think it is time to now where possible.

Travelling on the tube the last couple of days, seeing a lot of people starting to wear masks and things now. The media have latched onto the use of public transport as a possible means of spreading pretty much from the start, but what seemed a bit OTT now seems fair enough... You are talking about a million plus (very rough estimate) people a day using the tube network, touching the handrails, using the seats, etc.

Wonder if they may close the tube down altogether in the next few weeks ?...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 05, 2020, 11:50:45 AM
They may shut down the tube, shut down everything - though we have never done this before, even during the War.

It's an absurd overreaction of what seems from the accounts of sufferers to be a  severe form of Flu, which causes  pneumonia amongst those with weakened immune systems, though many sufferers have few, if any, symptoms, - those who are vulnerable to  existing Flu, which can be vaccinated against i know, but Corona will  soon have a vaccine I'm sure, and a variety of other illnesses.

This isn't Beubonic Plague by any means, and we survived that back in Samuel Pepys time, and you can read about it in his diary,and that would  definitely kill you, while this is highly unlikely to.



Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 05, 2020, 12:32:25 PM
I've seen a few masks on the tube, generally healthy looking people in their 20s, 30s and 40s.

The experts have consistently said the masks might stop you spreading it (by coughing on other people) but they'll do little to stop you catching it.

If these people with the masks have the virus and are trying to avoid spreading it, or are concerned because they've some hidden health problem or a vulnerable relative at home, fair enough. But generally I just think, you stupid ponce.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 12:39:42 PM
The last time I saw someone with a Mask was Jim Carey in that Film "The Mask".
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 05, 2020, 12:48:53 PM
I'm not sure the idea of over-reaction is helpful.

A problem is that this virus seems to have originated in China, arguably apart from N Korea the most government controlled nation on earth and where no sane person believes any statement of purported fact that any of its leaders makes.

The most reliable country in terms of openness that has suffered a considerable number of instances thus far is Italy where it seems that there have been somewhat over 3000 reported instances and 107 deaths (as of yesterday) which, if such relatively small numbers (for evaluating public health issues) prove anything like the norm suggests a mortality rate of over 3%.

IF the mortality rate is anything like 3% and the virus spreads as easily as it is clear from his appearance before the relevant Commons committee today the Chief Medical Officer thinks is a serious possibility, this could yet turn out to be very much more serious than the annual flu. Our government, along with all others in Europe, cannot not take the possibility of large numbers of deaths other than very seriously and if it turns out, when more is known about the impact of the virus, some have taken steps which with hindsight prove unnecessary, surely that is better than not doing enough. 

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on March 05, 2020, 01:04:28 PM
The government are only interested in pushing it further along towards the summer to save the health service from suffering. They are not worried about you and me. Yes it's an inconvenience but unless we are not being told something this virus will be gone from the press in a few months
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 01:21:24 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.

I can't contract and then expose piles to the elderly and those of low immunity though, can I? If we only think about ourselves as healthy, young (some of us) people, then sure, but if we care for others around us and in the wider public then we should take care and follow guidelines and consider the potential serious outcomes for others.

This will spread because so many people are selfish, stupid and a blend of both. Many businesses will not assist peoples best efforts to stop that from happening by supporting those with symptons to self-contain, and those businesses are not being helped to do so by Govt. £94 a week? Exceptional times call for exceptional measures, and if we, the UK, really wanted to lead in preventative measures then our Govt. should announcing plans allowing people to do so.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 05, 2020, 01:56:08 PM
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 01:21:24 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.

I can't contract and then expose piles to the elderly and those of low immunity though, can I? If we only think about ourselves as healthy, young (some of us) people, then sure, but if we care for others around us and in the wider public then we should take care and follow guidelines and consider the potential serious outcomes for others.

This will spread because so many people are selfish, stupid and a blend of both. Many businesses will not assist peoples best efforts to stop that from happening by supporting those with symptons to self-contain, and those businesses are not being helped to do so by Govt. £94 a week? Exceptional times call for exceptional measures, and if we, the UK, really wanted to lead in preventative measures then our Govt. should announcing plans allowing people to do so.

It's very likely to spread because of the reasons you cite as well as asymptomatic people being carriers, or those who think they've just got a cold.

Are you suggesting that there should be no entry at all to the UK from (for example) China, South Korea and Italy? I would have thought that radical measures like that would have to be global rather than national to be effective. Testing shows nothing during the incubation period until symptoms develop.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 05, 2020, 02:29:47 PM
 

Are you suggesting that there should be no entry at all to the UK from (for example) China, South Korea and Italy? I would have thought that radical measures like that would have to be global rather than national to be effective. Testing shows nothing during the incubation period until symptoms develop.
[/quote]
Anyone who has recently travelled to or transited through China (usually within the last 14-28 days)
Complete ban on entry to USA  Australia, Bahamas, many Caribbean islands, Indonesia, Madagascar, Maldives, New Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, Turkey and Vietnam, among others.

Anyone who has visited Italy (usually within the last 14-28 days)
Complete ban on entry to Cook Islands, Fiji, India, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Mauritius, Mongolia, St Lucia and Seychelles, among others. (All of these countries also have a ban on entry to anyone who has visited China).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Riversider on March 05, 2020, 02:33:10 PM
I was in an Asda store last night, just after 11pm, the shelves had literally been stripped bare, we got to the till and the poor woman told us that it had been absolute mayhem all day because of the Corona virus,
I put my card in to pay then asked her how many times today somebody has been round to wipe the key pad clean,
Looking bewildered she replied that nobody ever wipes the key pad down,
There were 24 tills there plus all the self service tills, imagine for a second how many people would have used those key pads in a single day !
Is it any wonder that this virus is going to spread out of control ?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 02:44:07 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 05, 2020, 01:56:08 PM
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 01:21:24 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.

I can't contract and then expose piles to the elderly and those of low immunity though, can I? If we only think about ourselves as healthy, young (some of us) people, then sure, but if we care for others around us and in the wider public then we should take care and follow guidelines and consider the potential serious outcomes for others.

This will spread because so many people are selfish, stupid and a blend of both. Many businesses will not assist peoples best efforts to stop that from happening by supporting those with symptons to self-contain, and those businesses are not being helped to do so by Govt. £94 a week? Exceptional times call for exceptional measures, and if we, the UK, really wanted to lead in preventative measures then our Govt. should announcing plans allowing people to do so.

It's very likely to spread because of the reasons you cite as well as asymptomatic people being carriers, or those who think they've just got a cold.

Are you suggesting that there should be no entry at all to the UK from (for example) China, South Korea and Italy? I would have thought that radical measures like that would have to be global rather than national to be effective. Testing shows nothing during the incubation period until symptoms develop.

No, I didn't mention stopping of flights at all. I was talking about the Govt. increasing statutory sick payment or some creative tax work to allow employers to pay absent staff where necessary.

But perhaps as a preventative, stopping flights from certain countries and areas could be wise. Either way, the Govt. should be stepping up to the plate on this. I'm feeling fortunate to be British and not American today after Trump's most recent remarks.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: keithh on March 05, 2020, 02:49:17 PM

I popped into Boots the chemist today and asked the lady "What is the best hand sanitizer for Coronavirus please?"

She replied "Ammonia cleaner"

I said "Sorry, I thought you worked here".
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 05, 2020, 05:10:33 PM
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 02:44:07 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 05, 2020, 01:56:08 PM
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 01:21:24 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.

I can't contract and then expose piles to the elderly and those of low immunity though, can I? If we only think about ourselves as healthy, young (some of us) people, then sure, but if we care for others around us and in the wider public then we should take care and follow guidelines and consider the potential serious outcomes for others.

This will spread because so many people are selfish, stupid and a blend of both. Many businesses will not assist peoples best efforts to stop that from happening by supporting those with symptons to self-contain, and those businesses are not being helped to do so by Govt. £94 a week? Exceptional times call for exceptional measures, and if we, the UK, really wanted to lead in preventative measures then our Govt. should announcing plans allowing people to do so.

It's very likely to spread because of the reasons you cite as well as asymptomatic people being carriers, or those who think they've just got a cold.

Are you suggesting that there should be no entry at all to the UK from (for example) China, South Korea and Italy? I would have thought that radical measures like that would have to be global rather than national to be effective. Testing shows nothing during the incubation period until symptoms develop.

No, I didn't mention stopping of flights at all. I was talking about the Govt. increasing statutory sick payment or some creative tax work to allow employers to pay absent staff where necessary.

But perhaps as a preventative, stopping flights from certain countries and areas could be wise. Either way, the Govt. should be stepping up to the plate on this. I'm feeling fortunate to be British and not American today after Trump's most recent remarks.

Sorry if I misinterpreted, I just wondered what you thought the govt should be doing. They have a delicate balancing act but I'd agree with you on the points you make.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 05, 2020, 05:25:06 PM
Here's a new level of panic for you.

My wife is a nurse at a practitioners office of a large Health Provider here. This week one of the family doctors informed the staff that she was no longer seeing patients that displayed any symptoms that could be connected to Covid-19, instead they should be directed to the ER!
This comes on top of a total lack of federal awareness of how to test, produce or handle testing kits, and as such the testing rate in the US is one of the lowest.

Ho Hum, it's tough being the "worlds leading economy" with a lack of population education sometimes, and don't fret about only getting 94 quid for being off sick, the employers pay bugger all over here, you have to take sick leave (or PTO if you don't have sick leave available)!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: AnOldBrownie on March 05, 2020, 06:10:08 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.

I had Influenza.    They gave me a prescription I had to take for 5 days, and they said I was highly contagious so I stayed home for 5 days (went to the supermarket once).   It was no joke and I had a fever of 102.4 for a day and a half, but other than the fever I didn't really feel that bad.   Mucous..runny nose, but no coughing.

This was the last week of January 2020.

The worst thing was being contagious and having to stay away from everyone for a week.   Thank goodness for the internet.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 05, 2020, 07:15:57 PM
"With approximately 100,000 CoronaVirus cases worldwide, and 3,280 deaths, the United States, because of quick action on closing our borders, has, as of now, only 129 cases (40 Americans brought in) and 11 deaths. We are working very hard to keep these numbers as low as possible!"

If the figures President Trump quotes are right, the overall death rate may well turn out to be around 3%, which is certainly consistent with Italy's figures to date.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 05, 2020, 07:29:45 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 05, 2020, 07:15:57 PM
"With approximately 100,000 CoronaVirus cases worldwide, and 3,280 deaths, the United States, because of quick action on closing our borders, has, as of now, only 129 cases (40 Americans brought in) and 11 deaths. We are working very hard to keep these numbers as low as possible!"

If the figures President Trump quotes are right, the overall death rate may well turn out to be around 3%, which is certainly consistent with Italy's figures to date.

Well according to Trump's figures there, the death rate in the USA is about 9% (11 out of 129). According to the Iranians, it's about 15% or something ridiculous like that. According to the UK figures, it's 0%, from a decent sample of cases with no deaths. So obviously something is awry. The reliable (ie expert, Western) sources are unceasingly suggesting a large number of cases are being missed. Even in the worst affected parts of China, they were claiming only 20% of the population was infected, whereas we're expecting 50-80% of the UK population to get it if/when it gets out of control, implying that China was missing tens or hundreds of thousands of people from their figures, probably because they only had mild symptoms or no symptoms at all. I'm willing to bet it will emerge in due course that the death rate is below 1%.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 05, 2020, 07:32:51 PM
"According to the UK figures, it's 0%, from a decent sample of cases with no deaths"

Sadly no longer true.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: JoelH5 on March 05, 2020, 07:46:26 PM
I read an article from an elderly lady on the Japanese cruise ship. She had her blood tested and was shown to have been infected. She was in hospital for two weeks. She said she woke up every morning expecting to feel aweful. She never did and then she recovered. She said she only knew she had it because of the blood test. I personally think the true figures are 10 if not 100 times more infected but people don't know. Also, very few of us would call 111 in reality and say I think I have Corona if you have a cough. You're more likely to just take 2 weeks off, and that's if you even have symptoms. I'm not underplaying the seriousness at all as some people have immunodeficiencies however, I do believe it is WAY more widespread than we think.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 05, 2020, 08:00:32 PM
In the face of rapidly spreading coronavirus anxiety, Americans must continue to live their lives, said emergency room physician Dr. James Phillips.

In an interview Tuesday on "America's Newsroom" with host Ed Henry, Phillips stressed that the vast majority of the public is "going to do just fine."

"Most of us are going to get this virus. It's undeniable. You won't find a single expert out there who is saying that this is going to be contained," said Phillips, who serves as the George Washington University School of Medicine's operational medicine fellowship director.

"And, the more we learn about it, the more we see that the spread is going to be global and, for the most part, that's OK because the data we know from China shows that roughly 98 to 99 percent of us are going to do very, very, well," he told Henry.

Thus far, there are over 95,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus and over 3,300 deaths worldwide. Of those cases, there are at least 129 cases and 11 deaths recorded in the United States. Washington state has been hit especially hard by the virus, with nine deaths at a nursing home near Seattle. The death rate is about 3.4 percent.

Most of those taken by the COVID-19 virus are older, infirmed, or those with weak immune systems and Phillips conceded that there is a "certain percentage" of Americans who are "going to get more sick than others."
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 05, 2020, 08:57:11 PM
Trump should be more worried about the virus than he is showing, he would be in the serious at risk category if he catches it!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 05, 2020, 09:03:17 PM
Quote from: davew on March 05, 2020, 08:57:11 PM
Trump should be more worried about the virus than he is showing, he would be in the serious at risk category if he catches it!

To be fair, Biden and Sanders are too. So many 'elderly politicians' in powerful positions these days.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: epsomraver on March 05, 2020, 09:37:44 PM
Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PM
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
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Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on March 05, 2020, 10:31:16 PM
The virus is on the increase and I suspect emergency restrictions cold soon be in place . If football matches were to be played behind closed gates wold it not be reasonable to allow ffctv to show our matches live.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 06, 2020, 01:43:26 AM
Quote from: filham on March 05, 2020, 10:31:16 PM
The virus is on the increase and I suspect emergency restrictions cold soon be in place . If football matches were to be played behind closed gates wold it not be reasonable to allow ffctv to show our matches live.

That actually would be a brilliant idea for Fulham and "The Championship" to get thousands of new Fulham supporters, because for the rest of this season the premier league will be boring and a lot of people will be staying home on weekends and weeknights to avoid catching coronavirus. Football on TV will be an important pastime for many barely interested in other seasons.

In relation to fear of the virus and overreaction, China and South Korea panicked in February which seems to control the virus, but the Italian people didn't take it seriously enough in February so its has spread fast. The Italian Government has taken action and are hoping the people react like other countries and frankly overeacting is much much much better than undereacting. I am still unsure if Europe react will enough haste.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: bobbo on March 06, 2020, 07:11:24 AM
Quote from: keithh on March 05, 2020, 02:49:17 PM

I popped into Boots the chemist today and asked the lady "What is the best hand sanitizer for Coronavirus please?"

She replied "Ammonia cleaner"

I said "Sorry, I thought you worked here".

😂😂😂😂😂
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 06, 2020, 08:01:23 AM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 05, 2020, 12:48:53 PM
The most reliable country in terms of openness that has suffered a considerable number of instances thus far is Italy where it seems that there have been somewhat over 3000 reported instances and 107 deaths (as of yesterday) which, if such relatively small numbers (for evaluating public health issues) prove anything like the norm suggests a mortality rate of over 3%.

Interestingly the latest figures from South Korea (arguably more reliable than Italy) today are showing a mortality rate of less than 0.7% across 6,000+ cases.

Why is their mortality rate lower? Because they're doing the most testing, and factoring in the most mild cases.

Even their testing isn't going to be 100% efficient, so the true rate could be lower still. A good article here estimates 0.5%
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/health-environment/article/3065187/coronavirus-south-koreas-aggressive-testing-gives

That's still bad news - 5x as bad as the flu and with no vaccine or existing immunity - but not as bad as most other reporting at the moment
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 08:07:56 AM
Quote from: JoelH5 on March 05, 2020, 07:46:26 PM
I read an article from an elderly lady on the Japanese cruise ship. She had her blood tested and was shown to have been infected. She was in hospital for two weeks. She said she woke up every morning expecting to feel awful. She never did and then she recovered. She said she only knew she had it because of the blood test. I personally think the true figures are 10 if not 100 times more infected but people don't know. Also, very few of us would call 111 in reality and say I think I have Corona if you have a cough. You're more likely to just take 2 weeks off, and that's if you even have symptoms. I'm not underplaying the seriousness at all as some people have immunodeficiencies however, I do believe it is WAY more widespread than we think.
This is the central problem with any virus.  Symptoms and seriousness of illness differ person to person; infection to illness periods vary person to person; manner of infection differ from person to person and so on. 

There is tacit admission that the seriousness of Covid-19 may have been under-estimated at the beginning of the outbreak because it appears more subtle in its methods of spread and delivery.  How would anyone know they are carrying the virus if they feel well or just suffer a slight chill for a day or so with no worsening of symptoms?  We should have been prepared for this kind of threat.

It is worth remembering that institutions like the NHS grew out of knowledge that the underlying health of a population, all of that population, was not just about treatment but also about prevention, an investment against risks of infections spreading rapidly and going out of control fast.  Public health was deemed to be a way to ensure we could manage outbreaks before they got out of control.  Have we forgotten how important investment in people's wherewithal is in the race to keep costs down and profits up?   
   
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 06, 2020, 09:05:53 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 08:07:56 AM
Quote from: JoelH5 on March 05, 2020, 07:46:26 PM
I read an article from an elderly lady on the Japanese cruise ship. She had her blood tested and was shown to have been infected. She was in hospital for two weeks. She said she woke up every morning expecting to feel awful. She never did and then she recovered. She said she only knew she had it because of the blood test. I personally think the true figures are 10 if not 100 times more infected but people don't know. Also, very few of us would call 111 in reality and say I think I have Corona if you have a cough. You're more likely to just take 2 weeks off, and that's if you even have symptoms. I'm not underplaying the seriousness at all as some people have immunodeficiencies however, I do believe it is WAY more widespread than we think.
This is the central problem with any virus.  Symptoms and seriousness of illness differ person to person; infection to illness periods vary person to person; manner of infection differ from person to person and so on. 

There is tacit admission that the seriousness of Covid-19 may have been under-estimated at the beginning of the outbreak because it appears more subtle in its methods of spread and delivery.  How would anyone know they are carrying the virus if they feel well or just suffer a slight chill for a day or so with no worsening of symptoms?  We should have been prepared for this kind of threat.

It is worth remembering that institutions like the NHS grew out of knowledge that the underlying health of a population, all of that population, was not just about treatment but also about prevention, an investment against risks of infections spreading rapidly and going out of control fast.  Public health was deemed to be a way to ensure we could manage outbreaks before they got out of control.  Have we forgotten how important investment in people's wherewithal is in the race to keep costs down and profits up?   
   

Actually with organisations such as CEPI the world is becoming more prepared than we ever were. However a downside of modern life is all the false info being spread on social media by idiots who know nothing. The latest doing the rounds is that hand washing is bad for you as it stops the natural barrier of your skin oils. The fact that the virus is almost always transmitted via your eyes, nose and throat doesn't seem relevant to the spreaders of this mis information which appears to be based on an article about people who overwash to the point of breaking their skin on their hands. In the old days before mass internet and mass disinformation from conspiracy theorists people listened to advice from the medical and scientific community as they realised that these were the experts. The only areas which resisted common sense were cult religious groups. Maybe conspiracy theorists are the new cult religions.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on March 06, 2020, 09:25:06 AM
Health Minister Matt Hancock on question time last night said the government had no intention of stopping people attending football matches as it hadn't worked in Italy. He said that if you played games behind closed doors you just move the problem as people watch games in pubs. He said that football grounds would be safer as you would be out in the open and he hoped that if you weren't feeling well you would stay at home in self isolation.

So what happens if teams are due to play and some members are diagnosed with the Virus?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 06, 2020, 11:06:27 AM
Quote from: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.

Agreed, "Nature red in tooth and claw" - and that includes us. It cannot be contained for two main reasons: It is thought to be transmissible whilst in incubation (14-24 days) and minor symptoms can appear as common cold or flu which would not give rise to isolation in the same way. Attempting to delay it until the spring/summer, as they are, takes pressure off the NHS and allows time for (perhaps) a treatment to be developed.

But the learning points are clear in case the next time around it's more virulent.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 11:53:31 AM
Actually I have a heavy cold at the moment - for a week or so, and am 71.

But it seems unlikely that I would have been in contact with  anyone with CoronaV, and anyway, I choose to think it's no more than  the Common Cold, unless forced to think otherwise.

But someone else might panic in my situation, I suppose, which shows the problems here.

I'd have to get tested to see if it was more serious than a cold, but that would probably be hard to implement with current pressures on services, and advice, if I could get it , would be to self-isolate - so cutting myself off indoors with a what's likely is just a cold, which I obviously won't be doing.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 06, 2020, 12:00:06 PM
I think Covid19 starts with a fever? I to have a slight cold but no temperature and no fever. We cant stop work until the temperature goes up imo.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 12:07:12 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 06, 2020, 11:06:27 AM
Quote from: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.

Agreed, "Nature red in tooth and claw" - and that includes us. It cannot be contained for two main reasons: It is thought to be transmissible whilst in incubation (14-24 days) and minor symptoms can appear as common cold or flu which would not give rise to isolation in the same way. Attempting to delay it until the spring/summer, as they are, takes pressure off the NHS and allows time for (perhaps) a treatment to be developed.

But the learning points are clear in case the next time around it's more virulent.




Any reason why viruses and epidemics should be more serious than in the past, especially now we have modern science and medicine to  deal with them?

Historically in the UK we've had Bubonic Plague, caused by infected rats,  Measles, Mumps, Diphtheria etc, dealt with by vaccination, though  a return  of these things with people not wanting to be vaccinated - due to online  alarmism and panic based on the spread of misinformation..

Also,  environmental diseases like Cholera and TB, due to poverty and poor sanitation.

So are we not generally healthier and less at risk of disease than in the past?

One reason why there might be an increase in the viruses and  disease is built up resistance to modern medicines, as in the case of antibiotics.

Jut wondering whether or not we are becoming more vulnerable to such illnesses , after years of being much less vulnerable to infectious diseases through scientific and medical advance.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: grandad on March 06, 2020, 12:10:25 PM
600 people a year die from the seasonal flu. In some years it has been as high as 13,000. Forms of cancer, pneumonia, car deaths, murders etc account for thousands a year. Let´s keep it in context.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 06, 2020, 12:00:06 PM
I think Covid19 starts with a fever? I to have a slight cold but no temperature and no fever. We cant stop work until the temperature goes up imo.

But how much knowledge do people have about this. Things like rise in temperature - well most people. like me, don't know how to take this.

I was just about to go out yesterday - to Manchester in fact - when someone said on the radio, an 'expert'  -'if you have  a sniffle, best to  stay indoors.'

I obviously ignored this advice, but some might not, since it was an authoritative voice on the BBC.

Like most people in this country, I propose to carry on as normal, and think there will be strong resistance to stopping public gatherings like Football games, and think the govt. knows this.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MikeTheCubed on March 06, 2020, 12:17:46 PM
I am amazed at the amount of times I've seen people conflate Fatality Rate with Total Deaths.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 12:20:11 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 06, 2020, 12:10:25 PM
600 people a year die from the seasonal flu. In some years it has been as high as 13,000. Forms of cancer, pneumonia, car deaths, murders etc account for thousands a year. Let´s keep it in context.

That's my view too, but the panic about this virus is something I've never experienced in my life before, and some statements made me ask the question, whether things are worse in this regard, rather than far better in than in the past.

If this isn't the case, then all this alarmism seems unwarranted and well over the top.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 12:56:21 PM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 12:07:12 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 06, 2020, 11:06:27 AM
Quote from: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.

Agreed, "Nature red in tooth and claw" - and that includes us. It cannot be contained for two main reasons: It is thought to be transmissible whilst in incubation (14-24 days) and minor symptoms can appear as common cold or flu which would not give rise to isolation in the same way. Attempting to delay it until the spring/summer, as they are, takes pressure off the NHS and allows time for (perhaps) a treatment to be developed.

But the learning points are clear in case the next time around it's more virulent.




Any reason why viruses and epidemics should be more serious than in the past, especially now we have modern science and medicine to  deal with them?

Historically in the UK we've had Bubonic Plague, caused by infected rats,  Measles, Mumps, Diphtheria etc, dealt with by vaccination, though  a return  of these things with people not wanting to be vaccinated - due to online  alarmism and panic based on the spread of misinformation..

Also,  environmental diseases like Cholera and TB, due to poverty and poor sanitation.

So are we not generally healthier and less at risk of disease than in the past?

One reason why there might be an increase in the viruses and  disease is built up resistance to modern medicines, as in the case of antibiotics.

Jut wondering whether or not we are becoming more vulnerable to such illnesses , after years of being much less vulnerable to infectious diseases through scientific and medical advance.

There are a few reasons that we are susceptible to new pandemics, and by far the biggest is global mobility and population. With so many people with access to international travel it becomes very hard to contain an infectious disease due to the sheer number or interactions any given person may have (chance of transmission). It is inevitable that someone with the virus will travel to a population hotspot (think the London tube) and that's it, game over. Back in the time of the plague or even Spanish flu the population was lower and travel was a lot less so it could be contained.

As for vaccines and other treatments, it takes a while to develop a suitable vaccine for many reasons. The WHO organises it twice a year with the Flu vaccine but a lot of it is based on informed predictions and existing understanding of Influenza. It will be a few months before a vaccine becomes available and that is assuming that it works. With all our modern treatments we have a better survival rate for the same viruses as before, but with pathogens that dont respond to them we become a bit stuck for ideas and have to think further and further outside the box.

I am grateful for the low mortality rate as this is a real wake up call. Coronavirus very likely wont be 'the end of the world', but the point is that it COULD have been. We have come a long way with science, but there is still a hell of a way to go.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southdowns White on March 06, 2020, 01:00:00 PM
To try and place this in some sort of context, Approximately 1650 die each day in the uk, the vast majority of these are elderly and have an underlying heath problem that comes with old age. The Corona Virus will kill mainly older people with underlying health problems some younger people with underlying health problems will unfortunately die. 90% of over 80 year old people who catch the virus will make a full recovery with the correct healthcare intervention in the uk.
There is no spin here from me or any point i am trying to make. Many of us have elderly relatives and friends with underlying health problems and sadly some of us have younger relatives and friends with underlying health problems. These are the people i am worried for, we can only hope that a cure comes for these people.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 06, 2020, 01:09:39 PM
Quote from: Andy S on March 06, 2020, 09:25:06 AM

So what happens if teams are due to play and some members are diagnosed with the Virus?

I assume they wouldn't be playing and that they'd be put in quarantine away from the rest of the team, like with regular flu. Having the flu tends to be detrimental to physical activities.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 02:15:49 PM
I read about a group in the US the other day who claim to have developed a vaccine 'that contains the missing protein necessary to combat Covid-19' whatever that may mean.  There was little or no information that I could find to collaborate the claim although it does seem a number of companies are pursuing a vaccine with some optimism although most of the information is (ironically) on the finance pages rather than the medicine pages.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 06, 2020, 02:52:13 PM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 12:07:12 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 06, 2020, 11:06:27 AM
Quote from: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.

Agreed, "Nature red in tooth and claw" - and that includes us. It cannot be contained for two main reasons: It is thought to be transmissible whilst in incubation (14-24 days) and minor symptoms can appear as common cold or flu which would not give rise to isolation in the same way. Attempting to delay it until the spring/summer, as they are, takes pressure off the NHS and allows time for (perhaps) a treatment to be developed.

But the learning points are clear in case the next time around it's more virulent.




Any reason why viruses and epidemics should be more serious than in the past, especially now we have modern science and medicine to  deal with them?

Historically in the UK we've had Bubonic Plague, caused by infected rats,  Measles, Mumps, Diphtheria etc, dealt with by vaccination, though  a return  of these things with people not wanting to be vaccinated - due to online  alarmism and panic based on the spread of misinformation..

Also,  environmental diseases like Cholera and TB, due to poverty and poor sanitation.

So are we not generally healthier and less at risk of disease than in the past?

One reason why there might be an increase in the viruses and  disease is built up resistance to modern medicines, as in the case of antibiotics.

Jut wondering whether or not we are becoming more vulnerable to such illnesses , after years of being much less vulnerable to infectious diseases through scientific and medical advance.

With the exception of measles and mumps all the diseases you've mentioned are bacterial. Viruses mutate and are more specific and require jabs to match, hence the flu vaccine changes each year. That's why it'll take a little time to come up with a specific treatment for corona. Obviously there's resistance building to antibiotics but otherwise it just seems that once in a while Nature comes up with something more aggressive. One day it will matter but not this time it seems.

I do wonder whether the sanitised environment that many kids are brought up in nowadays retards resistance compared with what you and I probably experienced.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 06, 2020, 02:58:00 PM
coronavirus killed off FLYBE allegedly
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 06, 2020, 03:01:25 PM
And several other airlines at risk as well, supposedly. It'll be interesting to look back at this thread in a couple of months' time and see how it all panned out.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 06, 2020, 03:12:19 PM
People panic buying,apparently Poundland have ran out of paracetamol tablets,as if they do you much good.
One woman in Stoke has filled her cupboards with 80 tins of soup,and 40 tins of rice pudding.. lol,in case she gets laid up.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 06, 2020, 03:25:27 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 06, 2020, 03:12:19 PM
People panic buying,apparently Poundland have ran out of paracetamol tablets,as if they do you much good.
One woman in Stoke has filled her cupboards with 80 tins of soup,and 40 tins of rice pudding.. lol,in case she gets laid up.


Laid up! if she eats that lot she will never get off the Loo  let alone go anywhere 064.gif
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 06, 2020, 03:33:41 PM
if you can't get any toilet paper you can always wipe your bottom
on a politician.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 06, 2020, 03:51:57 PM
In Germany they call it Hamsterkauf. Quite  succinct, I thought.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 06, 2020, 03:56:35 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 02:15:49 PM
I read about a group in the US the other day who claim to have developed a vaccine 'that contains the missing protein necessary to combat Covid-19' whatever that may mean.  There was little or no information that I could find to collaborate the claim although it does seem a number of companies are pursuing a vaccine with some optimism although most of the information is (ironically) on the finance pages rather than the medicine pages.

That would be the antiviral remdesivir I guess. Currently entering Phase III human clinical trials (using mainly Asian candidates) due in March.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Luka on March 06, 2020, 03:59:32 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 06, 2020, 12:10:25 PM
600 people a year die from the seasonal flu. In some years it has been as high as 13,000. Forms of cancer, pneumonia, car deaths, murders etc account for thousands a year. Let´s keep it in context.

The experts think that up to 80% of the UK could eventually catch the virus becuase its spread is so fast and its so contagious.
Current estimates say there is 66m of us so thats 52m might get it.
Assuming the mortality rate is just 1.5% and only 50% of us eventually catch it then thats 495,000 dead people.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 04:45:50 PM
But how many people would die anyway, of other diseases, like flu, pneumonia, cancer, heart disease , etc?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: love4ffc on March 06, 2020, 05:07:33 PM
Just having a conversation in one of my whatsapp groups about the virus and how people are hoarding toilet and tissue paper.  I said I don't understand whatever happened to handkerchiefs (hankies)?    They just called me a proper old man.  092.gif  :doh:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: keithh on March 06, 2020, 05:12:03 PM
It may be the case that the Mask Antivrus Respirators on sale should be bought by those with the Coronavirus who are coughing & sneezing as then they are protecting others from catching it from them.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 06, 2020, 05:16:04 PM
I couldn't but laugh at the last line of this on Amazon:

https://www.amazon.co.uk/Curad-Antiviral-Face-Mask-Count/dp/B009GGUIK6
Surgical Medical Flu Infection Face Masks- 20 Masks
3.0 out of 5 stars 11
3 used and new from £17.99
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 06, 2020, 05:32:37 PM
Quote from: grandad on March 06, 2020, 12:10:25 PM
600 people a year die from the seasonal flu. In some years it has been as high as 13,000. Forms of cancer, pneumonia, car deaths, murders etc account for thousands a year. Let´s keep it in context.

Heres the context flu death rate 0.1% this outbreak potential death rate 1% that is 10 times greater. Let's take your 13000 * 10 and then see the problem, especially for our emergency services.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 06, 2020, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 06, 2020, 03:25:27 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 06, 2020, 03:12:19 PM
People panic buying,apparently Poundland have ran out of paracetamol tablets,as if they do you much good.
One woman in Stoke has filled her cupboards with 80 tins of soup,and 40 tins of rice pudding.. lol,in case she gets laid up.


Laid up! if she eats that lot she will never get off the Loo  let alone go anywhere 064.gif

She also has 20000 rolls of toilet paper.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: YankeeJim on March 06, 2020, 05:39:49 PM
I saw one report which said that children seem less likely to contract corona virus than do adults. This particular strain seems different than so many others in that I've also read that it can morph into a different strain rather quickly. Only time will tell. Panic already seems to be setting in. There is a cruise ship in San Francisco Bay that has been refused docking privileges because, well, its a cruise ship. 3500 passengers with no one diagnosed. This in a city that allows humans to defecate on the city streets. Might not be a good time to invest your life savings in a tour company.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Spirit of 2000 on March 06, 2020, 07:19:07 PM
WELL HERE YOU GO:

Everyone take a deep breath... you don't need more toilet paper! That won't help with the Coronavirus BUT HERES SOME INFORMATION THAT WILL! 👇

✔️ 82,000 People are sick with Coronavirus at the moment, of which 77,000 are in China.
This means that if you are not in or haven't recently visited China, this should eliminate 94% of your concern.

🧪 If you do contract Coronavirus, this still is not a cause for panic because:
81% of the Cases are MILD
14% of the Cases are MODERATE
Only 5% of the Cases are CRITICAL

😉 Which means that even if you do get the virus, you are most likely to recover from it.

🙄 Some have said, "but this is worse than SARS!". SARS had a fatality rate of 10% while COVID-19 has a fatality rate of 2%

👍 Moreover, looking at the ages of those who are dying of this virus, the death rate for the people UNDER 50 years of age is only 0.2%

💰 This means that if you are under 50 years of age and don't live in China - you are more likely to win the lottery (which has a 1 in 45,000,000 chance)

📚 Let's take one of the worst days so far, the 10th of February, when 108 people in CHINA died of Coronavirus.

🗺 On the same day:
👉 26,283 people died of Cancer
👉 24,641 people died of Heart Disease
👉 4,300 people died of Diabetes
👉 Suicide took 28 times more lives than the virus did.

🦟 Mosquitoes kill 2,740 people every day,
👨 HUMANS kill 1,300 fellow humans every day,
🐍 Snakes kill 137 people every day,
🦈 Sharks kill 2 people a year.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RAF_Fulham on March 06, 2020, 08:10:26 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/51777154

If I miss the Leeds &/or QPR I am going to be fuming!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 06, 2020, 09:26:18 PM
Quote from: RAF_Fulham on March 06, 2020, 08:10:26 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/51777154

If I miss the Leeds &/or QPR I am going to be fuming!

More likely it's the playoffs that we will all miss.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: JoelH5 on March 06, 2020, 10:53:11 PM
Quote from: Spirit of 2000 on March 06, 2020, 07:19:07 PM
WELL HERE YOU GO:

Everyone take a deep breath... you don't need more toilet paper! That won't help with the Coronavirus BUT HERES SOME INFORMATION THAT WILL! 👇

✔️ 82,000 People are sick with Coronavirus at the moment, of which 77,000 are in China.
This means that if you are not in or haven't recently visited China, this should eliminate 94% of your concern.

🧪 If you do contract Coronavirus, this still is not a cause for panic because:
81% of the Cases are MILD
14% of the Cases are MODERATE
Only 5% of the Cases are CRITICAL

😉 Which means that even if you do get the virus, you are most likely to recover from it.

🙄 Some have said, "but this is worse than SARS!". SARS had a fatality rate of 10% while COVID-19 has a fatality rate of 2%

👍 Moreover, looking at the ages of those who are dying of this virus, the death rate for the people UNDER 50 years of age is only 0.2%

💰 This means that if you are under 50 years of age and don't live in China - you are more likely to win the lottery (which has a 1 in 45,000,000 chance)

📚 Let's take one of the worst days so far, the 10th of February, when 108 people in CHINA died of Coronavirus.

🗺 On the same day:
👉 26,283 people died of Cancer
👉 24,641 people died of Heart Disease
👉 4,300 people died of Diabetes
👉 Suicide took 28 times more lives than the virus did.

🦟 Mosquitoes kill 2,740 people every day,
👨 HUMANS kill 1,300 fellow humans every day,
🐍 Snakes kill 137 people every day,
🦈 Sharks kill 2 people a year.

I know you mean well but these stats don't take into account the multiplication effect as more people become infected. They're completely wrong.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 06, 2020, 11:25:02 PM
Quote from: Spirit of 2000 on March 06, 2020, 07:19:07 PM
WELL HERE YOU GO:

Everyone take a deep breath... you don't need more toilet paper! That won't help with the Coronavirus BUT HERES SOME INFORMATION THAT WILL! 👇

✔️ 82,000 People are sick with Coronavirus at the moment, of which 77,000 are in China.
This means that if you are not in or haven't recently visited China, this should eliminate 94% of your concern.

🧪 If you do contract Coronavirus, this still is not a cause for panic because:
81% of the Cases are MILD
14% of the Cases are MODERATE
Only 5% of the Cases are CRITICAL

😉 Which means that even if you do get the virus, you are most likely to recover from it.

🙄 Some have said, "but this is worse than SARS!". SARS had a fatality rate of 10% while COVID-19 has a fatality rate of 2%

👍 Moreover, looking at the ages of those who are dying of this virus, the death rate for the people UNDER 50 years of age is only 0.2%

💰 This means that if you are under 50 years of age and don't live in China - you are more likely to win the lottery (which has a 1 in 45,000,000 chance)

📚 Let's take one of the worst days so far, the 10th of February, when 108 people in CHINA died of Coronavirus.

🗺 On the same day:
👉 26,283 people died of Cancer
👉 24,641 people died of Heart Disease
👉 4,300 people died of Diabetes
👉 Suicide took 28 times more lives than the virus did.

🦟 Mosquitoes kill 2,740 people every day,
👨 HUMANS kill 1,300 fellow humans every day,
🐍 Snakes kill 137 people every day,
🦈 Sharks kill 2 people a year.
Or 101914 people have tested positive for corv19
56173 have recovered about 53%
3466 have died about 3.4% which is higher than the Spanish flu that killed over 100 million
The old and the weeker tend to get sick sooner with a weak immune system and are the first to die as they catch it faster and die much quicker the younger and fitter tend to get it later and last longer
Nobody knows why but during the Spanish flu at first older and weeker people died at the start of the outbreak but by the end almost 35 % who died were aged between 20 and 40 years old mostly healthy young men
So it's too soon to know what's going to happen at the moment just pray it doesn't get that bad
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 07, 2020, 06:16:22 AM
everyone dies of something.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: love4ffc on March 07, 2020, 06:56:50 AM
I feel most here care not for the rest of humanity.  But rather of the mind case sera sera, let the weak die and so be it. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Quinzel on March 07, 2020, 10:47:29 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 02:15:49 PM
I read about a group in the US the other day who claim to have developed a vaccine 'that contains the missing protein necessary to combat Covid-19' whatever that may mean.  There was little or no information that I could find to collaborate the claim although it does seem a number of companies are pursuing a vaccine with some optimism although most of the information is (ironically) on the finance pages rather than the medicine pages.

Re the finance pages, I don't find that surprising. There will be some very rich people in the medical business who are absolutely rubbing their hands at this. In the same way war makes so many countries so much profit, our ill health is similar.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 07, 2020, 10:52:21 AM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 07, 2020, 06:56:50 AM
I feel most here care not for the rest of humanity.  But rather of the mind case sera sera, let the weak die and so be it.

0001.jpeg
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 07, 2020, 11:20:38 AM
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 07, 2020, 10:47:29 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 02:15:49 PM
I read about a group in the US the other day who claim to have developed a vaccine 'that contains the missing protein necessary to combat Covid-19' whatever that may mean.  There was little or no information that I could find to collaborate the claim although it does seem a number of companies are pursuing a vaccine with some optimism although most of the information is (ironically) on the finance pages rather than the medicine pages.

Re the finance pages, I don't find that surprising. There will be some very rich people in the medical business who are absolutely rubbing their hands at this. In the same way war makes so many countries so much profit, our ill health is similar.
Misery has always been a source of charity, investment or philanthropy, call it what you will.

The currency of this virus becomes more surprising when you look at the overall effects of the policies of globalisation, putting almost all the eggs in one basket, with few countries able to claim true self sufficiency.   Viruses and rapidly spreading infectious diseases are indiscriminate and eventually, if not contained, take victims from across the spectrum.  Coronavirus-19 has already taken its toll on people who are not poor and its propensity to kill is alarming to us all simply because of the hidden manner of its spread.   We may become infected simply by having contact with it at just the wrong time even if we have managed to pretty much isolate ourselves from obvious higher risk activity.

The media panic is, in my opinion, an acknowledgement among many that we do not do things half as well as we are asked to believe we do, or once did, and that we have created holes in our security in order to facilitate a global system which has also put most of its eggs in one basket.  Perhaps we are simply being shown, by Mother Nature, how fragile our current social policy is as compared to what went before it.   I sincerely hope that the vaccines in the pipeline (see Logicalman reply #100 which echoes what my research uncovered) eventually lead to a saner approach to this whole subject, because we have to consider what happens next if all attempts to reduce the spread fail.

     
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 07, 2020, 12:15:10 PM
I don't want to be accused of 'Scare Mongering' but I watched this 6 part series of ten minute videos about the Spanish Flu, and found it fascinating really as it really is not covered in the history books very much, with it seemingly in the shadow of WW1

https://youtu.be/XQ9WX4qVxEo

The bit about Eastern and Western Samoa (in episode 5 I think) was particularly so, as with the actions of leaders such as President Woodrow Wilson.






Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on March 07, 2020, 04:55:17 PM
Popped into Tesco late last night for a few bits & there were queues of people buying toilet roll.  It appeared  they were limiting the amount people could buy.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: andyk on March 07, 2020, 05:19:05 PM
Not quite sure what the toilet roll madness is about. It seems to be a form of mass hysteria. People see other people buying it and they buy it too.
As a product which is essential for survival, it's pretty low on the list.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 07, 2020, 05:29:25 PM
Quote from: andyk on March 07, 2020, 05:19:05 PM
Not quite sure what the toilet roll madness is about. It seems to be a form of mass hysteria. People see other people buying it and they buy it too.
As a product which is essential for survival, it's pretty low on the list.

Indeed, I don't understand why people (a) wthink coronavirus will cause it to run out or (b) are so desparate to ensure they have enough

Appears just to be some self-perpetuating panic starting from a few reports or rumours in Australia
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 07, 2020, 06:09:12 PM
Given the advice is 14 days self isolation if one thinks one has the virus, buying a stock to cover such a period is not unreasonable.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 07, 2020, 07:05:46 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 07, 2020, 06:09:12 PM
Given the advice is 14 days self isolation if one thinks one has the virus, buying a stock to cover such a period is not unreasonable.

So what's that, 2 rolls?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: sunburywhite on March 07, 2020, 07:08:20 PM
Become a muslim, all you do is wash your ar5e

Saves a fortune
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 08, 2020, 03:36:24 AM
I remember using newspaper  when  we ran out when I was a kid.
I suppose it wasn't any worse than that hard,  waxy stuff you used to get in school and public toilets.

Our local supermarket has also run out of  toilet roll and soap.

Govt remarks telling people no need to stockpile seemed to make people think that  really there was.

There definitely seems an element of hysteria in the  response to this virus - which is only causes a minor illness in most  affected people, and  only fatalities in a small minority of people with already weakened immunity.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 08, 2020, 07:28:56 AM
I wonder if these selfish stockpilers everywhere have taken a minute to think about some poor OAP somewhere who does a weekly shop and finds that shelves are empty of certain items.
Some without transport to go to other stores,or in an area where they have only one shop.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 08, 2020, 08:04:00 AM
"So what's that, 2 rolls?"

Yes, if you live on your own and don't eat.


Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Motspur Park on March 08, 2020, 08:29:31 AM
I absolutely hate the selfish and reckless actions of the stockpilers. There is absolutely no reason for their actions. It is not even that there is a shortage of the materials for toilet rolls, just a consequence of hearing that shops are running short on social media and then acting selfishly.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 08, 2020, 09:09:08 AM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 08, 2020, 08:04:00 AM
"So what's that, 2 rolls?"

Yes, if you live on your own and don't eat.

A roll is 400 sheets, so "a roll a week" means "57 sheets a day" or "28 sheets per movement". No wonder the world has an environment and obesity problems, we need to consume only what we need whether it's toilet paper or food.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 08, 2020, 09:43:10 AM
"we need to consume only what we need"

That's either a truism or, I suspect, a rather gloomy moral injunction that if taken seriously would ensure much of the world lived in much greater poverty than too many do anyway. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: G_Gribby on March 08, 2020, 09:43:36 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 08, 2020, 03:36:24 AM
I remember using newspaper  when  we ran out when I was a kid.
I suppose it wasn't any worse than that hard,  waxy stuff you used to get in school and public toilets.

Our local supermarket has also run out of  toilet roll and soap.

Govt remarks telling people no need to stockpile seemed to make people think that  really there was.

There definitely seems an element of hysteria in the  response to this virus - which is only causes a minor illness in most  affected people, and  only fatalities in a small minority of people with already weakened immunity.

Maybe The Sun could be a proper weapon in the fight against the corona-virus?

:023:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 08, 2020, 09:57:55 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 08, 2020, 09:09:08 AM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 08, 2020, 08:04:00 AM
"So what's that, 2 rolls?"

Yes, if you live on your own and don't eat.

A roll is 400 sheets, so "a roll a week" means "57 sheets a day" or "28 sheets per movement". No wonder the world has an environment and obesity problems, we need to consume only what we need whether it's toilet paper or food.

According to this article, Americans use an average of 23.6 rolls per person per year, so 0.9 rolls a fortnight.
https://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/26/science/earth/26charmin.html

So for a couple living together, eating normally, 2 rolls should be enough for a fortnight. Large families could be forgiven for buying a 4- or 8-pack perhaps.

If you run out, I can confirm from personal experience that kitchen roll is a viable alternative, as is using the shower as a bidet.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on March 08, 2020, 12:02:58 PM
I've got a cold, perhaps I should tell my boss I'm self isolating for a couple of weeks so I can fully enjoy the pack of toilet rolls I purchased on Friday night?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 08, 2020, 12:06:56 PM
Who would have thought this thread would end up talking crap  064.gif.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 08, 2020, 12:08:18 PM
Still at least all the posts are getting g to the bottom of it  064.gif. Somebody stop me please 064.gif
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 08, 2020, 01:38:13 PM
Here is how Taiwan managed the threat of COVID-19.

Taiwan is 81 miles off Mainland China. It is a highly urbanized state of 24 million people with an extremely high population density. It is also one of the first places where the new Coronavirus epidemic manifested itself. All things considered Taiwan was expected to have the highest number of cases outside China, and yet Taiwan successfully managed to avoid an uncontrolled outbreak and only has 44 confirmed cases.

Less than one year after the SARS outbreak, a National Health Command Center (NHCC) was established. The NHCC is meant to serve as a disaster management center command point.  People were notified on the basis of risk (by vulnerability) to watch out for evidence of infection using very basic intelligence data. 

Does this help suffolkwhite?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 08, 2020, 03:47:37 PM
Interesting!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 08, 2020, 09:59:21 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 08, 2020, 01:38:13 PM
Here is how Taiwan managed the threat of COVID-19.

Taiwan is 81 miles off Mainland China. It is a highly urbanized state of 24 million people with an extremely high population density. It is also one of the first places where the new Coronavirus epidemic manifested itself. All things considered Taiwan was expected to have the highest number of cases outside China, and yet Taiwan successfully managed to avoid an uncontrolled outbreak and only has 44 confirmed cases.

Less than one year after the SARS outbreak, a National Health Command Center (NHCC) was established. The NHCC is meant to serve as a disaster management center command point.  People were notified on the basis of risk (by vulnerability) to watch out for evidence of infection using very basic intelligence data. 

Does this help suffolkwhite?

Singapore and Taiwan responses have been amazing and successful. Unfortunately, Italy's response has been a hopeless undereaction. The WHO organisation has announced Italy has exceeded China as the worst outbreak of coronavirus in percentage terms. The question is whether the UK response is similar to Singapore or Milan, coronavirus panic is going to be much higher in a few weeks unless Milan gain control.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 08, 2020, 11:58:09 PM
Where I live at Christmas when the shops shut for 1 day we have so much panic buying that the UN brings in donations from African countries to tide us over. You would be amazed at the sort of things that get snapped up until there is none left, things that normally no one in my town eats. Saying that, I went to Aldi the other night and they had loo roll...so I filled the car with it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on March 09, 2020, 01:03:59 AM
It's  a kind of insanity. I have already torn up newspaper into 4 inch squares to put on a nail at the appropriate time situated in the bathroom. I may not use the paper. As it was a copy of the Sun that I tore up. I think the Financial Times might be more appropriate
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 02:53:22 AM
The insanity is we are not doing enough like restriction of airports, churches and stadiums. Milan (unlike Singapore) failed to contain coronavirus and its going to be bad there, London needs to think about a partial lockdown, the NHS is at its absolute limits in March, many many lives will be saved if worst of the outbreak can be delayed until May to August, when the NHS can cope better, people's immunity is higher and people can open windows.

A delay of a few weeks could add a few years to the lives of 000s and 000s of people. The data over the weekend from Milan is scary, it's so terrible they are going to be hit in March and not April as expected 72 hours ago. I predict that Fulham vs Brentford is the last game at Craven Cottage with fans this season, but we probably should do it now.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 09, 2020, 07:15:06 AM
"One Flu Over The Cuckoo's Nest"
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 09, 2020, 01:06:49 PM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 02:53:22 AM
The insanity is we are not doing enough like restriction of airports, churches and stadiums. Milan (unlike Singapore) failed to contain coronavirus and its going to be bad there, London needs to think about a partial lockdown, the NHS is at its absolute limits in March, many many lives will be saved if worst of the outbreak can be delayed until May to August, when the NHS can cope better, people's immunity is higher and people can open windows.

A delay of a few weeks could add a few years to the lives of 000s and 000s of people. The data over the weekend from Milan is scary, it's so terrible they are going to be hit in March and not April as expected 72 hours ago. I predict that Fulham vs Brentford is the last game at Craven Cottage with fans this season, but we probably should do it now.

Airport restrictions? What, like they did in Italy? That worked well for them, didn't it.
I'd also query whether banning crowds at football stadiums would help, when it generally just transfers people from an open space (the stadium) to an enclosed space (the pub).
And what would a "partial lockdown" of London look like? Would it be like Italy where we take one half of the population and one half of our hospitals, and say you lot will get coronavirus, and the other half will be fine? Even that would have to overlook the fact that (a) massive quarantines like those just implemented in Italy are virtually unenforceable, and (b) that the cases we (and Italy) have are already spread to most parts of the country, making large-scale quarantine pretty pointless anyway.   
I predict the approach in this country will be keep calm and carry on.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 09, 2020, 02:31:35 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 09, 2020, 01:06:49 PM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 02:53:22 AM
The insanity is we are not doing enough like restriction of airports, churches and stadiums. Milan (unlike Singapore) failed to contain coronavirus and its going to be bad there, London needs to think about a partial lockdown, the NHS is at its absolute limits in March, many many lives will be saved if worst of the outbreak can be delayed until May to August, when the NHS can cope better, people's immunity is higher and people can open windows.

A delay of a few weeks could add a few years to the lives of 000s and 000s of people. The data over the weekend from Milan is scary, it's so terrible they are going to be hit in March and not April as expected 72 hours ago. I predict that Fulham vs Brentford is the last game at Craven Cottage with fans this season, but we probably should do it now.

Airport restrictions? What, like they did in Italy? That worked well for them, didn't it.
I'd also query whether banning crowds at football stadiums would help, when it generally just transfers people from an open space (the stadium) to an enclosed space (the pub).
And what would a "partial lockdown" of London look like? Would it be like Italy where we take one half of the population and one half of our hospitals, and say you lot will get coronavirus, and the other half will be fine? Even that would have to overlook the fact that (a) massive quarantines like those just implemented in Italy are virtually unenforceable, and (b) that the cases we (and Italy) have are already spread to most parts of the country, making large-scale quarantine pretty pointless anyway.   
I predict the approach in this country will be keep calm and carry on.

I predict in two weeks' time we'll be where Italy is now with medical staff and services heavily overstretched. I hope I'm wrong.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 09, 2020, 02:39:24 PM
all this trouble because some Chinese person
ordered a BAT and PANGOLIN BAGUETTE for lunch.
in future just stick too good old fashioned cheese and onion.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on March 09, 2020, 02:42:16 PM
we're moving into uncharted territory nothing will stop that now short of going home tonight and staying in for 3 weeks alone. That's not possible. So let's not bother it's party time get out the booze and party
Please note the above comments are a joke
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 09, 2020, 02:51:04 PM
I have some toilet rolls for sale,
only used once.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............

Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.

It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............

Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.

It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.

If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans". 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 04:05:57 PM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............

Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.

It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.

If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans". 

Does any club? Really, behind token gestures and social media cosying? Not really.

See also; our scandalous pricing last season (and the fallout from that) and loads of other evidence that you can find easily enough. The game has changed, match day income and so on is such a minor part of the clubs finances that their priorities are elsewhere.

Sad but true.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 09, 2020, 04:13:33 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 04:05:57 PM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............

Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.

It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.

If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans". 

Does any club? Really, behind token gestures and social media cosying? Not really.

See also; our scandalous pricing last season (and the fallout from that) and loads of other evidence that you can find easily enough. The game has changed, match day income and so on is such a minor part of the clubs finances that their priorities are elsewhere.

Sad but true.

I agree with what you say, though the smaller clubs still do depend on their fanbase for merchandise sales more than ticket sales each season.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 04:23:35 PM
Quote from: Logicalman on March 09, 2020, 04:13:33 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 04:05:57 PM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............

Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.

It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.

If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans". 

Does any club? Really, behind token gestures and social media cosying? Not really.

See also; our scandalous pricing last season (and the fallout from that) and loads of other evidence that you can find easily enough. The game has changed, match day income and so on is such a minor part of the clubs finances that their priorities are elsewhere.

Sad but true.

I agree with what you say, though the smaller clubs still do depend on their fanbase for merchandise sales more than ticket sales each season.

To some extent, yeah, but even then - some would view merchandise and the constant changing of shirts, etc, etc, as a form of fan exploitation.

Anyway, I think it's all getting a bit deep. I didn't mean that we are bad, the opposite, we sill retain a small 'family vibe' in some ways and so on. But I really don't think the club at any level view the FST meetings as anything other than a necessary evil. I don't think Ali Mack pops it in his diary with anything other than a roll of the eyes (and his stock, give nothing away, marketing answers back that up).

And, to be fair, that is probably how it should be. Why should they give anything away, beyond what they would to the general public, in this meetings? In theory, it's a great idea but in reality, it's a box ticking marketing exercise for the club.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Montague on March 09, 2020, 04:25:06 PM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............

Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.

It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.

If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".

If this meeting was to take place at Motspur Park then is doesn't have anything to do with respect for fans
MP is on restricted access as a precaution against Coronavirus entering or spreading through the training facility - Out of bounds to non essential staff (all visitors) unless absolutely necessary.
Won't get past reception otherwise.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MJG on March 09, 2020, 06:27:59 PM
Quote from: Montague on March 09, 2020, 04:25:06 PM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............

Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.

It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.

If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".

If this meeting was to take place at Motspur Park then is doesn't have anything to do with respect for fans
MP is on restricted access as a precaution against Coronavirus entering or spreading through the training facility - Out of bounds to non essential staff (all visitors) unless absolutely necessary.
Won't get past reception otherwise.
This is right, so dont read anything into apart from club taking precautions.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 09, 2020, 10:38:42 PM
Serie A now suspended completely.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 11:09:03 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 09, 2020, 10:38:42 PM
Serie A now suspended completely.

The Championship will be doing the same soon, the only solution is the one used in Wuhan. In time, the olympics will be cancelled too.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 11:57:56 PM
Quote from: MJG on March 09, 2020, 06:27:59 PM
Quote from: Montague on March 09, 2020, 04:25:06 PM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine,  if they don't...............

Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.

It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.

If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".

If this meeting was to take place at Motspur Park then is doesn't have anything to do with respect for fans
MP is on restricted access as a precaution against Coronavirus entering or spreading through the training facility - Out of bounds to non essential staff (all visitors) unless absolutely necessary.
Won't get past reception otherwise.
This is right, so dont read anything into apart from club taking precautions.
Thanks Mike.  Makes sense.  Don't want a virus ripping through the training ground. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on March 10, 2020, 12:13:37 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 11:09:03 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 09, 2020, 10:38:42 PM
Serie A now suspended completely.

The Championship will be doing the same soon, the only solution is the one used in Wuhan. In time, the olympics will be cancelled too.
Eventually it will be the reason for a delay in Brexit negotiations.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 10, 2020, 01:54:54 AM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on March 10, 2020, 12:13:37 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 11:09:03 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 09, 2020, 10:38:42 PM
Serie A now suspended completely.

The Championship will be doing the same soon, the only solution is the one used in Wuhan. In time, the olympics will be cancelled too.
Eventually it will be the reason for a delay in Brexit negotiations.

It could speed up the Brexit Exit. The UK has the most testing outside South Korea and Italy, so now can control our borders.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on March 10, 2020, 05:40:07 AM
Other side effects are likely to include a spike in pregnancies and divorces as people are forced to stay home more..
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 10, 2020, 07:51:28 AM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on March 10, 2020, 05:40:07 AM
Other side effects are likely to include a spike in pregnancies and divorces as people are forced to stay home more..

Look on the brightside after this is all over they'll be a lot of singles hitting the pubs and bars in search of romance. Might just save a few pubs in the process.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 10, 2020, 10:46:04 AM
The decision to delay closing schools and introduce other strict measures to combat coronavirus has been defended by England's deputy chief medical officer.

Dr Jenny Harries said experts are assessing new cases on an hourly basis to achieve a "balanced response".

She told BBC Breakfast new measures could follow as UK cases begin to rise rapidly over the next two weeks.

In the UK, five people with the virus have died. There were 319 confirmed cases as of 09:00 GMT on Monday.

Dr Harries said the vast majority of those diagnosed with coronavirus in Britain are "pretty well" but that they may "feel a bit rough for a few days".

She added: "Within 10-14 days we will be likely to advise people with symptoms to self-isolate and we are expecting that start of the peak [of coronavirus cases] to come during that period."

Dr Harries said cancelling big outdoor events like football matches would not necessarily be a decision supported by science.

"The virus will not survive very long outside," she said. "Many outdoor events, particularly, are relatively safe."   

Moral: Stay panic, don't calm. :022:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 10, 2020, 10:57:23 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 10, 2020, 10:46:04 AM
The decision to delay closing schools and introduce other strict measures to combat coronavirus has been defended by England's deputy chief medical officer.

Dr Jenny Harries said experts are assessing new cases on an hourly basis to achieve a "balanced response".

She told BBC Breakfast new measures could follow as UK cases begin to rise rapidly over the next two weeks.

In the UK, five people with the virus have died. There were 319 confirmed cases as of 09:00 GMT on Monday.

Dr Harries said the vast majority of those diagnosed with coronavirus in Britain are "pretty well" but that they may "feel a bit rough for a few days".

She added: "Within 10-14 days we will be likely to advise people with symptoms to self-isolate and we are expecting that start of the peak [of coronavirus cases] to come during that period."

Dr Harries said cancelling big outdoor events like football matches would not necessarily be a decision supported by science.

"The virus will not survive very long outside," she said. "Many outdoor events, particularly, are relatively safe."   

Moral: Stay panic, don't calm. :022:
all this doesn't really help, as other professors claim that the virus struggles in warm dry places as moisture helps it thrive
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 10, 2020, 11:06:44 AM
The 5 deaths here have been old people with serious health issues already.
Have a double brandy before bed and you'll be fine🍷
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 10, 2020, 11:48:13 AM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 10, 2020, 10:57:23 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 10, 2020, 10:46:04 AM
The decision to delay closing schools and introduce other strict measures to combat coronavirus has been defended by England's deputy chief medical officer.

Dr Jenny Harries said experts are assessing new cases on an hourly basis to achieve a "balanced response".

She told BBC Breakfast new measures could follow as UK cases begin to rise rapidly over the next two weeks.

In the UK, five people with the virus have died. There were 319 confirmed cases as of 09:00 GMT on Monday.

Dr Harries said the vast majority of those diagnosed with coronavirus in Britain are "pretty well" but that they may "feel a bit rough for a few days".

She added: "Within 10-14 days we will be likely to advise people with symptoms to self-isolate and we are expecting that start of the peak [of coronavirus cases] to come during that period."

Dr Harries said cancelling big outdoor events like football matches would not necessarily be a decision supported by science.

"The virus will not survive very long outside," she said. "Many outdoor events, particularly, are relatively safe."   

Moral: Stay panic, don't calm. :022:
all this doesn't really help, as other professors claim that the virus struggles in warm dry places as moisture helps it thrive
Check the weather on Friday afternoon. If it's clear and mild you should be OK. If it's raining, stay at home. If anyone approaches your home, spray sanitiser at them through the letterbox before opening the door.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: LittleErn on March 10, 2020, 12:02:37 PM
I apologise if anyone has already made the following point -  have neither the time nor inclination to read through 9 pages of comments- but, if games are to be played  behind closed doors, perhaps the broadcasting regulations should be eased to allow clubs to sell TV games to their own supporters even if they are on some other platform (Sky or BT etc.).  That would at least give the clubs some revenue to offset the loss of gate receipts.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: sunburywhite on March 10, 2020, 12:33:59 PM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?

How does he know he caught it at the Millwall game. Could have been at the Golf Club
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Riverside on March 10, 2020, 12:34:25 PM
Matches in Spain's top two divisions will be played behind closed doors for at least the next two weeks because of coronavirus concerns.

The change will take effect from Tuesday, with fans now banned from the game between Eibar and Real Sociedad.

La Liga acted on guidance from Spain's ministry of health and the country's sports council.

Barcelona's Champions League match against Napoli on 18 March will also be played at an empty Nou Camp.

"The decision has been made strictly for health reasons," said Joan Guix, Catalunya government's health chief.

It is the second Spanish-Italian Champions League fixture at which supporters have been banned, following Valencia versus Atalanta on Tuesday.

Sevilla's match against Roma and Getafe's game with Inter Milan in the Europa League have suffered the same fate.

Paris St-Germain's Champions League match against Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday will also be closed to fans.

All sport in Italy has been suspended until at least 3 April because of coronavirus. The ruling includes Serie A matches but not Italian clubs or national teams participating in international competitions.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 12:36:41 PM
Quote from: sunburywhite on March 10, 2020, 12:33:59 PM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?

How does he know he caught it at the Millwall game. Could have been at the Golf Club

No no, thats not the point. The point is whether or not he had it during that time. Think of all the hands he shook, he wouldve visited the dressing room, he took pictures with fans.

He also is the owner of Olympiakos whom he spends alot of time with and theyre due to play Wolves.

The point is how much potential there is from one man to spread the virus and how will the FA respond.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 10, 2020, 12:37:21 PM
Quote from: sunburywhite on March 10, 2020, 12:33:59 PM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?

How does he know he caught it at the Millwall game. Could have been at the Golf Club
it never mentioned where he got it, just where he had been
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: sunburywhite on March 10, 2020, 12:51:07 PM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 12:36:41 PM
Quote from: sunburywhite on March 10, 2020, 12:33:59 PM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?

Millwall Forest was only 4 days ago and the virus takes 10-14 to come out so it was probably the week before that he contracted it

How does he know he caught it at the Millwall game. Could have been at the Golf Club

No no, thats not the point. The point is whether or not he had it during that time. Think of all the hands he shook, he wouldve visited the dressing room, he took pictures with fans.

He also is the owner of Olympiakos whom he spends alot of time with and theyre due to play Wolves.

The point is how much potential there is from one man to spread the virus and how will the FA respond.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 10, 2020, 01:08:49 PM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?

All it proves is that someone at a football match had coronavirus. Which was statistically likely given about 1 in every 200,000 people in the UK are already known to have it, many more are presumed to have it, and about 500,000 people go to football every weekend. Doesn't prove much else.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Quinzel on March 10, 2020, 01:29:03 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 10, 2020, 01:08:49 PM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?

All it proves is that someone at a football match had coronavirus. Which was statistically likely given about 1 in every 200,000 people in the UK are already known to have it, many more are presumed to have it, and about 500,000 people go to football every weekend. Doesn't prove much else.

He accessed the changing rooms and was with the players. Which means if one of the players tests positive, the next can of worms has been opened.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PM
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,

To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamfan on March 10, 2020, 03:04:28 PM
Will Leeds v Fulham be played behind closed doors? Ive spent money on a hotel for the night was gonna make a little holiday out of it
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Bill2 on March 10, 2020, 03:07:02 PM
Quote from: bobbo on March 01, 2020, 04:13:26 PM
Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PM
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
great reply . The media don't know where their next feeding frenzy will be. brexit, Harry and Megan,the poor love island girl . They rarely latch on to good news and keep shovelling it out to us.

Not denying it's serious but it's being rammed down our throats many times during news bulletins.
Always said that bad news is good news which is why you rarely see anything to cheer about on the front page.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Bill2 on March 10, 2020, 03:08:15 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 10, 2020, 03:04:28 PM
Will Leeds v Fulham be played behind closed doors? Ive spent money on a hotel for the night was gonna make a little holiday out of it
Am going to buy my ticket today, but due to potential cancellation have decided to go on Club coach.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 10, 2020, 03:40:44 PM
Quote from: Bill2 on March 10, 2020, 03:07:02 PM
Quote from: bobbo on March 01, 2020, 04:13:26 PM
Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PM
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
great reply . The media don't know where their next feeding frenzy will be. brexit, Harry and Megan,the poor love island girl . They rarely latch on to good news and keep shovelling it out to us.

Not denying it's serious but it's being rammed down our throats many times during news bulletins.
Always said that bad news is good news which is why you rarely see anything to cheer about on the front page.

Anyone thinking it's just the newspapers need look no further than the reports from Italian doctors which are seriously worrying. We must hope that it doesn't get as bad here.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Cornishnick on March 10, 2020, 04:10:40 PM
Quote from: Bill2 on March 10, 2020, 03:08:15 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 10, 2020, 03:04:28 PM
Will Leeds v Fulham be played behind closed doors? Ive spent money on a hotel for the night was gonna make a little holiday out of it
Am going to buy my ticket today, but due to potential cancellation have decided to go on Club coach.
You're going on holiday to Leeds !!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PM
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,

To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Why do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 04:33:50 PM
Quote from: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PM
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,

To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Why do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.

**** off !
Every time I post you immediately assume there is an ulterior motive, my point is a valid one, have we established contact with The E.F.L  to establish what would happen in the event of the season not running it's true course,
Now calm yourself down, get your head together and explain to me how that is digging the club out ?
If I want to give examples of digging the club, the team and the manager out I'll just retweet some of your tweets.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 10, 2020, 05:08:00 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 04:33:50 PM
Quote from: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PM
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,

To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Why do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.

**** off !
Every time I post you immediately assume there is an ulterior motive, my point is a valid one, have we established contact with The E.F.L  to establish what would happen in the event of the season not running it's true course,
Now calm yourself down, get your head together and explain to me how that is digging the club out ?
If I want to give examples of digging the club, the team and the manager out I'll just retweet some of your tweets.
I find it VERY hard to believe that there is not frequent communication between EFL and all clubs on this topic.  A few days ago, this was published.

EFL Statement: Coronavirus update
6 March 2020
As a result of the ongoing concerns posed the by Coronavirus outbreak and following specific medical advice, the Fair Play handshake between players and match officials will not take place at this weekend's EFL matches and until further notice.

Whilst the Government guidance does remain unchanged, a decision has been taken on medical advice and as a precautionary measure. 

Matchday operations at EFL grounds are set to continue this weekend with Clubs being advised to take appropriate prevention measures as per the Government guidance.

It is understood, however, that individual Clubs may take decisions at a local level to help mitigate the risk of the virus spreading further ahead of this weekend's matches.

The EFL continues to remain in regular dialogue with the Government regarding the ongoing developments and is being appraised on a regular basis of developments that could potentially impact our Clubs and Competitions

We will continue to provide EFL Clubs with updates and advice as it is issued to ensure that they have all the relevant up-to date information so that they can continue to advise their players, staff and supporters.

These matters are subject to constant change and we will update as appropriate.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamfan on March 10, 2020, 05:10:09 PM
Quote from: Cornishnick on March 10, 2020, 04:10:40 PM
Quote from: Bill2 on March 10, 2020, 03:08:15 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 10, 2020, 03:04:28 PM
Will Leeds v Fulham be played behind closed doors? Ive spent money on a hotel for the night was gonna make a little holiday out of it
Am going to buy my ticket today, but due to potential cancellation have decided to go on Club coach.
You're going on holiday to Leeds !!
yep
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MJG on March 10, 2020, 05:13:33 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 04:33:50 PM
Quote from: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PM
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,

To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Why do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.

**** off !
Every time I post you immediately assume there is an ulterior motive, my point is a valid one, have we established contact with The E.F.L  to establish what would happen in the event of the season not running it's true course,
Now calm yourself down, get your head together and explain to me how that is digging the club out ?
If I want to give examples of digging the club, the team and the manager out I'll just retweet some of your tweets.
charming
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 10, 2020, 05:28:22 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 10, 2020, 05:08:00 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 04:33:50 PM
Quote from: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PM
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,

To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Why do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.

**** off !
Every time I post you immediately assume there is an ulterior motive, my point is a valid one, have we established contact with The E.F.L  to establish what would happen in the event of the season not running it's true course,
Now calm yourself down, get your head together and explain to me how that is digging the club out ?
If I want to give examples of digging the club, the team and the manager out I'll just retweet some of your tweets.
I find it VERY hard to believe that there is not frequent communication between EFL and all clubs on this topic.  A few days ago, this was published.

EFL Statement: Coronavirus update
6 March 2020
As a result of the ongoing concerns posed the by Coronavirus outbreak and following specific medical advice, the Fair Play handshake between players and match officials will not take place at this weekend's EFL matches and until further notice.

Whilst the Government guidance does remain unchanged, a decision has been taken on medical advice and as a precautionary measure. 

Matchday operations at EFL grounds are set to continue this weekend with Clubs being advised to take appropriate prevention measures as per the Government guidance.

It is understood, however, that individual Clubs may take decisions at a local level to help mitigate the risk of the virus spreading further ahead of this weekend's matches.

The EFL continues to remain in regular dialogue with the Government regarding the ongoing developments and is being appraised on a regular basis of developments that could potentially impact our Clubs and Competitions

We will continue to provide EFL Clubs with updates and advice as it is issued to ensure that they have all the relevant up-to date information so that they can continue to advise their players, staff and supporters.

These matters are subject to constant change and we will update as appropriate.


id imagine it's a who blinks first type of situation. Whoever finally makes the decision, I believe it can come from uefa, fa hmg or the club ( I'm rulling the police out of this) and I'm not even sure the efl has the power, will possibly open themselves up to legal cases, so all will be hoping that someone else does it
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 10, 2020, 05:29:42 PM
One person in a football crowd of 30,000 say, isn't going to give it to the whole crowd,maybe the unlucky person. sat next.
You've got same chance of getting it off of someone talking to them on street or in Supermarket.
As that Doc has said there is no need to cancel outdoor events.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 10, 2020, 06:02:47 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 10, 2020, 05:29:42 PM
One person in a football crowd of 30,000 say, isn't going to give it to the whole crowd,maybe the unlucky person. sat next.
You've got same chance of getting it off of someone talking to them on street or in Supermarket.
As that Doc has said there is no need to cancel outdoor events.

Exactly. By virtue of being an open air venue, a stadium probably gives rise to less risk of transmission than a car, train, office, supermarket, gym, pub, restaurant etc. So unless you're going to ban all those things for the 1-2 years it takes to develop a vaccine, what's the point in playing football matches behind closed doors? People need to listen what the UK authorities are saying - they've clearly decided it is inevitable that this thing is going to spread, and whilst they might implement measures to soften the peak of an outbreak, they're not going to go full drama like the Italians.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 10, 2020, 10:38:36 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 10, 2020, 06:02:47 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 10, 2020, 05:29:42 PM
One person in a football crowd of 30,000 say, isn't going to give it to the whole crowd,maybe the unlucky person. sat next.
You've got same chance of getting it off of someone talking to them on street or in Supermarket.
As that Doc has said there is no need to cancel outdoor events.

Exactly. By virtue of being an open air venue, a stadium probably gives rise to less risk of transmission than a car, train, office, supermarket, gym, pub, restaurant etc. So unless you're going to ban all those things for the 1-2 years it takes to develop a vaccine, what's the point in playing football matches behind closed doors? People need to listen what the UK authorities are saying - they've clearly decided it is inevitable that this thing is going to spread, and whilst they might implement measures to soften the peak of an outbreak, they're not going to go full drama like the Italians.

Let us not forget that 4,000 people caught the virus at a MegaChurch in South Korea, each person spread it to 17 more and each of them spread it to 17 more. The major problem is so many people are dependent on the NHS to stay alive, but they didn't have enough staff and machines for last years flu, so people won't get treated. No toilet rolls doesn't matter, but not enough doctors is a major crisis and no life support machines help.

The figures in the last 8 hours from the World Health Orgainsation were very good for Asia and very bad for Europe. Either we find a way to test millions of people or a total shutdown of airports stadiums, bars, gyms and restaurants will be the only solution in a couple of weeks. If Charing Cross Hospital asks Fulham vs Brentford not to have spectators, then I am sure the two teams will say yes. A major crisis at that hospital is happening and they know it. As a kid, older people talked about "Bedlam Hospital" in south-west london being horrific, so bad "Bedlam" is a word in the english language.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 10, 2020, 10:52:43 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51827356

Health Minister and Conservative MP Nadine Dorries tests Positivie.for Cvirus.



Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 10, 2020, 10:56:09 PM
"People need to listen what the UK authorities are saying - they've clearly decided it is inevitable that this thing is going to spread, and whilst they might implement measures to soften the peak of an outbreak, they're not going to go full drama like the Italians." 

"Either we find a way to test millions of people or a total shutdown of airports stadiums, bars, gyms and restaurants will be the only solution in a couple of weeks."

Two very different views. By the end of the month we'll know which one will prove to be correct (as there won't be millions of tests being administered by then). The former way more likely in my view.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 10, 2020, 10:57:46 PM
This guy has gainied a large following world wide, recently...


Dr. John Campbell, giving measured and educated daily updates about Cvirus, I only  discovered him the other day when folk were criticising Trump and Johnson's reactions,  and said this guy was giving much better information. He seems on the case to me...

In this video he focuses on some China cases first, but then opens out to various issues with it, and criticises Cheltenham Festival going ahead, but praises Ireland for cancelling St Patricks Day events,.that kind of thing.

https://youtu.be/FZV9z0RVhy4

Personally, I wouldn't go to any large gatherings or crowds now, and will be wearing disposable gloves when on public transport.. we are at a rather crucial point now
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 11, 2020, 12:14:53 AM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 10, 2020, 10:57:46 PM
This guy has gainied a large following world wide, recently...


Dr. John Campbell, giving measured and educated daily updates about Cvirus, I only  discovered him the other day when folk were criticising Trump and Johnson's reactions,  and said this guy was giving much better information. He seems on the case to me...

In this video he focuses on some China cases first, but then opens out to various issues with it, and criticises Cheltenham Festival going ahead, but praises Ireland for cancelling St Patricks Day events,.that kind of thing.

https://youtu.be/FZV9z0RVhy4

Personally, I wouldn't go to any large gatherings or crowds now, and will be wearing disposable gloves when on public transport.. we are at a rather crucial point now
Thanks for sharing. Very interesting good to hear a balanced view of what's Happening.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Jurassic Parker on March 11, 2020, 12:53:05 AM
Manchester City v Arsenal postponed

Hate to say I called it but I did say early in the thread that Wolves and Olympiakis owner getting Coronavirus will make the FA take action.

The game is postponed for testing as Arsenal recently played Olympiakos.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 11, 2020, 02:46:59 AM
Quote from: Ged on March 11, 2020, 12:14:53 AM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 10, 2020, 10:57:46 PM
This guy has gainied a large following world wide, recently...


Dr. John Campbell, giving measured and educated daily updates about Cvirus, I only  discovered him the other day when folk were criticising Trump and Johnson's reactions,  and said this guy was giving much better information. He seems on the case to me...

In this video he focuses on some China cases first, but then opens out to various issues with it, and criticises Cheltenham Festival going ahead, but praises Ireland for cancelling St Patricks Day events,.that kind of thing.

https://youtu.be/FZV9z0RVhy4

Personally, I wouldn't go to any large gatherings or crowds now, and will be wearing disposable gloves when on public transport.. we are at a rather crucial point now
Thanks for sharing. Very interesting good to hear a balanced view of what's Happening.

I am sharing it around as much as possible, much better coverage than much of the media at present.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 11, 2020, 04:51:54 AM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 11, 2020, 02:46:59 AM
Quote from: Ged on March 11, 2020, 12:14:53 AM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 10, 2020, 10:57:46 PM
This guy has gainied a large following world wide, recently...


Dr. John Campbell, giving measured and educated daily updates about Cvirus, I only  discovered him the other day when folk were criticising Trump and Johnson's reactions,  and said this guy was giving much better information. He seems on the case to me...

In this video he focuses on some China cases first, but then opens out to various issues with it, and criticises Cheltenham Festival going ahead, but praises Ireland for cancelling St Patricks Day events,.that kind of thing.

https://youtu.be/FZV9z0RVhy4

Personally, I wouldn't go to any large gatherings or crowds now, and will be wearing disposable gloves when on public transport.. we are at a rather crucial point now
Thanks for sharing. Very interesting good to hear a balanced view of what's Happening.

I am sharing it around as much as possible, much better coverage than much of the media at present.

Spot on. The UK must stop assuming China is lying, producing fake news and unclean.

How can we even consider have a football game when 7,400 got infected through multiple church meetings, which is similar to a stadium?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: flyingfish on March 11, 2020, 07:03:44 AM
Think within a week we are going to see drastic measures. Many private companies are taking their own steps to protect staff (ie their assets) and so home working erc will become the norm for those able t. brentford game will be last home game this season with a crowd imo.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AM
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel  the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 11, 2020, 07:58:33 AM
Personally I blame all these Vap smokers,blowing their crap over everyone as they walk down the street.😣
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fulham 442 on March 11, 2020, 08:24:02 AM
Quote from: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AM
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel  the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Good thinking!!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on March 11, 2020, 08:32:12 AM
I do agree about ending the season now and resolve what happens later
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on March 11, 2020, 08:50:56 AM
Is Friday nights game a government experiment? If you want to take part go to the game if not stay at home and watch it on the Television
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 11, 2020, 09:02:04 AM
Quote from: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AM
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel  the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Exactly the same occurred to me.  I think it is eminently sensible and fair. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 11, 2020, 09:22:28 AM
Quote from: Neil D on March 11, 2020, 09:02:04 AM
Quote from: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AM
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel  the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Exactly the same occurred to me.  I think it is eminently sensible and fair.


:yay: 064.gif   If only!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ronnief on March 11, 2020, 10:11:26 AM
Quote from: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AM
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel  the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Or forget this season. The leagues for next season stay the same and Liverpool will not be Champions. No promotion or relegation.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamfan on March 11, 2020, 10:18:51 AM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 11, 2020, 12:53:05 AM
Manchester City v Arsenal postponed

Hate to say I called it but I did say early in the thread that Wolves and Olympiakis owner getting Coronavirus will make the FA take action.

The game is postponed for testing as Arsenal recently played Olympiakos.



Arsenal played Portsmouth and West Ham after Olympiakos so are these teams cancelling their matches too?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 11, 2020, 10:31:38 AM
Quote from: flyingfish on March 11, 2020, 07:03:44 AM
Think within a week we are going to see drastic measures. Many private companies are taking their own steps to protect staff (ie their assets) and so home working erc will become the norm for those able t. brentford game will be last home game this season with a crowd imo.

Doctors in Italy are saying that we're where they were two weeks ago. It'll be interesting to see in a week's time how many contracted it at Cruft's and, in a fortnight, how many at Cheltenham races. That would provoke a belated response. Door, horse, bolt.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Jurassic Parker on March 11, 2020, 10:51:58 AM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 11, 2020, 10:18:51 AM
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 11, 2020, 12:53:05 AM
Manchester City v Arsenal postponed

Hate to say I called it but I did say early in the thread that Wolves and Olympiakis owner getting Coronavirus will make the FA take action.

The game is postponed for testing as Arsenal recently played Olympiakos.



Arsenal played Portsmouth and West Ham after Olympiakos so are these teams cancelling their matches too?

If any Arsenal players test positive then yes I imagine they will be!

And then the dominoes affect will be in full effect
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamfan on March 11, 2020, 10:54:58 AM
It's all a bit half arsed for me. Cheltenham still going on with quarter of a million people mingling together.
Government reaction has been poor
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 11, 2020, 11:02:07 AM
It all depends on the plan Government have, eg let everyone get it because it is too difficult to control Or quarantine everyone and go the way Italy have? Thing is if the Italy lock down does not work and they have a pandemic then what do you do?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on March 11, 2020, 11:26:17 AM
There are two options and which is better depends on when we get a vaccine. If we can get a vaccine before December then do everything humanly possible to stop the progression of the virus. If not available until after March 2021 let everyone catch it. We don't want this virus hitting at the same time as other viruses.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 11, 2020, 12:56:06 PM
All Forest players have been tested negative.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 11, 2020, 01:00:51 PM
The Navy while this is going on shouldn't be taking the people in these boats to our shores,they should take them back to France where they have left from,when they pick them up.
You don't know how many are carriers.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 11, 2020, 01:37:12 PM
Budget 2020

Watching a man married to a Billionaires daughter dishing out a few pennies to the poor and seemingly whose priority is that the Economy survives Coronavirus... Not so much the people.

That's why events such as football and Cheltenham are still going on (at the moment), money., That's it.... The should have stopped such gatherings and event things at least a week ago.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 11, 2020, 01:57:58 PM
This is from the editor of The Lancet: "The UK government—Matt Hancock and Boris Johnson—claim they are following the science. But that is not true. The evidence is clear. We need urgent implementation of social distancing and closure policies. The government is playing roulette with the public. This is a major error."
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 11, 2020, 02:02:31 PM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 11, 2020, 01:37:12 PM
Budget 2020

Watching a man married to a Billionaires daughter dishing out a few pennies to the poor and seemingly whose priority is that the Economy survives Coronavirus... Not so much the people.

That's why events such as football and Cheltenham are still going on (at the moment), money., That's it.... The should have stopped such gatherings and event things at least a week ago.

Why don't you just stop people out shopping and so on then...How many thousands are out and about in Oxford St  and the likes in London,and other major cities.No different to the crowds at Cheltenham or at a Footie match.
Let's all hide under the bed eh...Nonsense.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 11, 2020, 02:45:30 PM
UK. entry in Eurovision song contest is.
MY LAST BREATH very apt...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 11, 2020, 03:14:59 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 11, 2020, 02:45:30 PM
UK. entry in Eurovision song contest is.
MY LAST BREATH very apt...

Lol
Do we still go in for that,just go get no points from them countries that hate us.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 11, 2020, 04:30:10 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 11, 2020, 03:14:59 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 11, 2020, 02:45:30 PM
UK. entry in Eurovision song contest is.
MY LAST BREATH very apt...
unfortunately, because we pay for it, we get guaranteed entry every year.

Lol
Do we still go in for that,just go get no points from them countries that hate us.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 11, 2020, 05:44:40 PM
"This is from the editor of The Lancet"

Why on earth take the editor's view rather than that of the Chief Medical Officer and Chief Scientist? They are advising the Government to act in a way they regard as proportional to the risk as they evaluate it. No doubt if they judge that more measures are needed they will recommend them, and unlike numerous party hacks in the Commons (on both sides) they are not inhibited by hopes of  "promotion" but are highly competent professionals who have "made it" and would walk away in a heartbeat if their genuinely held assessments were being ignored by the Prime Minister and Health Secretary.



Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 11, 2020, 05:50:46 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 11, 2020, 05:44:40 PM
"This is from the editor of The Lancet"

Why on earth take the editor's view rather than that of the Chief Medical Officer and Chief Scientist? They are advising the Government to act in a way they regard as proportional to the risk as they evaluate it. No doubt if they judge that more measures are needed they will recommend them, and unlike numerous party hacks in the Commons (on both sides) they are not inhibited by hopes of  "promotion" but are highly competent professionals who have "made it" and would walk away in a heartbeat if their genuinely held assessments were being ignored by the Prime Minister and Health Secretary.





"Increasing divisions" inside UK govt on Coronavirus policy.

Govt medical advisors believe Boris Johnson has attached too great policy say to behavioural economists & "future strategists" favoured by Dominic Cummings....at the expense of traditional medical expertise.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 11, 2020, 06:08:35 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 11, 2020, 05:50:46 PM
Govt medical advisors believe Boris Johnson has attached too great policy say to behavioural economists & "future strategists" favoured by Dominic Cummings....at the expense of traditional medical expertise.

James O'Brien was talking about this on LBC today. Naturally he perceived it be some right-wing-ideology-driven thing that was going to get us all killed. Whereas to me it sounded perfectly reasonably, and actually entirely consistent with what the Chief Medical Officer told a parliamentary select committee last week, which is that if we implement drastic measures now, and they fail to contain the virus, people are less likely to listen and adhere to them in a few months' time, when the virus may be much more widespread. As I said up the thread, I think what's distressing most of the public at the moment is they think this thing can be contained, and want to see the government doing all they can to contain it, immediately. Whereas the government, along with the Chief Medical Officer (and today, Angela Merkel) have indicated that containment will not be possible for long, and seem to want to save the most drastic measures for a month's time, when instead of 80 cases per day we could be getting 80,000 or even 800,000, and will desparately need to pull these levers to flatten out the peak over many weeks or months and take the strain of the health service.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: southwest6 on March 11, 2020, 06:53:03 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 11, 2020, 05:44:40 PM
"This is from the editor of The Lancet"

Why on earth take the editor's view rather than that of the Chief Medical Officer and Chief Scientist? They are advising the Government to act in a way they regard as proportional to the risk as they evaluate it. No doubt if they judge that more measures are needed they will recommend them, and unlike numerous party hacks in the Commons (on both sides) they are not inhibited by hopes of  "promotion" but are highly competent professionals who have "made it" and would walk away in a heartbeat if their genuinely held assessments were being ignored by the Prime Minister and Health Secretary.

You clearly have no clue what the Lancet is. The Lancet is one of the top scientific journals out there and so one can only presume that the editor has access to information from the very best scientists in the field.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: southwest6 on March 11, 2020, 06:55:59 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 11, 2020, 06:08:35 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 11, 2020, 05:50:46 PM
Govt medical advisors believe Boris Johnson has attached too great policy say to behavioural economists & "future strategists" favoured by Dominic Cummings....at the expense of traditional medical expertise.

James O'Brien was talking about this on LBC today. Naturally he perceived it be some right-wing-ideology-driven thing that was going to get us all killed. Whereas to me it sounded perfectly reasonably, and actually entirely consistent with what the Chief Medical Officer told a parliamentary select committee last week, which is that if we implement drastic measures now, and they fail to contain the virus, people are less likely to listen and adhere to them in a few months' time, when the virus may be much more widespread. As I said up the thread, I think what's distressing most of the public at the moment is they think this thing can be contained, and want to see the government doing all they can to contain it, immediately. Whereas the government, along with the Chief Medical Officer (and today, Angela Merkel) have indicated that containment will not be possible for long, and seem to want to save the most drastic measures for a month's time, when instead of 80 cases per day we could be getting 80,000 or even 800,000, and will desparately need to pull these levers to flatten out the peak over many weeks or months and take the strain of the health service.

I really cannot stand O'Brien. I've met some perfectly reasonable marxists, however, he certainly ain't one of them. I found this article to be both very informative and also free of any bias, hysteria and so forth. If anyone is interested in reading it here's the link: https://dailynous.com/2020/03/09/thinking-rationally-coronavirus-covid-19-guest-post-alex-broadbent/
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 11, 2020, 08:06:46 PM
"You clearly have no clue what the Lancet is."

Giving worked for thirty years in the Department of Health and the NHS I am fully aware of what the Lancet is. And having worked with no less than five Chief Medical Officers I am fully aware of who they are and their quality. I have no doubt whatsoever whose advice should be followed.

re James O'Brien, so sad to see a basically clever man lose his mind because his preference for us to stay within the EU (of course widely shared) developed into a pathological obsession.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 11, 2020, 09:38:13 PM
Loony Leftie O'Brien has the right face for Radio and the wrong mind for Planet Earth. With the exception of North Korea, Cuba, Saudia Arabia and Venezuela.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: southwest6 on March 11, 2020, 11:07:31 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 11, 2020, 08:06:46 PM
"You clearly have no clue what the Lancet is."

Giving worked for thirty years in the Department of Health and the NHS I am fully aware of what the Lancet is. And having worked with no less than five Chief Medical Officers I am fully aware of who they are and their quality. I have no doubt whatsoever whose advice should be followed.

re James O'Brien, so sad to see a basically clever man lose his mind because his preference for us to stay within the EU (of course widely shared) developed into a pathological obsession.

My apologies for assuming that, although given your expertise i'm surprised that you would essentially render the advise of Lancet's editor as illegitimate!

And I agree re O'Brien. I do, however, think he is a classic case of someone who thinks they are smarter than they actually are. He is far too often overly condescending and patronising towards many of the callers. And if you disagree with him, he tends to either employ ad hominems or completely strawman the argument at hand. Or both.
A family member 'gifted' me his recent-ish book; I genuinely have no desire to read it. Perhaps someone can convince me. To me, he comes across as a very angry, bitter and arrogant man. I don't see how such a person (filled with so much hate) can show me ''how to be right'' or do the ''right thing''. Everything he does and what he represents must accord to a certain ideology... I personally find that quite sad (in the literal sense).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MikeTheCubed on March 12, 2020, 12:45:28 AM
James O'Brien: King of Smug. Every time I see his phone-ins all he seems to do with those he disagrees with is paraphrase them in the most condescending and out-of-context manner possible in order to smear them, and then either talk over them or change the subject when they attempt to correct him.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and  going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.

https://www.rmg.co.uk/discover/behind-the-scenes/blog/%C3%A2%E2%82%AC%CB%9Cgod-preserve-us-all%C3%A2%E2%82%AC%E2%84%A2-samuel-pepys-and-great-plague

Incidentally, just read a very funny satire on out social media age  by Ben Elton , Identity Crisis.
Just that a sub plot concerns a middle aged,  unfashionable actor, who reinvents himself starring in a stage show  of Pepys' Diaries - only thing the married  Pepys was a serial womaniser, and writes frankly in his diaries about this, and  the stage show is  suddenly  seen by social media as celebrating  the life of an abuser.....
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and  going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.


The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: love4ffc on March 12, 2020, 04:55:43 AM
Trump has informed US citizens that they have till Friday to get back to the States or risk being in a 30 day lockdown period.  Trump has announced after Friday the US will no longer allow people in from Europe except for England. 

My daughter has who went to Spain for spring break and are now sitting in Airports trying to figure how they can get back home. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:59:11 AM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 12, 2020, 04:55:43 AM
Trump has informed US citizens that they have till Friday to get back to the States or risk being in a 30 day lockdown period.  Trump has announced after Friday the US will no longer allow people in from Europe except for England.  My daughter has who went to Spain for spring break and are now sitting in Airports trying to figure how they can get back home.

History will praise Trump for that decision. The UK should do the same.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 05:12:41 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and  going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.


The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.


I didn't really intend to make a point about our current reaction to CoronaV - only that things were a lot different in those days. Well, life was far worse, and more precarious, in many ways.

But it is interesting to read about this, shows that there's nothing new about disease epidemics,and even in my lifetime various strains of Flu have killed many people - like just after WW2.

But I don't think  governments have any choice but to take this virus very seriously, though I do think there is an air of hysteria and panic.

Personally, I just think it is what it is - I  will accept  whatever the government does, well I don't have much choice, but will try to live  my life as normally as possible.

Although over 70, I'm very fit, and don''t feel vulnerable myself to it developing into a serious. life threatening condition, but am a bit worried about possibly passing it onto my wife, a cancer survivor - though she's generally very healthy. But we're both philosophical about things.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 06:57:40 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 05:12:41 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and  going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.


The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.


I didn't really intend to make a point about our current reaction to CoronaV - only that things were a lot different in those days. Well, life was far worse, and more precarious, in many ways.

But it is interesting to read about this, shows that there's nothing new about disease epidemics,and even in my lifetime various strains of Flu have killed many people - like just after WW2.

But I don't think  governments have any choice but to take this virus very seriously, though I do think there is an air of hysteria and panic.

Personally, I just think it is what it is - I  will accept  whatever the government does, well I don't have much choice, but will try to live  my life as normally as possible.

Although over 70, I'm very fit, and don''t feel vulnerable myself, but am a bit worried about possibly passing it onto my wife, a cancer survivor - though she's generally very healthy. But we're both philosophical about things.

https://youtu.be/uS821v3_E50

Here is a video about the coronavirus it Italy on the 29 Feb, they were in the same position that the UK is now. The host is saying the action in Italy is no way near strong enough, we now know that Italy needed to take more drastic action earlier. Italy closed the stadiums 2 days later, the UK will probably close the stadiums in two days so is following the same plan. The UK will be in total lockdown like Italy soon, more drastic action or same results no other options.

Hulan missed the golden period of containment, China outside Wuhan responsed it, Taiwan responsed to it, Iran missed it, Singapore responsed to it, South Korea did ok, Italy missed it and UK seems to be following the Italian model.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 12, 2020, 07:09:31 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 06:57:40 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 05:12:41 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and  going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.


The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.


I didn't really intend to make a point about our current reaction to CoronaV - only that things were a lot different in those days. Well, life was far worse, and more precarious, in many ways.

But it is interesting to read about this, shows that there's nothing new about disease epidemics,and even in my lifetime various strains of Flu have killed many people - like just after WW2.

But I don't think  governments have any choice but to take this virus very seriously, though I do think there is an air of hysteria and panic.

Personally, I just think it is what it is - I  will accept  whatever the government does, well I don't have much choice, but will try to live  my life as normally as possible.

Although over 70, I'm very fit, and don''t feel vulnerable myself, but am a bit worried about possibly passing it onto my wife, a cancer survivor - though she's generally very healthy. But we're both philosophical about things.

https://youtu.be/uS821v3_E50

Here is a video about the coronavirus it Italy on the 29 Feb, they were in the same position that the UK is now. The host is saying the action in Italy is no way near strong enough, we now know that Italy needed to take more drastic action earlier. Italy closed the stadiums 2 days later, the UK will probably close the stadiums in two days so is following the same plan. The UK will be in total lockdown like Italy soon, more drastic action or same results no other options.

Hulan missed the golden period of containment, China outside Wuhan responsed it, Taiwan responsed to it, Iran missed it, Singapore responsed to it, South Korea did ok, Italy missed it and UK seems to be following the Italian model.

You really need to stop worrying,you'll end up making yourself ill,and you'll end up catching something😁

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 07:33:40 AM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 12, 2020, 04:55:43 AM
Trump has informed US citizens that they have till Friday to get back to the States or risk being in a 30 day lockdown period.  Trump has announced after Friday the US will no longer allow people in from Europe except for England. 

My daughter has who went to Spain for spring break and are now sitting in Airports trying to figure how they can get back home. 

only British or flights from Britain? If it's the later then we will have lots of possibly infected people making their way here just to try and get to America
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ognip on March 12, 2020, 07:56:39 AM
I am assuming the Brentford match will be behind closed doors.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ognip on March 12, 2020, 07:59:21 AM
Doubt the bottom 3 in the Premium will think it is a good idea.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 12, 2020, 08:22:17 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 06:57:40 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 05:12:41 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and  going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.


The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.


I didn't really intend to make a point about our current reaction to CoronaV - only that things were a lot different in those days. Well, life was far worse, and more precarious, in many ways.

But it is interesting to read about this, shows that there's nothing new about disease epidemics,and even in my lifetime various strains of Flu have killed many people - like just after WW2.

But I don't think  governments have any choice but to take this virus very seriously, though I do think there is an air of hysteria and panic.

Personally, I just think it is what it is - I  will accept  whatever the government does, well I don't have much choice, but will try to live  my life as normally as possible.

Although over 70, I'm very fit, and don''t feel vulnerable myself, but am a bit worried about possibly passing it onto my wife, a cancer survivor - though she's generally very healthy. But we're both philosophical about things.

https://youtu.be/uS821v3_E50

Here is a video about the coronavirus it Italy on the 29 Feb, they were in the same position that the UK is now. The host is saying the action in Italy is no way near strong enough, we now know that Italy needed to take more drastic action earlier. Italy closed the stadiums 2 days later, the UK will probably close the stadiums in two days so is following the same plan. The UK will be in total lockdown like Italy soon, more drastic action or same results no other options.

Hulan missed the golden period of containment, China outside Wuhan responsed it, Taiwan responsed to it, Iran missed it, Singapore responsed to it, South Korea did ok, Italy missed it and UK seems to be following the Italian model.

Have a client that works for the NHS. Although their department deals with  diabetes they've had continual updates and Skype meetings. The NHS has a flu pandemic plan. Have done for years. As the problem grows none essential operations will be cancelled and beds freed up. The plan covers lots of stuff and it's all very joined up. My client also added that Italy got caught out because it was only looking for cases from abroad and not within. When they did change tack it was too late. The US looks vulnerable. As their health service is mostly private and State controlled implementation of a national plan because of permissions on several different levels is time consuming, leaving gaps. No doubt one of our American based Whites can give more info on that though.
Although our underfunded NHS is going to struggle with this, I was amazed at the detail and my respect for the service and its people has grown.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 08:47:48 AM
A look at the world data on Covid-19 makes interesting and surprising reading on deaths per million of population if you ignore China and Iran as having data inaccuracies.  As others have suggested nations with well drilled policies for coping with epidemics seem to do better than the others.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFC1987 on March 12, 2020, 09:50:19 AM
Probably obvious but my wife is a teacher and told me today it's highly likely schools will be closed from Monday. We'll know more after Cobra obviously but just a heads up.

That's sounds very silly season ITK, apologies!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 10:15:53 AM
Some good news about vaccines :

Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0 (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:39:44 AM
Quote from: FFC1987 on March 12, 2020, 09:50:19 AM
Probably obvious but my wife is a teacher and told me today it's highly likely schools will be closed from Monday. We'll know more after Cobra obviously but just a heads up.

That's sounds very silly season ITK, apologies!
yes got told the same thing from my daughters head teacher yesterday.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 12, 2020, 10:43:11 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 10:15:53 AM
Some good news about vaccines :

Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0 (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0)

There's also an article (in Italian) that reports that a common anti-inflammatory rheumatoid arthritis drug alleviates the symptoms but I couldn't see the name of it given.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
The Times newspaper

● The current season will not be postponed and instead matches in the Premier League and lower divisions will be moved behind closed doors

● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes

● No games will be shown in pubs so as to avoid congregation of people

● Season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games at Football League clubs will be allowed to watch matches on iFollow streams

● Premier League games will not be shown live in the 3pm slot on Saturday afternoons

● Broadcasters will be permitted to screen more than one Premier League game during both the lunchtime and tea-time television slots on Saturday, and the scheduled slots on Sundays and Mondays
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 12, 2020, 11:08:57 AM
Cobra Meeting:

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 12, 2020, 11:14:17 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 12, 2020, 11:08:57 AM
Cobra Meeting:



Too true.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 11:45:31 AM
Quote from: Holders on March 12, 2020, 10:43:11 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 10:15:53 AM
Some good news about vaccines :

Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0 (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0)

There's also an article (in Italian) that reports that a common anti-inflammatory rheumatoid arthritis drug alleviates the symptoms but I couldn't see the name of it given.
There has been a marked interest in how the virus exploits our auto-immune systems which gives a lot of credence to that.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 12, 2020, 12:10:23 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 11:45:31 AM
Quote from: Holders on March 12, 2020, 10:43:11 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 10:15:53 AM
Some good news about vaccines :

Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0 (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0)

There's also an article (in Italian) that reports that a common anti-inflammatory rheumatoid arthritis drug alleviates the symptoms but I couldn't see the name of it given.
There has been a marked interest in how the virus exploits our auto-immune systems which gives a lot of credence to that.

I have no technical medical knowledge and can't find the article now but it sounded interesting as it uses a commonplace drug to just alleviate the worst effects (shown in a limited number of cases so far) rather than to be a "cure". I don't read Italian but the drug's name was not in the abstract so maybe they're keeping it under wraps for a bit. This is a fast-moving issue and the Italians have more experience than most.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: brightster on March 12, 2020, 12:29:16 PM
John Travolta was hospitalized for suspected COVID-19, he had chills they were multiplying and he was losing control, but doctors now confirm that it was only Saturday Night Fever, and they assure everyone that he is Staying Alive.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 12, 2020, 12:33:51 PM
Quote from: brightster on March 12, 2020, 12:29:16 PM
John Travolta was hospitalized for suspected COVID-19, he had chills they were multiplying and he was losing control, but doctors now confirm that it was only Saturday Night Fever, and they assure everyone that he is Staying Alive.

Reportedly, he'd just returned from Greece.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Maidstone Lee on March 12, 2020, 12:49:51 PM
Quote from: brightster on March 12, 2020, 12:29:16 PM
John Travolta was hospitalized for suspected COVID-19, he had chills they were multiplying and he was losing control, but doctors now confirm that it was only Saturday Night Fever, and they assure everyone that he is Staying Alive.

:Haynes The Maestro: :Haynes The Maestro:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 12, 2020, 01:08:49 PM
March 12th...

Ireland has 43 people tested positive for Cvirus and just had its first death... Closes schools, Churches and any events of over 100 people.

UK... 450 positive Cvirus cases, 8 deaths, Cheltenham Festival and Football continuing and looks like life will carry on as normal for now...just keep washing your hands folks.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 12, 2020, 02:09:56 PM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 12, 2020, 01:08:49 PM
March 12th...

Ireland has 43 people tested positive for Cvirus and just had its first death... Closes schools, Churches and any events of over 100 people.

UK... 450 positive Cvirus cases, 8 deaths, Cheltenham Festival and Football continuing and looks like life will carry on as normal for now...just keep washing your hands folks.

Well given Ireland's population is about a twelvth the size of the UK's, those numbers would mean the virus is proportionately more widespread in Ireland than it is in the UK, albeit only slightly.

We'll see later what Cobra say. Maybe we'll also close schools. But it's not a simple decision. I'm no expert but just what I've gleaned from the news in recent weeks is there are very few children among the confirmed cases suggesting they either don't get this bug, or remain symptomless. Either way, it's possible they aren't even capable of spreading it. Even if they are, if you close schools, where do these kids go? To the park and shops and other places where they can mingle with other demographics, including the elderly, who'd normally have the streets to themselves in those hours. So you're increasing their exposure. And parents are having to stay off work to look after these kids, which includes healthcare workers and people who work in the production and distribution of food, medicine etc, meaning all those things are impaired. So it's very easy for Varadkar and others to close schools and make it look like they're doing something to combat this virus but it remains totally unclear whether it actually makes the situation any better. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 12, 2020, 02:35:58 PM
Rumoured that Leicester FC have players with symptoms being tested. Details awaited.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Quinzel on March 12, 2020, 02:38:38 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 12, 2020, 02:35:58 PM
Rumoured that Leicester FC have players with symptoms being tested. Details awaited.

No rumour. The manager confirmed it.

I was informed by someone in the sports TV industry that 3 Arsenal players had symptoms - that was Tuesday. Today the rumour has spread, but hasn't been confirmed, unless I've missed it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 12, 2020, 02:41:39 PM
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 12, 2020, 02:38:38 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 12, 2020, 02:35:58 PM
Rumoured that Leicester FC have players with symptoms being tested. Details awaited.

No rumour. The manager confirmed it.

I was informed by someone in the sports TV industry that 3 Arsenal players had symptoms - that was Tuesday. Today the rumour has spread, but hasn't been confirmed, unless I've missed it.

Thanks for the clarification, the outcome of the tests will surely be decisive. Behind closed doors will not be of much use to clubs whose squads are seriously depleted. Unprecedented times.

Someone commented on Varadkar above - I note that he has a medical degree which gives him some advantage in his decision-making.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southdowns White on March 12, 2020, 02:43:36 PM
Rumoured, half the Fulham team have been suffering since last August or is that just me making excuses!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Quinzel on March 12, 2020, 02:50:45 PM
Yep - unprecedented and moving at a real rate. NBA suspended. NHL rumoured to close tonight. European football pretty much closing down.

I do feel like we're lagging behind in the UK.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamfan on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM

● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes



I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM

● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes



I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
I Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlights
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: AnOldBrownie on March 12, 2020, 03:51:30 PM
Waiting for the season to be suspended for a few months...resuming in May.

There's always Football Manager and Pro Evo (F... U FiFA).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:59:42 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM

● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes



I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
I Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlights

Yes, but how would they control access to the site?  If I buy a ticket for a game, only I or one other person can turn up at the ground and sit in that seat. For online viewing, that means sending out unique codes to each ticket purchaser by email (if they have the email address) and then ensuring that simultaneous logins using the same code don't work. Strikes me as a lot of work for each match.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 12, 2020, 04:07:11 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:59:42 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM

● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes



I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
I Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlights

Yes, but how would they control access to the site?  If I buy a ticket for a game, only I or one other person can turn up at the ground and sit in that seat. For online viewing, that means sending out unique codes to each ticket purchaser by email (if they have the email address) and then ensuring that simultaneous logins using the same code don't work. Strikes me as a lot of work for each match.
its the same way as if you buy a pass to watch a game if your abroad you just log in with your pass dont think they would care if other people used it to log in
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ffcne on March 12, 2020, 04:12:49 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening

There is a meeting going on .
Why is the silence deafening?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 04:15:27 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 12, 2020, 04:12:49 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening

There is a meeting going on .
Why is the silence deafening?
the pm is scheduled to address the nation at five o'clock
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Quinzel on March 12, 2020, 04:15:43 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM

● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes



I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
I Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlights

Having used ffcTV twice, I am chuckling away at the thought of how poorly this would be managed by Fulham and their operatives. Should have stuck with the league wide providers.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fcfulham55 on March 12, 2020, 04:16:52 PM
Finish the season where it is, top 3 go up as it stands.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 12, 2020, 04:30:13 PM
La Liga now suspended as well.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 12, 2020, 04:33:04 PM
The Times this morning posited 500 cases of infection as the trigger point for action by the FA.  Well, we're through that and then some...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamfan on March 12, 2020, 04:54:15 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 12, 2020, 04:12:49 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening

There is a meeting going on .
Why is the silence deafening?

all the other countries made announcements why not ours
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 12, 2020, 04:54:27 PM
The Dorset Left Handed Shove Ha'penny Championships due to commence this weekend have been cancelled,along with the"Isle Of Sheppey" blindfolded Tiddlywinks tournament.😑
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamfan on March 12, 2020, 05:12:17 PM
Wow Boris has said to carry on as normal then. we are doomed
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southdowns White on March 12, 2020, 05:16:06 PM
Game on tomorrow then.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 05:18:56 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:59:42 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM

● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes



I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
I Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlights

Yes, but how would they control access to the site?  If I buy a ticket for a game, only I or one other person can turn up at the ground and sit in that seat. For online viewing, that means sending out unique codes to each ticket purchaser by email (if they have the email address) and then ensuring that simultaneous logins using the same code don't work. Strikes me as a lot of work for each match.
when I listen to jim through ffctv I can only log onto one device.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 12, 2020, 05:28:35 PM
I think the key takeaway from the speeches just now is this, which pretty much explains the UK approach:

"It is not possible to stop everyone getting it and not helpful, as we need to build immunity"

The elderly and vulnerable can start making plans to isolate themselves from society for the next few months but the rest of us need to accept the cold, hard fact that...

we are probably going to get coronavirus
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ffcne on March 12, 2020, 05:51:13 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 04:54:15 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 12, 2020, 04:12:49 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening

There is a meeting going on .
Why is the silence deafening?

all the other countries made announcements why not ours


Keep up mate .Cobra meeting this afternoon.
And now a statement
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 12, 2020, 05:53:53 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 04:07:11 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:59:42 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PM
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
Exactly, perhaps use the ticket ref as a login to ensure uniqueness, with, perhaps, an additional piece of info about the buyer.
● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes



I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
I Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlights

Yes, but how would they control access to the site?  If I buy a ticket for a game, only I or one other person can turn up at the ground and sit in that seat. For online viewing, that means sending out unique codes to each ticket purchaser by email (if they have the email address) and then ensuring that simultaneous logins using the same code don't work. Strikes me as a lot of work for each match.
its the same way as if you buy a pass to watch a game if your abroad you just log in with your pass dont think they would care if other people used it to log in
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 12, 2020, 05:56:04 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 12, 2020, 04:54:27 PM
The Dorset Left Handed Shove Ha'penny Championships due to commence this weekend have been cancelled,along with the"Isle Of Sheppey" blindfolded Tiddlywinks tournament.😑

Are those the one's held at Sixpenny Handley per chance?   :005:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 12, 2020, 06:13:46 PM
Quote from: Logicalman on March 12, 2020, 05:56:04 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 12, 2020, 04:54:27 PM
The Dorset Left Handed Shove Ha'penny Championships due to commence this weekend have been cancelled,along with the"Isle Of Sheppey" blindfolded Tiddlywinks tournament.😑

Are those the one's held at Sixpenny Handley per chance?   :005:
.Yes..😁
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 12, 2020, 06:40:56 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 12, 2020, 05:28:35 PM
I think the key takeaway from the speeches just now is this, which pretty much explains the UK approach:

"It is not possible to stop everyone getting it and not helpful, as we need to build immunity"

The elderly and vulnerable can start making plans to isolate themselves from society for the next few months but the rest of us need to accept the cold, hard fact that...

we are probably going to get coronavirus
Or the way i read it the old and vulnerable  are going to die and were not going to do a thing about it
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Bokonon on March 12, 2020, 06:54:02 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 06:40:56 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 12, 2020, 05:28:35 PM
I think the key takeaway from the speeches just now is this, which pretty much explains the UK approach:

"It is not possible to stop everyone getting it and not helpful, as we need to build immunity"

The elderly and vulnerable can start making plans to isolate themselves from society for the next few months but the rest of us need to accept the cold, hard fact that...

we are probably going to get coronavirus
Or the way i read it the old and vulnerable  are going to die and were not going to do a thing about it

That, and they are willing to chance hospitals being overloaded so that the mortality rate of serious non-covid-19 respiratory illness (like normal pneumonia and influenza) will increase because they refuse to do any serious effort toward flattening the active case load.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southdowns White on March 12, 2020, 07:05:56 PM
Quote from: Bokonon on March 12, 2020, 06:54:02 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 06:40:56 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 12, 2020, 05:28:35 PM
I think the key takeaway from the speeches just now is this, which pretty much explains the UK approach:

"It is not possible to stop everyone getting it and not helpful, as we need to build immunity"

The elderly and vulnerable can start making plans to isolate themselves from society for the next few months but the rest of us need to accept the cold, hard fact that...

we are probably going to get coronavirus
Or the way i read it the old and vulnerable  are going to die and were not going to do a thing about it

That, and they are willing to chance hospitals being overloaded so that the mortality rate of serious non-covid-19 respiratory illness (like normal pneumonia and influenza) will increase because they refuse to do any serious effort toward flattening the active case load.
Boris and his chums have got a handle on this, it looks like they have opted for a later but shorter lockdown and resigned to the fact that a lot of older people are going to die regardless of timings. I can't believe we are not closing down large gatherings, but the government knows best.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: bobby01 on March 12, 2020, 07:44:33 PM
I really know little but one thing I cannot fathom is, Italy shuts down large areas to stop the virus. Presuming that works they lift the quarantine, somebody flies in from basically anywhere with the virus, off it goes again, if as I understand it you have not had it you are not immune.what then shut the country down again?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 12, 2020, 07:48:10 PM

[/quote] Boris and his chums have got a handle on this, it looks like they have opted for a later but shorter lockdown and resigned to the fact that a lot of older people are going to die regardless of timings. I can't believe we are not closing down large gatherings, but the government knows best.
[/quote]
Really? population of China 1,408,526,449 China is in lock down no public transport no large gatherings private use of cars forbidden shops closed new cases today 18
England population 67,886,011 Boris and chums advice wash your hands sing god save the queen and dont go on a cruise new cases today 130
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 12, 2020, 07:59:10 PM
Quote from: bobby01 on March 12, 2020, 07:44:33 PM
I really know little but one thing I cannot fathom is, Italy shuts down large areas to stop the virus. Presuming that works they lift the quarantine, somebody flies in from basically anywhere with the virus, off it goes again, if as I understand it you have not had it you are not immune.what then shut the country down again?

The Virus because its new to man will take at least a year if not longer. The Spanish Flu took two years. If it mutates as most virus do then it starts affecting younger people as we dont have enough beds to treat everybody hospitals have to choose who they treat. Your best bet is to get it Early before the services become overrun or much later with the hope they find a cure or at least something that helps
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 12, 2020, 08:09:52 PM
Quote from: bobby01 on March 12, 2020, 07:44:33 PM
I really know little but one thing I cannot fathom is, Italy shuts down large areas to stop the virus. Presuming that works they lift the quarantine, somebody flies in from basically anywhere with the virus, off it goes again, if as I understand it you have not had it you are not immune.what then shut the country down again?

Most governments are trying to buy time for a vaccine to be made and to not spread it further. Once there is a way to give vulnerable groups a vaccination it wouldn't be much of an issue anymore.

The current course seems to be that people who are going to die is an acceptable loss so that the survivors will be get an immunity. Which I guess is a way to look at it but I think it is pretty ghoulish.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Bocanegra on March 12, 2020, 08:14:36 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 07:59:10 PM
Quote from: bobby01 on March 12, 2020, 07:44:33 PM
I really know little but one thing I cannot fathom is, Italy shuts down large areas to stop the virus. Presuming that works they lift the quarantine, somebody flies in from basically anywhere with the virus, off it goes again, if as I understand it you have not had it you are not immune.what then shut the country down again?

The Virus because its new to man will take at least a year if not longer. The Spanish Flu took two years. If it mutates as most virus do then it starts affecting younger people as we dont have enough beds to treat everybody hospitals have to choose who they treat. Your best bet is to get it Early before the services become overrun or much later with the hope they find a cure or at least something that helps

You really shouldn't be spreading information like this.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southdowns White on March 12, 2020, 08:34:47 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 07:48:10 PM

Boris and his chums have got a handle on this, it looks like they have opted for a later but shorter lockdown and resigned to the fact that a lot of older people are going to die regardless of timings. I can't believe we are not closing down large gatherings, but the government knows best.
[/quote]
Really? population of China 1,408,526,449 China is in lock down no public transport no large gatherings private use of cars forbidden shops closed new cases today 18
England population 67,886,011 Boris and chums advice wash your hands sing god save the queen and dont go on a cruise new cases today 130

[/quote]I think you've missed the sarcasm in my post.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:26:05 PM
Quote from: Southdowns White on March 12, 2020, 08:34:47 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 07:48:10 PM

Boris and his chums have got a handle on this, it looks like they have opted for a later but shorter lockdown and resigned to the fact that a lot of older people are going to die regardless of timings. I can't believe we are not closing down large gatherings, but the government knows best.
Really? population of China 1,408,526,449 China is in lock down no public transport no large gatherings private use of cars forbidden shops closed new cases today 18
England population 67,886,011 Boris and chums advice wash your hands sing god save the queen and dont go on a cruise new cases today 130

[/quote]I think you've missed the sarcasm in my post.
[/quote]i thought it was  when you said chums
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:27:02 PM
The arsenal manager Mikel arteta has tested positive for corona.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Wingnut on March 12, 2020, 10:31:33 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:27:02 PM
The arsenal manager Mikel arteta has tested positive for corona.

Arsenal, Leicester, Chelsea and Man City have contact with it now.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:34:17 PM
Quote from: Wingnut on March 12, 2020, 10:31:33 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:27:02 PM
The arsenal manager Mikel arteta has tested positive for corona.

Arsenal, Leicester, Chelsea and Man City have contact with it now.
id be amazed if uefa doesn't suspend all football next week
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 12, 2020, 10:37:28 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:34:17 PM
Quote from: Wingnut on March 12, 2020, 10:31:33 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:27:02 PM
The arsenal manager Mikel arteta has tested positive for corona.

Arsenal, Leicester, Chelsea and Man City have contact with it now.
id be amazed if uefa doesn't suspend all football next week
Can't suspend national leagues, but they're apparently suspending all the competitions they have control over. The European Championship moving to 2021.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 11:35:43 PM
Arsenals game on Sunday has been postponed
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Burntheashes on March 13, 2020, 12:06:38 AM
All the Fulham fans please stay safe, wear mask at all time when you're out on the street, also try to avoid gathering since you never know if anyone had it or not, the symptom maybe not showing at all.

It's been hell of two months in Hong Kong, countless cases in China. i think we've gathered enough cases to say that the Wuhan virus target everyone, not just the elderly. So please no matter how strong and smart you think you are, stay safe at all cost.

And I don't think China has got it covered, the only thing they've cover is the truth about it, the death toll, and the WHO is with them.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 13, 2020, 12:23:33 AM
Even the Atheists are praying.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 13, 2020, 05:04:56 AM
https://nypost.com/2020/03/12/canadian-prime-minister-justin-trudeaus-wife-tests-positive-for-coronavirus/

Blimey.

She was at a do in London, so.looks.like we managed to pass it on to Canada  now.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 13, 2020, 05:13:21 AM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 13, 2020, 05:04:56 AM
https://nypost.com/2020/03/12/canadian-prime-minister-justin-trudeaus-wife-tests-positive-for-coronavirus/

Blimey.

She was at a do in London, so.looks.like we managed to pass it on to Canada  now.

The politicians have no idea how serious this is, the advice they give is bullpoo but was is worse that they believe their own bullpoo.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 13, 2020, 05:37:37 AM
I don't think you  should try to shut down society for this.

The damage to the economy would  probably lead to far greater loss of life in the long term, after  so many years of austerity policies, which have already  put so much pressure on our services for the  old and vulnerable.

I think the govt. is right to try and keep things as normal as possible, while maintaining  measures to try and combat the virus as much as possible - if that is their policy.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 13, 2020, 06:10:47 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 13, 2020, 05:37:37 AM
I don't think you should try to shut down society for this.

The damage to the economy would probably lead to far greater loss of life in the long term, after so many years of austerity policies, which have already put so much pressure on our services for the old and vulnerable.

I think the govt. is right to try and keep things as normal as possible, while maintaining measures to try and combat the virus as much as possible - if that is their policy.

Coronavirus has the potential to close all hospitals, medical facilities, and nursing homes, from my perspective that is worse than any austerity policies. Italy realised this on the 8th March going into lockdown, the UK is tracking day on day to be in the same position on the 22nd March.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 13, 2020, 06:34:16 AM
This is Milan, https://youtu.be/clmqtxiziWg
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: stokesy on March 13, 2020, 06:44:11 AM
Iafter watching tv this morning decided to miss tonight's game have to travel from Warwick on the train and don't think it's worth the risk of passing it on to my elderly parents, I do believe all football should have been postponed but I suppose money rules .
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MikeTheCubed on March 13, 2020, 09:19:18 AM
A lose-lose situation for the government. Conversely shutting down society would likely invoke large-scale criticism for being draconian.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: flyingfish on March 13, 2020, 10:53:08 AM
Quote from: stokesy on March 13, 2020, 06:44:11 AM
Iafter watching tv this morning decided to miss tonight's game have to travel from Warwick on the train and don't think it's worth the risk of passing it on to my elderly parents, I do believe all football should have been postponed but I suppose money rules .

You are to be commended for assessing the risk and taking the appropriate action. I only hope others are as diligent and self-isolate when they need to. These are the most effective measures, but we need to be community midned to succeed.

I am lucky to be able to work from home, which I will do from now on. I have had my last meetings in person, I will be doing everything now by phone as much as possible
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: alfie on March 13, 2020, 11:48:36 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 05, 2020, 05:06:28 AM
How come  i all my 70 odd years on the planet there's never been such a reaction to any of the viruses or diseases that have been around?

Ok,  vulnerable people are at risk - as they are generally at this time of year, but this has  been an overreaction.

Residents of an old people's home said they were fr more frightened of losing their, mostly foreign, carers, than of catching this illness.

They are now worrying about  workers on  self-employed and zero hours contracts who are unable to work if being in contact with this  illness, but who worried about them before? - when  many of these people have had to go to work  while being treated for such diseases as cancer - because they had no access to sick pay.

Whatever the government says , do you think people can  just claim benefits as soon as they are  off work - maybe forced to stay at home  although feeling ok - just like that?

The reaction to  coronavirus is  completely over the top, and is causing panic.
Ask the Italians, it's all over reaction until you get it, just like mate of mine, he had the view that everyone going over the top, it's just a flu, he was diagnosed on Wednesday, now of course he complaining that the govt did not take it seriously.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Riversider on March 13, 2020, 04:18:57 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PM
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters,  that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,

To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.

Really hope that conversation took place, no way on Earth does football resume on April 3rd, this season is over for everyone , the 64 Million dollar question is what happens now,
Whatever decision the authorities come up with, the one thing that is absolutely certain is that thousands of people will be unhappy,,
Maybe two up and two down which takes away the need for the play offs, but as I say nobody in football will be able to offer a solution that keeps everybody happy

In the grand scheme of things it's only a football match and it really isn't all that important is it.

Scary to think that (potentially) some people reading this won't make it through to the other side,  how disturbing is that ? Good luck everyone 👍🏻
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 13, 2020, 05:32:50 PM
I rather like the suggestion from Germany - no relegation from their equivalent of the PL, top 4 in the Championship go up and PL plays with 4 extra teams next year. Not sure what happens after that but it overcomes the game-in-hand situation in the PL and "feels fair" for the Championship. Hopefully the disease will have turned down by September.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: terryr on March 13, 2020, 05:55:20 PM
As I posted in another thread:
k
Let's look at the facts
I have an office in Beijing, Tokyo and Singapore
Beijing is now going back to work 6 weeks after the outbreak
Tokyo is still operating albeit with some restrictions
Singapore didn't ever shut down
We will have a hiatus possibly until early May and then it will be back to routine like living if not completely normal
Spring football will be nice

I also early on in this thread suggested this was more than a "bad flu"
I've been dealing with this since early January guys as it had a major impact on my Asian business.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: terryr on March 13, 2020, 05:56:33 PM
Panic and doom mongering do nothing but create anxiety
We will come through this.
OK?
Ok
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 13, 2020, 06:08:05 PM
Quote from: TerryR on March 13, 2020, 05:56:33 PM
Panic and doom mongering do nothing but create anxiety
We will come through this.
OK?
Ok
:plus one:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 13, 2020, 06:33:57 PM
Quote from: TerryR on March 13, 2020, 05:56:33 PM
Panic and doom mongering do nothing but create anxiety
We will come through this.
OK?
Ok
Some will and sadly some won´t, the question is how many will be in the latter category?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 13, 2020, 10:45:21 PM
I guess we're nowhere near the worst of this yet but I'd  like to know if any of you are considering changing your life styles? Holidays, savings, food stocks etc?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 14, 2020, 12:04:36 AM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 13, 2020, 10:45:21 PM
I guess we're nowhere near the worst of this yet but I'd  like to know if any of you are considering changing your life styles? Holidays, savings, food stocks etc?

I'm currently working on the assumption that for the remainder of 2020 there will be no sport, no holidays abroad, less pub/socialising/eating out, end expecting to be asked to WFH either 50% of the time or substantially all the time, with very few F2F meetings.

I stocked up on food but only because we had literally zero long-life foods. Now we could get through a week or so, but nothing more. I really don't think it will be necessary anyway.

However I do think things will get better. I reckon sooner or later we'll get a bit of good luck with this virus, eg it will turn out be much less contagious in the warmer weather, it will mutate into a much milder illness, the mortality rate will be found to be much lower than anticipated, an effective treatment will be found for the most severe symptoms, a vaccine will be produced quicker than expected, or something like that. And in any case, people can only stay scared of something for so long. When something is new and not well understood, that scares us, but once we become accustomed to something, no matter how bad or dangerous it is, fear goes away. Most of us are probably more likely to get killed by a car than coronavirus in the coming months but we don't lose any sleep over traffic, because we're used to it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 14, 2020, 04:40:15 AM
I think you're right Statto.

If I think  of scary things that could happen , a virus which  for  most people is no worse than bad flu. isn't on my list. OK, so there is a risk to the old and vulnerable  with this highly contagious virus, but so is any infection.

It doesn't compare to things  I read about, like  experiences of wartime- being a Jew in  country occupied by the Nazis , for example, or comparable situations, when you can be  taken away  in the night just for who you are.

Or have bombs dropped on you every night, as happened to this country in  the War, as well as being compulsorily called -up to go abroad and fight,as happened to our  grandparents and parents, along with the general deprivations of war, which went on for five years.
There are also natural disasters that mostly happen in other countries, like  tsunami, earthquake, etc.

And i do think people will get fairly quickly  used to this current situation, and that, as you say, the effects of the virus will be mitigated, one way or the other, anyway.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 14, 2020, 06:37:27 AM
One doom and gloom merchant on radio saying it might be next April not this one before its up and running again.....What? Think I might top myself,😵
Or leave the wife and move into a Monastery😁
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 14, 2020, 08:21:18 AM
"One doom and gloom merchant on radio saying it might be next April not this one before its up and running again...."

If the Government's advice from the scientists proves right, the "peak" will be spread over the late spring and early summer so that, with luck, by August we will be through the worst, but whether the situation will be good enough for an August start, who knows.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 14, 2020, 08:23:39 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 14, 2020, 12:04:36 AM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 13, 2020, 10:45:21 PM
I guess we're nowhere near the worst of this yet but I'd  like to know if any of you are considering changing your life styles? Holidays, savings, food stocks etc?

I'm currently working on the assumption that for the remainder of 2020 there will be no sport, no holidays abroad, less pub/socialising/eating out, end expecting to be asked to WFH either 50% of the time or substantially all the time, with very few F2F meetings.

I stocked up on food but only because we had literally zero long-life foods. Now we could get through a week or so, but nothing more. I really don't think it will be necessary anyway.

However I do think things will get better. I reckon sooner or later we'll get a bit of good luck with this virus, eg it will turn out be much less contagious in the warmer weather, it will mutate into a much milder illness, the mortality rate will be found to be much lower than anticipated, an effective treatment will be found for the most severe symptoms, a vaccine will be produced quicker than expected, or something like that. And in any case, people can only stay scared of something for so long. When something is new and not well understood, that scares us, but once we become accustomed to something, no matter how bad or dangerous it is, fear goes away. Most of us are probably more likely to get killed by a car than coronavirus in the coming months but we don't lose any sleep over traffic, because we're used to it.

If all of London self-isolate for 3 weeks, then the most deadly strains will die out. London may have to go through what Wuhan went through or have a massive body count. The Wuhan solution is almost an option.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 14, 2020, 08:26:21 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 14, 2020, 08:23:39 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 14, 2020, 12:04:36 AM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 13, 2020, 10:45:21 PM
I guess we're nowhere near the worst of this yet but I'd  like to know if any of you are considering changing your life styles? Holidays, savings, food stocks etc?

I'm currently working on the assumption that for the remainder of 2020 there will be no sport, no holidays abroad, less pub/socialising/eating out, end expecting to be asked to WFH either 50% of the time or substantially all the time, with very few F2F meetings.

I stocked up on food but only because we had literally zero long-life foods. Now we could get through a week or so, but nothing more. I really don't think it will be necessary anyway.

However I do think things will get better. I reckon sooner or later we'll get a bit of good luck with this virus, eg it will turn out be much less contagious in the warmer weather, it will mutate into a much milder illness, the mortality rate will be found to be much lower than anticipated, an effective treatment will be found for the most severe symptoms, a vaccine will be produced quicker than expected, or something like that. And in any case, people can only stay scared of something for so long. When something is new and not well understood, that scares us, but once we become accustomed to something, no matter how bad or dangerous it is, fear goes away. Most of us are probably more likely to get killed by a car than coronavirus in the coming months but we don't lose any sleep over traffic, because we're used to it.

If all of London self-isolate for 3 weeks, then the most deadly strains will die out. London may have to go through what Wuhan went through or have a massive body count. The Wuhan solution is almost an option.
a lot of people didn't self isolate in Wuhan, they welded them shut into their homes
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 14, 2020, 10:38:15 AM
An expression to watch out for in the detail of Covid-19 is the Gompertz Curve.  It's used to describe epidemics—it's a very good fit to real-world epidemiological data.  The Curve rises very sharply and then climbs increasingly more gently to a maximum figure.  Fatalities in both the Chinese and South Korean outbreaks seem to be following the maths behind the Gompertz Curve reasonably well and suggests ball park figures for total deaths as 8100 and 3500 respectively.   There can be complicating occurrences in any epidemic which then complicates the maths behind calculating maximum figures but the Gompertz Curve has, in the past, been a reliable predictive tool.       
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 14, 2020, 12:15:48 PM
Quote from: Riversider on March 05, 2020, 02:33:10 PM
I was in an Asda store last night, just after 11pm, the shelves had literally been stripped bare, we got to the till and the poor woman told us that it had been absolute mayhem all day because of the Corona virus,
I put my card in to pay then asked her how many times today somebody has been round to wipe the key pad clean,
Looking bewildered she replied that nobody ever wipes the key pad down,
There were 24 tills there plus all the self service tills, imagine for a second how many people would have used those key pads in a single day !
Is it any wonder that this virus is going to spread out of control ?
they did a thing on the McDonald's touch screens not long ago. You don't want to know the results.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 14, 2020, 12:26:00 PM
Mikel Arteta saying he feels better already.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 14, 2020, 05:30:23 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 14, 2020, 10:38:15 AM
An expression to watch out for in the detail of Covid-19 is the Gompertz Curve.  It's used to describe epidemics—it's a very good fit to real-world epidemiological data.  The Curve rises very sharply and then climbs increasingly more gently to a maximum figure.  Fatalities in both the Chinese and South Korean outbreaks seem to be following the maths behind the Gompertz Curve reasonably well and suggests ball park figures for total deaths as 8100 and 3500 respectively.   There can be complicating occurrences in any epidemic which then complicates the maths behind calculating maximum figures but the Gompertz Curve has, in the past, been a reliable predictive tool.     

Wow, thanks for that some of the information on Gompertz Curve is amazing. Basically, this curve means that the UK will continue to loss more and more people every day until it reaches an inflection point. According to the study, Wuhan reached that infection point on the 9th of February which is 17 days after the lockdown. In other words, it took the people of Wuhan 17 days after lockdown to start following the rules set out by the government. Who long will it take the British people to follow all the government rules? I don't know, as a comparison, I'm sure China could have done Brexit in less than 17 days and maybe less than an hour.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 14, 2020, 06:11:51 PM
Do you think the Chinese govt. would hold a referendum, and if they did, then feel bound to abide by the result?

The answer is  'no' in both cases.

The Chinese people have to do exactly what the government tells them to do, or else - and they can't vote another government in either.

So you're right - if their government decided Brexit was a good idea, they would just do it asap.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 01:25:52 AM
Spain is pretty much going on full lockdown now... And the Spanish Prime Ministers wife has tested positive.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8112691/Drunk-British-holidaymakers-clash-police-armed-batons-Benidorm.html

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 15, 2020, 09:20:23 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 14, 2020, 05:30:23 PM
Basically, [Gompertz Curve] means that the UK will continue to loss more and more people every day until it reaches an inflection point. According to the study, Wuhan reached that infection point on the 9th of February which is 17 days after the lockdown. In other words, it took the people of Wuhan 17 days after lockdown to start following the rules set out by the government. Who long will it take the British people to follow all the government rules? I don't know, as a comparison, I'm sure China could have done Brexit in less than 17 days and maybe less than an hour.
It is actually the virus's effectiveness that follows the curve in any given situation by responding to ease of transmission between potential hosts.  Isolation has always been the main means of stopping the spread of any infectious disease among human beings and the real issue with Covid-19 is 'how do you know you've got it or had and survived it' without testing when the symptoms are either not present or are very mild?  The current evidence is that countries with efficient testing regimes will have better control than those without, and that self isolation will work unless you are already infected but unable to fight off the infection without medical care which may prove insufficient anyway.  All influenza outbreaks work on this same premise and death rates are usually much larger than we may know and believe but are seldom reported in the media (certainly not as headline sensational material that Coronavirus has received). 

In my view the situation is not helped by over sensationalism and hype generated largely because this virus has truly crossed all the class boundaries and has no vaccine and no known treatment.  That is why IMO it has been sensationalised and that suggests to me we have very few strong leaders where we need them.  We reap what we sow.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 15, 2020, 11:28:39 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 15, 2020, 09:20:23 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 14, 2020, 05:30:23 PM
Basically, [Gompertz Curve] means that the UK will continue to loss more and more people every day until it reaches an inflection point. According to the study, Wuhan reached that infection point on the 9th of February which is 17 days after the lockdown. In other words, it took the people of Wuhan 17 days after lockdown to start following the rules set out by the government. Who long will it take the British people to follow all the government rules? I don't know, as a comparison, I'm sure China could have done Brexit in less than 17 days and maybe less than an hour.
It is actually the virus's effectiveness that follows the curve in any given situation by responding to ease of transmission between potential hosts.  Isolation has always been the main means of stopping the spread of any infectious disease among human beings and the real issue with Covid-19 is 'how do you know you've got it or had and survived it' without testing when the symptoms are either not present or are very mild?  The current evidence is that countries with efficient testing regimes will have better control than those without, and that self isolation will work unless you are already infected but unable to fight off the infection without medical care which may prove insufficient anyway.  All influenza outbreaks work on this same premise and death rates are usually much larger than we may know and believe but are seldom reported in the media (certainly not as headline sensational material that Coronavirus has received). 

In my view the situation is not helped by over sensationalism and hype generated largely because this virus has truly crossed all the class boundaries and has no vaccine and no known treatment.  That is why IMO it has been sensationalised and that suggests to me we have very few strong leaders where we need them.  We reap what we sow.

Some good points here, coupled with not knowing if it's transmissible before symptoms show and ease of confusion of those symptoms (in mild cases) with lesser illnesses, e.g. cold which normally do not require isolation.

This is an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership. There are examples of this.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 15, 2020, 01:28:42 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 15, 2020, 11:28:39 AM
This is an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership. There are examples of this.
It has certainly become an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership, and there are examples of this.  Not least the example of those who have rigorously followed a realisitic self isolation period of at least fourteen days (if they have felt unwell with a high temperature, etc or have returned from a high risk environment which almost any long distance travel is).  It would be nice to believe they would also be able to be tested negative at the end of the isolation period too as a kind of reward for bothering to care.  In my books comprehensive testing should be high on the agenda as a first measure and then self isolation and further testing when positive results occur.   I think the first measures taken in many countries have been inadequate and ill thought through and that has led to after thoughts rather than first thoughts.   The reasoning behind these failures will almost entirely be down to poor priorities. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 15, 2020, 02:37:48 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 15, 2020, 01:28:42 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 15, 2020, 11:28:39 AM
This is an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership. There are examples of this.
It has certainly become an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership, and there are examples of this.  Not least the example of those who have rigorously followed a realisitic self isolation period of at least fourteen days (if they have felt unwell with a high temperature, etc or have returned from a high risk environment which almost any long distance travel is).  It would be nice to believe they would also be able to be tested negative at the end of the isolation period too as a kind of reward for bothering to care.  In my books comprehensive testing should be high on the agenda as a first measure and then self isolation and further testing when positive results occur.   I think the first measures taken in many countries have been inadequate and ill thought through and that has led to after thoughts rather than first thoughts.   The reasoning behind these failures will almost entirely be down to poor priorities. 

...and to lack of knowledge. We had a lead-time over some of those countries to have learned from their failures and successes.

The lead in the UK seems to have been taken by the PL and FL who suspended football the day after the govt's announcement that it wasn't going to act and other groups who have since followed suit.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 15, 2020, 03:09:10 PM
They don't know what they're doing.

This proposal to discriminate against the over 70's as a group, whether fit and healthy or not, is quite frankly, something you only expect to read about in a sci-fi novel about a Fascistic, totalitarian Big Brother state.

This measure can't be allowed to happen. We must protest it.
All fit over 70's should resist this  measure, and come and go as they please.

The reaction to this virus is hysterical and and wildly over the top, and most people think this in this country.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 15, 2020, 04:41:23 PM
how dare this government interfere in
wayne rooneys sex life..
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Motspur Park on March 15, 2020, 04:43:06 PM
I think you may misunderstand the reasoning why Ray. In more elderly people their immune systems do not function as efficiently as younger people so when an elderly person is infected it more likely to lead to being hospitalised and placing a system under siege under even more pressure. It is not oppression against the elderly but more a suppressive action to slow down the rate of infection.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 15, 2020, 05:43:00 PM
"This proposal to discriminate against the over 70's as a group, whether fit and healthy or not, is quite frankly, something you only expect to read about in a sci-fi novel about a Fascistic, totalitarian Big Brother state."

Quite agree. We are as capable as anyone else of making sensible decisions. Obviously self isolating at the very first sign of either of the two main symptoms, and avoiding situations where being infected is likely, ie where close proximity to other people would be unavoidable. But a couple of hours fishing on the canal bank or similar - risk free, virus wise.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Baszab on March 15, 2020, 07:30:00 PM
so...are we supposed to go to work tomorrow morning as usual ?
on the tube ?!!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 15, 2020, 08:32:00 PM
Quote from: Motspur Park on March 15, 2020, 04:43:06 PM
I think you may misunderstand the reasoning why Ray. In more elderly people their immune systems do not function as efficiently as younger people so when an elderly person is infected it more likely to lead to being hospitalised and placing a system under siege under even more pressure. It is not oppression against the elderly but more a suppressive action to slow down the rate of infection.
You make it sound intuitive when in fact the Government's outline proposition runs counter to intelligent thinking - whatever age you are if you haven't got the virus then you are no danger to anyone with the reverse also being absolutely true.  Schools have been long recognised (and statistically proven) as a major assembly point for rapid spread of infections.  Elderly people with underlying health issues tend to get ill quickly and die from infections based around influenza as they grow older which is why they are offered free jabs for 'flu, pneumonia and shingles. It is what was called 'preventative medicine' at the advent of the NHS and has been effective in stifling many troubling illnesses in my lifetime.   Testing for Covid-19 is a part of preventative care and should be available to us all on demand once we have gone through a self isolation period in concert with NHS telephone or on-line support.

Trying to turn this into a age group 'war' is pure madness from Johnson and company. 

Isolate all the carriers and do not release them before testing proves negative.  To locate the carriers you need to test everyone  but encourage self isolation with necessary support (financial if need be) to all who fear they may be infected and test them at the end of the isolation period ...     
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on March 15, 2020, 08:39:01 PM
Quote from: Baszab on March 15, 2020, 07:30:00 PM
so...are we supposed to go to work tomorrow morning as usual ?
on the tube ?!!
My son is seriously at risk. He has nearly died twice over the past four years of pneumonia. I am not commuting any more.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 08:45:31 PM
An ex.policeman, aged 59, was one of those who died in the UK today, the youngest UK victim so far


This over 70 thing is possibly because most of those people are retired (with a few exceptions) and they want to keep.the general.work.force out there doing their thing a bit longer before they do have to.restrict further.
I think other countries have reported a significant number of people in their 50s passing away from it (usually with underlying conditions such as diabetes, heart issues, etc.

Also, horse racing will now have no crowds allowed, again, like football, this was an independent decision, not government led.

Edited Comment /.Corrected... (See below posts)
360.dead in one day in Italy, total.now 1800 dead since it started there.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8114643/Pope-Francis-walks-Romes-deserted-streets-amid-coronavirus-lockdown.html

Take care folks








Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 15, 2020, 09:00:12 PM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 08:45:31 PM
In Italy the number dead has shot up.from 370 to 1800 in 24 hours (is that right ?... If so that is very disturbing, don't know if the DM has messed up.figures, of not its awful...)

About 370 dead in the last 24 hours, bringing the total to 1800.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-toll/italy-coronavirus-deaths-rise-25-to-1809-idUSKBN212113 (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-toll/italy-coronavirus-deaths-rise-25-to-1809-idUSKBN212113)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 09:14:35 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 15, 2020, 09:00:12 PM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 08:45:31 PM
In Italy the number dead has shot up.from 370 to 1800 in 24 hours (is that right ?... If so that is very disturbing, don't know if the DM has messed up.figures, of not its awful...)

About 370 dead in the last 24 hours, bringing the total to 1800.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-toll/italy-coronavirus-deaths-rise-25-to-1809-idUSKBN212113 (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-toll/italy-coronavirus-deaths-rise-25-to-1809-idUSKBN212113)

Yes that is correct, the DM had worded it wrongly,.just seen the story on Sky

Approx 360 dead in one day, 1800 total since it begun
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: love4ffc on March 15, 2020, 09:45:35 PM
Just getting back from Telluride, Colorado ski resort.  The governor of Colorado last night declared that all ski resorts within the state of Colorado to be closed immediately. 

So, as we were leaving the airport to fly back home, a lot of people were arriving to find out that the ski resort was closed and that their holiday planning had been undone.  Let's just say I was glad I was leaving and not one of the poor airlines, hotel or car rental employees who had to deal with all the mad and upset travelers that were hoping to go skiing. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 15, 2020, 10:07:04 PM
Today there are between forty and fifty corona patients in critical condition on Dutch intensive care units. "More than half of those patients are under fifty years old. There are also young people. "" That says chairman of the Dutch Association for Intensive Care (NVIC) Diederik Gommers, in an interview
The professor of intensive care medicine, who himself heads the IC of Rotterdam's Erasmus MC, emphasizes that it is not only the elderly who are affected by the corona virus. ,, What has mainly made the news is that older people die faster. This is about 2.5 percent of the entire population, while about 15 percent of the elderly die. But more than half of those patients are under fifty years old. It also includes young people. ''The specialist explains that it also regularly occurs with regular flu that younger people end up in intensive care.
A  16-year-old boy  from Breda is infected with the coronavirus and is currently in the intensive care unit of the Erasmus MC-Sophia Children's Hospital. His family calls all over the Netherlands: "Wake up and take this virus seriously."

Dutch doctors have also been informed about patients from Lombardy, Italy, who confirm data that young and relatively healthy people are also affected by the corona virus. ,, The youngest intubated Covid-19 patient is a girl of 16 years old. Two children with Covid-19 were admitted to the pediatric IC for observation but did not require additional therapy, '' the information circulated among Dutch physicians says. The first patient in that Italian region to receive a ventilator was ventilated for eighteen days, while he was relatively healthy. "It was a 38-year-old, otherwise very healthy man, who ran marathons
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 16, 2020, 09:41:19 AM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 15, 2020, 09:45:35 PM
Just getting back from Telluride, Colorado ski resort.  The governor of Colorado last night declared that all ski resorts within the state of Colorado to be closed immediately. 

So, as we were leaving the airport to fly back home, a lot of people were arriving to find out that the ski resort was closed and that their holiday planning had been undone.  Let's just say I was glad I was leaving and not one of the poor airlines, hotel or car rental employees who had to deal with all the mad and upset travelers that were hoping to go skiing. 


I was skiing in Austria just over two weeks ago and everything was completely normal. Yesterday they closed all the resorts, banned gatherings of five people or more and the border with Germany is closed.

From normality to unprecedented in a fortnight.

I feel sorry for those taking a later trip (with still a month of the normal season to run) who travelled out in all innocence - but the circumstances are exceptional.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Quinzel on March 16, 2020, 11:59:07 AM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 01:25:52 AM
Spain is pretty much going on full lockdown now... And the Spanish Prime Ministers wife has tested positive.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8112691/Drunk-British-holidaymakers-clash-police-armed-batons-Benidorm.html

A client has just called me from Spain. Police walking the streets forcing people home.

I'm dumbfounded by some of the replies from people who could stay at home, but just won't, because they don't want to be told what to do. If not for yourself, surely for others?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southdowns White on March 16, 2020, 01:21:35 PM
Has anyone on here actually had it yet or even personally know anyone (well enough to have a conversation)who has had it and got over it. I only know of one person, I do not know him but he plays in a band with a friend of mine, two days in bed last week flu like pains and now a cough but he feels much better.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 16, 2020, 01:29:44 PM
I understand if you're vulnerable you should probably stay in. What I'm uncertain about is total lock down. If we all stay in doors it reduces the risk of catching it but you're not working so how are you going to pay your bills and queue for loo rolls. Coronavirus isn't just going to disappear.  Surely when we all venture back onto the streets the whole thing will kick off again? Or am I missing something?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 16, 2020, 02:46:53 PM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 08:45:31 PM
An ex.policeman, aged 59, was one of those who died in the UK today, the youngest UK victim so far


This over 70 thing is possibly because most of those people are retired (with a few exceptions) and they want to keep.the general.work.force out there doing their thing a bit longer before they do have to.restrict further.
I think other countries have reported a significant number of people in their 50s passing away from it (usually with underlying conditions such as diabetes, heart issues, etc.

Under 50s account for two thirds of the general population and are far more exposed to the virus through school, college, work, commuting, clubs, bars, events etc than the average 70 year old. If the virus affected all age groups equally, you'd expect the hospitals to be almost entirely filled with under 50s for those reasons. Despite some cases affecting younger people, it's clearly likely to affect older people worse. Everyone has to do their part here IMO. Younger people need to look out for older people, but older people need to heed the official advice to the extent they can, because if they catch the virus, they're more likely to end up taking a ventilator that could be used to save someone else.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 16, 2020, 02:50:31 PM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 16, 2020, 01:29:44 PM
Coronavirus isn't just going to disappear.  Surely when we all venture back onto the streets the whole thing will kick off again? Or am I missing something?

The percentage by which the number of cases goes up day-on-day in Italy is already decreasing. These controls seem to be working just as they did in China. If it takes a two-month total lockdown to control the virus in the UK, then in 6 months we have to do it all over again, so what?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 04:03:38 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 02:50:31 PM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 16, 2020, 01:29:44 PM
Coronavirus isn't just going to disappear.  Surely when we all venture back onto the streets the whole thing will kick off again? Or am I missing something?

The percentage by which the number of cases goes up day-on-day in Italy is already decreasing. These controls seem to be working just as they did in China. If it takes a two-month total lockdown to control the virus in the UK, then in 6 months we have to do it all over again, so what?
but Italy is now doing what We are doing and what China never did, they are no longer testing people  at home, so of course the numbers will go down. Doesn't mean the infection rate has though
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 16, 2020, 04:21:41 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 04:03:38 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 02:50:31 PM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 16, 2020, 01:29:44 PM
Coronavirus isn't just going to disappear.  Surely when we all venture back onto the streets the whole thing will kick off again? Or am I missing something?

The percentage by which the number of cases goes up day-on-day in Italy is already decreasing. These controls seem to be working just as they did in China. If it takes a two-month total lockdown to control the virus in the UK, then in 6 months we have to do it all over again, so what?
but Italy is now doing what We are doing and what China never did, they are no longer testing people  at home, so of course the numbers will go down. Doesn't mean the infection rate has though
It's absolutely true that the absence of comprehensive testing means that the statistics are largely whimsical although many scientists/medics/professionals in the business of working with figures will claim that small scale data are much better than nothing.  The crux of that claim will always be 'but how much better than nothing?'  In an epidemic you need to have a big picture and we don't seem to have one.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 16, 2020, 04:45:40 PM
Just been watching today's WHO press conference, and theai  guy said that the One Thing that he wants the Government's of the World to take from today was to "Test, Test, Test !!!" Otherwise it is " like fighting a fire blindfolded ".

UK government continues not to test.

Boris is up in a minute with the first of his daily updates.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 05:18:46 PM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 16, 2020, 04:45:40 PM
Just been watching today's WHO press conference, and theai  guy said that the One Thing that he wants the Government's of the World to take from today was to "Test, Test, Test !!!" Otherwise it is " like fighting a fire blindfolded ".

UK government continues not to test.

Boris is up in a minute with the first of his daily updates.
test test test and then do what you were told to do even if you hadn't been tested. Makes little sense to me.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 16, 2020, 05:24:14 PM
They tested 5,000 people on Saturday
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 05:26:12 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 05:24:14 PM
They tested 5,000 people on Saturday
and by the time they all got home they could have picked it up from somewhere.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 16, 2020, 05:28:40 PM
As said, not testing means that  essential NHS and care staff are self isolating for weeks or months,, when they may only have a cold or flu, thus their services are lost when most needed.

Also, people self isolating en-masse, when they may not have it, or just because they are in a certain age group but are perfectly fit, causes unnecessary alienation, distress and panic, not to mention the effects on the economy - causing  even greater distress and problems in the future.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 05:33:37 PM
Quote from: RaySmith on March 16, 2020, 05:28:40 PM
As said, not testing means that  essential NHS and care staff are self isolating for weeks or months,, when they may only have a cold or flu, thus their services are lost when most needed.

Also, people self isolating en-masse, when they may not have it, or just because they are in a certain age group but are perfectly fit, causes unnecessary alienation, distress and panic, not to mention the effects on the economy - causing  even greater distress and problems in the future.
so how often do we test, every hour, day, week, once a year?  If it's not at least daily on every person then it's kinda of pointless as you could have infected dozens in a day depending on your daily routine.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 16, 2020, 05:38:53 PM
There was a little half truth or deception about testing in the PM's broadcast.  The current test is for presence of the virus which will also indicate positive for someone who has no symptoms.  Currently the UK is testing people with symptoms and then finding the symptoms are not because of Covid-19, which is not the same as testing people who don't have symptoms but find they are indeed infected and therefore infectious to others. 

Likewise there is a very important test currently being devised or designed to identify the question of immunity post infection but no indication of when it may be available.  The whole argument about comprehensive testing is to identify people who are carriers of the virus regardless of how healthy they may feel, because they are the ones likely infecting others. 

As fulhamben and RaySmith suggest the Government are not exactly making sense when that is what is needed.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 05:43:42 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 16, 2020, 05:38:53 PM
There was a little half truth or deception about testing in the PM's broadcast.  The current test is for presence of the virus which will also indicate positive for someone who has no symptoms.  Currently the UK is testing people with symptoms and then finding the symptoms are not because of Covid-19, which is not the same as testing people who don't have symptoms but find they are indeed infected and therefore infectious to others. 

Likewise there is a very important test currently being devised or designed to identify the question of immunity post infection but no indication of when it may be available.  The whole argument about comprehensive testing is to identify people who are carriers of the virus regardless of how healthy they may feel, because they are the ones likely infecting others. 

As fulhamben and RaySmith suggest the Government are not exactly making sense when that is what is needed.
27 days is the highest recorded incubation period at the moment. Which is scary stuff. But yes we need a test to find out who's had it, not who does or doesn't currently have it. As like I say you could contract it one minute after taking your test.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: f321ffc on March 16, 2020, 06:03:23 PM
PM advice,  avoid pubs clubs a theatres what sort of advice is that either make venues shut or don't give sh@t advice.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"

Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 16, 2020, 06:32:18 PM
So many 'experts', so much noise, so little knowledge.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 06:40:04 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 16, 2020, 06:32:18 PM
So many 'experts', so much noise, so little knowledge.
exactly that. Bbc got 200 scientist to sign a petition against government strategy, and not one of them was a virologist.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 06:41:39 PM
Fa has basically just suspended all grass roots football
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: f321ffc on March 16, 2020, 06:47:15 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"

Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Sensible advice? To mix with others in enclosed spaces, what about the bar staff probably on zero hours contracts too frightened not to go to work .
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 06:49:08 PM
Quote from: f321ffc on March 16, 2020, 06:47:15 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"

Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Sensible advice? To mix with others in enclosed spaces, what about the bar staff probably on zero hours contracts too frightened not to go to work .
dont forget supermarket staff too. They are mixing with far more people than bar staff would.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: f321ffc on March 16, 2020, 07:02:01 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 06:49:08 PM
Quote from: f321ffc on March 16, 2020, 06:47:15 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"

Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Sensible advice? To mix with others in enclosed spaces, what about the bar staff probably on zero hours contracts too frightened not to go to work .
dont forget supermarket staff too. They are mixing with far more people than bar staff would.
Very true, in Spain the numbers allowed into supermarkets are restricted so as to keep customers distant from staff, and in pharmacies one customer at a time and must keep 2 metres away from staff.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 16, 2020, 08:22:51 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"

Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.

Agreed

The way I interpret it, today I was advised that if I carry on going to the office, pubs etc, I risk getting infected with a disease that could kill me and/or passing it on to many others who could also be killed

So I'm not going to the office, pubs etc. anymore.

Simple.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 08:41:52 PM
The grand national has been cancelled
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 16, 2020, 08:43:34 PM
Boat Race gone😵
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 10:13:50 PM
Right this is getting Damn silly now. My local is shutting down on Friday.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 17, 2020, 01:53:06 AM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 16, 2020, 08:43:34 PM
Boat Race gone😵

  SUNK
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on March 17, 2020, 06:39:56 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 08:22:51 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"

Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.

Agreed

The way I interpret it, today I was advised that if I carry on going to the office, pubs etc, I risk getting infected with a disease that could kill me and/or passing it on to many others who could also be killed

So I'm not going to the office, pubs etc. anymore.

Simple.

The problem is this disease is spreading exponential, which means the time it takes to increase the worldwide deaths from 1 per day to 1,000 per day (taking about 3 months) is the same time it takes to increase from 1,000 per day to 1,000,000 per day (say another 3 months). We cannot let 1,000,000 people per day die by late June, the other truth their is little point banning pubs and not banning non-essential work outside the house. Total lockdown is the only solution, Wuhan style not Milan style.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 17, 2020, 07:22:47 AM
The crucial actions required within the UK plan is avoidance of non-essential high risk contact but there is a certain naivety at work because we do not know where the high risks are.  What if a member of your household has the virus without symptoms, has infected everybody else, and you are all feeling okay but infecting others everywhere you go.  The epidemiologist who has been advising the WHO has told people that the virus is carried in the air as an aerosol and needs no special delivery other than the infected person breathing out.  The experts say a safe distance is 1 to 2 metres which is a pretty wide metric, but the crucial missing piece of the jigsaw is whether or not infection plus survival equals immunity.  The Government talks of herd immunity to hold the rate of infection back without knowing anything more about this virus than any other nation knows.  And, as we testing fewer people than many other nations, we are unlikely to learn very much more than how overstretched our NHS is, something we have known about for many years.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 08:33:13 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 17, 2020, 06:39:56 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 08:22:51 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"

Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.

Agreed

The way I interpret it, today I was advised that if I carry on going to the office, pubs etc, I risk getting infected with a disease that could kill me and/or passing it on to many others who could also be killed

So I'm not going to the office, pubs etc. anymore.

Simple.

The problem is this disease is spreading exponential, which means the time it takes to increase the worldwide deaths from 1 per day to 1,000 per day (taking about 3 months) is the same time it takes to increase from 1,000 per day to 1,000,000 per day (say another 3 months). We cannot let 1,000,000 people per day die by late June, the other truth their is little point banning pubs and not banning non-essential work outside the house. Total lockdown is the only solution, Wuhan style not Milan style.
wuhan style? Now I'm going to be quite kind here as the vast majority wouldn't have seen some of the things that actually happened in Wuhan, but that is not plan that we want to emulate.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 17, 2020, 10:10:39 AM
There is something quite interesting about the data for the Diamond Princess Cruise ship, which is really a limited experience of a Covid-19 in lockdown after an outbreak of infections.   The age groups of passengers show a very low sample of young people aged less than twenty years, and a very high sample of people aged sixty years or older.  The lowest non-infection rate percentage was around 75% for people aged eighty years or older with all other age groups better than that with an overall average of 82.7 to 83.9 percent who did not contract the disease. Note that there was no marked difference between young and old age infection rates and the 60-69 age group stayed slightly healthier than did the teenagers.

Slightly less than half the passengers who were infected showed no symptoms.   None of the children tested positive had symptoms with the younger and older passengers showing as similarly asymptomatic in percentage terms.   Of the fatalities all seven were aged seventy or older.  The infection fatality rate ranged from 0.38 to 2.7% an average of 1.2% (too small a sample for certainty).

Meanwhile away from the lockdown on a ship, China is looking at deaths per million population in the lower twenties, while Italy is currently showing a per million population rate in the lower one hundred and twenties and rising.   

Food for thought, perhaps.     
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Plodder on March 17, 2020, 12:20:53 PM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 17, 2020, 06:39:56 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 08:22:51 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"

Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.

Agreed

The way I interpret it, today I was advised that if I carry on going to the office, pubs etc, I risk getting infected with a disease that could kill me and/or passing it on to many others who could also be killed

So I'm not going to the office, pubs etc. anymore.

Simple.

The problem is this disease is spreading exponential, which means the time it takes to increase the worldwide deaths from 1 per day to 1,000 per day (taking about 3 months) is the same time it takes to increase from 1,000 per day to 1,000,000 per day (say another 3 months). We cannot let 1,000,000 people per day die by late June, the other truth their is little point banning pubs and not banning non-essential work outside the house. Total lockdown is the only solution, Wuhan style not Milan style.

There are no easy or good solutions, and no one can be certain of anything. However, in my judgement as thigs stand, the damage to individuals and societies resulting from a "total lockdown Wuhan style" would be far, far greater than any damage the virus itself could cause. Mass poverty, homelessness and rocketing domestic violence (to take just three consequences) should not be underestimated. My hope is that after a month or so of this, people will start to see the level of misery and despair lockdown causes and be forced to answer uncomfortable and difficult questions.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 17, 2020, 01:23:43 PM
All horse racing stopped from tomorrow, Cineworld and other cinemas across the country to shut.
Some towns now seeing lots of their pubs closing.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 17, 2020, 01:45:07 PM
Meanwhile on the good news front the anti-malarial drug chloroquine (which has already been named as a component of some forms of the vaccine) has been used in China and South Korea to reduce the time taken for patients with fairly difficult symptoms to recover and release hospital beds faster.  A potential treatment at least for some.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).

And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).

Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.

Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.

Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!


Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:31:35 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).

And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).

Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.

Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.

Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!

Best you leave then mate .

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:37:11 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:31:35 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).

And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).

Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.

Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.

Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!

Best you leave then mate .



Or best we start questioning and demanding more from those we pay (we pay them remember) to look after us? Maybe that? Rather than a ridiculous nationalistic nonsense 'best you leave mate'. If you ave an elderly relative die because this government assumed it knew better than just about every country/scientist in the world and did the exact opposite, only to then realise that actually they were right, will you then be angry at them? Or still back them and 'they must know best', good old tories, etc?

Honest question.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:37:11 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:31:35 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).

And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).

Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.

Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.

Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!

Best you leave then mate .



Or best we start questioning and demanding more from those we pay (we pay them remember) to look after us? Maybe that? Rather than a ridiculous nationalistic nonsense 'best you leave mate'. If you ave an elderly relative die because this government assumed it knew better than just about every country/scientist in the world and did the exact opposite, only to then realise that actually they were right, will you then be angry at them? Or still back them and 'they must know best', good old tories, etc?

Honest question.

What is nationalistic about that.?
Damned if they do ,damned if they dont.
My work has disappeared  i am self employed and work in exhibition freight worldwide.
But not blaming anyone .
Would your mate Corbyn have done better?
Get over it mate you lost.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:57:07 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:37:11 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:31:35 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).

And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).

Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.

Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.

Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!

Best you leave then mate .



Or best we start questioning and demanding more from those we pay (we pay them remember) to look after us? Maybe that? Rather than a ridiculous nationalistic nonsense 'best you leave mate'. If you ave an elderly relative die because this government assumed it knew better than just about every country/scientist in the world and did the exact opposite, only to then realise that actually they were right, will you then be angry at them? Or still back them and 'they must know best', good old tories, etc?

Honest question.

What is nationalistic about that.?
Damned if they do ,damned if they dont.
My work has disappeared  i am self employed and work in exhibition freight worldwide.
But not blaming anyone .
Would your mate Corbyn have done better?
Get over it mate you lost.

It's not about winning or losing, mate. We all lost. It's just taking time for others (the so called 'winners') to realise that. Which some now are.

To be clear, I am far from Corbyn's biggest fan. But he was the lesser of two evils. Given the situation you've outline above I'm staggered you didn't vote in your interests (and I'm truly sorry that this covid nonsense will be affecting you adversely). But the Tory party have never, ever, at any point in history had anyone other than their rich benefactors in mind/heart. Anyone who is not a multi-millionaire (literally, not just 1m house and a nice car) should not be voting for them. Sad that it will take something like this, and their priorities to be apparent, for folk to see.

It's not damned if you do, dmaned if you don't. He has willfully backed large insurance companies, against small business and self employed. After the statement yesterday 'don't go to pubs,restaurants, theatres, etc, but we're not actually closing them (so they can claim insurance)', how many do you think will survive even a few weeks? What will be left? And the people who have worked tirelessy for years to build up their business. Awful.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.

Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:05:20 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.

Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?

Apparently so. And it's seemingly quite widespread. Politics reduced to tribal football type following. Worrying times. More worrying than Covid-19 if I'm honest.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:08:55 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:05:20 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.

Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?

Apparently so. And it's seemingly quite widespread. Politics reduced to tribal football type following. Worrying times. More worrying than Covid-19 if I'm honest.


its what happens when a large amount of people can not accept results of ref and ge's. hell there's a few demanding that corbyn 😂 be installed as an emergency pm to get us through this pandemic.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:08:56 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:05:20 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.

Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?

Apparently so. And it's seemingly quite widespread. Politics reduced to tribal football type following. Worrying times. More worrying than Covid-19 if I'm honest.



And actually, it's worse, as it's from the press too. On Twitter, there were loads of journalists (I'm sure you can guess the publications) jumping on/ridiculing anyone who dare question the government (when they were doing the opposite of the rest of the world/world health organization suggested).


Fast forward the weekend and, lo and behold, it wasn't that the entire world was wrong, it was in fact us who were wrong. And then STILL in this very thread, you're jumped on and asked to leave the country if you then question the fact that they have risked (and likely killed, given three more days of full movement) thousands of our lives.

It really is madness what has happened to this country. People so polarised. Desperate to appear to have 'won' rather than actually have a safe/better life. I give up!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 03:09:52 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PM
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.

Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?

Works both ways .
As shown before  left wingers like to dish it out but cant take it back.
The left and Momentum created this hatred in politics.
The politics of envy

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamfan on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power

Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.

I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
and yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hats
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MikeTheCubed on March 17, 2020, 03:17:36 PM
Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power

Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM

Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.

I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.

Where on this forum has anyone blamed Corbyn for COVID-19?  :doh:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
and yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hats


You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:25:56 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
and yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hats


You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
and you know we could have lowered most things whilst still being in the Eu and never did right
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:33:16 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:25:56 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
and yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hats


You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
and you know we could have lowered most things whilst still being in the Eu and never did right

'most' being the key word here.

Look, let's agree to disagree? You think the current Tory party are great, Get Brexit Done, Boris will look after us, etc. I think that, given NATO stepped in and called their treatment of disabled people a 'human rights violation' just a couple of years ago, they are possibly the worse and most wilfully evil government in history and that, if they had been in the middle east, we would probably be invading to stage an intervention and save them from themselves (a la Sadaam and co). #

So it's fair to say you and I won't agree any time soon, so let's stick to our common interest Fulham (mind you I think we fell out over Rodak too, so... haha).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:45:14 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:33:16 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:25:56 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
and yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hats


You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
and you know we could have lowered most things whilst still being in the Eu and never did right

'most' being the key word here.

Look, let's agree to disagree? You think the current Tory party are great, Get Brexit Done, Boris will look after us, etc. I think that, given NATO stepped in and called their treatment of disabled people a 'human rights violation' just a couple of years ago, they are possibly the worse and most wilfully evil government in history and that, if they had been in the middle east, we would probably be invading to stage an intervention and save them from themselves (a la Sadaam and co). #

So it's fair to say you and I won't agree any time soon, so let's stick to our common interest Fulham (mind you I think we fell out over Rodak too, so... haha).
ala sad dam and co? Not a great example considering it was a labour government who took us in illegally to over throw him 😂
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:45:40 PM
Lots of schools in Ealing are shutting from tomorrow
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:01:52 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:45:14 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:33:16 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:25:56 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
and yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hats


You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
and you know we could have lowered most things whilst still being in the Eu and never did right

'most' being the key word here.

Look, let's agree to disagree? You think the current Tory party are great, Get Brexit Done, Boris will look after us, etc. I think that, given NATO stepped in and called their treatment of disabled people a 'human rights violation' just a couple of years ago, they are possibly the worse and most wilfully evil government in history and that, if they had been in the middle east, we would probably be invading to stage an intervention and save them from themselves (a la Sadaam and co). #

So it's fair to say you and I won't agree any time soon, so let's stick to our common interest Fulham (mind you I think we fell out over Rodak too, so... haha).
ala sad dam and co? Not a great example considering it was a labour government who took us in illegally to over throw him 😂

Amazed (well, not really, it seems to be par for the course with the selective right-wing viewing..) that is the one thing you took from that. Not the fact that our own government have been committing human rights abuses and a sustained attack on the working class and poorest in society. That's all fine.

And yeah, Labour government took him out lol (you'll find it was the might of the US military and we were simply patsies, as we always are, and as your boy Boris is right now, but anyway...).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:08:39 PM
bloody hell you got all that off your chest,
is the ranting now over
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 17, 2020, 04:21:33 PM
"You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?"

Actually we have. By agreement, for 2020 we are trading with the EU on the same basis as when we were members, but legally and politically we are no longer a member.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:24:04 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 17, 2020, 04:21:33 PM
we are trading with the EU on the same basis as when we were members

Just amended that for you to highlight the point relevant to the discussion we were having. All rules and regulations are, at present, exactly the same.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 17, 2020, 04:40:15 PM
Yes, the rules relating to trade remain the same 'til the end of December. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: snarks on March 17, 2020, 04:43:09 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:24:04 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 17, 2020, 04:21:33 PM
we are trading with the EU on the same basis as when we were members

Just amended that for you to highlight the point relevant to the discussion we were having. All rules and regulations are, at present, exactly the same.

True and this thread will be locked soon, this government has already said it will diverge from Europe in regard to the Human Rights Act, reduce worker protections etc as soon as they can do which is 31 December 2020
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:49:06 PM
Quote from: snarks on March 17, 2020, 04:43:09 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:24:04 PM
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 17, 2020, 04:21:33 PM
we are trading with the EU on the same basis as when we were members

Just amended that for you to highlight the point relevant to the discussion we were having. All rules and regulations are, at present, exactly the same.

True and this thread will be locked soon, this government has already said it will diverge from Europe in regard to the Human Rights Act, reduce worker protections etc as soon as they can do which is 31 December 2020

Which would be a shame as no one is being outright rude to anyone, merely exchanging viewpoints. But yes, they have, you're right. People seem to have selective vision though as to what they see and miss (or, being less courteous, 'don't do politics' so just take what they see in the Sun/Mail/Torygraph as gospel).

A real shame.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread


I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.

It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.

I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.

But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MikeTheCubed on March 17, 2020, 05:05:00 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:49:06 PM
Which would be a shame as no one is being outright rude to anyone, merely exchanging viewpoints. But yes, they have, you're right. People seem to have selective vision though as to what they see and miss (or, being less courteous, 'don't do politics' so just take what they see in the Sun/Mail/Torygraph as gospel).

A real shame.

Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power

Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM

Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.

I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.

:doh:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:07:39 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on March 17, 2020, 05:05:00 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:49:06 PM
Which would be a shame as no one is being outright rude to anyone, merely exchanging viewpoints. But yes, they have, you're right. People seem to have selective vision though as to what they see and miss (or, being less courteous, 'don't do politics' so just take what they see in the Sun/Mail/Torygraph as gospel).

A real shame.

Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power

Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM

Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.

I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.

:doh:

Pray tell, who those were being directly rude to? *facepalm*

My own comment 'a nation of idiots' would include myself, no? Being born not far from the cottage. So, with generalising like that, anyone choosing to take that as a slur upon themselves is doing exactly that. Choosing to make it about themselves.

Good day x
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:10:37 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread


I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.

It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.

I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.

But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me. 
said party didn't go against all advice, in fact it was quite the opposite.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MikeTheCubed on March 17, 2020, 05:10:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:07:39 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on March 17, 2020, 05:05:00 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:49:06 PM
Which would be a shame as no one is being outright rude to anyone, merely exchanging viewpoints. But yes, they have, you're right. People seem to have selective vision though as to what they see and miss (or, being less courteous, 'don't do politics' so just take what they see in the Sun/Mail/Torygraph as gospel).

A real shame.

Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power

Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM

Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.

I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.

:doh:

Pray tell, who those were being directly rude to? *facepalm*

My own comment 'a nation of idiots' would include myself, no? Being born not far from the cottage. So, with generalising like that, anyone choosing to take that as a slur upon themselves is doing exactly that. Choosing to make it about themselves.

Good day x


Well I agree with you on one of your points!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:21:51 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:10:37 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread


I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.

It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.

I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.

But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me. 
said party didn't go against all advice, in fact it was quite the opposite.

Oh dear god. Where have you been? We're not talking about Dominic Cummins and Patrick Vallance. The World Health Organisation, several medical councils, just about every other 'Expert' in every other country, told them it was wrong and pleaded with them to change. How have you not seen any of that? They choose to listen to the ones that wanted/briefed. The plan that caused least harm (short term at least, they've messed themselves up now!) to the economy at the expense of human life.

And guess what? As of yesterday, turns out all those other experts/countries were right. They won. Get over it etc.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:30:48 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:21:51 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:10:37 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread


I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.

It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.

I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.

But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me. 
said party didn't go against all advice, in fact it was quite the opposite.

Oh dear god. Where have you been? We're not talking about Dominic Cummins and Patrick Vallance. The World Health Organisation, several medical councils, just about every other 'Expert' in every other country, told them it was wrong and pleaded with them to change. How have you not seen any of that? They choose to listen to the ones that wanted/briefed. The plan that caused least harm (short term at least, they've messed themselves up now!) to the economy at the expense of human life.

And guess what? As of yesterday, turns out all those other experts/countries were right. They won. Get over it etc.
as you know we were at different stages. But yes big mistakes were made. As soon as the virus was known about we should have shut our borders to all foreign nationals and quarantined every British National returning home. Hopefully legislation will be put in place to prevent another outcome like this in the future. Although I doubt it as we are still letting flights in from mainland Europe, which is just crazy
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 17, 2020, 05:34:39 PM
Having watched episodes 1 & 2 of the new daily UK soap, 'Boris & Friends', I must admit it would be worth a chuckle were it not such a serious subject being derided by a bunch of not very good comedians.

They are not tackling Coronavirus at all.  They are tackling the effects of not tackling Coronavirus.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:48:15 PM
Apparently all European leagues have committed to finishing their leagues by June 30th. Which as we all know means very little at the moment. But the calendar has been extended by a month
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 17, 2020, 06:19:26 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:48:15 PM
Apparently all European leagues have committed to finishing their leagues by June 30th. Which as we all know means very little at the moment. But the calendar has been extended by a month

Think they clutching at straws.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 17, 2020, 06:19:26 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:48:15 PM
Apparently all European leagues have committed to finishing their leagues by June 30th. Which as we all know means very little at the moment. But the calendar has been extended by a month

Think they clutching at straws.
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 17, 2020, 06:46:17 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.

Seems like a very long-winded way of saying the answer to ben's question is 'no'  086.gif
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 07:02:16 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 17, 2020, 06:46:17 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.

Seems like a very long-winded way of saying the answer to ben's question is 'no'  086.gif

They can't as they still bound by EU law until we 'leave'. This has been covered already here, chap!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 07:06:54 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 07:02:16 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 17, 2020, 06:46:17 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.

Seems like a very long-winded way of saying the answer to ben's question is 'no'  086.gif

They can't as they still bound by EU law until we 'leave'. This has been covered already here, chap!
but again, we could have easily lowered all our standards to Eu recommendations should we have choose too. But guess what we didn't. Didn't even try. But we will be raising our standards when we leave, especially in animal welfare where we have committed to the end of transportation of livestock. Something the Eu strangely forbids us from doing. But then they still allow barbaric sports like bull fighting too
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 08:12:06 PM
Horsemeat scandal.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on March 17, 2020, 08:12:30 PM
Overheard a couple of TfL guys chatting on the train tonight & they claim the trains will shortly revert to a Sunday service & parts of the tube will be cancelled for a couple of weeks.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 08:34:07 PM
Quote from: SP on March 17, 2020, 08:12:30 PM
Overheard a couple of TfL guys chatting on the train tonight & they claim the trains will shortly revert to a Sunday service & parts of the tube will be cancelled for a couple of weeks.
yes it's been on the news all day although they called it a weekend service
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Motspur Park on March 18, 2020, 07:25:16 AM
It seems to me that until there is a cure or vaccination available, how can life return to normal? I understand there has been just one new case reported in Wuhan for 2 days running but if Wuhan is released from lockdown and their citizens mix again with residents of other regions and countries who still have the virus, then the problem will resurface as quickly as it was brought under control.

The point I am making is that surely restrictions will only be relaxed when there is a vaccine available or until countries can no longer afford the effects of a lockdown and accept the consequences of the fallout.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ffcne on March 18, 2020, 08:04:56 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread


I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.

It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.

I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.

But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me.

Your first statement was very political.
That is why I reacted.
And you are still trying to score political points in this post.
A few decades back there would be a joint party strategy ,
but sadly not possible now.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 18, 2020, 08:13:56 AM
This is all good.

Interesting video (Youtube) by Dr Roger Seheult (MedCram) about chloroquine and how it allows zinc to protect cells from viral attacks including Covid-19.   This seventeen minute video covers the whole process and discusses papers written in South Korea and China documenting testing processes used there since early February to treat patients.  He keeps the subject interesting, simple and clear.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 18, 2020, 08:18:04 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 18, 2020, 08:13:56 AM
This is all good.

Interesting video (Youtube) by Dr Roger Seheult (MedCram) about chloroquine and how it allows zinc to protect cells from viral attacks including Covid-19.   This seventeen minute video covers the whole process and discusses papers written in South Korea and China documenting testing processes used there since early February to treat patients.  He keeps the subject interesting, simple and clear.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M)

there can be quite a few side effects with chloroquine so anyone thinking of getting some should do their homework first
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 18, 2020, 08:25:36 AM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 18, 2020, 08:18:04 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 18, 2020, 08:13:56 AM
This is all good.

Interesting video (Youtube) by Dr Roger Seheult (MedCram) about chloroquine and how it allows zinc to protect cells from viral attacks including Covid-19.   This seventeen minute video covers the whole process and discusses papers written in South Korea and China documenting testing processes used there since early February to treat patients.  He keeps the subject interesting, simple and clear.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M)

there can be quite a few side effects with chloroquine so anyone thinking of getting some should do their homework first
It's prescription only but safe to be used (as explained in the video) for 5-7 days.  Testing in France for shorter periods has reduced infection time to seven days or less.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 18, 2020, 10:06:53 AM
Here, it's loo rolls and soap that you can't get but in Germany they're hamstering sausages and cheese. That's the Wurst-Käse scenario.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Sting of the North on March 18, 2020, 10:07:53 AM
Quote from: Holders on March 18, 2020, 10:06:53 AM
Here, it's loo rolls and soap that you can't get but in Germany they're hamstering sausages and cheese. That's the Würst-Käse scenario.

:005:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 18, 2020, 10:45:28 AM
A little snippet of information that may add to the benefits of chloroquine.

'As of February 26, 2020, the UK government has added chloroquine to the list of medicines that cannot be parallel exported from the UK.  Chloroquine was never on this list before.  This likely happened because of the growing body of evidence of chloroquine's effectiveness against coronavirus.' (from a recent research paper on anti-viral studies in Europe)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 18, 2020, 12:14:25 PM
Interesting preliminary findings from China that people with blood type A may be more vulnerable to the disease than those with type O (62% more deaths). No comment as to the distribution of the types in the population or whether they've balanced for this but it's from scientists and doctors so one would assume so.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 18, 2020, 01:19:35 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 07:02:16 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 17, 2020, 06:46:17 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.

There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.

100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).

less rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single one

You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.

Seems like a very long-winded way of saying the answer to ben's question is 'no'  086.gif

They can't as they still bound by EU law until we 'leave'. This has been covered already here, chap!

I left the bar stewards a long time ago, round about the time of the Battle of Waterloo 18th June 1815.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 18, 2020, 04:41:48 PM
Racegoers at Cheltenham reportedly showing virus symptoms. Whoever would have thought it?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: keithh on March 18, 2020, 05:01:30 PM
My local school may have to close no matter what the Government says as today nearly 20% of the teachers went into self-isolation.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 18, 2020, 05:56:08 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PM
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Indeed. Terribly disappointing news - a further 475 deaths in the last 24 hours and after 9 nine days of a severe lockdown.   All this in a country with twice as many intensive care beds, twice as many doctors and 50 more hospital beds per 100,000 of population. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 18, 2020, 06:12:43 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 18, 2020, 05:56:08 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PM
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Indeed. Terribly disappointing news - a further 475 deaths in the last 24 hours and after 9 nine days of a severe lockdown.   All this in a country with twice as many intensive care beds, twice as many doctors and 50 more hospital beds per 100,000 of population. 
Numbers in Italy as a percentage of existing cases are way down this week. 13% day on day increase today. A few days ago it was around 18-19% and a few days before that it was 20-25%. Positive signs.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 18, 2020, 06:20:18 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 18, 2020, 06:12:43 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 18, 2020, 05:56:08 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PM
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Indeed. Terribly disappointing news - a further 475 deaths in the last 24 hours and after 9 nine days of a severe lockdown.   All this in a country with twice as many intensive care beds, twice as many doctors and 50 more hospital beds per 100,000 of population. 
Numbers in Italy as a percentage of existing cases are way down this week. 13% day on day increase today. A few days ago it was around 18-19% and a few days before that it was 20-25%. Positive signs.
is percentage best way to judge it, because the percentage has gone down but actual numbers have gone up by way over 4000.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:34:18 PM
All schools to close from Friday.
That's all we need the brats roaming the streets and town centres for how long.
They should be staying in doors but they want that's a certainty😣
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PM
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 18, 2020, 07:34:43 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 18, 2020, 06:12:43 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 18, 2020, 05:56:08 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PM
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Indeed. Terribly disappointing news - a further 475 deaths in the last 24 hours and after 9 nine days of a severe lockdown.   All this in a country with twice as many intensive care beds, twice as many doctors and 50 more hospital beds per 100,000 of population. 
Numbers in Italy as a percentage of existing cases are way down this week. 13% day on day increase today. A few days ago it was around 18-19% and a few days before that it was 20-25%. Positive signs.
The number of fatalities is not encouraging though, especially as they have been taking more stringent measures than the UK, no wonder the value of the pound is crashing! Not sure what the positive signs are that you are referring to? Statistics are only a guide they don´t mean anything unless everybody is tested, sample analysis is not conclusive just a guide, but then you know that.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 18, 2020, 07:44:16 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PM
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness
Totally agree, please let me know the name of your supermarket, because it is worse than that in our main local supermarket i.e. Tesco. Already posted another thread about self isolation, which I have now breached because the next available online shopping delivery date is about 3 weeks away, so (on my own and I hate shopping) I visited Tesco´s and could not believe how many shelves were empty! It would have been better to make a list of things we didn´t need! Absolutely disgusting the way the public are behaving, next went to Lidl´s and I loved their slogans "when it is gone, it´s gone"! Shame they don´t sell Gordons and but they have now run out of Sauvignon Blanc! Close all the shops and supermarkets and bring back food rationing, something I didn´t experience in World War 2, but born shortly afterwards!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 08:12:25 PM
 Tesco and Waitrose....Madness
I see someone in Bournemouth bought 20 boxes of 360 tea bags.....Crazy😵

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 18, 2020, 08:17:46 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PM
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness

Was there any Viagra left.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 18, 2020, 08:30:46 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 18, 2020, 08:17:46 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PM
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness

Was there any Viagra left.
Good question which I can´t answer, I was searching for a stiff drink!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 18, 2020, 08:56:55 PM
do not take Viagra at this time of crises
because they cannot nail the coffin lid down..
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fulham76 on March 18, 2020, 09:42:36 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PM
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness

Hopefully these freaks will stock up on condoms, (and put em to good use), to prevent them producing any more f-ing idiots like themselves.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 19, 2020, 07:07:53 AM
40 Underground Stations in London closed
from this morning.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 19, 2020, 07:34:04 AM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 19, 2020, 07:07:53 AM
40 Underground Stations in London closed
from this morning.
well let's hope none of them are ones that drs nurses police fireman and teachers rely on
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AM
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case.  If this holds true over the next several days it will confirm seasonal (three month) nature of viral infection increase.  Meanwhile Italy seems to confirm the need for personal auto immunity (natural and built up over time) rather than using medicines to fight off infections except where absolutely necessary. 

Nothing to say about the UK effort which is a farcical collapse of a house of cards over three days by a clown who is now being stripped of any costume he was claiming to be wearing.  Inadequate is an inadequate word for him.  I wish I could see some signs of him changing for the better but there is nowt there.

More attention being paid to increasing testing regimes is a welcome sign of some seemingly impregnable grey matter at last being reached.  Someone elsewhere has made a point about testing kits being a commercial product and wondering why our great corporate thinkers aren't on the job already.  Maybe theyr're all self confined in a corner somewhere!

Perhaps we will at last find out which of us is carrying the virus and which of us is at risk to infections from these carriers and gain some measure of control over who needs to stay in doors and who doesn't. In the meantime I may be infected (how would I know any different?) and will continue to confine myself to the odd need to find and buy food every few days and having online conversations with family and friends whenever possible.  Keep safe people.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 19, 2020, 08:35:56 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AM
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case. 
There has been no new cases of infection in Wuhan so don't know what you mean. And there is no evidence that it is seasonal
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:48:20 AM
Quote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 08:35:56 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AM
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case. 
There has been no new cases of infection in Wuhan so don't know what you mean. And there is no evidence that it is seasonal
Peak rate mean no more infections (read up about epidemiological curves please).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 19, 2020, 09:30:33 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:48:20 AM
Quote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 08:35:56 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AM
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case. 
There has been no new cases of infection in Wuhan so don't know what you mean. And there is no evidence that it is seasonal
Peak rate mean no more infections (read up about epidemiological curves please).
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:48:20 AM
Quote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 08:35:56 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AM
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case. 
There has been no new cases of infection in Wuhan so don't know what you mean. And there is no evidence that it is seasonal
Peak rate mean no more infections (read up about epidemiological curves please).
Are you for real? No only patronising but wrong you should do your homework before making a fool of yourself. That would only be true if everybody got sick at the same time as in food poisoning
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 19, 2020, 09:44:19 AM
saying they are bringing retired doctors back into service
if yours is called DR. Harold Shipman head for the hills....
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 09:50:38 AM
You started the patronage, Ged. Get over yourself.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 10:10:47 AM
This is from Joanne Nova a multi-talented blogger in W. Australia who has been banging her drum about Coronavirus from day one.

It covers all the bases, IMO.

The secret is strict walls. We stop feeding the virus fresh bodies and simply out wait the code. Its big weakness is that it can't repair from daily wear and tear. Heat will break the bonds. So will UV. Sooner or later (nine days?) we don't have to do anything and the code disintegrates. One snip and it's powerless.
The great thing about this is certainty and speed

Do it once and do it well, then maintain the barrier around the Virus Zone as it shrinks bit by bit.

Imagine nations split into mosaics of small regions and we clean one at a time and build from there. As each small region is cleared of the virus it can be opened to other clean regions, then clean states join clean states, and finally clean nations connect. This quarantine is only as good as its walls, but it can be done. And it can be maintained and it will keep airlines, events and restaurants alive. Footy games too.

Schools have to go skeleton minimalist (briefly) — all kids who can stay home should stay home. South Korea had emergency classes for children of essential workers and kept class sizes to 10. After the state is clean, schools can run normally again. In the six month Slow-Bleed-Plan schools will have no certainty that they won't be shut down due to infection any day. Flights can't be restored quickly, and after the curve is crushed, freedom is mostly fixed fast.

Inside the No-corona-state everyone has all the freedom that they usually have, they just can't leave and come straight back without a two week quarantine. But restaurants, schools, clubs and pubs are all back on again.

The proviso is that the walls must stay strong. A No-corona state can only afford open travel with other proven No-corona nations. All arrivals from the virus zone will have to be quarantined and not with polite requests but mandatory checks and carefully enforced. But every nation will want to be on the clean list — there is a big incentive to get there and maintain it, and to be honest. Countries caught hiding infections will be dropped like hot potatoes, and lose the right to get back on the list quickly. Poor nations will need help but big clean nations will have healthy economies, and they can assist.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 19, 2020, 10:44:07 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 09:50:38 AM
You started the patronage, Ged. Get over yourself.
deluded
/dɪˈluːdɪd/
adjective
believing something that is not true.
"the poor deluded creature"
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 19, 2020, 11:17:06 AM
Thank God Mr Arteta got ill last week (and subsequently recovered) otherwise I think we would have been looking at huge numbers by now.

Not trying to be flippant, but it took that "famous name" to make the football stop itself, while the government were doing nothing, and that led to the domino effect of other large gatherings stopping over the next few days, until now we are at the nearly t the point where we should have been at least 10 days ago.

Been good to see the stronger measures on transport and schools, but hoping that they go further... I really think the Tube should be closed down except for esseential workers to use.

Once you get more than 10.people in a train car you are pretty much pushing the 'keep your distance' rules.


At least with buses they have natural ventilation .
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 12:27:10 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 10:44:07 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 09:50:38 AM
You started the patronage, Ged. Get over yourself.
deluded
/dɪˈluːdɪd/
adjective
believing something that is not true.
"the poor deluded creature"
"All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusion is called a philosopher." ― Ambrose Bierce

And so, Ged, name calling, animosity and denial get none of us anywhere, on that I hope we agree.  I apologise if I have upset you.

Wuhan appears to have followed the expected three month Gompertz Curve for more serious 'flu types in line with WHO advocacy.  Let us hope they have no more infections and that everywhere else on the planet follows that same pattern, meaning the UK will reach a peak sometime toward the end of May.   Much depends on the UK's testing regime which needs a magnitude of increase above the quantities our PM spoke about on Monday and yesterday.  Thus far we are around 7000 daily tests which is simply not good enough.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: snarks on March 19, 2020, 12:42:55 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 19, 2020, 09:44:19 AM
saying they are bringing retired doctors back into service
if yours is called DR. Harold Shipman head for the hills....

Partly because it will mean the dead are back among the living
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 19, 2020, 01:12:00 PM
didn't know he was brown bread
at last a bit of good news. many thanks.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: RaySmith on March 19, 2020, 01:16:56 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 19, 2020, 01:12:00 PM
didn't know he was brown bread
at last a bit of good news. many thanks.

He topped himself while inside I think.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 19, 2020, 02:30:46 PM
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 19, 2020, 11:17:06 AM
Thank God Mr Arteta got ill last week (and subsequently recovered) otherwise I think we would have been looking at huge numbers by now.

Not trying to be flippant, but it took that "famous name" to make the football stop itself, while the government were doing nothing, and that led to the domino effect of other large gatherings stopping over the next few days, until now we are at the nearly t the point where we should have been at least 10 days ago.

Been good to see the stronger measures on transport and schools, but hoping that they go further... I really think the Tube should be closed down except for esseential workers to use.

Once you get more than 10.people in a train car you are pretty much pushing the 'keep your distance' rules.


At least with buses they have natural ventilation .


It's 6 days since they cancelled the football and 3 days since the other social distancing measures. None of it will have had any effect yet. Under the testing radar, we've probably gone from 10,000 cases to 50,000 cases in that time.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 19, 2020, 02:46:29 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 12:27:10 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 10:44:07 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 09:50:38 AM
You started the patronage, Ged. Get over yourself.
deluded
/dɪˈluːdɪd/
adjective
believing something that is not true.
"the poor deluded creature"
"All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusion is called a philosopher." ― Ambrose Bierce

And so, Ged, name calling, animosity and denial get none of us anywhere, on that I hope we agree.  I apologise if I have upset you.


fair enough
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 19, 2020, 03:11:49 PM
This posted on a local forum today:

Decided not to listen to government advice or 111, because Sandra on Facebook who lives next door turns out to be a microbiologist, national economical expert, housing adviser, mortgage guru, GP and national pandemic specialist .... who'd have thought eh? Only last week she was a full time mummy selling bath bombs on Facebook! ... goes to show, never judge a book by its cover!

:005:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 07:31:54 AM
Meanwhile many 'experts' around the world continue to change their perspectives on an almost daily basis as more information becomes available and different pressure points attract their local attention influencing public announcements and prognostications.

The key expert advice from the WHO remains exactly the same for coronavirus as it was on day one - test, test, test and understand this virus so that you can deal with it.  The countries that have followed this advice are doing notably better than those who didn't and Sandra, bless her heart, may have noticed this.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 20, 2020, 09:34:38 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 07:31:54 AM
Meanwhile many 'experts' around the world continue to change their perspectives on an almost daily basis as more information becomes available and different pressure points attract their local attention influencing public announcements and prognostications.

The key expert advice from the WHO remains exactly the same for coronavirus as it was on day one - test, test, test and understand this virus so that you can deal with it.  The countries that have followed this advice are doing notably better than those who didn't and Sandra, bless her heart, may have noticed this.
? Who day 1 advice was don't worry as it doesn't transmit from human to human.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:20:01 AM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 20, 2020, 09:34:38 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 07:31:54 AM
Meanwhile many 'experts' around the world continue to change their perspectives on an almost daily basis as more information becomes available and different pressure points attract their local attention influencing public announcements and prognostications.

The key expert advice from the WHO remains exactly the same for coronavirus as it was on day one - test, test, test and understand this virus so that you can deal with it.  The countries that have followed this advice are doing notably better than those who didn't and Sandra, bless her heart, may have noticed this.
? Who day 1 advice was don't worry as it doesn't transmit from human to human.
For argument sake day one is the actual human outbreak (infection by person to person) date which even now is in heavy dispute because no one can be clear about what actually happened in China between roughly September/October 2019 and December 2019 when the virus was identified and confirmed in China.  Conspiracy theories abound. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AM
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Black and White Town on March 20, 2020, 11:46:53 AM
Look after yourselves, and each other.
Check on vulnerable neighbours and relatives.

Above all, keep stringent physical distance. Avoid groups.
The best thing everyone can do right now is disrupt the infection pathways to buy enough time to allow the NHS to cope with the massive influx of critical patients who are coming.

Stay safe.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 20, 2020, 11:54:01 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AM
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China

I'm interested in the source for that info. Generally, all I have been able to locate are references to Dec 10, when a person, linked to the generally-accepted source market, presented themselves to a hospital in China and was first treated. Any links you have would be greatly appreciated.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 20, 2020, 12:22:45 PM
Quote from: Black and White Town on March 20, 2020, 11:46:53 AM
Look after yourselves, and each other.
Check on vulnerable neighbours and relatives.

Above all, keep stringent physical distance. Avoid groups.
The best thing everyone can do right now is disrupt the infection pathways to buy enough time to allow the NHS to cope with the massive influx of critical patients who are coming.

Stay safe.
well said
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 20, 2020, 02:24:07 PM
Can't believe people not getting the message about keeping 2 metres apart... Number of times I have been in a queue the last few days, keeping a distance behind the person in front, with the person behind me edging forwards towards me.. I make a pointed step forward, they edge ever nearer.... Idiots.

Folk still packimg on the tube in the morning... This will be the Key reason for it spreading and making us like the unfortunates of Italy in a couple of weeks... Access to the tube needs to be fully controlled Now, only for the few who Really need it.

Once you get more  than about 12 people in a tube car.your are going past the advice of 2m apart.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Milo on March 20, 2020, 02:32:39 PM
Apparently they're fast tracking medical students. Universities are waiving final examinations which is ridiculous!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dr Know on March 20, 2020, 03:01:46 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AM
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
First case reported 17th November 2019 !
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 20, 2020, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: Dr Know on March 20, 2020, 03:01:46 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AM
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
First case reported 17th November 2019 !

Where was that? Source please (genuine interest)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: GloucesterWhite on March 20, 2020, 03:52:12 PM
Farting is now more socially acceptable than coughing or sneezing!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 20, 2020, 03:57:47 PM
Quote from: Logicalman on March 20, 2020, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: Dr Know on March 20, 2020, 03:01:46 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AM
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
First case reported 17th November 2019 !

Where was that? Source please (genuine interest)
From the WHO website:

• A pneumonia of unknown cause detected in Wuhan, China was first reported to the WHO Country Office in China on 31 December 2019.

https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/events-as-they-happen
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 20, 2020, 04:12:58 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 20, 2020, 03:57:47 PM
Quote from: Logicalman on March 20, 2020, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: Dr Know on March 20, 2020, 03:01:46 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AM
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
First case reported 17th November 2019 !

Where was that? Source please (genuine interest)
From the WHO website:

• A pneumonia of unknown cause detected in Wuhan, China was first reported to the WHO Country Office in China on 31 December 2019.

https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/events-as-they-happen
From Wiki
17 November 2019
A confirmed case of the novel coronavirus emerged on 17 November 2019, according to 13 March 2020 reports of official Chinese government sources,[8] but was not recognized at that time. There may have been earlier patients; the search for them continues.[9][10][11]

1 December
The first known patient started experiencing symptoms on 1 December 2019. He had not been to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market of Wuhan. No epidemiological link could be found between this case and later cases.[12][13][14]

8–18 December
Between 8 and 18 December 2019, seven cases later diagnosed with novel coronavirus were documented; two of them were linked with the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market; five were not.[15]

12 December
Chinese state broadcaster CCTV reported in a broadcast airing on 12 January 2020 that a "new viral outbreak was first detected in the city of Wuhan, China, on 12 December 2019."[16]

21 December
Chinese epidemiologists with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CCDC) published an article on 20 January 2020 stating that the first cluster of patients with "pneumonia of an unknown cause" had been identified on 21 December 2019.[17]

24 December
First publicly reported collection of virus sample from patient for genetic sequencing.[18][19][20]

25 December
Report of medical staffs in two hospitals in Wuhan suspected to be infected and were being isolated around 25 December.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 20, 2020, 06:44:30 PM
So finally Johnson is starting to take the obvious measures to reduce the spread, but probably far too late! Anybody know how many cases including mortalities in Italy before they went into lockdown?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Milo on March 20, 2020, 06:48:44 PM
I think he made it clear that lockdown too early and you risk people getting fatigue and breaking the rules after a few weeks. Have to push the button at the right time. Sounds sensible to me.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 20, 2020, 06:57:15 PM
Thanks SouthCoast & Ged, from those found the original story from the South China Morning Post https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3074991/coronavirus-chinas-first-confirmed-covid-19-case-traced-back (https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3074991/coronavirus-chinas-first-confirmed-covid-19-case-traced-back)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 20, 2020, 07:44:40 PM
Quote from: Milo on March 20, 2020, 06:48:44 PM
I think he made it clear that lockdown too early and you risk people getting fatigue and breaking the rules after a few weeks. Have to push the button at the right time. Sounds sensible to me.
Of course it does and to me also, but I am not sure that changing things every few days has a significant effect? Obviously supermarkets and other food shops and pharmacies need to remain open, not trying to be argumentative, but now most children are at home they can go shopping with their parent(s), so more people in the shops during the week than before, increases the risk doesn´t it? By the way I don´t know the answer either! Annoyed me today that I could only buy 3 bottles of wine from Tesco, people must have had some prewarning that pubs were going to shut, not sure if you are allowed 3 items of each wine or 3 bottles in total. I only bought 2 litre bottles of gin though!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Milo on March 20, 2020, 07:53:24 PM
Dave you bring up an important point. 3 bottles of wine is not enough for a Friday night and Boris should be doing more to solve these problems. Jokanovic would find a solution!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on March 20, 2020, 08:04:05 PM
My wife works at a bakery/cafe & the nonsense they're putting up with is ridiculous.  The scary thing is that it's only just started.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 20, 2020, 08:10:31 PM
Quote from: Milo on March 20, 2020, 07:53:24 PM
Dave you bring up an important point. 3 bottles of wine is not enough for a Friday night and Boris should be doing more to solve these problems. Jokanovic would find a solution!
LOL, first time I have smiled for a few days!! Thanks, by the way just to correct 3 bottles is not enough for any night!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 20, 2020, 09:25:20 PM
My wife is a Pharmacist Technician at our local hospital, and I have been fairly laid back about it, but she is on the front line and has convinced me this is no picnic, believe me everyone must take it seriously. Seven people have already died in her hospital in the last week due to this virus, so we all must be vigilant, and this is just the beginning.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 20, 2020, 09:43:34 PM
An email to staff seen by the Health Service Journal said: "I am writing to let you know that we have this evening declared a 'critical incident' in relation to our critical care capacity at Northwick Park Hospital. This is due to an increasing number of patients with Covid-19.
"This means that we currently do not have enough space for patients requiring critical care.
"As part of our system resilience plans, we have contacted our partners in the North West London sector this evening to assist with the safe transfer of patients off of the Northwick Park site."

A senior director at another London acute trust told HSJ: "Given we're in the low foothills of this virus, this is f***ing petrifying."

Northwick Park Hospital, run by the London North West University Hospital NHS Trust, has so far reported six deaths on site.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 20, 2020, 09:56:57 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 20, 2020, 09:25:20 PM
My wife is a Pharmacist Technician at our local hospital, and I have been fairly laid back about it, but she is on the front line and has convinced me this is no picnic, believe me everyone must take it seriously. Seven people have already died in her hospital in the last week due to this virus, so we all must be vigilant, and this is just the beginning.
Presumably Woolly you live in the London area? It is just the beginning and my prediction is that we will have results as bad if not worse than Italy, they reacted quickly and it has got out of hand, we didn´t turn up until the second half (sounds like FFC) so logically we will not see better results, very sad!!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 21, 2020, 07:51:29 AM
The WHO timeline I mentioned was the real time log (what was known at the time by WHO) and confirmed by a number of medical sources.  The WHO revised timeline is what has been learned since and may still be incomplete (which is why I mentioned the whole period from September through December).   
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 21, 2020, 09:44:46 AM
I have wondered why Italy is such a 'hotspot' and was interested to read this.  https://uncoverdc.com/2020/03/20/why-italy/
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 21, 2020, 10:28:31 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 21, 2020, 09:44:46 AM
I have wondered why Italy is such a 'hotspot' and was interested to read this.  https://uncoverdc.com/2020/03/20/why-italy/

The Italians are big travellers around Christmas and New Year. We have friends there that used to come over every Christmas with a large group of their friends. The Chinese have also discovered travel in a big way too and I guess Venice being a favourite stop over for Cruise Liners would of been busy over Christmas and New Year.
Tax collection and the revolving doors in Italian politics has made it weak financially for years and people will exploit that. The article blaming it on the Chinese and accepting little responsibility for their own shortcomings is at best nieve.
Hopefully when this passes Governments, Industry and people on the street will make sure trade deals include things like countries having robust health service provision. Industries make sure their supply chains treat their workforces correctly and we take responsibility for our own health. More exercise, eating the right foods etc
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 21, 2020, 10:51:38 AM
Following retraining of sniffer dogs, the largest ever cargo of contraband toilet rolls has been seized off Dover by customs officials.

Those responsible attempted to conceal themselves under sacks of cocaine but have since been arrested.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 11:41:17 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 21, 2020, 09:44:46 AM
I have wondered why Italy is such a 'hotspot' and was interested to read this.  https://uncoverdc.com/2020/03/20/why-italy/
Hmmm.  An alternative explanation is that Italy and Japan have the highest proportions of over 65s in the world.  That Italian culture involves more physical contact on greeting than northern European ones, for example, and that the physical  space between Italians socially tends be shorter.  That the weather tends to be better and encourages more outside interaction. 24/100 of Europe's most polluted cities are in Northern Italy.  If none of this convinces, you can default to Trump mode and just blame the Chinese like the article in the link.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 21, 2020, 11:42:16 AM
From an article by Ruiyun Li, Sen Pei et al, published in Science 16/3/2020

"Our findings also indicate that a radical increase in the identification and isolation of currently undocumented* infections would be needed to fully control SARS-CoV2."   

(* undocumented here means the person was unaware they had been infected with the virus i.e. asymptomatic , very mild or even mild)

The authors modelled the epidemic in China and found that had these cases been identified and isolated the infection rate would have been reduced by 79% in China overall and by 66% in Wuhan.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 21, 2020, 12:48:39 PM
That's a further powerful case for extensive testing.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 21, 2020, 12:55:28 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 21, 2020, 12:48:39 PM
That's a further powerful case for extensive testing.

... and mandatory isolation!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fulham 442 on March 21, 2020, 01:01:54 PM
Quote from: davew on March 20, 2020, 07:44:40 PM
Quote from: Milo on March 20, 2020, 06:48:44 PM
I think he made it clear that lockdown too early and you risk people getting fatigue and breaking the rules after a few weeks. Have to push the button at the right time. Sounds sensible to me.
Of course it does and to me also, but I am not sure that changing things every few days has a significant effect? Obviously supermarkets and other food shops and pharmacies need to remain open, not trying to be argumentative, but now most children are at home they can go shopping with their parent(s), so more people in the shops during the week than before, increases the risk doesn´t it? By the way I don´t know the answer either! Annoyed me today that I could only buy 3 bottles of wine from Tesco, people must have had some prewarning that pubs were going to shut, not sure if you are allowed 3 items of each wine or 3 bottles in total. I only bought 2 litre bottles of gin though!
We are in lockdown in southern Spain and have been for almost a week now.  Only one person is allowed in a supermarket at a time to limit the numbers so we take it in turns to go.  Similarly we are allowed out to walk our dog but only in the vicinity of our house and again only singly.  At least our wine purchases aren't being rationed!  In fact nothing is.  Everyone is behaving quite sensibly and although stocks are low on some items from time to time they soon get replenished.  We can buy plenty of fresh fruit and veg, meat and fish.  No problems with pasta or loo rolls either...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 21, 2020, 02:26:06 PM
Quote from: Fulham 442 on March 21, 2020, 01:01:54 PM
Quote from: davew on March 20, 2020, 07:44:40 PM
Quote from: Milo on March 20, 2020, 06:48:44 PM
I think he made it clear that lockdown too early and you risk people getting fatigue and breaking the rules after a few weeks. Have to push the button at the right time. Sounds sensible to me.
Of course it does and to me also, but I am not sure that changing things every few days has a significant effect? Obviously supermarkets and other food shops and pharmacies need to remain open, not trying to be argumentative, but now most children are at home they can go shopping with their parent(s), so more people in the shops during the week than before, increases the risk doesn´t it? By the way I don´t know the answer either! Annoyed me today that I could only buy 3 bottles of wine from Tesco, people must have had some prewarning that pubs were going to shut, not sure if you are allowed 3 items of each wine or 3 bottles in total. I only bought 2 litre bottles of gin though!
We are in lockdown in southern Spain and have been for almost a week now.  Only one person is allowed in a supermarket at a time to limit the numbers so we take it in turns to go.  Similarly we are allowed out to walk our dog but only in the vicinity of our house and again only singly.  At least our wine purchases aren't being rationed!  In fact nothing is.  Everyone is behaving quite sensibly and although stocks are low on some items from time to time they soon get replenished.  We can buy plenty of fresh fruit and veg, meat and fish.  No problems with pasta or loo rolls either...

Be interested to know how people are coping with everyday live outside of the UK.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer.  Is this virus resistant to hot weather?  No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 21, 2020, 03:42:03 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer.  Is this virus resistant to hot weather?  No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.
thebholding out in the summer is so that the nhs isn't fighting corona and influenza at the same time
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 22, 2020, 07:28:47 AM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 21, 2020, 03:42:03 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer.  Is this virus resistant to hot weather?  No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.
thebholding out in the summer is so that the nhs isn't fighting corona and influenza at the same time
Fighting both has probably been happening everywhere since not all causes of death will be clearly identified as covid19 unless it is being looked for and tested for specifically.  It has also been suggested that some deaths may have been put down to covid19 when in fact the infection may not have been the main cause.  This is primarily happening because the testing and isolation is not comprehensive and the vast majority of infected cases are going under the radar where they can still harmfully infect others even if they are not suffering symptoms themselves.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 22, 2020, 04:14:45 PM
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8139529/Flights-Italy-Iran-China-landing-Britain-despite-UK-coronavirus-lockdown.html

Thousands of People still arriving in the UK on flights from Italy, Iran and China...

Unbelievable.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on March 22, 2020, 07:23:34 PM
I thought I'd do some guardening today & immediately started sneezing due to hayfever, the icing on the cake.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: GloucesterWhite on March 23, 2020, 03:23:18 PM
My son has a senior position at the University of Warwick. He tells me the university has just agreed to make its accommodation (about 8000 rooms) available to the NHS. Space for medical staff who don't want to go home and risk infecting family, and for patients who are recovering, or who don't need intensive care.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PM
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 23, 2020, 03:51:49 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PM
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?
that depends, have you asked him to stop delivering all your mail or just junk mail. If it's the latter then yes you are paranoid
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 03:52:08 PM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

Still believe this Robbie?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 04:00:33 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 23, 2020, 03:51:49 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PM
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?
that depends, have you asked him to stop delivering all your mail or just junk mail. If it's the latter then yes you are paranoid

Its lots of junk we get all the time,only other mail is bills,like gas today.
All that junk mail is being handled by how many before postie...lol
Just a thought that it could be being passed on that say...Yes the wife believes I'm being paranoid.. lol
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 23, 2020, 04:13:47 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 04:00:33 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 23, 2020, 03:51:49 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PM
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?
that depends, have you asked him to stop delivering all your mail or just junk mail. If it's the latter then yes you are paranoid

Its lots of junk we get all the time,only other mail is bills,like gas today.
All that junk mail is being handled by how many before postie...lol
Just a thought that it could be being passed on that say...Yes the wife believes I'm being paranoid.. lol
and that's my point, you believe that junk mail is handled by loads of people yet actual mail isn't. I'm no expert but I'm guessing that junk mail comes straight off the machine and is loaded into packs by machines and then is taken to the post office where sorting staff would allocate it to a postman. (Or woman). Where as id imagine utility bills and the like don't go through such an automated process and would be handled by a human before it gets to the sorting office. Meaning imo that the bills would be handled far more than junk mail.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 04:29:09 PM
And then there's the Chinese and kebab and pizza places keep delivering them themselves..😑
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 05:20:51 PM
Hundreds of people queuing round the blocks at McDonald's before they close today....Get a life😵
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 23, 2020, 05:30:17 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 05:20:51 PM
Hundreds of people queuing round the blocks at McDonald's before they close today....Get a life😵
was saying this yesterday. McDonald's should have shut there and then if prime concern was staff. Today was all about selling stock and putting staff more at risk
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 05:47:33 PM
One good thing might come out of it all, some people might start to eat better and learn to cook,instead of relying on these outlets.Lower obesity as well.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFCAli on March 23, 2020, 06:16:51 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PM
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?

The junk mail I got was from Dignity plugging their funeral plans!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Burt on March 23, 2020, 06:18:21 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer.  Is this virus resistant to hot weather?  No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.

No sign that it is. I support an office of c200 people in Chennai where the temperature is 25c or more all year around and it's just taking off there. They have just invoked a mandatory "stay at home" order only seen in times of war or civil unrest.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PM
Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.

Yep me too, idiot Italians!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 23, 2020, 08:09:49 PM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PM
Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.

Yep me too, idiot Italians!
Is that said in bad taste m8? Maybe it is about supply and demand, the demand is reducing so keep on stockpiling if you are 1 of the selfish doing this in the UK, if you aren´t then I will apologise!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SuffolkWhite on March 23, 2020, 08:13:04 PM
Quote from: davew on March 23, 2020, 08:09:49 PM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PM
Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.

Yep me too, idiot Italians!
Is that said in bad taste m8? Maybe it is about supply and demand, the demand is reducing so keep on stockpiling if you are 1 of the selfish doing this in the UK, if you aren´t then I will apologise!

I think it's a joke tbf.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on March 23, 2020, 08:17:16 PM
They've just closed the caravan park on the South Coast we use.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on March 23, 2020, 08:25:37 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KYWD45FN5zA

Footage emerges from central China back in December.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 23, 2020, 08:49:45 PM
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 23, 2020, 08:13:04 PM
Quote from: davew on March 23, 2020, 08:09:49 PM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PM
Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.
Oh okay sorry, but the latest news is not!

Yep me too, idiot Italians!
Is that said in bad taste m8? Maybe it is about supply and demand, the demand is reducing so keep on stockpiling if you are 1 of the selfish doing this in the UK, if you aren´t then I will apologise!

I think it's a joke tbf.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: kiwian on March 23, 2020, 09:16:44 PM
NZ has gone into L4 lockdown today, even the golf course is closed! 4 weeks of self-isolating starts here. And still d***heads are lining up at supermarkets when they open.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 07:49:30 AM
Quote from: Burt on March 23, 2020, 06:18:21 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer.  Is this virus resistant to hot weather?  No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.

No sign that it is. I support an office of c200 people in Chennai where the temperature is 25c or more all year around and it's just taking off there. They have just invoked a mandatory "stay at home" order only seen in times of war or civil unrest.
The evidence I have seen from those who know about epidemics is that the virus spreads efficiently between good hosts from the start and an optimum host is someone who either doesn't get sick too quickly or doesn't get sick at all thus infecting as many others as it can before the virus dies in that most effective of hosts.  It is the lack of comprehensive testing that is failing to identify those effective hosts.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 08:12:37 AM
Here is a deeper look at the Diamond Princess Cruise Ship experience and evidence that the virus can survive seventeen days on suitable surfaces ...

https://www.michaelsmithnews.com/2020/03/chinese-coronavirus-survived-for-17-days-on-cruise-ship-after-cabins-were-vacated-us-cdc-study.html (https://www.michaelsmithnews.com/2020/03/chinese-coronavirus-survived-for-17-days-on-cruise-ship-after-cabins-were-vacated-us-cdc-study.html)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: sarnian on March 24, 2020, 09:13:05 AM
Can you believe it. Flew back from Maldives yesterday ( went on 8 March before anything became serious here ) and the stewardesses had to hide toilet rolls because people on board were pinching them.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 24, 2020, 09:45:15 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 07:49:30 AM
Quote from: Burt on March 23, 2020, 06:18:21 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer.  Is this virus resistant to hot weather?  No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.



No sign that it is. I support an office of c200 people in Chennai where the temperature is 25c or more all year around and it's just taking off there. They have just invoked a mandatory "stay at home" order only seen in times of war or civil unrest.
The evidence I have seen from those who know about epidemics is that the virus spreads efficiently between good hosts from the start and an optimum host is someone who either doesn't get sick too quickly or doesn't get sick at all thus infecting as many others as it can before the virus dies in that most effective of hosts.  It is the lack of comprehensive testing that is failing to identify those effective hosts.

On this subject, TM, you are right on the ball. We had weeks of lead time to stock up on essentials and wasted them.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 24, 2020, 01:09:35 PM
Troops in Spain have found care homes abandoned with folk inside,some dead in their beds.
Investigation underway,I should bloody well think so..
Terrible being abandoned like that.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 02:01:29 PM
It will be Tokyo Olympics 2021 as a decision is finally made.  Probably the only sensible route given the absolute dissaray there has been in the qualifying competitions that have been recently abandoned, but it is still sad to see so much being lost to a virus that has been allowed to get out of control rather than being under control from day one (whenever that may have been).  I do hope that the real lesson learned for the future is for all nations to realise how seemingly unpredictable these outbreaks can be, and how predictable it is that the moment you lose the ability to track a virus you endanger far too many people which causes panic, selfishness and ever greater risk.   

I especially like this history and summary of epidemics by Victor Davis Hanson using statistics but ending up with how this story is all about humility and the great gifts it brings with it.

https://www.city-journal.org/coronavirus-pandemic-humility#.XnZErksn-Pc.twitter   (https://www.city-journal.org/coronavirus-pandemic-humility#.XnZErksn-Pc.twitter)     
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: sunburywhite on March 24, 2020, 02:38:17 PM
Golf courses to close

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/golf/52018267
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 24, 2020, 02:44:34 PM
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 23, 2020, 08:13:04 PM
Quote from: davew on March 23, 2020, 08:09:49 PM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PM
Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.

Yep me too, idiot Italians!
Is that said in bad taste m8? Maybe it is about supply and demand, the demand is reducing so keep on stockpiling if you are 1 of the selfish doing this in the UK, if you aren´t then I will apologise!

I think it's a joke tbf.

It was and thanks.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 24, 2020, 02:47:22 PM
Quote from: sarnian on March 24, 2020, 09:13:05 AM
Can you believe it. Flew back from Maldives yesterday ( went on 8 March before anything became serious here ) and the stewardesses had to hide toilet rolls because people on board were pinching them.

people want to feel they are in control and they think that toilet rolls gives that to the. Went to the Co-op last night to get some milk and there were toilet rolls there - because there isnt a shortage of them..only clowns hoarding them.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 24, 2020, 03:45:51 PM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 24, 2020, 02:47:22 PM
Quote from: sarnian on March 24, 2020, 09:13:05 AM
Can you believe it. Flew back from Maldives yesterday ( went on 8 March before anything became serious here ) and the stewardesses had to hide toilet rolls because people on board were pinching them.

people want to feel they are in control and they think that toilet rolls gives that to the. Went to the Co-op last night to get some milk and there were toilet rolls there - because there isnt a shortage of them..only clowns hoarding them.

Dustmen reporting more vegetables being thrown away as people had over-bought on fresh.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 24, 2020, 04:03:13 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 24, 2020, 03:45:51 PM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 24, 2020, 02:47:22 PM
Quote from: sarnian on March 24, 2020, 09:13:05 AM
Can you believe it. Flew back from Maldives yesterday ( went on 8 March before anything became serious here ) and the stewardesses had to hide toilet rolls because people on board were pinching them.

people want to feel they are in control and they think that toilet rolls gives that to the. Went to the Co-op last night to get some milk and there were toilet rolls there - because there isnt a shortage of them..only clowns hoarding them.

Dustmen reporting more vegetables being thrown away as people had over-bought on fresh.

Hopefully they've gone broke by now so give the others a chance to buy stuff.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rock on March 24, 2020, 04:48:24 PM
Quote from: sunburywhite on March 24, 2020, 02:38:17 PM
Golf courses to close

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/golf/52018267

"Sir, yes, you over there, by yourself on the 13th hole without another human in sight for a mile, please leave the course and practice social distancing."

Solid advice.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Controls in Italy beginning to work

Day-on-day increase in new cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

Number of deaths remains eratic because those figures are affected by a few more weeks' lag

So of course the BBC headline is "BREAKING Huge jump in Italy death toll" just in case anyone is tempted to stop feeling scared sh1tless for a moment... and then a small admission in the small print at the end that "It does appear as though the number of new cases is slowing down, however"
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: clemattlee on March 24, 2020, 05:50:34 PM
I find this website quite informative looks like they properly check the figures
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 24, 2020, 06:04:02 PM
Quote from: clemattlee on March 24, 2020, 05:50:34 PM
I find this website quite informative looks like they properly check the figures
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Interesting chart, thanks for that. To me what I think it confirms is (excluding China who were testing more people, not just those turning up/admitted to hospital) if you are in a country e.g here, Italy, Spain, Germany and quite a few others who seem to be just testing people at the hospitals, there is almost a 50:50 chance that you will survive, the amount of active cases compared to total cases is staggering except China. The recovery time period must be 2 to 3 weeks, if you recover?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 24, 2020, 06:31:38 PM
Forget joining the rush to come to Cornwall, Scotland etc., Russia seems the place to go to (lol).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MayoDomo on March 24, 2020, 07:22:38 PM
Stay safe everyone. :)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 10:16:08 PM
I caught Matt Hancock welcoming back to the House of Commons an 'Honourable Friend' live on TV.   She had recovered from Covid-19 and Hancock followed his welcome with a remark that he was assured by informed opinion that she now had immunity from further infection or, at least, would not be infected again so soon after recovery.
 
In either of these cases I know of no expert who has made such a claim and if any have done so then it is surely of fundamental substance to us all.   

If this is the stuff of which supposedly responsible politicians are made of, then it is no wonder so many things have been misjudged in the UK's response to this virus. 

Is it not politicians who daily complain about not listening to fake news? 
All just In my honest opinion, of course.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 25, 2020, 01:52:29 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 10:16:08 PM
I caught Matt Hancock welcoming back to the House of Commons an 'Honourable Friend' live on TV.   She had recovered from Covid-19 and Hancock followed his welcome with a remark that he was assured by informed opinion that she now had immunity from further infection or, at least, would not be infected again so soon after recovery.
 
In either of these cases I know of no expert who has made such a claim and if any have done so then it is surely of fundamental substance to us all.   

If this is the stuff of which supposedly responsible politicians are made of, then it is no wonder so many things have been misjudged in the UK's response to this virus. 

Is it not politicians who daily complain about not listening to fake news? 
All just In my honest opinion, of course.


Hmmm... I've read and heard plenty of well-qualified experts (and no I'm not talking about those silly Facebook posts telling people to sip water every 15 minutes and all that nonsense) saying regularly and consistently that, whilst further research is required, most people who've had the virus are likely to be immune for at least a short while.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 07:46:03 AM
"Immune for at least a short while"means what in terms of seconds, minutes, hours, days.  It's a throwaway line that no scientist would wish to be associated with.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 25, 2020, 08:00:07 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 07:46:03 AM
"Immune for at least a short while"means what in terms of seconds, minutes, hours, days.  It's a throwaway line that no scientist would wish to be associated with.

Months. Many months. Or longer. See for example Chris Whitty, Chief Medical Adviser last week: "Even in diseases which do not have long-lasting immunity there's usually a short period of immunity and that's enough for a season, an epidemic in the initial phases."

The whole search for a vaccine is relying on the idea that having the virus makes you immune, at least for a season, because that's how vaccines work.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 08:26:17 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Controls in Italy beginning to work

So of course the BBC headline is "BREAKING Huge jump in Italy death toll" just in case anyone is tempted to stop feeling scared sh1tless for a moment... and then a small admission in the small print at the end that "It does appear as though the number of new cases is slowing down, however"

You're right.  Lazy journo not willing to analyse the data properly.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Dixie on March 25, 2020, 08:55:53 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 02:01:29 PM
It will be Tokyo Olympics 2021 as a decision is finally made.  Probably the only sensible route given the absolute dissaray there has been in the qualifying competitions that have been recently abandoned, but it is still sad to see so much being lost to a virus that has been allowed to get out of control rather than being under control from day one (whenever that may have been).  I do hope that the real lesson learned for the future is for all nations to realise how seemingly unpredictable these outbreaks can be, and how predictable it is that the moment you lose the ability to track a virus you endanger far too many people which causes panic, selfishness and ever greater risk.   

I especially like this history and summary of epidemics by Victor Davis Hanson using statistics but ending up with how this story is all about humility and the great gifts it brings with it.

https://www.city-journal.org/coronavirus-pandemic-humility#.XnZErksn-Pc.twitter   (https://www.city-journal.org/coronavirus-pandemic-humility#.XnZErksn-Pc.twitter)     

Interesting read...
I like the last sentence: Humility, not certainty—much less accusation and panic—should be the order of the day.

I have a bit of a problem with all the zealous preaching and name calling. I am complying with the Govt recommendations and yet these holier-than-thou people make me want to rebel!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 09:45:10 AM
Here is a most wonderful interactive tool to play with and perhaps understand the factors involved in coronavirus a little better. 

https://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html (https://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html)

And here is a rather startling article which has made rather clever use of this tool.  A good read especially for anybody confused about what is known about the pandemic and the virus causing it.  It is highly revealing and doesn't pull punches.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56 (https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 09:52:52 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 08:00:07 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 07:46:03 AM
"Immune for at least a short while"means what in terms of seconds, minutes, hours, days.  It's a throwaway line that no scientist would wish to be associated with.

Months. Many months. Or longer. See for example Chris Whitty, Chief Medical Adviser last week: "Even in diseases which do not have long-lasting immunity there's usually a short period of immunity and that's enough for a season, an epidemic in the initial phases."

The whole search for a vaccine is relying on the idea that having the virus makes you immune, at least for a season, because that's how vaccines work.
You will have to do a hell of a lot better than that, Statto, to engage my interest in your perception.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 10:02:08 AM
Quote from: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 08:26:17 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Controls in Italy beginning to work

So of course the BBC headline is "BREAKING Huge jump in Italy death toll" just in case anyone is tempted to stop feeling scared sh1tless for a moment... and then a small admission in the small print at the end that "It does appear as though the number of new cases is slowing down, however"

You're right.  Lazy journo not willing to analyse the data properly.
Should be mentioned that the Italian authorities are telling people to not get too excited by the numbers as they've also had a significant reduction in testing.

But if we look at numbers with no context they look ok I guess.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 25, 2020, 11:50:35 AM
Quote from: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 10:02:08 AM
Quote from: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 08:26:17 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Controls in Italy beginning to work

So of course the BBC headline is "BREAKING Huge jump in Italy death toll" just in case anyone is tempted to stop feeling scared sh1tless for a moment... and then a small admission in the small print at the end that "It does appear as though the number of new cases is slowing down, however"

You're right.  Lazy journo not willing to analyse the data properly.
Should be mentioned that the Italian authorities are telling people to not get too excited by the numbers as they've also had a significant reduction in testing.

But if we look at numbers with no context they look ok I guess.

True, but my understanding was they switched from testing all suspected cases, to just testing those in hospital with severe symptoms, just as we did in the UK. That would explain a step down in numbers from one particular day, but not a gradual decline over several weeks. 

Also FWIW, from what I've read, the actual number of cases in Italy is presumed to somewhere between 10x and 100x the identified cases. So whereas the official number of cases in Italy is around 70,000, the actual number will be more like 700,000 or even 7 million. There are even some studies this week suggesting there could be 20 million cases in the UK already. We just don't know, until they roll-out the antibodies test, what proportion of cases are symptomless or very mild. But in any cases, the numbers presenting at hospital with severe symptoms would still be proportionate to the total number of cases.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 12:08:38 PM
https://off-guardian.org/2020/03/24/12-experts-questioning-the-coronavirus-panic/

Some interesting views that run counter to much current political decision making.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 12:08:38 PM
https://off-guardian.org/2020/03/24/12-experts-questioning-the-coronavirus-panic/

Some interesting views that run counter to much current political decision making.
What is 'off-guardian' precisely?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 12:19:08 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 12:08:38 PM
https://off-guardian.org/2020/03/24/12-experts-questioning-the-coronavirus-panic/

Some interesting views that run counter to much current political decision making.
What is 'off-guardian' precisely?
Let me answer my own question:
OffGuardian was launched in February 2015 and takes its name from the fact its founders had all been censored on and/or banned from the Guardian's 'Comment is Free' sections.

Enough said.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 12:28:35 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 12:19:08 PM
OffGuardian was launched in February 2015 and takes its name from the fact its founders had all been censored on and/or banned from the Guardian's 'Comment is Free' sections.

Enough said.
Indeed the founders of the site share that same common denominator but not the experts that the article refers to ... at least not as far as I know if indeed they have ever been moved to use CiF.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 01:56:17 PM
Is Coronavirus now officially by Royal Appointment as Charles tests positive?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 01:56:32 PM
Interesting that an anagram of 'coronavirus' is 'virus or a con.'
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 25, 2020, 04:29:37 PM
will pickpockets be entitled to benefits
as this social distancing has ruined their trade.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 25, 2020, 06:30:59 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy
Maybe but the death rate is continuing at the same sort of level nearly 700 the last 24 hours, that is not an improvement!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:36:38 PM
Quote from: davew on March 25, 2020, 06:30:59 PM
Maybe but the death rate is continuing at the same sort of level nearly 700 the last 24 hours, that is not an improvement!
Time from case confirmation to death is typically two weeks or more. So come back and look at the number of deaths in another fortnight and you should be in for a pleasant surprise.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:44:40 PM
Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PM
If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway.

Probably the most accurate summary of the situation on this thread. Prof Neil Ferguson (government adviser) to select committee today: as many as half to two-thirds of deaths from coronavirus might have happened this year anyway, because most fatalities were among people at the end of their lives or with other health conditions.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 25, 2020, 08:36:13 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:36:38 PM
Quote from: davew on March 25, 2020, 06:30:59 PM
Maybe but the death rate is continuing at the same sort of level nearly 700 the last 24 hours, that is not an improvement!
Time from case confirmation to death is typically two weeks or more. So come back and look at the number of deaths in another fortnight and you should be in for a pleasant surprise.
Hope you are right about that and I respect your nickname on here and yes you do know a lot about statistics as I do but I am just a simple retired accountant.,I think you could be wrong though, as I said on another post if people go into intensive care there is just above a 50% chance of surviving. From the statistics provided on the internet I also agree that it is must be between 2 to 3 weeks before people recover (if they recover), not than many people recovered so far?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 08:52:48 PM
The increase lowering at the rate it currently is would mean that deaths would change if we assume that daily new cases correspond with deaths. The increase is at a steady rate currently rather than exponential, which is preferrable, but there hasn't really been a decrease in absolute numbers. The best case scenario is that they're heading for a plateu at the moment.

If we look at the new cases two weeks ago they were around 1/3rd of the current number. Of course, all this is very shaky as the amount of cases is likely at least an order of magnitude higher than the confirmed cases.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on March 25, 2020, 09:04:16 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 08:52:48 PM
The increase lowering at the rate it currently is would mean that deaths would change if we assume that daily new cases correspond with deaths. The increase is at a steady rate currently rather than exponential, which is preferrable, but there hasn't really been a decrease in absolute numbers. The best case scenario is that they're heading for a plateu at the moment.

If we look at the new cases two weeks ago they were around 1/3rd of the current number. Of course, all this is very shaky as the amount of cases is likely at least an order of magnitude higher than the confirmed cases.
Think I agree with that, the sad thing is that the number of deaths so far could well double. We are still on a parallel course, but Trump has it well under control, everybody will be safe by Easter, what a w***-r!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 25, 2020, 09:37:52 PM
Trump is essentially making the same point as some of those in the Off-Guardian piece for which Toshes Mate posted a link earlier on this thread, and this assessment by a Bristol University academic:

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/economic-crash-could-cost-more-lives-than-coronavirus-study-warns-nxrn3bzbs

This is far from a straightforward matter. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Twig on March 25, 2020, 09:40:37 PM
Quote from: davew on March 25, 2020, 09:04:16 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 08:52:48 PM
The increase lowering at the rate it currently is would mean that deaths would change if we assume that daily new cases correspond with deaths. The increase is at a steady rate currently rather than exponential, which is preferrable, but there hasn't really been a decrease in absolute numbers. The best case scenario is that they're heading for a plateu at the moment.

If we look at the new cases two weeks ago they were around 1/3rd of the current number. Of course, all this is very shaky as the amount of cases is likely at least an order of magnitude higher than the confirmed cases.
Think I agree with that, the sad thing is that the number of deaths so far could well double. We are still on a parallel course, but Trump has it well under control, everybody will be safe by Easter, what a w***-r!


Oh come on now, surely you aren't questioning the opinion of the leader of the free world?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 25, 2020, 10:10:38 PM
Quote from: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 08:52:48 PM
The increase is at a steady rate currently rather than exponential, which is preferrable, but there hasn't really been a decrease in absolute numbers. The best case scenario is that they're heading for a plateu at the moment.

No, the number of new cases per day is (just) starting to decrease in absolute numbers now. Maybe not dramatically, but slightly, certainly such that the reasonable "best case scenario" is better than just a plateau. This is the number of new cases confirmed per day over the last couple of weeks (blue line) and a rolling 4-day average of that figure (red line) to indicate the trend

(https://i.postimg.cc/9M4HcpVk/Untitled.jpg)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: kiwian on March 26, 2020, 07:36:43 AM
How to calculate a shopper's iq-start at 150 and subtract 1 point for every roll of toilet paper they buy.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Burt on March 26, 2020, 10:04:55 AM
Stats relating to the number of reported new cases are, by and large, meaningless.

For every one reported case there are countless others out there who:
1. Like me, may or may not have had coronavirus, but the symptoms they did have were sufficiently mild for it not to warrant medical attention. And for all I may know, I may have just had a bog-standard cold. Without a test, we will never know...
2. Have the virus but are asymptomatic.

The more meaningful stat to trend, regretfully, is probably something like deaths / 1m of population, or something like that.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on March 26, 2020, 10:40:02 AM
So right Burt, as always  the conclusions made by these statistical experts are only ever as good as the source of their sampling.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 26, 2020, 10:59:42 AM
Quote from: Burt on March 26, 2020, 10:04:55 AM
Stats relating to the number of reported new cases are, by and large, meaningless.

For every one reported case there are countless others out there who:
1. Like me, may or may not have had coronavirus, but the symptoms they did have were sufficiently mild for it not to warrant medical attention. And for all I may know, I may have just had a bog-standard cold. Without a test, we will never know...
2. Have the virus but are asymptomatic.

The more meaningful stat to trend, regretfully, is probably something like deaths / 1m of population, or something like that.

I agree there are lots more cases out there but in the absence of exceptional factors (such as the virus mutating or hitting a particular demographic disproportionately) the proportion of cases that result in symptoms that are severe enough to be reported (which at the moment means the person being put in hospital) should remain the same. So if say 15% of cases result in hospitalisations, and the number of hospitalisations doubles, that implies the number of cases has doubled as well.

The same goes for deaths. It doesn't give a full picture because we've no idea what proportion of cases result in death, but if the number of deaths doubles, that might imply the number of cases has doubled. But with deaths, the data is made less useful by the long time it take a person to die after being infected. Inevitably, there'll be zero deaths in the first few weeks of an outbreak, then the number will appear to soar, and it won't fall until about 3 weeks after the number of infections starts to fall.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PM
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?

I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Sgt Fulham on March 26, 2020, 12:03:27 PM
As horrific as it is as it won't matter one tiny bit to those affected by this horrible event, but this is going a lot less badly than it could have. A week ago I would have expected that by now Italy would be suffering multiple thousand deaths per day, and the UK in the hundreds. This is not the case and we have to take this as a blessing where we can. It could still go that way, but I suspect it won't. The distancing measures appear to be working. We need a couple more weeks to see if this continues, but it makes lockdown a hell of a lot more bearable knowing you're actively saving lives.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PM
Quote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PM
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?

I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.

That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 26, 2020, 01:45:07 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PM
Quote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PM
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?

I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.

That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.
for all we know, it has helped to stop the spread and it could have been so much more worse in n those places had it been cold and damp
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: love4ffc on March 26, 2020, 02:40:48 PM
Here in the States we are getting conflicting messages from all levels of government.  Trump says one thing and wants to see the American people get back to business by Easter.  Our state government says only those who are more vulnerable to the virus should self-isolate.  Our local government has ordered a 14-day shelter in place and isolate. 

I wish they all could just get on the same page.   

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 26, 2020, 03:09:49 PM
Coronavirus Pandemic Update 42: Immunity to COVID-19 and is Reinfection Possible?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q4P91VrfPGw

This video explains the tests needed to prove a person's immunity from the virus and why current testing may fall short of those requirements.  Answers are provided as to how suitable testing can be achieved at some point in the foreseeable future.

As with all Medcram videos Dr Seheult keeps it very clear, relatively simple, and interesting throughout.  This video lasts 18 minutes or so.

There is a further Medcram update number 43 which touches upon immunity again and talks about the benefits of the BCG vaccination against TB as a possible way of giving people, particularly health care workers,  a better immune system defence against Covid-19.  This video is about 17 minutes long.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Oakeshott on March 26, 2020, 10:54:48 PM
Not just Trump whose wondering whether current strategies are best.

"New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Thursday that his stay-at-home order for the entirety of New York State was "probably not the best public health strategy."

In a press conference in Albany, Cuomo said the smartest way forward would be a public health strategy that complemented a "get-back-to-work strategy."

"What we did was we closed everything down. That was our public health strategy. Just close everything, all businesses, old workers, young people, old people, short people, tall people," said Cuomo. "Every school closed, everything."

"If you rethought that or had time to analyze that public health strategy, I don't know that you would say quarantine everyone," Cuomo admitted. "I don't even know that that was the best public health policy. Young people then quarantined with older people was probably not the best public health strategy because the younger people could have been exposing the older people to an infection. "

Cuomo stressed the need for both public health and economic growth. "We have to do both," said the governor. "We're working on it."

As reported on the Fox news website. Cuomo of course a Democrat.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 26, 2020, 11:07:38 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PM
Quote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PM
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?

I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.

That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.

Italy is cold in March generally.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on March 27, 2020, 06:47:06 AM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 26, 2020, 11:07:38 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PM
Quote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PM
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?

I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.

That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.

Italy is cold in March generally.

Particularly the north, where things have been worse. Also as mentioned they have an ageing population. Couple that with the fact that you often get several generations living under one roof and they are a very sociable  group of people could be a reason they have suffered so badly. Much like the Spanish, who are having such a bad time of it as well.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 09:15:27 AM
A very measured look at Covid-19 from Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg, who gives a rather clear and alarming message to us all about what coronavirus epidemiology really says about influenza related illnesses and deaths.  Not a good video to watch for those who prefer panic to calm.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title (https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: KingofCheese on March 27, 2020, 10:33:19 AM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 27, 2020, 06:47:06 AM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 26, 2020, 11:07:38 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PM
Quote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PM
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?

I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.

That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.

Italy is cold in March generally.

Particularly the north, where things have been worse. Also as mentioned they have an ageing population. Couple that with the fact that you often get several generations living under one roof and they are a very sociable  group of people could be a reason they have suffered so badly. Much like the Spanish, who are having such a bad time of it as well.

And places with many smokers too...glad I gave up 20 years ago..
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 11:30:45 AM
The prime minister has tested positive for corona virus
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on March 27, 2020, 11:42:02 AM
That's why we didn't see him last night then. Perhaps this would be a good time for that visit to Trump.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 27, 2020, 11:49:36 AM
BOVID-19.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on March 27, 2020, 11:50:03 AM
Quote from: Holders on March 27, 2020, 11:42:02 AM
That's why we didn't see him last night then. Perhaps this would be a good time for that visit to Trump.

:005:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 27, 2020, 11:51:35 AM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 27, 2020, 10:33:19 AM
Quote from: I Ronic on March 27, 2020, 06:47:06 AM
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 26, 2020, 11:07:38 PM
Quote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PM
Quote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PM
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?

I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.

That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.

Italy is cold in March generally.

Particularly the north, where things have been worse. Also as mentioned they have an ageing population. Couple that with the fact that you often get several generations living under one roof and they are a very sociable  group of people could be a reason they have suffered so badly. Much like the Spanish, who are having such a bad time of it as well.

And places with many smokers too...glad I gave up 20 years ago..

Italy Feb 25th 11 deaths
UK March 13th 11deaths
13 days later
Italy  March 9th 463 deaths
UK  March 26th 578 deaths
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on March 27, 2020, 11:55:46 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 09:15:27 AM
A very measured look at Covid-19 from Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg, who gives a rather clear and alarming message to us all about what coronavirus epidemiology really says about influenza related illnesses and deaths.  Not a good video to watch for those who prefer panic to calm.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title (https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title)
That is probably nearer the truth than any MSM rubbish being spouted 24/7. the king IS naked
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:31:27 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on March 27, 2020, 11:55:46 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 09:15:27 AM
A very measured look at Covid-19 from Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg, who gives a rather clear and alarming message to us all about what coronavirus epidemiology really says about influenza related illnesses and deaths.  Not a good video to watch for those who prefer panic to calm.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title (https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title)
That is probably nearer the truth than any MSM rubbish being spouted 24/7. the king IS naked
From Wiki
His comments on the COVID 19 pandemic caused criticism from German scientists. Various German media examined Wodarg's claims for accuracy and concluded that his statements would largely contradict the verifiable facts, some statements were neither refutable nor verifiable, but on closer examination proved to be misleading. It would mix up facts that had nothing to do with each other.

Transparency International Germany, on whose board of directors Wodarg is on, distanced itself from his statements on 17 March 2020: "Transparency International Germany rejects the sweeping criticism of board member Dr Wolfgang Wodarg of the government measures to protect the population from the corona virus. Wolfgang Wodarg is speaking on this matter as a private individual and not in his capacity as a member of the Management Board." On March 25, 2020, the board decided to suspend his membership in the association "until further notice", which means that Wodarg can no longer exercise any functions on the board or as head of the health working group for the time being. The Board of Directors will commission an independent committee to look into Wodarg's statements about the Conora virus and to determine whether his behaviour has harmed the interests of Transparency International Germany.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 27, 2020, 12:39:23 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
Unfortunately yes.  Next set of figures released 17.00 GMT.  The guy from Civil Protection who chaired the daily press meetings was absent yesterday through illness.  In the meantime, 41 doctors have died.

Just now: the president of the Lombardy Region says the number of infected has fallen and he thinks the decline has started. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:40:44 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
Thats right i if you start at say 100 a 22.8% rise would mean 128 new people got infected and if you have reached 500 a 8.3% rise would mean 541 new people got infected even a 1% increase is bad news
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 12:51:55 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:31:27 PM
From Wiki
His comments on the COVID 19 pandemic caused criticism from German scientists. Various German media examined Wodarg's claims for accuracy and concluded that his statements would largely contradict the verifiable facts, some statements were neither refutable nor verifiable, but on closer examination proved to be misleading. It would mix up facts that had nothing to do with each other.

Transparency International Germany, on whose board of directors Wodarg is on, distanced itself from his statements on 17 March 2020: "Transparency International Germany rejects the sweeping criticism of board member Dr Wolfgang Wodarg of the government measures to protect the population from the corona virus. Wolfgang Wodarg is speaking on this matter as a private individual and not in his capacity as a member of the Management Board." On March 25, 2020, the board decided to suspend his membership in the association "until further notice", which means that Wodarg can no longer exercise any functions on the board or as head of the health working group for the time being. The Board of Directors will commission an independent committee to look into Wodarg's statements about the Conora virus and to determine whether his behaviour has harmed the interests of Transparency International Germany.
A) Wiki has poor form on a number of subjects and should not be regarded as reliable without a lot of double checking done away from it.  It has been highly criticised by scientists in many groups.

B) The doctor's views are by no means unique among epidemiological professionals who say that figures being recorded by the minute on mass media suggest an accuracy that is just not supportable for coronavirus episodes of any kind, since current tests are not reliable to the known standards required and are not even in place (or even exist in practical terms) for things like previous episodes of coronavirus type infections.

C) The history of outbreaks since epidemiology (there was a Royal Institute Lecture on this in 2018?) became an important science has often noted that getting meaningful data has been very difficult to achieve for influenza because there is much competition to be first to identify a new type.  This is what may have happened in China last year and if you read enough stuff you can begin to understand why Covid-19 may not eventually be described as a worse case episode.

D) These days there seems to always be a problem when people oppose consensus views and yet that opposition is precisely the way science has always evolved.  Go figure.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:59:20 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 12:51:55 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:31:27 PM
From Wiki
His comments on the COVID 19 pandemic caused criticism from German scientists. Various German media examined Wodarg's claims for accuracy and concluded that his statements would largely contradict the verifiable facts, some statements were neither refutable nor verifiable, but on closer examination proved to be misleading. It would mix up facts that had nothing to do with each other.

Transparency International Germany, on whose board of directors Wodarg is on, distanced itself from his statements on 17 March 2020: "Transparency International Germany rejects the sweeping criticism of board member Dr Wolfgang Wodarg of the government measures to protect the population from the corona virus. Wolfgang Wodarg is speaking on this matter as a private individual and not in his capacity as a member of the Management Board." On March 25, 2020, the board decided to suspend his membership in the association "until further notice", which means that Wodarg can no longer exercise any functions on the board or as head of the health working group for the time being. The Board of Directors will commission an independent committee to look into Wodarg's statements about the Conora virus and to determine whether his behaviour has harmed the interests of Transparency International Germany.
A) Wiki has poor form on a number of subjects and should not be regarded as reliable without a lot of double checking done away from it.  It has been highly criticised by scientists in many groups.

B) The doctor's views are by no means unique among epidemiological professionals who say that figures being recorded by the minute on mass media suggest an accuracy that is just not supportable for coronavirus episodes of any kind, since current tests are not reliable to the known standards required and are not even in place (or even exist in practical terms) for things like previous episodes of coronavirus type infections.

C) The history of outbreaks since epidemiology (there was a Royal Institute Lecture on this in 2018?) became an important science has often noted that getting meaningful data has been very difficult to achieve for influenza because there is much competition to be first to identify a new type.  This is what may have happened in China last year and if you read enough stuff you can begin to understand why Covid-19 may not eventually be described as a worse case episode.

D) These days there seems to always be a problem when people oppose consensus views and yet that opposition is precisely the way science has always evolved.  Go figure.


yep we would all be flat earthers if it wasn't for the likes of pythagorus and Plato who were ridiculed for their ludicrous views 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 27, 2020, 01:28:40 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:59:20 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 12:51:55 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:31:27 PM
From Wiki
His comments on the COVID 19 pandemic caused criticism from German scientists. Various German media examined Wodarg's claims for accuracy and concluded that his statements would largely contradict the verifiable facts, some statements were neither refutable nor verifiable, but on closer examination proved to be misleading. It would mix up facts that had nothing to do with each other.

Transparency International Germany, on whose board of directors Wodarg is on, distanced itself from his statements on 17 March 2020: "Transparency International Germany rejects the sweeping criticism of board member Dr Wolfgang Wodarg of the government measures to protect the population from the corona virus. Wolfgang Wodarg is speaking on this matter as a private individual and not in his capacity as a member of the Management Board." On March 25, 2020, the board decided to suspend his membership in the association "until further notice", which means that Wodarg can no longer exercise any functions on the board or as head of the health working group for the time being. The Board of Directors will commission an independent committee to look into Wodarg's statements about the Conora virus and to determine whether his behaviour has harmed the interests of Transparency International Germany.
A) Wiki has poor form on a number of subjects and should not be regarded as reliable without a lot of double checking done away from it.  It has been highly criticised by scientists in many groups.

B) The doctor's views are by no means unique among epidemiological professionals who say that figures being recorded by the minute on mass media suggest an accuracy that is just not supportable for coronavirus episodes of any kind, since current tests are not reliable to the known standards required and are not even in place (or even exist in practical terms) for things like previous episodes of coronavirus type infections.

C) The history of outbreaks since epidemiology (there was a Royal Institute Lecture on this in 2018?) became an important science has often noted that getting meaningful data has been very difficult to achieve for influenza because there is much competition to be first to identify a new type.  This is what may have happened in China last year and if you read enough stuff you can begin to understand why Covid-19 may not eventually be described as a worse case episode.

D) These days there seems to always be a problem when people oppose consensus views and yet that opposition is precisely the way science has always evolved.  Go figure.


yep we would all be flat earthers if it wasn't for the likes of pythagorus and Plato who were ridiculed for their ludicrous views 
Plato and Pythagoras were scholars and philosophers who studied the facts unlike flat earthers who believed in superstition
Its science and facts that mater but of course we can never be sure of anything but ask yourself why you believe one or a few people who the scientific community disown
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 01:31:24 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:40:44 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
Thats right i if you start at say 100 a 22.8% rise would mean 128 new people got infected and if you have reached 500 a 8.3% rise would mean 541 new people got infected even a 1% increase is bad news

The number that counts and to watch for is the rate iof infection and I have been keeping a spreadsheet. I used a four day period when I started because it seemed to me that should just about take care of anomolies in reporting, Like last Sunday when there was a drop in many european countires for no apparent reason other than it was Sunday.

In italy the four day infection rate starting 10th March is as follows:-
2.19, 2.08, 1.69, 1.66, and yesterday 1.36 (which i think is a bit low).
What this suggests is the measures put in place a few weeks ago and more recently rampped up is that Italy seems to be turning a corner in a good way. BUT the absolute numbers are still horrible and shooting up. With the meaningful reducing infection rate, the percentage death rate also increases because the death rate presumably relates to what was happening a fortnight to 7 days earlier.

In the UK we are about two weeks behind Italy and it broadly fits and using the four day priniple starting 17th March we ahave a infection rate of 2.44, 2.57 and on Wednesday 1.9. If on sunday the rate continues to fall then it would be an encouraging sign that we are on the right lines.

Infection rate? The current number of total reported cases/the figure four days earlier.
I am using a web site that has all the major countries broken down and I believe it is as like for like as I can get it.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

It is my guess that the numbers will become increasingly frightening even when we are more obviously on the road to recovery. But the infection rate is the only figure that shows if the measures are working, the death rate just provides data on how deadly the virus is.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 01:58:40 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 01:28:40 PM
Plato and Pythagoras were scholars and philosophers who studied the facts unlike flat earthers who believed in superstition
Its science and facts that mater but of course we can never be sure of anything but ask yourself why you believe one or a few people who the scientific community disown
There is whole list of them but just two example scientists in the strict meaning of the word - Darwin and Galileo - should suffice.

Or you may want to consider this which you would be hard put to find in the MSM consensus:

Public Health England issued a policy statement on 19/3/2020 as follows"Covid-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious disease (HCID)."

Covid-19 was given HCID status as an interim recommendation in January 2020.

Is this because it is less infectious than first appearances suggested, or that it leads to less consequences than they thought in January?  Why wasn't this headline news ahead of the PM's lockdown announcement?  Or is PHE guilty of breaking the required narrative?

Just gentle questions you may wish to ask yourself before the wagon is moving too quickly for you to get off of it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 27, 2020, 02:38:41 PM
Quote from: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 01:31:24 PM

It is my guess that the numbers will become increasingly frightening even when we are more obviously on the road to recovery. But the infection rate is the only figure that shows if the measures are working, the death rate just provides data on how deadly the virus is.

That makes sense.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 02:43:08 PM
This is from a new study from CEBM, Oxford and may help people wanting to work out their own statistics from available sources (John Hopkins is good).  This is their global analysis.

"Updated: 26th March: Estimating COVID-19 Case Fatality Rates (CFR) and Infection Rate Fatality (IFR)

The Infection Rate Fatality (IFR) differs from the CFR in that aims to estimate the fatality rate in all those with infection: the detected disease (cases) and those with an undetected disease (asymptomatic and not tested group). if tested, this group would be counted as infected and at least temporarily be immune.

Our current best assumption, as of the 22nd March, is the IFR is approximate 0.29% (95% CI, 0.25 to 0.33)."
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me

The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.

I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.

So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.   
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵

You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵

You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.

You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me

The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.

I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.

So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.   
but only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government  is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:30:21 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me

The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.

I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.

So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.   
but only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government  is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.
So you don't think there's any correlation between the total number infected and the number of people turning up at hospital with severe symptoms?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 27, 2020, 03:31:24 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵

You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.

You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.

Hmm interesting theory mince, and I share your suspicions, and on that basis I have instructed my Crack Investigations Unit to commence enquires as whether we have a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde on board ship, one suspect posing as two suspects.
As they say " no smoke without fire " said the Arsonist to the Fireman. "
I believe most prosecutions succeed due to DNA these days, we have come along way since the days of the Red Hot Poker and The Rack. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 03:31:45 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me

The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.

I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.

So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.   
but only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government  is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.

Speaking as an idiot.... as long as you are measuring in a relatively consistent manner and we are, then you can draw a vast amount of information. you can tell if the trend is up or down and how quickly it is moving in one direction or another. And as you seem to be a learned scholar of sampling theory i think you will know the numbers they are measuring mean the figures are just about meaningful and actually, if you check other countries results too as I do you can see in many countries a corelation developing... but what would I know I am just an idiot drinking from a chocolate teapot.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:33:29 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 27, 2020, 03:31:24 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵

You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.

You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.

Hmm interesting theory mince, and I share your suspicions, and on that basis I have instructed my Crack Investigations Unit to commence enquires as whether we have a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde on board ship, one suspect posing as two suspects.
As they say " no smoke without fire " said the Arsonist to the Fireman. "
I believe most prosecutions succeed due to DNA these days, we have come along way since the days of the Red Hot Poker and The Rack. 
I have my own theory about you and Mince. The only two posters on here who think the Hilda jokes are funny... always on at the same time... always posting to back each other up....

Very suspicious....
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:38:51 PM
Quote from: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 03:31:45 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me

The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.

I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.

So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.   
but only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government  is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.

Speaking as an idiot.... as long as you are measuring in a relatively consistent manner and we are, then you can draw a vast amount of information. you can tell if the trend is up or down and how quickly it is moving in one direction or another. And as you seem to be a learned scholar of sampling theory i think you will know the numbers they are measuring mean the figures are just about meaningful and actually, if you check other countries results too as I do you can see in many countries a corelation developing... but what would I know I am just an idiot drinking from a chocolate teapot.
we are measuring it on the very small amount of people who have become so unwell that they have to be omitted to hospital for Treatment and the test. It tells us absolutely sod all about the infection rate as the overwhelming majority will recover at home and will never be recorded.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on March 27, 2020, 03:40:05 PM
I guess one issue with reviewing the stats on all this is that different countries are using different methods that make up the 'confirmed cases' number.
The US is, perhaps, one of the best examples for this. Inconsistent testing week-on-week makes any degree of infection rate rise, or fall, not a true indication of the rise, or fall, of the actual rate.
This then directly affects the mortality rate stats, as, unless every death is investigated as to whether the actual cause of death could be attributed to the virus, or whether the person did, or did not, have the virus present at death, then again those figures are biased one way or the other I would think.

So, In conclusion, the stats we have are the best we have, and so are the only indicator being used by those making the decisions that affect the rest of us. Anything else might well be supposition on the part of those that are intent on assisting.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 03:51:40 PM
Exactly as you say Logicalman.

The best place to look is at past epidemics/pandemics and see what a big difference there is in the conclusion as compared to the intermediate reporting.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on March 27, 2020, 03:57:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:33:29 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 27, 2020, 03:31:24 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵

You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.

You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.

Hmm interesting theory mince, and I share your suspicions, and on that basis I have instructed my Crack Investigations Unit to commence enquires as whether we have a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde on board ship, one suspect posing as two suspects.
As they say " no smoke without fire " said the Arsonist to the Fireman. "
I believe most prosecutions succeed due to DNA these days, we have come along way since the days of the Red Hot Poker and The Rack. 
I have my own theory about you and Mince. The only two posters on here who think the Hilda jokes are funny... always on at the same time... always posting to back each other up....

Very suspicious....

Yes we are very suspicious, very suspicious about condescending and pompous dudes like you posing as two people, at least mince and I were separated at birth. Also leave Hilda out of this, have you seen the size of her knuckles, and since when do you speak for everyone else.
Its time you reversed that sense of humour bi pass operation you had a very long time ago, you make the Grim Reaper sound funny. 
I know you think you are the font of all knowledge, but always try and remember that when your house is on fire, do not reach for the petrol can.
One last piece of philosophy, " he who feeds the crocodile the most, does so in the hope he will be the last to be eaten.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:59:08 PM
Quote from: Logicalman on March 27, 2020, 03:40:05 PM
I guess one issue with reviewing the stats on all this is that different countries are using different methods that make up the 'confirmed cases' number.
The US is, perhaps, one of the best examples for this. Inconsistent testing week-on-week makes any degree of infection rate rise, or fall, not a true indication of the rise, or fall, of the actual rate.
This then directly affects the mortality rate stats, as, unless every death is investigated as to whether the actual cause of death could be attributed to the virus, or whether the person did, or did not, have the virus present at death, then again those figures are biased one way or the other I would think.

So, In conclusion, the stats we have are the best we have, and so are the only indicator being used by those making the decisions that affect the rest of us. Anything else might well be supposition on the part of those that are intent on assisting.
id be surprised if the stats we have are the only ones the government has. For one I'd imagine they are recording everyone who rings 111 to report that they have symptoms. I don't even know how they are recording deaths. As the virus won't kill you but something like pneumonia that was bought on by the virus will
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on March 27, 2020, 04:00:06 PM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 01:58:40 PM
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 01:28:40 PM
Plato and Pythagoras were scholars and philosophers who studied the facts unlike flat earthers who believed in superstition
Its science and facts that mater but of course we can never be sure of anything but ask yourself why you believe one or a few people who the scientific community disown
There is whole list of them but just two example scientists in the strict meaning of the word - Darwin and Galileo - should suffice.

Or you may want to consider this which you would be hard put to find in the MSM consensus:

Public Health England issued a policy statement on 19/3/2020 as follows"Covid-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious disease (HCID)."

Covid-19 was given HCID status as an interim recommendation in January 2020.

Is this because it is less infectious than first appearances suggested, or that it leads to less consequences than they thought in January?  Why wasn't this headline news ahead of the PM's lockdown announcement?  Or is PHE guilty of breaking the required narrative?

Just gentle questions you may wish to ask yourself before the wagon is moving too quickly for you to get off of it.

thats because the proportion of those who got infected that actually died will be small.It also means that the virus can be treated in non HCID facilities . that whole your digging is getting bigger and bigger beter get out before you make a fool of yourself
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 04:02:59 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:30:21 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me

The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.

I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.

So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.   
but only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government  is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.
So you don't think there's any correlation between the total number infected and the number of people turning up at hospital with severe symptoms?
there would be if we knew how many people were infected, but we don't and possibly never will unless they check every single person in the country to see if they have the anti bodies. And considering that there is no test for that currently, I wouldn't hold my breath
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 27, 2020, 04:14:08 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 04:02:59 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:30:21 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me

The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.

I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.

So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.   
but only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government  is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.
So you don't think there's any correlation between the total number infected and the number of people turning up at hospital with severe symptoms?
there would be if we knew how many people were infected, but we don't and possibly never will unless they check every single person in the country to see if they have the anti bodies. And considering that there is no test for that currently, I wouldn't hold my breath
The test for antibodies will be rolled out in the coming weeks. And they won't need to test "every single person in the country". If they tested say 100,000 people, and 5% of them had the antibodies, they could say with a very high degree of confidence that 5% of the rest of population also have it. In much the same way that exit polls after elections only involve a relatively small portion of those who have voted but are generally very accurate.

But of course none of that is relevant, because you're wrong - we don't need to know how many people are infected to know if there's a correlation between the number infected, and the number getting hospitalised. All we need to know is that the proportion getting hospitalised, whether it's 0.1% or 20%, should be roughly constant.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 04:56:23 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:33:29 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 27, 2020, 03:31:24 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵

You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.

You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.

Hmm interesting theory mince, and I share your suspicions, and on that basis I have instructed my Crack Investigations Unit to commence enquires as whether we have a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde on board ship, one suspect posing as two suspects.
As they say " no smoke without fire " said the Arsonist to the Fireman. "
I believe most prosecutions succeed due to DNA these days, we have come along way since the days of the Red Hot Poker and The Rack. 
I have my own theory about you and Mince. The only two posters on here who think the Hilda jokes are funny... always on at the same time... always posting to back each other up....

Very suspicious....

Hilda actually exists,so it isn't a joke.
Hang on a minute,I might be getting my dreams mixed up with reality again Father Ted.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 11:25:07 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:38:51 PM
Quote from: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 03:31:45 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PM
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PM
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%

7.5% today

They've really turned the tide in Italy

Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
the numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%.  It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me

The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.

I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.

So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.   
but only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government  is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.

Speaking as an idiot.... as long as you are measuring in a relatively consistent manner and we are, then you can draw a vast amount of information. you can tell if the trend is up or down and how quickly it is moving in one direction or another. And as you seem to be a learned scholar of sampling theory i think you will know the numbers they are measuring mean the figures are just about meaningful and actually, if you check other countries results too as I do you can see in many countries a corelation developing... but what would I know I am just an idiot drinking from a chocolate teapot.
we are measuring it on the very small amount of people who have become so unwell that they have to be omitted to hospital for Treatment and the test. It tells us absolutely sod all about the infection rate as the overwhelming majority will recover at home and will never be recorded.

on the 25 th we knew 9529 people had tested positive and on the 21st 5018 and on 17th 1950... even though many have probbly not been tested we do know from those figures, which are more or less like for like there are sufficient to show the infection rate is very likely reducing. the sample is big enough. it's not exact but good enough for a trend, so actually it tells a proper student of maths, as I presume you are not, plenty. and what is more if you track the progress as in other countries, especially italy, you will see a similar pattern so that further suggests the relevance.

if you choose to think it means nothing that is entirely your perogative, but if you would have studied the subject in depth you know you would think otherwise.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies.  Details are pretty scant about the test being used so expectations are not as high as they could and should be given the Government's record up to now. 

We are still not conducting testing either often enough for presence of Covid-19, or across a wide enough spectrum of people to have a clear idea of what the infection rate really is.  By my calculation approximately 189k tests (based on daily average of 7K over 27 days which is highly optimistic on my part) have been conducted.  Were we to get up to the PM's promised 25k tests per day then we might have an altogether different picture of this virus and its infection rate since there may be a very large number of people who have contracted the disease and simply fought it off as is normal with most corona viruses.  We also need to consider that the test being used is also prone to giving false results (something less that 75% efficiency when 95% is needed).  Perhaps the home testing kits will be better.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 28, 2020, 09:48:44 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies. 

The antigen test isn't the antibodies test. This is the one that just tells them whether they currently have the virus.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on March 29, 2020, 11:55:29 AM
This might be useful or interesting to some.  (I claim no expertise!)  It's from an Asst. Professor of Infectious Diseases at Johns Hopkins University in the US.

* The virus is not a living organism, but a protein molecule (DNA) covered by a protective layer of lipid (fat), which, when absorbed by the cells of the ocular, nasal or buccal mucosa, changes their genetic code.  (mutation) and converts them into aggressor and multiplier cells.

* Since the virus is not a living organism but a protein molecule, it is not killed, but decays on its own.  The disintegration time depends on the temperature, humidity and type of material where it lies.

* The virus is very fragile;  the only thing that protects it is a thin outer layer of fat.  That is why any soap or detergent is the best remedy, because the foam CUTS the FAT (that is why you have to rub so much: for 20 seconds or more, to make a lot of foam). 

By dissolving the fat layer, the protein molecule disperses and breaks down on its own.

* HEAT melts fat;  this is why it is so good to use water above 25 degrees Celsius for washing hands, clothes and everything.  In addition, hot water makes more foam and that makes it even more useful.

* Alcohol or any mixture with alcohol over 65% DISSOLVES ANY FAT, especially the external lipid layer of the virus.

* Any mix with 1 part bleach and 5 parts water directly dissolves the protein, breaks it down from the inside.

* Oxygenated water helps long after soap, alcohol and chlorine, because peroxide dissolves the virus protein, but you have to use it pure and it hurts your skin.

* NO BACTERICIDE OR ANTIBIOTIC SERVES.  The virus is not a living organism like bacteria;  antibodies cannot kill what is not alive.

* NEVER shake used or unused clothing, sheets or cloth.  While it is glued to a porous surface, it is very inert and disintegrates only
-between 3 hours (fabric and porous),
-4 hours (copper and wood)
-24 hours (cardboard),
- 42 hours (metal) and
-72 hours (plastic). 

But if you shake it or use a feather duster, the virus molecules float in the air for up to 3 hours, and can lodge in your nose.

* The virus molecules remain very stable in external cold, or air conditioners in houses and cars. 

They also need moisture to stay stable, and especially darkness.  Therefore, dehumidified, dry, warm and bright environments will degrade it faster.

* UV LIGHT on any object that may contain it breaks down the virus protein.  For example, to disinfect and reuse a mask is perfect.  Be careful, it also breaks down collagen (which is protein) in the skin.

* The virus CANNOT go through healthy skin.

* Vinegar is NOT useful because it does not break down the protective layer of fat.

* NO SPIRITS, NOR VODKA, serve.  The strongest vodka is 40% alcohol, and you need 65%.

* LISTERINE IF IT SERVES!  It is 65% alcohol.

* The more confined the space, the more concentration of the virus there can be.  The more open or naturally ventilated, the less.

* You should wash your hands before and after touching mucosa, food, locks, knobs, switches, remote control, cell phone, watches, computers, desks, TV, etc.  And when using the bathroom.

* You should HUMIDIFY HANDS DRY from so much washing them, because the molecules can hide in the micro cracks.  The thicker the moisturizer, the better. 

* Also keep your NAILS SHORT so that the virus does not hide there.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on March 29, 2020, 12:11:59 PM
Re. above, Southcoastffc: interesting and useful.  Thank you.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Barrett487 on March 29, 2020, 12:58:26 PM
Quote from: Neil D on March 29, 2020, 12:11:59 PM
Re. above, Southcoastffc: interesting and useful.  Thank you.

:plus one:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: love4ffc on March 29, 2020, 05:35:38 PM
Question, how are any of you expats doing in Spain? 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 30, 2020, 08:54:38 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 28, 2020, 09:48:44 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies. 

The antigen test isn't the antibodies test. This is the one that just tells them whether they currently have the virus.
Please note:  This article explains exactly what the NHS are getting: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19 (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on March 30, 2020, 09:23:28 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 30, 2020, 08:54:38 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 28, 2020, 09:48:44 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies. 

The antigen test isn't the antibodies test. This is the one that just tells them whether they currently have the virus.
Please note:  This article explains exactly what the NHS are getting: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19 (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19)
Indeed. The antigen test. Not the antibodies test.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: toshes mate on March 30, 2020, 10:06:51 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 30, 2020, 09:23:28 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 30, 2020, 08:54:38 AM
Quote from: Statto on March 28, 2020, 09:48:44 AM
Quote from: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies. 

The antigen test isn't the antibodies test. This is the one that just tells them whether they currently have the virus.
Please note:  This article explains exactly what the NHS are getting: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19 (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19)
Indeed. The antigen test. Not the antibodies test.
Per article the antibodies test is part of the Oxford project. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Sgt Fulham on April 01, 2020, 09:29:32 AM
Quote from: Neil D on March 29, 2020, 12:11:59 PM
Re. above, Southcoastffc: interesting and useful.  Thank you.

There is a lot of good advice there, but alarm bells rang when it was stated that DNA is a protein. There is also little evidence that heat has any real impact on the virus. Think of all the hot places it is going wild (Italy, Australia, Spain).

Without fact checking the rest it looks good at first sight. Stay safe everyone.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fulham 442 on April 01, 2020, 11:11:27 AM
Quote from: love4ffc on March 29, 2020, 05:35:38 PM
Question, how are any of you expats doing in Spain? 
We're in Estepona, between Gibraltar and Malaga.  We're doing okay as we have been far less affected by the virus than the Madrid region.  Lockdown has been in force since 16th March and is strictly adhered to as we are subject to massive fines if we are outside without good reason ie grocery shopping, going to the pharmacy, a hospital appointment, walking a dog, but only in the vicinity of the house, and helping an elderly or sick relative/friend or for work.  We cannot go out together either.  All shops are closed except for those mentioned and also communications stores but they are on reduced hours.  Garages are also open for petrol and also selling gas canisters which are used widely here for cooking and heating.  Some building work is still going on and all the gardeners and street cleaners are still working.  We can still get deliveries as we are not in a "red" zone, in fact we have just had a paint delivery!  All fresh food is plentiful and we have no problem getting pasta, rice or toilet rolls!  There is a sense that we are all in this together, which leads to a calm acceptance which is helpful.  Unfortunately we have had a lot of rain lately so sincerely hoping that ends soon.  Like a lot of houses in the Old Town Centre we have no garden, just a terrace, and when the sun does pop out it is nice to get up there for some fresh air.  Our lockdown was due to end on the 30th March but was extended to April 11th.  Fingers crossed it does!  First thing we will do is head for the beach, together with our dog!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 01, 2020, 05:48:35 PM
Quote from: Sgt Fulham on April 01, 2020, 09:29:32 AM
Quote from: Neil D on March 29, 2020, 12:11:59 PM
Re. above, Southcoastffc: interesting and useful.  Thank you.

There is a lot of good advice there, but alarm bells rang when it was stated that DNA is a protein. There is also little evidence that heat has any real impact on the virus. Think of all the hot places it is going wild (Italy, Australia, Spain).

Without fact checking the rest it looks good at first sight. Stay safe everyone.
Without wishing to bat things to and fro, (there are others who will do that until Kingdom come!) the piece I posted doesn't actually say that DNA is a protein; and Northern Italy and Barcelona are not hot at this time of year, indeed Milan was around 6 degrees Celsius when things took off.  I can't comment about Australia.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on April 04, 2020, 09:31:40 PM
Watched a clip of the wet market in Wuhan, absolutely disgusting, I don't now why they allow these places to function like this?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fulham 442 on April 04, 2020, 10:19:45 PM
Quote from: SP on April 04, 2020, 09:31:40 PM
Watched a clip of the wet market in Wuhan, absolutely disgusting, I don't now why they allow these places to function like this?
Wouldn't be able to watch anything on the subject. I wouldn't be able to sleep. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on April 05, 2020, 12:46:07 AM
Quote from: SP on April 04, 2020, 09:31:40 PM
Watched a clip of the wet market in Wuhan, absolutely disgusting, I don't now why they allow these places to function like this?
https://indonesiaexpat.biz/news/wuhan-wet-market-reopens-wild-animals-for-sale/
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 05, 2020, 09:10:17 AM
Some recluse in the backwaters of Canada who lives 40 miles from anyone and hasn't been in contact with a human in ages has it.
I'm telling you this is a man made disease put in to the atmosphere somehow by the Chinese.
When this is over there are going to be serious problems for World peace between America and China.
Conspiracy Theory No 55, starring Mel Gibson and Julia  Roberts.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: sarnian on April 05, 2020, 09:24:49 AM
So if he hasn't been in contact with a human for ages how does he know he has it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 05, 2020, 09:53:41 AM
He may have been in contact with a Grizzly Bear he met in the woods, and one thing led to another, and that's how it all started.
My local Chinese Take Away has just been taken away. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on April 05, 2020, 06:50:01 PM
Quote from: sarnian on April 05, 2020, 09:24:49 AM
So if he hasn't been in contact with a human for ages how does he know he has it.
he lives in jersey
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: sarnian on April 05, 2020, 07:52:49 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on April 05, 2020, 06:50:01 PM
Quote from: sarnian on April 05, 2020, 09:24:49 AM
So if he hasn't been in contact with a human for ages how does he know he has it.
he lives in jersey

Like it, and there's a red sky tonight so Jersey's on fire 064.gif
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: SP on April 05, 2020, 08:40:33 PM
With perfect timing, our TV has died.

:016:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 06, 2020, 12:47:22 PM
Marianne Faithful  now 73 is not too well,in hospital with the virus and has pneumonia on top as well.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: bobbo on April 06, 2020, 02:39:30 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 05, 2020, 09:10:17 AM
Some recluse in the backwaters of Canada who lives 40 miles from anyone and hasn't been in contact with a human in ages has it.
I'm telling you this is a man made disease put in to the atmosphere somehow by the Chinese.
When this is over there are going to be serious problems for World peace between America and China.
Conspiracy Theory No 55, starring Mel Gibson and Julia  Roberts.
havent seen eye to eye with you in the past mince. But you are so spot on with this. I've been saying it from the beginning.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: bog on April 06, 2020, 03:59:45 PM
There was a letter in the Mail on Sunday from someone in the Chinese Embassy full of condemnation of this country's regards to their filthy meat markets etc. Attack being the best form of defence he seemed to think.   

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 06, 2020, 05:46:53 PM
Pep Guardiola's mum in Barcelona has died from it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: bobbo on April 06, 2020, 05:59:19 PM
Quote from: bog on April 06, 2020, 03:59:45 PM
There was a letter in the Mail on Sunday from someone in the Chinese Embassy full of condemnation of this country's regards to their filthy meat markets etc. Attack being the best form of defence he seemed to think.   


sometimes the truth is painful, I've been there its true.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Milo on April 06, 2020, 09:19:20 PM
Boris on ICU.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fernhurst on April 06, 2020, 09:34:50 PM
Good Luck Boris...... miles away from your political views, but on a human level, very best wishes to you and your family for a speedy recovery.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 06, 2020, 09:47:18 PM
Nobody is safe  from this bloody thing,as shown by the bloke living in the backwoods of Canada.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 06, 2020, 10:51:19 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 06, 2020, 09:47:18 PM
Nobody is safe  from this bloody thing,as shown by the bloke living in the backwoods of Canada.

Or the Bear he met in the woods.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 07, 2020, 07:07:57 AM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 06, 2020, 10:51:19 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 06, 2020, 09:47:18 PM
Nobody is safe  from this bloody thing,as shown by the bloke living in the backwoods of Canada.

Or the Bear he met in the woods.

Might have been Yogi he hasn't been heard of for a while.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ffcne on April 07, 2020, 07:28:37 AM
Quote from: Fernhurst on April 06, 2020, 09:34:50 PM
Good Luck Boris...... miles away from your political views, but on a human level, very best wishes to you and your family for a speedy recovery.

Very insincere.Why mention anything about political views.?

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: hovewhite on April 07, 2020, 07:35:27 AM
Like mince I believe as usual like Sars before it it was made in China and I can only wish Boris well.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: mrmicawbers on April 07, 2020, 08:15:01 AM
Best wishes to Boris hope he makes a full and speedy recovery.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Motspur Park on April 07, 2020, 08:17:26 AM
Quote from: ffcne on April 07, 2020, 07:28:37 AM
Quote from: Fernhurst on April 06, 2020, 09:34:50 PM
Good Luck Boris...... miles away from your political views, but on a human level, very best wishes to you and your family for a speedy recovery.

Very insincere.Why mention anything about political views.?

I also wonder why so many people have to qualify their political or republican stance on matters when commenting about others, be they politicians or royalty when the only thing being discussed is their health.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 07, 2020, 10:37:54 AM
The senior Heart Surgeon at Cardiff hospital has died of it at 58.
A man who has saved many lives has been taken,bloody scary.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on April 07, 2020, 11:20:44 AM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 05, 2020, 09:10:17 AM
Some recluse in the backwaters of Canada who lives 40 miles from anyone and hasn't been in contact with a human in ages has it.
I'm telling you this is a man made disease put in to the atmosphere somehow by the Chinese.
When this is over there are going to be serious problems for World peace between America and China.
Conspiracy Theory No 55, starring Mel Gibson and Julia  Roberts.
unfortunately you are probably closer too the truth than we are being told.
as it would not be the first time that something like this has been used against populations
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 07, 2020, 12:10:59 PM
Quote from: john dempsey on April 07, 2020, 11:20:44 AM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 05, 2020, 09:10:17 AM
Some recluse in the backwaters of Canada who lives 40 miles from anyone and hasn't been in contact with a human in ages has it.
I'm telling you this is a man made disease put in to the atmosphere somehow by the Chinese.
When this is over there are going to be serious problems for World peace between America and China.
Conspiracy Theory No 55, starring Mel Gibson and Julia  Roberts.
unfortunately you are probably closer too the truth than we are being told.
as it would not be the first time that something like this has been used against populations

Oh pack it in.
You'll be burning phone masts next FFS
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Ged on April 07, 2020, 04:02:43 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.


Hes been mad for years
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fernhurst on April 07, 2020, 09:19:51 PM
Quote from: ffcne on April 07, 2020, 07:28:37 AM
Quote from: Fernhurst on April 06, 2020, 09:34:50 PM
Good Luck Boris...... miles away from your political views, but on a human level, very best wishes to you and your family for a speedy recovery.

Very insincere.Why mention anything about political views.?



Get in the real world FFCNE..There are numerous sites wishing him the worst which I have found sickening.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 07, 2020, 11:30:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.



If you want to find a conspiracy in this sort of context, you will. All sounds a bit 'Brexiteers-are-shorting-the-Pound' to me. I'm going to lay down a challenge: name a highly wealthy person and some other thing - anything. With the power of Google I'm willing to bet I can find a link between them.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fernhurst on April 07, 2020, 11:49:52 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.



Agreed, however, his approval rating with The American People is brilliant???
Go figure...?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:05:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 07, 2020, 11:30:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.



If you want to find a conspiracy in this sort of context, you will. All sounds a bit 'Brexiteers-are-shorting-the-Pound' to me. I'm going to lay down a challenge: name a highly wealthy person and some other thing - anything. With the power of Google I'm willing to bet I can find a link between them.

Eh? There's no conspiracy or digging needed, just simple facts. it's on Forbes and other news outlets today. Seems obvious given he's been the only one in the world going on about it. Absolutely scandalous. Amazed you are not equally appalled.

I said it weeks ago when our government ignored the advice of WHO and just about every expert around the world, that we and the US would end up the worst hit. As we have two absolutely incompetent simpletons at the helm. And guess what? We are both on exactly that trajectory!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:07:46 AM
Quote from: Fernhurst on April 07, 2020, 11:49:52 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.



Agreed, however, his approval rating with The American People is brilliant???
Go figure...?

Well, it doesn't surprise me to be honest. It's an eerily familiar tale here!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:23:08 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:05:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 07, 2020, 11:30:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.



If you want to find a conspiracy in this sort of context, you will. All sounds a bit 'Brexiteers-are-shorting-the-Pound' to me. I'm going to lay down a challenge: name a highly wealthy person and some other thing - anything. With the power of Google I'm willing to bet I can find a link between them.

Eh? There's no conspiracy or digging needed, just simple facts. it's on Forbes and other news outlets today. Seems obvious given he's been the only one in the world going on about it. Absolutely scandalous. Amazed you are not equally appalled.

I said it weeks ago when our government ignored the advice of WHO and just about every expert around the world, that we and the US would end up the worst hit. As we have two absolutely incompetent simpletons at the helm. And guess what? We are both on exactly that trajectory!

But outside the sphere of events covered by the Guardian, Trump isn't the only one going on about. It was tried by the Chinese, French and now the Australians. The world is in the grips of a virus for which there's currently no treatment or vaccine. It doesn't surprise me that states and leaders are trying various unproven potential treatments. I don't dispute that there's little or no evidence it works, but nonetheless, it's still perceived by a much wider community than just Trump to be one of the most promising short-term options, albeit in a very weak field.

As to you your second paragraph, the UK's approach has, ostensibly at least, been decided thus far by scientists like Chris Witty and Patrick Valance, not Johnson. Are you suggesting those characters are actually just reading lines the government has written for them, fraudulently or under duress? Or do you accept their independence but just think you know better? I'm not sure which of those is less plausible.

I also repeat my challenge.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:34:49 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:23:08 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:05:19 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 07, 2020, 11:30:18 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.



If you want to find a conspiracy in this sort of context, you will. All sounds a bit 'Brexiteers-are-shorting-the-Pound' to me. I'm going to lay down a challenge: name a highly wealthy person and some other thing - anything. With the power of Google I'm willing to bet I can find a link between them.

Eh? There's no conspiracy or digging needed, just simple facts. it's on Forbes and other news outlets today. Seems obvious given he's been the only one in the world going on about it. Absolutely scandalous. Amazed you are not equally appalled.

I said it weeks ago when our government ignored the advice of WHO and just about every expert around the world, that we and the US would end up the worst hit. As we have two absolutely incompetent simpletons at the helm. And guess what? We are both on exactly that trajectory!

But outside the sphere of events covered by the Guardian, Trump isn't the only one going on about. It was tried by the Chinese, French and now the Australians. The world is in the grips of a virus for which there's currently no treatment or vaccine. It doesn't surprise me that states and leaders are trying various unproven potential treatments. I don't dispute that there's little or no evidence it works, but nonetheless, it's still perceived by a much wider community than just Trump to be one of the most promising short-term options, albeit in a very weak field.

As to you your second paragraph, the UK's approach has, ostensibly at least, been decided thus far by scientists like Chris Witty and Patrick Valance, not Johnson. Are you suggesting those characters are actually just reading lines the government has written for them, fraudulently or under duress? Or do you accept their independence but just think you know better? I'm not sure which of those is less plausible.

I also repeat my challenge.

I don't think I know better, no. I do think the World Health Organization and various other experts around the world knew better and gave that advice publicly. They called the herd immunity 'take it on the chin' original strategy 'insanity', I was shocked when they assumed they knew better. And thus, after a period of time passed and the virus spread, the comedy duo of Witty and Valance agreed and changed their plan a week or so later.

During that time, football continued, the tube ran, everyone worked as usual, Cheltenham, various  large gigs etc, and, as if by magic, three weeks later, as predicated by all the experts outside the government (and posted by me on this very board as I have learned to observe what others say when disagreeing with the Tory party as history has shown them to be consistently creative with the truth), hundreds near thousands are dying each day and we are right up at the top with our projected trajectory above Italy and Spain et all.


Korea and others who gave this advice at the very beginning to us, have never really gone above 10 deaths per day.

Put party politics aside for a moment and think. The little harem that have been appearing on our screens giving updates, all need a trial and a bit of jail time once this is over. Criminal negligence.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:46:29 AM
It's likely to all be removed as I've noticed my polite response to Wooly's abusive 'looney left' 'pure evil' nonsense post has been but yet his post stays. So I may as well go out speaking my mind, eh?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:50:03 AM
I've no gripe with the WHO but let's be clear, it's essentially a forum for international cooperation on health. In order to function in that role, it has to be deferential and diplomatic towards the various corrupt and mad states among its membership (Google 'WHO Taiwan' for enlightenment). It also has a budget that is a tiny fraction of what countries like the US and even the UK spend on medical research. I've no doubt that its leaders are sincerely trying to do their best and they certainly know a lot more than I do, but it's not by any stretch of the imagination a more reliable source of guidance than domestic experts appointed in the large Western economies.

Here's a semi-intelligent analysis of the Trump/Sanofi story FYI
https://www.vox.com/2020/4/7/21211872/trump-coronavirus-hydroxychloroquine-covid19-drugs-sanofi-owns
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:59:44 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:50:03 AM
I've no gripe with the WHO but let's be clear, it's essentially a forum for international cooperation on health. In order to function in that role, it has to be deferential and diplomatic towards the various corrupt and mad states among its membership (Google 'WHO Taiwan' for enlightenment). It also has a budget that is a tiny fraction of what countries like the US and even the UK spend on medical research. I've no doubt that its leaders are sincerely trying to do their best and they certainly know a lot more than I do, but it's not by any stretch of the imagination a more reliable source of guidance than domestic experts appointed in the large Western economies.

Here's a semi-intelligent analysis of the Trump/Sanofi story FYI
https://www.vox.com/2020/4/7/21211872/trump-coronavirus-hydroxychloroquine-covid19-drugs-sanofi-owns

Appreciate the link and I shall read that tomorrow after some sleep, ta. One final thing though - and what you say seems plausible re. Research budgets etc - US and UK being two of the leading lights,  if it continues as it is and the US and the UK are the most severely hit, how does that tally up? Surely that would suggest they got it badly wrong? Despite all the supposedly superior knowledge?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 08, 2020, 01:19:49 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:59:44 AM
One final thing though - and what you say seems plausible re. Research budgets etc - US and UK being two of the leading lights,  if it continues as it is and the US and the UK are the most severely hit, how does that tally up? Surely that would suggest they got it badly wrong? Despite all the supposedly superior knowledge?

Because that narrative is based on false premises and a massive oversimplification. The US and UK are/were not the only countries not to implement a full lockdown. And they are/probably will not be the "most severely hit" countries (in terms of cases/deaths proportionate to their size). I'm no expert but just do some independent research into those things, and apply some commonsense analysis, eg, consider the amount of international travel to from the UK/US and the obvious impact of that, the fact not all countries' outbreaks began at the same time, etc.

You'll probably wake up much more peaceful and happy when you realise that, whilst we're not the best in the world at everything here in the UK, we're still luckier than most (even among developed countries) in terms of the competence and trustworthiness of our government.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 08, 2020, 10:36:22 AM
We all have our views at this point but the post mortem, when it comes, will determine what went wrong - and right.

Meantime, as well as the drug mentioned above, it's been found that ivermectin, a common treatment for fleas and ticks on animals and head-lice in children, has been found to kill the virus in vitro. I've not heard it suggested that Trump has shares in that. With animals, you apply it either orally or topically so kids must absorb a dose when their nits are treated so it must be safe at some dosage.   

Maybe there's some mileage in that.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:13:17 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 08, 2020, 10:36:22 AM
We all have our views at this point but the post mortem, when it comes, will determine what went wrong - and right.

Meantime, as well as the drug mentioned above, it's been found that ivermectin, a common treatment for fleas and ticks on animals and head-lice in children, has been found to kill the virus in vitro. I've not heard it suggested that Trump has shares in that. With animals, you apply it either orally or topically so kids must absorb a dose when their nits are treated so it must be safe at some dosage.   

Maybe there's some mileage in that.

Trump's connection to hydroxychloroquine was through a tiny stake in Sanofi. Sanofi also makes invermectin products. So yes Trump does "have shares in that". Which somewhat demonstrates the flaws in the conspiracy.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 08, 2020, 01:37:51 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:13:17 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 08, 2020, 10:36:22 AM
We all have our views at this point but the post mortem, when it comes, will determine what went wrong - and right.

Meantime, as well as the drug mentioned above, it's been found that ivermectin, a common treatment for fleas and ticks on animals and head-lice in children, has been found to kill the virus in vitro. I've not heard it suggested that Trump has shares in that. With animals, you apply it either orally or topically so kids must absorb a dose when their nits are treated so it must be safe at some dosage.   

Maybe there's some mileage in that.

Trump's connection to hydroxychloroquine was through a tiny stake in Sanofi. Sanofi also makes invermectin products. So yes Trump does "have shares in that". Which somewhat demonstrates the flaws in the conspiracy.

No conspiracy suggested for ivermectin, which I see is a generic drug with a range of manufacturers.

I felt that its potential application might be of interest.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 08, 2020, 02:03:39 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 08, 2020, 01:37:51 PM
No conspiracy suggested for ivermectin, which I see is a generic drug with a range of manufacturers.

Indeed, just pointing out that it's no different from hydroxychloroquine in those respects.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on April 09, 2020, 02:12:21 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...

I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.

And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.

Without wishing to deflect any criticism from our very own persona of POTUS, I have to say, if the link you refer to is the 'financial interest' in the French drug firm Sanofi, then it has to be said that the interest is via a Mutual Fund that has a holding in the drug company (of some 3%) which provides a total interest,based on the holdings in the MF, of some 3000 USD by the Trump Organization. Not exactly a story other than a pastime fact of minor consequence, especially when the total value of the person is considered.
Other than that I have little faith in the veracity of any content of that persons press conferences, or any other mutterings that might escape him, but that's a personal view and not, as some might report me for, political in any shape or form.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 14, 2020, 09:28:18 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on April 14, 2020, 12:51:02 AM
Getting "Herd Immunity without a Vaccine" would require 30 million people in the UK to gain immunity from Covid-19, which is 60x the official number of people worldwide that have so far gained herd immunity. I don't think the UK would be willing to accept 60x the current deaths of 120k in order to achieve herd immunity (i.e. 7 million deaths in the UK). Most experts assume that the number of people with herd immunity is much higher than the official figures, but unless the figures are more than 7x wrong (a real possibility but far from certain), then herd immunity may not be a path forward.

In summary, we cannot seriously consider herd immunity as a real option until governments know that the current official figures are wrong and wrong by a large amount. I would point out that we know the official UK figures are wrong estimating the death rate for herd immunity higher than it actually is, but no one knows if that error is small or large. If the error in UK official figures are small, then I don't think herd immunity is an option, as most people will just all go on the dole (especially doctors, nurses and aged care workers) rather than risk catching it.

Neither of us are experts but we'll see, won't we. Conservative estimates are putting the number of people already infected in the UK at 4% of the population. The first significant antibodies testing results emerged from Germany last week, indicating (unsurprisingly IMO) a lower mortality rate (0.37%) that would imply over 10% of the UK population has already had the virus. That's in two months, without it overwhelming ICUs. If figures like the latter are backed up by more data, it will be a no-brainer to go back to plan A, a managed outbreak and acquiring herd immunity before the next flu season (December).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 14, 2020, 10:45:23 AM
It looks to me as if we're still pretty much on Plan A or else they'd have taken action earlier to reduce the level of the peak. The aim seems to be to deliberately peak  at about NHS saturation level to progress the infection through a significant part of the population quicker than if they'd taken earlier measures. It isn't the strategy being followed by some other countries.

None of us are experts, however closely we've followed this, and only time will tell.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 12:59:51 PM
I noticed that over 200 successfully got in boats and crossed the channel and picked up by our Navy over the easter period....How many of them have it?
Are the French actually just letting them jump into boats and sending them on their way.
I laugh at the comments you read that another group were rescued... Rescued from what ...France?.
Nobody from anywhere should be allowed in while this is going on.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 14, 2020, 01:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 12:59:51 PM
I noticed that over 200 successfully got in boats and crossed the channel and picked up by our Navy over the easter period....How many of them have it?
Are the French actually just letting them jump into boats and sending them on their way.
I laugh at the comments you read that another group were rescued... Rescued from what ...France?.
Nobody from anywhere should be allowed in while this is going on.

Yet the USA have banned flights from Europe and we haven't banned flights from there where the infection is even higher. When flights land there's no briefing as to isolation and they can just get on public transport.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?


We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.

BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 14, 2020, 03:43:11 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?


We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.

BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...

Precisely

The Germans traced the Munich cluster back to one Chinese person.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 04:11:37 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?


We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.

BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...

A few lads in a boat?..lol 6 boats this past week.
Over 3,000 come across since last June..
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 04:36:40 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 04:11:37 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?


We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.

BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...

A few lads in a boat?..lol 6 boats this past week.
Over 3,000 come across since last June..

3000 since June? Well over 3000 Atletico fans flew over from Madrid (one of the heaviest hit European cities) in ONE DAY just four weeks ago. They couldn't watch their team play at home, La Liga suspended, but we welcomed them over for a mass gathering in an enclosed space.

Comedy. Of. Errors.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Fulhamfan666 on April 14, 2020, 04:52:40 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?


We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.

BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
No we're not?
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 05:38:22 PM
Quote from: Fulhamfan666 on April 14, 2020, 04:52:40 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?


We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.

BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
No we're not?
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

We're three weeks behind Spain and Italy, remember. Going to dwarf those at this rate!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 14, 2020, 06:10:13 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 05:38:22 PM
Quote from: Fulhamfan666 on April 14, 2020, 04:52:40 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?


We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.

BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
No we're not?
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

We're three weeks behind Spain and Italy, remember. Going to dwarf those at this rate!

People on here (well, Mince) have given me stick for my posts about the data but really people should look at it for themselves before typing.

Apart from Germany, we and most of our peer countries (ie big, densely-populated European countries that experience high levels of international traffic) have followed almost exactly the same trajectory, albeit a few weeks apart, in terms of the number of infections, number of deaths, and the rate those things have progressed both before and after the lockdowns.

The UK, Italy, France and Spain (and proportionate to their population size, other countries such as Belgium) will all be affected to broadly the same degree. If anything we're on course to do slightly better than Belgium, Spain and probably France in terms of number of deaths. We'll also still be better off than Italy, not because we'll see much less cases/deaths, but because we've at least had more time to prepare and the outbreak will be less concentrated in a particular region. Yes we'll look poor in comparison to Germany, but great in comparison to New York state, which will be one of the worst affected regions in the developed world. You can't win 'em all. 

There's this totally false narrative that we're suffering the worst because we implemented our lockdown last. We implemented it at the same time as France and Germany, and before Ireland, among others.

Of course all this predicated on the idea that less infections is better. If the world decides this virus isn't deadly enough to justify the economic damage of a protracted lockdown, and decides to go for herd immunity, then countries/regions like New York and Spain will actually have an 'advantage' in that more of their population, perhaps 20%, will already have immunity.   
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on April 14, 2020, 06:19:20 PM
Let us get back talking football and how we can possibly reach an end to this season.

The Lockdown has to continue for a good while yet, to suddenly finish it this week would be to risk a second, and larger, rise in deaths and a second Lockdown making it more and more difficult to get back to anywhere near normality.
When it is considered wise to lift Lockdown restrictions then it is becoming clear that this will need to be done gradually with priority being given to low risk but essential matters like getting people back to work and school.
Entertainment and Sport should be close to the bottom of the priority list. Assembling a crowd of 20,000 people at the Cottage has to be considered high risk and low priority, especially as we are in the hot spot area of London.

It is hard to see how we are going to meet again at the Cottage for a very long time and therefore work should start on preparing a proposal of behind closed door games with massive TV coverage in order to reach a conclusion to the 19/20 season.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 06:58:34 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 06:10:13 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 05:38:22 PM
Quote from: Fulhamfan666 on April 14, 2020, 04:52:40 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.

Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?


We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.

BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
No we're not?
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

We're three weeks behind Spain and Italy, remember. Going to dwarf those at this rate!

People on here (well, Mince) have given me stick for my posts about the data but really people should look at it for themselves before typing.

Apart from Germany, we and most of our peer countries (ie big, densely-populated European countries that experience high levels of international traffic) have followed almost exactly the same trajectory, albeit a few weeks apart, in terms of the number of infections, number of deaths, and the rate those things have progressed both before and after the lockdowns.

The UK, Italy, France and Spain (and proportionate to their population size, other countries such as Belgium) will all be affected to broadly the same degree. If anything we're on course to do slightly better than Belgium, Spain and probably France in terms of number of deaths. We'll also still be better off than Italy, not because we'll see much less cases/deaths, but because we've at least had more time to prepare and the outbreak will be less concentrated in a particular region. Yes we'll look poor in comparison to Germany, but great in comparison to New York state, which will be one of the worst affected regions in the developed world. You can't win 'em all. 

There's this totally false narrative that we're suffering the worst because we implemented our lockdown last. We implemented it at the same time as France and Germany, and before Ireland, among others.

Of course all this predicated on the idea that less infections is better. If the world decides this virus isn't deadly enough to justify the economic damage of a protracted lockdown, and decides to go for herd immunity, then countries/regions like New York and Spain will actually have an 'advantage' in that more of their population, perhaps 20%, will already have immunity.   

Disagree with almost everything here, old bean. I don't want to bore people with as to why, but this short succinct '5 min read' in The Independent yesterday covers most of the points I've made previously. I implore everyone here to have a read (it's literally 5 mins) regardless of their current mindset.

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/coronavirus-uk-deaths-lockdown-boris-johnson-nhs-testing-a9462951.html
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFC1987 on April 14, 2020, 07:03:08 PM
I really struggle to appreciate the leading source on an opinion being from the independent. Once a great paper with amazing journalistic integrity, now a shallow, click baity hole of half truths and political smears. I'll give it a read but will likely take with a pinch of salt.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 07:15:26 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 14, 2020, 07:03:08 PM
I really struggle to appreciate the leading source on an opinion being from the independent. Once a great paper with amazing journalistic integrity, now a shallow, click baity hole of half truths and political smears. I'll give it a read but will likely take with a pinch of salt.

Fair. It wasn't that it was in The Independent, just that it brought together my own thoughts (and some much longer, detailed articles I've read) in a very digestible, immediate way. I'm hoping that will get more people to read it and then potentially explore further...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 07:41:50 PM
Tom Peck... 064.gif
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 07:45:53 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 07:41:50 PM
Tom Peck... 064.gif


Not quite as partisan as your beloved Fox News, I concede...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 07:49:29 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 07:45:53 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 07:41:50 PM
Tom Peck... 064.gif


Not quite as partisan as your beloved Fox News, I concede...
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 07:45:53 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 07:41:50 PM
Tom Peck... 064.gif


Not quite as partisan as your beloved Fox News, I concede...

I only read the Cambridge Evening News old bean,the best local paper anywhere.😊
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFC1987 on April 14, 2020, 07:59:57 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 07:15:26 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 14, 2020, 07:03:08 PM
I really struggle to appreciate the leading source on an opinion being from the independent. Once a great paper with amazing journalistic integrity, now a shallow, click baity hole of half truths and political smears. I'll give it a read but will likely take with a pinch of salt.

Fair. It wasn't that it was in The Independent, just that it brought together my own thoughts (and some much longer, detailed articles I've read) in a very digestible, immediate way. I'm hoping that will get more people to read it and then potentially explore further...

That's fair.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 14, 2020, 08:05:29 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 06:58:34 PM
Disagree with almost everything here, old bean. I don't want to bore people with as to why, but this short succinct '5 min read' in The Independent yesterday covers most of the points I've made previously. I implore everyone here to have a read (it's literally 5 mins) regardless of their current mindset.

Why would I (or you) read or value a political sketchwriter's commentary on this subject?

This isn't a matter of opinion or speculation like Brexit or austerity or who should play left-back.

It's about simple, publicly-available numbers that anyone can see, if they can be bothered (clearly, Tom Peck couldn't).

For example, given there's a 20 day gap between the date of our lockdown and the latest number of deaths data, anyone can go and see where our peer countries are/were at this point -

(https://i.postimg.cc/2S9TTxb0/Untitled.jpg)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on April 14, 2020, 08:54:14 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 06:58:34 PM

Disagree with almost everything here, old bean. I don't want to bore people with as to why, but this short succinct '5 min read' in The Independent yesterday covers most of the points I've made previously. I implore everyone here to have a read (it's literally 5 mins) regardless of their current mindset.

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/coronavirus-uk-deaths-lockdown-boris-johnson-nhs-testing-a9462951.html

Great read - some unpalatable truths for some on this board, no doubt.  Our PM was so anxious to ape the antics of the clueless buffoon in the White House that he wasted nearly two precious weeks with his finger up his arse, showboating.  Nothing to see here, folks.  Move along now. Britain will go it alone, we'll do it our way etc.  Remember it was Premier League which shut down its fixtures, not 'the 'science-led' government. Now we pay the price. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 14, 2020, 10:28:38 PM
This Coronavirus lockdown has given me the opportunity to grow a full beard, step up my weight training in my mini gym from three days to five days a week split routine. High protein diet and even dusted my old punch bag down ( not the wife ), speed ball is back in action and I haven't lost my timing with the skipping rope, it's all coming back to me, muscle memory.
I shall be ready to crack a few heads when I am released and looking forward to it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on April 14, 2020, 10:31:38 PM
So after all that can anyone say a likely date for the next match at the Cottage ?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 14, 2020, 10:33:58 PM
Quote from: filham on April 14, 2020, 10:31:38 PM
So after all that can anyone say a likely date for the next match at the Cottage ?

No not me, not until around 2021 I would have thought.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: jarv on April 16, 2020, 03:00:29 PM
Woolly, love your post about your fitness routine. I have not read many on this subject (too many) but will do to see what everyone else is doing.

For me, not great... I was 2 or 3 days away from an agreement to sell my business then this virus hit :doh:. Then my annual trip back to UK cancelled, BA sent official email this morning, flight cancelled, confirmed. Next, I caught the bloody virus but not too bad, just felt like crap for a few days then ok.  Did not go out for 2 weeks so doing nothing much, I consider it my apprenticeship for full retirement when the business is sold.

Reading quite a bit which is good, otherwise it is netflix, good home cooked food and plenty of wine. (and some walking but don't tell anyone)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 16, 2020, 06:03:53 PM
Quote from: jarv on April 16, 2020, 03:00:29 PM
Woolly, love your post about your fitness routine. I have not read many on this subject (too many) but will do to see what everyone else is doing.

For me, not great... I was 2 or 3 days away from an agreement to sell my business then this virus hit :doh:. Then my annual trip back to UK cancelled, BA sent official email this morning, flight cancelled, confirmed. Next, I caught the bloody virus but not too bad, just felt like crap for a few days then ok.  Did not go out for 2 weeks so doing nothing much, I consider it my apprenticeship for full retirement when the business is sold.

Reading quite a bit which is good, otherwise it is netflix, good home cooked food and plenty of wine. (and some walking but don't tell anyone)

Jarv, Sorry to hear about you catching this dam virus, though glad to hear your back in shape.
Hopefully you can sell your business in due course. I find reading a good way to relax, passing the time and increases knowledge, especially now we appear to have more time on our hands.
I have become a fan of Netflix since the lockdown, but I have to say that a fitness routine is a must. It is just a case of not trying to do too much at once, just ease back in and do not over train. Let the body recover and remember discipline is so important. Not to miss a session when you may not feel like it, it's all in the mind,  but once you get started and blood starts pumping round your body, and carries oxygen to the brain, and suddenly you get the flavour, and you won't want to miss a session, and if you do miss a session for any reason you feel guilty, so I do recommend it because once you get to a certain age and you start to slow down, the body will strip the bones for the calcium if you are not getting it in the normal way through diet and sunshine, and that's when the body/skeleton starts to shrink and the bones become brittle. That's why there are not that many overweight pensioners around, and the ones that are generally suffer with health issue.
The body including muscles and the skeleton is designed to be active and exercise, just as important in later life with weight bearing exercises. Too many people when they retire make the mistake of loafing  around as the no longer are following a strict regime, and the well known secret is to carry out weight bearing exercise for a better quality of life, and it very good for the brain.
Very much like a car, if you neglect your car or stop using it, the car will seize up as it is designed to be driving around much like the human body. You are what you eat, so now is the time to turn your body into a Temple.   
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: cottage expat on April 16, 2020, 07:06:24 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 16, 2020, 06:03:53 PM
Quote from: jarv on April 16, 2020, 03:00:29 PM
Woolly, love your post about your fitness routine. I have not read many on this subject (too many) but will do to see what everyone else is doing.

For me, not great... I was 2 or 3 days away from an agreement to sell my business then this virus hit :doh:. Then my annual trip back to UK cancelled, BA sent official email this morning, flight cancelled, confirmed. Next, I caught the bloody virus but not too bad, just felt like crap for a few days then ok.  Did not go out for 2 weeks so doing nothing much, I consider it my apprenticeship for full retirement when the business is sold.

Reading quite a bit which is good, otherwise it is netflix, good home cooked food and plenty of wine. (and some walking but don't tell anyone)

Jarv, Sorry to hear about you catching this dam virus, though glad to hear your back in shape.
Hopefully you can sell your business in due course. I find reading a good way to relax, passing the time and increases knowledge, especially now we appear to have more time on our hands.
I have become a fan of Netflix since the lockdown, but I have to say that a fitness routine is a must. It is just a case of not trying to do too much at once, just ease back in and do not over train. Let the body recover and remember discipline is so important. Not to miss a session when you may not feel like it, it's all in the mind,  but once you get started and blood starts pumping round your body, and carries oxygen to the brain, and suddenly you get the flavour, and you won't want to miss a session, and if you do miss a session for any reason you feel guilty, so I do recommend it because once you get to a certain age and you start to slow down, the body will strip the bones for the calcium if you are not getting it in the normal way through diet and sunshine, and that's when the body/skeleton starts to shrink and the bones become brittle. That's why there are not that many overweight pensioners around, and the ones that are generally suffer with health issue.
The body including muscles and the skeleton is designed to be active and exercise, just as important in later life with weight bearing exercises. Too many people when they retire make the mistake of loafing  around as the no longer are following a strict regime, and the well known secret is to carry out weight bearing exercise for a better quality of life, and it very good for the brain.
Very much like a car, if you neglect your car or stop using it, the car will seize up as it is designed to be driving around much like the human body. You are what you eat, so now is the time to turn your body into a Temple.   



Sound advice, Woolly. Being in home detention it is even more more important, for both physical and mental health ,to have a daily exercise routine.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on April 16, 2020, 08:10:53 PM
Quote from: cottage expat on April 16, 2020, 07:06:24 PM

Sound advice, Woolly. Being in home detention it is even more more important, for both physical and mental health ,to have a daily exercise routine.

Take delivery of my new bike tomorrow.  Pleased the bike shops are still open.  That was a welcome surprise.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 17, 2020, 11:20:37 AM
 I remember going out in my teans with a girl who everyone I knew called her a bike for some reason. I think she eventually went and joined the Foreign Legion, I have often wondered if it was anything I said influenced her in that decision.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: jarv on April 17, 2020, 11:42:12 AM
yes, sound advice woolly.  I have always exercised, played sports. I hate being out of shape. Played (age appropriate football) til I was 67. Massachusetts state champions twice in the over 55 league. Since then, gone back to tennis and took up golf. The golf surprised me, I played about 30 rounds last summer and lost an inch on my waist and I felt great. Playing 3 or 4 times a week is definitely better than playing football on Sunday morning for 90 minutes. I am walking at the moment until golf starts up. Can't ride my bike, too bloody cold here and snow forecast this weekend.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 17, 2020, 12:15:36 PM
Your a better man than me Jarv, as I tried to start playing golf, but I always seem to have a rubber club when driving down the range. Putting was reasonable but I decided to give it up as I had hands like feet, that is why I will never be able to play the piano, I do seem to be more of a natural at Draughts though.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFCAli on April 17, 2020, 12:58:23 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
I heard they tried but no one here (or not enough) was prepared to put in the hours of back-breaking work.  A few years ago there was a TV programme on this point.  Of the few Brits who signed up for the work none turned up the 2nd day.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 17, 2020, 12:58:30 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.

Quote from: FFCAli on April 17, 2020, 12:58:23 PM
I heard they tried but no one here (or not enough) was prepared to put in the hours of back-breaking work.  A few years ago there was a TV programme on this point.  Of the few Brits who signed up for the work none turned up the 2nd day.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52215606 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52215606)

Quote
Record numbers of people in the UK are looking for farming jobs, according to figures released by job search engines.

Totaljobs says it has seen 50,000 searches for farming jobs in the past week alone.

Steve Warnham of Totaljobs said workers "who have been temporarily displaced due to Covid-19 are now looking for roles in other sectors".

The UK faces a shortage of fruit and vegetable pickers because of travel restrictions on overseas workers.

Totaljobs said it had seen an 83% increase in applications for agricultural roles in the past month.

It added that searches for terms such as "fruit picker" or "farm worker" had surged by 338% and 107% respectively.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on April 17, 2020, 01:05:19 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 17, 2020, 12:58:30 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.

Quote from: FFCAli on April 17, 2020, 12:58:23 PM
I heard they tried but no one here (or not enough) was prepared to put in the hours of back-breaking work.  A few years ago there was a TV programme on this point.  Of the few Brits who signed up for the work none turned up the 2nd day.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52215606 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52215606)

Quote
Record numbers of people in the UK are looking for farming jobs, according to figures released by job search engines.

Totaljobs says it has seen 50,000 searches for farming jobs in the past week alone.

Steve Warnham of Totaljobs said workers "who have been temporarily displaced due to Covid-19 are now looking for roles in other sectors".

The UK faces a shortage of fruit and vegetable pickers because of travel restrictions on overseas workers.

Totaljobs said it had seen an 83% increase in applications for agricultural roles in the past month.

It added that searches for terms such as "fruit picker" or "farm worker" had surged by 338% and 107% respectively.

Until they try it, of course!  :005:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on April 17, 2020, 01:10:43 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
don't know if it is a misprint or fake news but there is a report in todays press
that 15000 people still flying into the country every day. doesn't say how many are leaving though.
the lunatics have taken over the asylum....
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 01:17:14 PM
Quote from: FFCAli on April 17, 2020, 12:58:23 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
I heard they tried but no one here (or not enough) was prepared to put in the hours of back-breaking work.  A few years ago there was a TV programme on this point.  Of the few Brits who signed up for the work none turned up the 2nd day.

Nonsense... Whole lot of kids from my area in Suffolk wanted the work.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PM
Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.

Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 17, 2020, 02:56:53 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.

Number of COVID-19 deaths in Romania... 400
Number of COVID-19 deaths in UK... 14,576

I expect they, quite rightly, thought they'd a far better chance of getting "150 virus free people" by flying some in from Romania rather than by sourcing them from our own disease-riddled population

Bloody Romanians, coming over here and catching our diseases  :005:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Twig on April 17, 2020, 03:29:38 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 17, 2020, 02:56:53 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.

Number of COVID-19 deaths in Romania... 400
Number of COVID-19 deaths in UK... 14,576

I expect they, quite rightly, thought they'd a far better chance of getting "150 virus free people" by flying some in from Romania rather than by sourcing them from our own disease-riddled population

Bloody Romanians, coming over here and catching our diseases  :005:

Lol
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on April 17, 2020, 03:34:17 PM
If it is correct that Rumania has suffered only 400 Coronavirus deaths isn't it time someone asked the question why. It doesn't show up on those  official graphs we are being shown every evening at about 5pm.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on April 18, 2020, 08:47:11 AM
Quote from: filham on April 17, 2020, 03:34:17 PM
If it is correct that Rumania has suffered only 400 Coronavirus deaths isn't it time someone asked the question why. It doesn't show up on those  official graphs we are being shown every evening at about 5pm.

Their tests per million population at 4460  isn't too far behind the UK (6467).  Bloody foreigners - not knowing their place again.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 18, 2020, 10:04:41 AM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PM
Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.

Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
According to local growers, there is a need for experienced pickers to train/supervise novices. Also, pickers need to live very close by - I know one Brit living near Guildford who volunteered  but withdrew when told he'd have to move to Hampshire and stay in a caravan on site.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on April 19, 2020, 03:09:11 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 18, 2020, 10:04:41 AM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PM
Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.

Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
According to local growers, there is a need for experienced pickers to train/supervise novices. Also, pickers need to live very close by - I know one Brit living near Guildford who volunteered  but withdrew when told he'd have to move to Hampshire and stay in a caravan on site.

I'm certain there's a few QPR fans out there willing to lend him theirs!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Twig on April 19, 2020, 10:33:37 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 18, 2020, 10:04:41 AM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PM
Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.

Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
According to local growers, there is a need for experienced pickers to train/supervise novices. Also, pickers need to live very close by - I know one Brit living near Guildford who volunteered  but withdrew when told he'd have to move to Hampshire and stay in a caravan on site.


My brother-in-law is a grower in Wisbech and it is absolutely correct that the pickers have to Either be locals or move to stay in local accommodation. There is an old army camp that is used by a lot of these seasonal workers.  If a British applicant were prepared to move then he sees no reason why they wouldn't be selected. But bear in mind that a lot of it is done on a piecework basis so unless you are reasonably quick and willing to graft Long hours you won't earn much.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 19, 2020, 10:57:40 AM
Today's Sunday Times summarises what many of us have been saying for weeks.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

I like this comment
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 19, 2020, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 10:33:37 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 18, 2020, 10:04:41 AM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PM
Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.

Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
According to local growers, there is a need for experienced pickers to train/supervise novices. Also, pickers need to live very close by - I know one Brit living near Guildford who volunteered  but withdrew when told he'd have to move to Hampshire and stay in a caravan on site.


My brother-in-law is a grower in Wisbech and it is absolutely correct that the pickers have to Either be locals or move to stay in local accommodation. There is an old army camp that is used by a lot of these seasonal workers.  If a British applicant were prepared to move then he sees no reason why they wouldn't be selected. But bear in mind that a lot of it is done on a piecework basis so unless you are reasonably quick and willing to graft Long hours you won't earn much.
If anyone's really interested, the information is all here (and really well set out):

https://www.concordiavolunteers.org.uk/
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PM
Quote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

I like this comment

Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PM
Quote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

I like this comment

Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.

Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.

"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Neil D on April 19, 2020, 03:04:37 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 10:57:40 AM
Today's Sunday Times summarises what many of us have been saying for weeks.

Indeed it does.  In an earlier post on this thread I got it badly wrong when I described Johnson as a 'showboater'.  Having read the feature, it is clear that he is, in fact, a bone idle showboater.  Mea culpa.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PM
Quote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

I like this comment

Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.

Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.

"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."

Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ALG01 on April 19, 2020, 04:15:16 PM
Quote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PM
Quote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

I like this comment

I heard on BBC's more or less that the analysis shows that deaths follow the same patern as during any other period. the proportion of old and infirm is x% and those that are apparently fit and healthy but die anyway is y%. the same rough order of magnotude applies to this virus. so being fit and healthy is good but is not a 100% guarantee.

Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.

Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.

"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."

Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFC1987 on April 19, 2020, 04:32:50 PM
Quote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PM
Quote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

I like this comment

Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.

Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.

"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."

Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.

I seem to recall they always suggested there would be mortality rates of about 1% or less in the fit category didn't they? So the cases your suggesting are still in line I believe if the stats maintain.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 19, 2020, 04:38:31 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 19, 2020, 04:32:50 PM
Quote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PM
Quote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

I like this comment

Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.

Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.

"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."

Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.

I seem to recall they always suggested there would be mortality rates of about 1% or less in the fit category didn't they? So the cases your suggesting are still in line I believe if the stats maintain.

1% is across all ages and backgrounds. Even at that level there's data suggesting it will be lower - 0.37% is the last I read (from antibodies testing of c. 1,000 people in a village in Germany). If you're healthy and under 40, the mortality rate will be much lower still,  almost certainly less than 0.1% (so less than 1 in 1,000) or perhaps even 0.01% (1 in 10,000).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on April 19, 2020, 04:53:11 PM
Clearly some people don't have elderly parents or grandparents who they love. My son was not supposed to make double figures (now 25) and has nearly died twice of pneumonia in the past 4years.  Perhaps we should catch the illness and let him die, because we should be ok. I am alright Jack.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 19, 2020, 05:09:12 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 19, 2020, 04:53:11 PM
Clearly some people don't have elderly parents or grandparents who they love. My son was not supposed to make double figures (now 25) and has nearly died twice of pneumonia in the past 4years.  Perhaps we should catch the illness and let him die, because we should be ok. I am alright Jack.

This.

We can only hazard a guess which posters are fit and healthy and under 40.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Plodder on April 20, 2020, 01:08:46 AM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 19, 2020, 04:53:11 PM
Clearly some people don't have elderly parents or grandparents who they love. My son was not supposed to make double figures (now 25) and has nearly died twice of pneumonia in the past 4years.  Perhaps we should catch the illness and let him die, because we should be ok. I am alright Jack.

I have stayed off this thread for a number of reasons until now, but you raise a serious point which deserves a serious answer.  Coronavirus left to spread without any social measures will claim lives, and cause tragedy and suffering. However, continuing lockdown for too long will also claim lives, and cause tragedy and suffering. To take one small example, I know two 94 year old people to whom I spoke on the same day a couple of weeks ago. One already has multiple serious health problems and is unlikely to live for more than 2-3 months, the other is reasonably fit for for her age, but has some problems and knows that at 94 she is unlikely to have long left. Both of them went into isolation (and this is the admirable point) not for their own sakes, but so that they might not become coronavirus spreaders. Yet both also said (in a non-dramatic way) the same thing, namely that the current strategy has effectively stolen life from them, as everything they hold dear in life has been taken away.  One is resigned to never seeing her children or grand-children again; the other thinks it is very unlikely, and also thinks it is unlikely that she will be able to take up her volunteer work again.  All we have done is to take away what precious little time they have left to "live" rather than "exist". Sure, they are no longer likely to die from coronavirus, but still likely to die from another cause, condemned to what both describe as "pointless" existence.  Yet they are selflessly following rules for the benefit of others.  We use the word "heroes" a lot at the moment - people like these are heroes making the ultimate sacrifice.  I could mention the host of other things caused by lockdown (suicide, mental health, physical health, domestic abuse, financial ruin, homelessness, youngsters' education ruined etc. etc.), but that would take for ever.

I understand how worried you must be about your son. The point I am trying to make in a long-winded way is that there are no easy answers, and we (as a society via our elected government) have to make choices which will lead to deaths and suffering for people who (like your son, you, me and everyone else) are blameless. Too much to discuss here, but I think we have to start relaxing the restrictions after the current three week period, whilst keeping in place measures to protect those who deem themselves especially vulnerable.  People use too easily the expression "lives are more important than the economy"; the two are closely linked.  There are many people who (like myself in the emergency services) are lucky as we are in jobs which continue to be paid, but some in this situation fail to appreciate how shattering it is for individuals and families when their income suddenly disappears and they have no money.  In a way, the "Stay at Home - Protect the NHS - Save Lives" has been a victim of its own success, as it has spooked a lot of people into thinking we can't try to resume some form of "normality" for several months and made them petrified of returning to work or going out when the time comes to do so; but I think we have to start soon, otherwise the catastrophe will greater than whatever the virus is achieving.

Wishing you and everyone the best in these difficult times
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 04:38:31 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 19, 2020, 04:32:50 PM
Quote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PM
Quote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AM
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.

I like this comment

Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.

Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.

"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."

Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.

I seem to recall they always suggested there would be mortality rates of about 1% or less in the fit category didn't they? So the cases your suggesting are still in line I believe if the stats maintain.

1% is across all ages and backgrounds. Even at that level there's data suggesting it will be lower - 0.37% is the last I read (from antibodies testing of c. 1,000 people in a village in Germany). If you're healthy and under 40, the mortality rate will be much lower still,  almost certainly less than 0.1% (so less than 1 in 1,000) or perhaps even 0.01% (1 in 10,000).
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die. In NYC it is right now more than 10% of tested cases. Yes, a lot of people are walking around asymptomatic so the true figure is certainly much below 10%. Bit it will be much more than 0.37% of those infected, that figure is more likely relevant to the whole population, which In NYC that would be mean more than 32,000. But that figure, again, will totally depend on how many get infected. So just stay indoors! As someone with a dear friend, NOT part of a "risk group", 3 weeks in hospital but since yesterday on ventilator this is just fecking awful and I am personally afraid for me, my family and friends.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AM
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.

I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that  around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.

In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on April 20, 2020, 06:59:32 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AM
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.

I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.

In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.

I completely disagree with your logic that "the lockdown should end", because the "official statistics are wrong" and the probable statistics is "a death rate of 0.37%" (based on some study) because the "official WHO figure of 21 % deaths of closed cases  (i.e 165,074 deaths / 790,276 cases closed), also the official UK figure 100% deaths of closed cases (because the UK failed to record recoveries) and even the official UK figure 13.3% deaths of all cases.

Decisions should only be based on official statistics and peer-reviewed accepted data, which for now strongly indicates a much harsher lockdown is required.

While there is a lot of creditability with your starting premise the UK figures are hopelessly wrong (which is obviously true for the UK stat of 100% deaths of the case closed as at least one person has recovered from Covid-19 in the UK), surely that leads to the logical conclusion that the UK needs to get some sane figures and then makes a decision.

As for your unofficial figures by a few experts in Germany (estimating the closed death rate is 0.37% in a non-peer reviewed study), it does seem to place doubts of WHO and UK official figures (placing the currently closed death rate between 13% and 21%), but it seems to indicate more that all the figures/estimates are all totally incorrect (including the Germany experts, WHO and UK NHS). Even the WHO estiamted the death rate was probably near 3.5%, which disagrees wildly to the death rate of closed cases of 21%, so like the UK, the WHO is clueless.

Seriously, if a real estate agent in Fulham told you a "Terrace house in Fulham" was worth £10M and a buyers agent said its worth 170k, I would have no confidence that one of them is correct. I find it amazing that with 2.4 million with the coivd-19 we have very little idea of what professional have the illness, surely knowing what professional don't contract the illiness may help us know who could go back to work first (e.g. Do many car mechanics etc catch covid-19?).

Conclusion: the UK needs to get some decent statistics before it ends the lockdown. The government is erroneously trying to make decisions that depending on which stats you look at it could be a "fast spread mild flu" (R0 =3.9 and Death Rate = 0.37%) or a "comparable black death" (R0 =1.4 and Death Rate = 21%). Any sensible analysis of your information is not that the death rate is low as you imply; a sensible conclusion is the WHO / UK have no idea of the real death rate and it could be either high or low.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 20, 2020, 09:21:12 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on April 20, 2020, 06:59:32 AM
I completely disagree with your logic that "the lockdown should end", because the "official statistics are wrong"

(1) I didn't say "the lockdown should end"
(2) I didn't say the "official statistics are wrong". The "official statistics" are for the number of hospitalisations and deaths, which is a completely different metric to the mortality rate of the disease. No one involved in compiling and publishing those stats is holding them out as the latter. It's like having a debate about how many Fulham fans there are worldwide and you saying the "official statistic" is 1,200 because that's how many we took to Bristol away last month.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 20, 2020, 10:37:02 AM
The statistics that are published daily are lacking in detail; no doubt the decision-makers have much more detail at their disposal but I believe that publication of more detail (not necessarily in the daily soundbites) would be of real use to the public, not least in understanding the explanations that are given. Liam Fox (and never thought I'd ever quote him) makes some excellent points in his article on this subject today.

One that's concerned me for some time is the daily regional graph that shows London top of the "league" and the SW bottom. Clearly that's because of the relative density of population and behaviour which inevitably make the spread of the virus more likely. The reverse applies to the rural SW where we don't have tube trains but, even here, the clusters in Plymouth and Torbay point to population density as a key factor.

My point is that these regional figures need pro-rating according to relative populations, which would inevitably raise all or most of the regions up the "league". That would have the effect of countering the complacency which one encounters here in the SW (and perhaps elsewhere) where density sometimes seems to relate to degree of denial rather than numbers of people. 

So many questions could then be more clearly asked, even if not answered: 1. it would be useful to know if the regions "peak" at roughly the same time as London and whether that would remain the peak, all other things being equal, or whether they would balance up once the gates are opened. That is, whether we should expect a resurgence once the lockdown ends to approach the % level of London, i.e. whether that is a certain level that all regions will eventually need to reach - osmotically.  2. whether the "hammer" will have lowered the level merely until such time as more infection is imported during the holiday season, if it goes ahead. 3 whether there should be different opening up measures in different regions to pre-empt the latter.

There's no point in opening up too fast just to have to clamp down disruptively on the same factors again later.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
Regional data here
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/#regions

There's a largess of publicly-available data on this. Almost all the data and expert analysis is published (in the West, at least). The man on the street can easily become as informed as central govt on most facets this (albeit perhaps not on specific issues like PPE supplies). Which admittedly, still leaves a lot of unknowns but that's a consequence of this being a novel, complex issue rather than a lack of transparency.

But most people don't want to read data, charts and academic studies. They want soundbites and (in your case) the odd Sunday Times article. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 20, 2020, 11:11:16 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
Regional data here
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/#regions

There's a largess of publicly-available data on this. Almost all the data and expert analysis is published (in the West, at least). The man on the street can easily become as informed as central govt on most facets this (albeit perhaps not on specific issues like PPE supplies). Which admittedly, still leaves a lot of unknowns but that's a consequence of this being a novel, complex issue rather than a lack of transparency.

But most people don't want to read data, charts and academic studies. They want soundbites and (in your case) the odd Sunday Times article. 

Charming!

Those data don't pro-rate per population. Frankly, I'd hoped for a more constructive response from you.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 20, 2020, 11:38:16 AM
Quote from: Holders on April 20, 2020, 11:11:16 AM
Those data don't pro-rate per population. 

Wikipedia population data
MS Excel

2 mins

Et voila



Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 20, 2020, 11:56:20 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 11:38:16 AM
Quote from: Holders on April 20, 2020, 11:11:16 AM
Those data don't pro-rate per population. 

Wikipedia population data
MS Excel

2 mins

Et voila





Indeed, for those of us who are sufficiently motivated but my point was that it would be useful if it were readily available as it would throw interesting light for the general population and illuminate actions being taken.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
the odd Sunday Times article. 

The odd Sunday Times article alongside medical journal The Lancet, The New Statesman, the WHO, Guardian (oh, I forgot that has an agenda...), countless publications actually - too many to name individually and hold peoples attention, almost every epidemiologist outside of the UK and, most surprising of all, a few posters here from before 'lockdown' even begun.

What was most surprising (and important) about The Sunday Times article is that it was The Times. One of their own. Essentially their own parish newsletter. Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 20, 2020, 12:28:23 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
the odd Sunday Times article. 

The odd Sunday Times article alongside medical journal The Lancet, The New Statesman, the WHO, Guardian (oh, I forgot that has an agenda...), countless publications actually - too many to name individually and hold peoples attention, almost every epidemiologist outside of the UK and, most surprising of all, a few posters here from before 'lockdown' even begun.

What was most surprising (and important) about The Sunday Times article is that it was The Times. One of their own. Essentially their own parish newsletter. Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...


That is a key point and one of the reasons I posted the reference - the fact that it was in the Murdoch press. We wait in anticipation to see how the Sun continues to see the issue, any change there would be a real game changer. I don't make this point politically but the Sun is undoubtedly a (if not the) major influence on public opinion in this country.

Anyone who's read the Sunday Times article should also read the government's response (published yesterday) for balance and I'd also suggest Liam Fox's article today.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...

As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"

But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:41:17 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 20, 2020, 12:28:23 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
the odd Sunday Times article. 

The odd Sunday Times article alongside medical journal The Lancet, The New Statesman, the WHO, Guardian (oh, I forgot that has an agenda...), countless publications actually - too many to name individually and hold peoples attention, almost every epidemiologist outside of the UK and, most surprising of all, a few posters here from before 'lockdown' even begun.

What was most surprising (and important) about The Sunday Times article is that it was The Times. One of their own. Essentially their own parish newsletter. Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...

We wait in anticipation to see how the Sun continues to see the issue

Sadl, they have already answered. The front page is doing the rounds on socials today in disbelief: 30% of page somethings about the pop band Little Mix
60% of the page a photo of beer with 'pubs closed to Christmas!' in a scaremongering/raising the pressure attempt for an early relase from lockdown which they have already said has hit sales hard
10% a little box with 'Boris anger at smears'.

Sigh. And on it goes then... 'Fake news' etc.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...

As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"

But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.



As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...

As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"

But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.



As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).

Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on April 20, 2020, 01:51:35 PM
Quote from: Plodder on April 20, 2020, 01:08:46 AM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 19, 2020, 04:53:11 PM
Clearly some people don't have elderly parents or grandparents who they love. My son was not supposed to make double figures (now 25) and has nearly died twice of pneumonia in the past 4years.  Perhaps we should catch the illness and let him die, because we should be ok. I am alright Jack.

I have stayed off this thread for a number of reasons until now, but you raise a serious point which deserves a serious answer.  Coronavirus left to spread without any social measures will claim lives, and cause tragedy and suffering. However, continuing lockdown for too long will also claim lives, and cause tragedy and suffering. To take one small example, I know two 94 year old people to whom I spoke on the same day a couple of weeks ago. One already has multiple serious health problems and is unlikely to live for more than 2-3 months, the other is reasonably fit for for her age, but has some problems and knows that at 94 she is unlikely to have long left. Both of them went into isolation (and this is the admirable point) not for their own sakes, but so that they might not become coronavirus spreaders. Yet both also said (in a non-dramatic way) the same thing, namely that the current strategy has effectively stolen life from them, as everything they hold dear in life has been taken away.  One is resigned to never seeing her children or grand-children again; the other thinks it is very unlikely, and also thinks it is unlikely that she will be able to take up her volunteer work again.  All we have done is to take away what precious little time they have left to "live" rather than "exist". Sure, they are no longer likely to die from coronavirus, but still likely to die from another cause, condemned to what both describe as "pointless" existence.  Yet they are selflessly following rules for the benefit of others.  We use the word "heroes" a lot at the moment - people like these are heroes making the ultimate sacrifice.  I could mention the host of other things caused by lockdown (suicide, mental health, physical health, domestic abuse, financial ruin, homelessness, youngsters' education ruined etc. etc.), but that would take for ever.

I understand how worried you must be about your son. The point I am trying to make in a long-winded way is that there are no easy answers, and we (as a society via our elected government) have to make choices which will lead to deaths and suffering for people who (like your son, you, me and everyone else) are blameless. Too much to discuss here, but I think we have to start relaxing the restrictions after the current three week period, whilst keeping in place measures to protect those who deem themselves especially vulnerable.  People use too easily the expression "lives are more important than the economy"; the two are closely linked.  There are many people who (like myself in the emergency services) are lucky as we are in jobs which continue to be paid, but some in this situation fail to appreciate how shattering it is for individuals and families when their income suddenly disappears and they have no money.  In a way, the "Stay at Home - Protect the NHS - Save Lives" has been a victim of its own success, as it has spooked a lot of people into thinking we can't try to resume some form of "normality" for several months and made them petrified of returning to work or going out when the time comes to do so; but I think we have to start soon, otherwise the catastrophe will greater than whatever the virus is achieving.

Wishing you and everyone the best in these difficult times
Hi Plodder. An interesting and thoughtful response and yes I feel pity for all sorts of people, including myself as in order to keep my son alive, I will have to remain isolated for far longer than most. The position changed approximately 3-4 weeks ago when the Govt models showed that without lockdown the NHS would be overwhelmed and approximately 250,000 people would die as a result. The govt was trying to hold the numbers to 20,000, which they will probably miss.

Clearly the restrictions will slowly be lifted but this has to be done carefully and the message has to be retained that we cannot just get back to normal, otherwise we will just get a rebound 4-6 weeks later.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...

As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"

But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.



As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).

Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?

Really? You've not looked at enough of my posts then. My point was (and it was made prior to this recent run of articles saying the same thing) that the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff.

I didn't want to go down this route and point it out so obviously as it may be provocative still for some, but you asked.

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:42:54 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PM
the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff

I'm probably flogging a dead horse here but... anything specific?

:dead horse:
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 03:08:52 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...

As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"

But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.



As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).

Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?

Really? You've not looked at enough of my posts then. My point was (and it was made prior to this recent run of articles saying the same thing) that the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff.

I didn't want to go down this route and point it out so obviously as it may be provocative still for some, but you asked.

I have, but having left this discussion after it got heated last time, I think some of it has gone slightly awry and didn't make sense to me and thought I'd try and and ask, politely, whats specifically being argued here. I don't think what you said is beyond the pale, or really, too provocative compared to posts that are now gone. It's probably fair that things have been done, badly, too slowly, and poorly coordinated but i'm sure the government have done good things too. I still reserve judgement till, after all this, a thorough postmortem will be done and we'll see much more, good and bad.I think the only thing I'd add is, its abundantly clear is, the NHS hasn't had the funding or the management it deserves and I hope this will be our main priority going forward.

Stay safe everyone and be nice, its hard enough as it is.     

Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...

As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"

But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.



As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).

Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?

Really? You've not looked at enough of my posts then. My point was (and it was made prior to this recent run of articles saying the same thing) that the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff.

I didn't want to go down this route and point it out so obviously as it may be provocative still for some, but you asked.




I had intended to keep stum on this thread, but you talk utter rubbish. The Sunday Times article is so full of inaccuracies it is a disgrace to that newspaper.

Point 1: it is not the governments job to order PPE for the NHS, the NHS itself is the procurement body. Similarly, care homes should be ordering kit themselves, not waiting for the government to dish it out. NHS nurses and doctors deserve every praise, the NHS chief bureaucrats should be sacked when this is all over. The same bureaucrats that withheld blood samples from private firms who want to work on tests, and who also couldn't be bothered to even reply to companies offering equipment and help; and there are several prototype ventilators waiting weeks for 'approval'.

Point 2: although I buy the ST I didn't read the article as I knew it was a load of clowns who thought now what can we criticise the government for in their handling of a crisis unprecedented in 300 years. I got it out a few minutes ago and skimmed through it: just oine example: the writers accuse the government of selling a load of equipment to China - it wasn't the government it was the company that makes the stuff.


Point 3: Why is anyone taking Prof Ferguson seriously? Take a look at his track record: BSE, his forecast 150k dead, actual deaths 200; bird flu, his forecast 200 million deaths, actual deaths 450. The man's a joke, but of course he feeds certain journalists just the ammunition they want.

Point 4: most COBRA meetings do not include the PM. But hey, let's just say he's lazy for not attending every one.

Point 5: there's even an attempt to blame this on Brexit!!! It can only be a matter of time before the BBC/Guardian (same thing, different media) and other diehard Remainers start calling for another referendum now that so many old people have died!!!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 03:36:26 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 03:08:52 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...

As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"

But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.



As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).

Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?

Really? You've not looked at enough of my posts then. My point was (and it was made prior to this recent run of articles saying the same thing) that the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff.

I didn't want to go down this route and point it out so obviously as it may be provocative still for some, but you asked.

I have, but having left this discussion after it got heated last time, I think some of it has gone slightly awry and didn't make sense to me and thought I'd try and and ask, politely, whats specifically being argued here. I don't think what you said is beyond the pale, or really, too provocative compared to posts that are now gone. It's probably fair that things have been done, badly, too slowly, and poorly coordinated but i'm sure the government have done good things too. I still reserve judgement till, after all this, a thorough postmortem will be done and we'll see much more, good and bad.I think the only thing I'd add is, its abundantly clear is, the NHS hasn't had the funding or the management it deserves and I hope this will be our main priority going forward.

Stay safe everyone and be nice, its hard enough as it is.     



:) I left off the NHS part, I think that's where it got heated and I got too emotionally involved last time. I also left it and backed out for a while. Only coming back in today re. Sunday Times. But you are right about that. 100%.


Hope you and yours stay safe and well. Enjoy your evening.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 03:51:58 PM
Now, Gloucester White, I will ignore most of your post - especially point 1 about the NHS and PPE as it so unbelievably wrong and wide of the mark, that I fear you won't entertain any rationale. Also because I made a promise to myself not to be get emotionally involved on here any more. But if you are fine with those very same NHS staff dying, literally dying, whilst trying to save us, solely down to not having enough PPE and this being entirely the fault of the government but making excuses for them, then cool. That's your look out. I'll merely say:

Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM

Point 2: although I buy the ST I didn't read the article

So you've not read the article, let alone all the others mentioned that were put together by completely independent, apolitical, independent bodies, but you're quite sure its boll***s? Right. Ooookay. Ahem. Read the articles. This is what is actually happening. This is not football where you blindly defend one side. This is peoples lives.

Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM
Also Point 2: I knew it was a load of clowns who thought now what can we criticise the government for in their handling of a crisis unprecedented in 300 years.

Point 4: most COBRA meetings do not include the PM. But hey, let's just say he's lazy for not attending every one.

These two points rather contradict themselves, don't they? If it is a crisis unprecedented in 300 years, don't you rather think he should have been there? Or did he have something more important to do at the weekend? That's without going into the point that COBRA meetings are rarely called and only used in times of absolute emergency so, historically speaking, yes the PM is usually there. As, you know, that is literally their job.

Also, he and they had the advantage of a few weeks head start on many countries and the advantage of their advice/experiences. They choose not to heed it? Why, or the possible reasons why, are covered in said articles. Either way, incredibly poor. It didn't 'come out of nowhere', caught everyone by surprise, and they did the best they can off the cuff. That would be one fairly passable excuse if so. Again read the articles, and you will know this.

Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM
Point 3: Why is anyone taking Prof Ferguson seriously? Take a look at his track record: BSE, his forecast 150k dead, actual deaths 200; bird flu, his forecast 200 million deaths, actual deaths 450. The man's a joke, but of course he feeds certain journalists just the ammunition they want.

It's not just Prof Ferguson. Open your eyes. Read some articles that don't already fit your narrative and then decide. If you decide without even looking at anything that you don't think will fit your side, or reading something having already picked a side, you aren't really looking at anything. So what are you basing your opinions on exactly?

Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM
For the same reason I won't be reading any more of your posts.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 04:04:30 PM
Couldn't resist one more, but promise it's the last!

You seem to be addicted to newspaper articles so read the leader in today's Telegraph regarding my point about the NHS being the procurement body. Or maybe you only want to quote newspapers that support your rants? Who exactly do you think orders PPE? MPs? Civil servants? No, it's the NHS! The government has now got involved because the NHS are incompetent - and before you start I'm referring to the bureaucrats not the nurses or doctors.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 04:19:05 PM
Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 04:04:30 PM
Couldn't resist one more, but promise it's the last!

You seem to be addicted to newspaper articles so read the leader in today's Telegraph regarding my point about the NHS being the procurement body. Or maybe you only want to quote newspapers that support your rants? Who exactly do you think orders PPE? MPs? Civil servants? No, it's the NHS! The government has now got involved because the NHS are incompetent - and before you start I'm referring to the bureaucrats not the nurses and doctors.

I won't bother with the rest of your reply.



I... I... I'm not sure where to even begin. The bureaucrats, as you so put it, are magicians. Deserving of every bit as much praise as the frontline staff for saving the governments skin and somehow keeping the NHS going. Certainly in response to this. Have a look at the reports from 2006 when pandemic response plans were tested and we were, to quote, 'the envy of the world' in our actions and resources. Look again at the 2016 outcome, following over half a decade of austerity cuts and underfunding and it's a massive red warning. Was any action taken based on that? No sir, it was not. And that is the very least of the complaints in a very long list!

It's not unpatriotic to ask questions of our government, it's the opposite. It shouldn't be brushed away or shut down. Otherwise, where would we end up? History (and hell, even a couple modern day!) has examples of that...
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 04:33:40 PM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 04:19:05 PM
Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 04:04:30 PM
Couldn't resist one more, but promise it's the last!

You seem to be addicted to newspaper articles so read the leader in today's Telegraph regarding my point about the NHS being the procurement body. Or maybe you only want to quote newspapers that support your rants? Who exactly do you think orders PPE? MPs? Civil servants? No, it's the NHS! The government has now got involved because the NHS are incompetent - and before you start I'm referring to the bureaucrats not the nurses and doctors.

I won't bother with the rest of your reply.



I... I... I'm not sure where to even begin. The bureaucrats, as you so put it, are magicians. Deserving of every bit as much praise as the frontline staff for saving the governments skin and somehow keeping the NHS going. Certainly in response to this. Have a look at the reports from 2006 when pandemic response plans were tested and we were, to quote, 'the envy of the world' in our actions and resources. Look again at the 2016 outcome, following over half a decade of austerity cuts and underfunding and it's a massive red warning. Was any action taken based on that? No sir, it was not. And that is the very least of the complaints in a very long list!

It's not unpatriotic to ask questions of our government, it's the opposite. It shouldn't be brushed away or shut down. Otherwise, where would we end up? History (and hell, even a couple modern day!) has examples of that...

Magicians? Hilarious. The Telegraph is behind a firewall so I suppose you have an excuse not to read another slant on this. Here's the relevant bit:
"Responsibility for the failure to stockpile protective equipment or obtain enough respirators must lie with the NHS, since it is the procurement body. Its managers should not wait around to be instructed by Government ministers about what is needed and or for blame then to be attached to others when the shortcomings become apparent."

You haven't answered my question: who is responsible for ordering PPE?

Agree with your last para. But criticism should be balanced and realistic.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 04:40:19 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AM
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.


I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that  around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.

In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.
You believe wrong. I believe it is actually important to fact check before making statements, so here are the facts as of now, re. NY State and NY City (i.e. Manhattan, Queens, the Bronx, Brooklyn and Staten Island).
NYS 18,298 dead and 248,431 cases
NYC 14,451 dead and 138,700 cases
Yes, NY is among the most affected areas in the world, probably due to the population density, but it could be much worse. Lockdown and social distancing has been at least moderately successful as the outbreak seems to have plateaued.  What I am saying is that it is ludicrous to now suggest, when social distancing is working, that it is not really needed because the spread "doesn't look so bad". I am fully aware that this is an economic disaster that will likely bring with it a recession that makes 2008-2009 look like chocolate cake. If anything I expect a new Great Depression, and people pushing for a relaxation in control measures will make that MORE likely because the virus spread will just pick up again, forcing us to renew the lock down. This is a complete disaster and I can only suggest that all those who think we should not be limiting business activity and social interaction between people consider whether they are prepared to live, in their own city, with the type of health care system collapse as the one we saw in Northern Italy and Madrid, to mention but two examples.
Look, I am salesman with a large sales territory that I cannot cover now. I will lose business (not to competitors as they are in the same boat, but to reduced economic activity). My savings and my pension will lose in value and I may even end up losing my job while my son who graduated from Uni will find it hard as hell to find a job for years. But I know that I am still one of the lucky ones as I still have a job, have savings and can afford to just hunker down. I look at the people who work(ed) in service industries and live hand to mouth such as the immigrant community who tends to live of day labor, gardening, cleaning, dish washing etc. with no access to relief funds; the refugees from Venezuela living on the streets across Latin America or from Syria in cramped camps etc. and my heart goes out to all of them. This is mayhem and the "medicine" will kill more people than the virus. So there is NOTHING I want more than "getting back to business" but a premature opening up would be tremendously counterproductive as then you just increase the damages BOTH from the "medicine" and the virus.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 20, 2020, 05:11:23 PM
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 04:40:19 PM
You believe wrong. I believe it is actually important to fact check before making statements, so here are the facts as of now, re. NY State and NY City (i.e. Manhattan, Queens, the Bronx, Brooklyn and Staten Island).
NYS 18,298 dead and 248,431 cases
NYC 14,451 dead and 138,700 cases

Could you share the source for that?
The NY Times coverage of Cuomo's latest press conference here says "Deaths statewide: down for the sixth straight day, to 478, bringing the total number of deaths to 14,347."
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/nyregion/coronavirus-new-york-update.html

Nothing in the rest of your post appears to relate to anything I said and I'm trying to avoid political, ethical and generally opinion-based debates so I've not responded to that.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Statto on April 20, 2020, 05:23:27 PM
FWIW this is the German antibodies testing study which indicated 14% of people in one German town had been infected with coronavirus and the true mortality rate was likely around 0.37%
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/09/999015/blood-tests-show-15-of-people-are-now-immune-to-covid-19-in-one-town-in-germany/

Cuomo has just announced that they're going to carry out the same exercise in New York so we'll see what that shows soon
https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/amid-ongoing-covid-19-pandemic-governor-cuomo-announces-statewide-antibody-testing-survey-will
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 06:43:53 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 05:23:27 PM
FWIW this is the German antibodies testing study which indicated 14% of people in one German town had been infected with coronavirus and the true mortality rate was likely around 0.37%
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/09/999015/blood-tests-show-15-of-people-are-now-immune-to-covid-19-in-one-town-in-germany/

Cuomo has just announced that they're going to carry out the same exercise in New York so we'll see what that shows soon
https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/amid-ongoing-covid-19-pandemic-governor-cuomo-announces-statewide-antibody-testing-survey-will

Just so we're clear, I did say '1% or less' as I know it was marginal but that's still a lot of people to consider.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: F(f)CUK on April 20, 2020, 10:22:34 PM
For those moaning about being in lockdown, spare a thought for people in certain other countries. Speaking to colleagues in my company they tell me how there are lengthy jail sentences for people breaking the lockdown in Jordan. Whilst in South Africa they put a yellow ribbon out the window to signify that the household has no food. The govt has banned alcohol and cigarettes. Obviously the black market is buoyant.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: The Rational Fan on April 21, 2020, 02:20:24 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 09:21:12 AM
Quote from: The Rational Fan on April 20, 2020, 06:59:32 AM
I completely disagree with your logic that "the lockdown should end", because the "official statistics are wrong"

(1) I didn't say "the lockdown should end"
(2) I didn't say the "official statistics are wrong". The "official statistics" are for the number of hospitalisations and deaths, which is a completely different metric to the mortality rate of the disease. No one involved in compiling and publishing those stats is holding them out as the latter. It's like having a debate about how many Fulham fans there are worldwide and you saying the "official statistic" is 1,200 because that's how many we took to Bristol away last month.

I am sorry about misinterpreting what you were trying to say. It seems you think the UK Offical Statistics don't represent anything about immunity (which seems most experts agree with you on) but at the moment we only know that those that test positive to covid-19 and recovered have some herd immunity. We do not know the immunity of those that developed antibodies without being positive to detectable levels of covid-19. So current, Uk statistics point to almost the worst-case scenario.

In other words, the UK Government doesn't know that the deaths / people immune (which german experts estimate maybe 0.37%) and deaths / recovered person (which WHO official statistic is 21%) aren't the same. Those that have antibodies, but haven't fallen sick may still catch the illiness. The real question is how many people have herd immunity? UK Offical statistics provide no answer and WHO Offical Statistics say >650,000 worldwide (barely any herd immunity so far).

Essentially an immune person is a recovered person that didn't get any symptoms including potentially detectable levels of covid-19. The worst-case statistics could determine that total lockdown until eraducation of the illness is the best path forward, even though such a path would be truly terrifying in terms of economic, civil order impacts and massive non-covid-19 deaths. Until, we know better with some best guesses UK statistics we must avoid the worst-case scenario, which is improbable but is not negligible and is horrific.

Most importantly, the UK has no official statistics to really determine the death rate of the illness (ie. deaths / people immune), which is one of the most important statistics in terms of ending lockdown (or having a much more severe lockdown). I would have thought that not having such statistics is the number one mistake of the UK government (even if hard to do) and should be the number one priority of the UK government to fix. The only such WHO offical statistic we do have is the 21% death rate (i.e. deaths / recovered) that even WHO says not to trust (estimating closer to 3.5%).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Milo on April 21, 2020, 02:28:46 AM
Trying to keep the thread alive but having to edit quite a few posts that have boiled over.

Please try to keep civil.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: I Ronic on April 21, 2020, 06:44:50 AM
Quote from: Milo on April 21, 2020, 02:28:46 AM
Trying to keep the thread alive but having to edit quite a few posts that have boiled over.

Please try to keep civil.


I started this thread on the 1st of March. With a question about how the virus might affect football. Since then it's morphed into something quite different. Much like threads on Fulham's chances of being promoted there's  alot of using stats to back up assumptions and like those threads civility goes out of the window and there's a bit of name calling. However Ibe learned much from the information that has come up and its lead me to do a bit of follow up reading.
So I say this with every respect to the mods and the jobs you do keeping things moving along. Locking an interesting thread seems a bit heavy handed. When you can suspend a poster for a period of time, because they've broken the common rules of politeness and respect.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Peabody on April 21, 2020, 08:06:20 AM
My first contribution to this thread. Why not be grateful that you all are still able to write your opinions on this subject, that you are still able to be isolated and be able to work from home, that you are able to go out and take your daily exercise, that you are still able to struggle to find a food shopping slot. We all have so much to be grateful for. There will be more worry about when this evil virus has left us but in the meantime, let's just celebrate that we have so far, avoided getting the virus and long may that continue.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on April 21, 2020, 08:41:18 AM
Quote from: Peabody on April 21, 2020, 08:06:20 AM
My first contribution to this thread. Why not be grateful that you all are still able to write your opinions on this subject, that you are still able to be isolated and be able to work from home, that you are able to go out and take your daily exercise, that you are still able to struggle to find a food shopping slot. We all have so much to be grateful for. There will be more worry about when this evil virus has left us but in the meantime, let's just celebrate that we have so far, avoided getting the virus and long may that continue.
+1. well said Peabody!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 21, 2020, 08:47:21 AM
Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 08:41:18 AM
Quote from: Peabody on April 21, 2020, 08:06:20 AM
My first contribution to this thread. Why not be grateful that you all are still able to write your opinions on this subject, that you are still able to be isolated and be able to work from home, that you are able to go out and take your daily exercise, that you are still able to struggle to find a food shopping slot. We all have so much to be grateful for. There will be more worry about when this evil virus has left us but in the meantime, let's just celebrate that we have so far, avoided getting the virus and long may that continue.
+1. well said Peabody!

and so say all of us, a timely reminder ➕2️⃣
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southdowns White on April 21, 2020, 08:49:53 AM
From a personal point of view, one conclusion we can all come to is there is too much pointless journalism, journalists on location all over the place reporting and repeating statements just announced by the main news presenter. Wall to wall news going over the same points, for days until something else happens to feed the machine. Journalists asking questions an 8 year old could answer with little knowledge of the subject, asking questions no one could ever answer at the moment, trying to get an answer from a politician or so called expert that really common sense tells most people can only be answered once we come out the other side of all this.
Another thing, why do we need so much American news? I can't watch sky news because it is obsessed with America and now the BBC seems to think we want American news.
My comments are not just for the covid outbreak, there is just too much inane drivel repeated over and over again by people who really should know better on radio and TV.
Have a good day everyone, if you can.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 09:19:37 AM
Just a quick one to say I agree with the two points made above (F(f)CUK and Peabody).

Good job to the mods for keeping it going and allowing people to exchange views. It's a really difficult one as its not football or Fulham related so should usually have no place (such as election chat and so on) but its so all consuming and huge (those of us fortunate enough to have been born after the war have never known anything of this magnitude and impact) that its always going to resurface in discussions. And, I don't know, maybe in a weird way, talking about it, even disagreeing and seeing other viewpoints, helps in a way.

Also agree with Peabody. We are fortunate. Very fortunate when you look at the impact this has on people here with less stable finances and/or work, and certainly those who have become ill or whose family/friends/loved ones have. Even more so, perhaps, when you consider countries less well off where there is no furloughed salaries, where there is no readily available internet (for arguing with people who support the same side and are therefore, ordinarily, on the same side as you), no Netflix, no open spaces, supermarkets, etc, etc, etc.

I'll leave it with one final positive thought: Just think of that first Friday night when the pubs are back open! The vibe and spirit will be unreal. Like one big street party I imagine. And the first game back at the cottage with the usual afternoon spent in related boozers. Hell, even the toilets in the Lion will seem palatial and a rare treat after this!

I wish you all a good day.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 21, 2020, 10:16:05 AM
I agree with Peabody and Southdowns White.

To be honest, it's not making much difference to me except that I'm getting some jobs done that have been waiting for years and the garden looks the best it's done since the previous people left! The peace and quiet at the moment is lovely, especially in the weather we've been having.

But I really feel for people who live in flats, no garden and only the telly for company.

Keep well, all Fofers.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 21, 2020, 11:14:50 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 09:19:37 AM
Just a quick one to say I agree with the two points made above (F(f)CUK and Peabody).

Good job to the mods for keeping it going and allowing people to exchange views. It's a really difficult one as its not football or Fulham related so should usually have no place (such as election chat and so on) but its so all consuming and huge (those of us fortunate enough to have been born after the war have never known anything of this magnitude and impact) that its always going to resurface in discussions. And, I don't know, maybe in a weird way, talking about it, even disagreeing and seeing other viewpoints, helps in a way.

Also agree with Peabody. We are fortunate. Very fortunate when you look at the impact this has on people here with less stable finances and/or work, and certainly those who have become ill or whose family/friends/loved ones have. Even more so, perhaps, when you consider countries less well off where there is no furloughed salaries, where there is no readily available internet (for arguing with people who support the same side and are therefore, ordinarily, on the same side as you), no Netflix, no open spaces, supermarkets, etc, etc, etc.

I'll leave it with one final positive thought: Just think of that first Friday night when the pubs are back open! The vibe and spirit will be unreal. Like one big street party I imagine. And the first game back at the cottage with the usual afternoon spent in related boozers. Hell, even the toilets in the Lion will seem palatial and a rare treat after this!

I wish you all a good day.

You were doing alright until you mentioned the toilets in the Lion.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 11:36:53 AM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 21, 2020, 11:14:50 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 09:19:37 AM
Just a quick one to say I agree with the two points made above (F(f)CUK and Peabody).

Good job to the mods for keeping it going and allowing people to exchange views. It's a really difficult one as its not football or Fulham related so should usually have no place (such as election chat and so on) but its so all consuming and huge (those of us fortunate enough to have been born after the war have never known anything of this magnitude and impact) that its always going to resurface in discussions. And, I don't know, maybe in a weird way, talking about it, even disagreeing and seeing other viewpoints, helps in a way.

Also agree with Peabody. We are fortunate. Very fortunate when you look at the impact this has on people here with less stable finances and/or work, and certainly those who have become ill or whose family/friends/loved ones have. Even more so, perhaps, when you consider countries less well off where there is no furloughed salaries, where there is no readily available internet (for arguing with people who support the same side and are therefore, ordinarily, on the same side as you), no Netflix, no open spaces, supermarkets, etc, etc, etc.

I'll leave it with one final positive thought: Just think of that first Friday night when the pubs are back open! The vibe and spirit will be unreal. Like one big street party I imagine. And the first game back at the cottage with the usual afternoon spent in related boozers. Hell, even the toilets in the Lion will seem palatial and a rare treat after this!

I wish you all a good day.

You were doing alright until you mentioned the toilets in the Lion.

:005:

The one part of the pub so desperately in need of a refurb (or a cleaning from someone in a hazmat suit) completely missed out and overlooked in the refurb. You really couldn't make it up!

In related news, The Bricklayers is in trouble. We need to do something to help there if we can. Can't let that go. I vary my boozers on match days but the brick is my favourite (based mostly on ale!).
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Andy S on April 21, 2020, 11:44:31 AM
Some pubs won't open again after this pandemic if they do prices will be high and footfall is likely to be low let's try not to put too much of a downer on it though
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 21, 2020, 11:54:06 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 11:36:53 AM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 21, 2020, 11:14:50 AM
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 09:19:37 AM
Just a quick one to say I agree with the two points made above (F(f)CUK and Peabody).

Good job to the mods for keeping it going and allowing people to exchange views. It's a really difficult one as its not football or Fulham related so should usually have no place (such as election chat and so on) but its so all consuming and huge (those of us fortunate enough to have been born after the war have never known anything of this magnitude and impact) that its always going to resurface in discussions. And, I don't know, maybe in a weird way, talking about it, even disagreeing and seeing other viewpoints, helps in a way.

Also agree with Peabody. We are fortunate. Very fortunate when you look at the impact this has on people here with less stable finances and/or work, and certainly those who have become ill or whose family/friends/loved ones have. Even more so, perhaps, when you consider countries less well off where there is no furloughed salaries, where there is no readily available internet (for arguing with people who support the same side and are therefore, ordinarily, on the same side as you), no Netflix, no open spaces, supermarkets, etc, etc, etc.

I'll leave it with one final positive thought: Just think of that first Friday night when the pubs are back open! The vibe and spirit will be unreal. Like one big street party I imagine. And the first game back at the cottage with the usual afternoon spent in related boozers. Hell, even the toilets in the Lion will seem palatial and a rare treat after this!

I wish you all a good day.

You were doing alright until you mentioned the toilets in the Lion.

:005:

The one part of the pub so desperately in need of a refurb (or a cleaning from someone in a hazmat suit) completely missed out and overlooked in the refurb. You really couldn't make it up!

In related news, The Bricklayers is in trouble. We need to do something to help there if we can. Can't let that go. I vary my boozers on match days but the brick is my favourite (based mostly on ale!).

I tried personally myself to refurbish the ablutions in the Lion by throwing a stick of dynamite 🧨 through the door, but it didn't even scratch the surface.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: rebel on April 21, 2020, 01:52:32 PM
Covid-19 and where the world is today is a result of the Chinese wanting to 'save face'. I was aware on the 13th January that things just didn't add up. Deaths, Mystery virus, In control, Lockdown etc.

You just need to watch how Russia and China vote at the security council when thousands of lives at stake. Lives are totally immaterial to them. They're conduct isn't good on any level.

There is a lot more, but best to leave it there.     
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Clebi on April 21, 2020, 03:41:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 05:11:23 PM
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 04:40:19 PM
You believe wrong. I believe it is actually important to fact check before making statements, so here are the facts as of now, re. NY State and NY City (i.e. Manhattan, Queens, the Bronx, Brooklyn and Staten Island).
NYS 18,298 dead and 248,431 cases
NYC 14,451 dead and 138,700 cases

Could you share the source for that?
The NY Times coverage of Cuomo's latest press conference here says "Deaths statewide: down for the sixth straight day, to 478, bringing the total number of deaths to 14,347."
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/nyregion/coronavirus-new-york-update.html

Nothing in the rest of your post appears to relate to anything I said and I'm trying to avoid political, ethical and generally opinion-based debates so I've not responded to that.
An app called News Break that breaks down US cases by State and State cases by city/county. The State figure I quoted tracks with JHU stats which are generally considered the best source.
Anyway, my friend passed away yesterday, on day 22 in hospital, despite not having even needed a ventilator until the last two days. I will recuse myself from the forum now and thus neither comment or read anything else on this topic. I just leave you all with a final message; that those of you who believe this only really affects the weak and elderly and that we can reduce this to a mortality percentage risk calculation that we can weigh against the health of the economy... at your peril! How nasty this virus is only hits home when it comes close enough to you. Suddenly you do not feel so safe anymore.
Stay safe there, and hope we can return our focus to the Whites in the fall!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on April 21, 2020, 06:25:50 PM
Yes. I live in a block of 12 very nice modern flats and a lady here of about  50 years of age has just been diagnosed with Coronavirus. Makes you think more seriously when it gets that close. Afraid thoughts of the ecomamy and football have to be put on the back burner for a good while yet.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Twig on April 21, 2020, 07:10:38 PM
Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.

I think the daily briefings made sense at the early stages but unnecessary now, I agree.  Plus they feed the media which I don't regard as terribly productive.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 21, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.

Do you find, Dave, that there is a degree of complacency and denial in the SW? We see the graph daily that shows us at the bottom of the chart and London at the top but it's not adjusted for population which would show us higher. One wonders where those people near you might have got it over the past four weeks if they're only going out for shopping.

People who go into the village shop where my partner works are in and out several times a day for booze and fags and things as trivial as lottery tickets and scratchcards, It beggars belief. 

Keep safe.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: john dempsey on April 21, 2020, 08:18:59 PM
Try to avoid news as much as possible, and as for the daily briefings gave up on those ages ago
they just remind me of the daily briefings by John Nott (I think that's his name) during the
Falklands war he would talk for ages without saying anything Blah Blah Blah......
Title: Does anyone have a wall Street journal account...
Post by: General on April 21, 2020, 10:32:23 PM

And can copy and paste this either here for me and others to read, or if possible in a private message on this forum?

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-coronavirus-pandemic-will-forever-alter-the-world-order-11585953005?emailToken=c374897b6b97787a1fa80e3f25d6fecarpjq75t2VfifJm286gl1BKY2ot++c0FtWkNT3PdwkSAcnlZj4SBMQy5rp7sLGU+0IWkXoFPtmhSuR64/NyeNrzIrfvY2kdEnxDBynkNS8m6vdU3tzMHRzYD/DZIeweOU&reflink=article_email_share&fbclid=IwAR13tvn8Id0WSXqwanYu4XObLm42bErAj0FAYXoCMHV3aXsPBBrvjuJ08SI

Thank you in advance

Article is by Henry kissinger
Title: Re: Does anyone have a wall Street journal account...
Post by: Statto on April 21, 2020, 10:44:33 PM
I'm mildly intrigued as to how they'll attempt to justify that headline...
But it's guaranteed to be claptrap 
So I reckon we're better off not having an account
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on April 22, 2020, 07:45:56 AM
Quote from: Holders on April 21, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.

Do you find, Dave, that there is a degree of complacency and denial in the SW? We see the graph daily that shows us at the bottom of the chart and London at the top but it's not adjusted for population which would show us higher. One wonders where those people near you might have got it over the past four weeks if they're only going out for shopping.

People who go into the village shop where my partner works are in and out several times a day for booze and fags and things as trivial as lottery tickets and scratchcards, It beggars belief. 

Keep safe.
It is possible that part of the spread in Cornwall is likely to have been caused by people travelling down here to stay in their 2nd homes, agree that there should be statistics available to report on cases/deaths per regional population. Not sure about complacency, stupidity maybe?
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: rebel on April 22, 2020, 08:23:37 AM
The virus started in China (Wuhan), spread to Italy (possibly students who studied in China or possibly through Chinese backed infra-structure projects) and Iran (possibly through Chinese backed infra-structure projects).

Those two countries were hit very early with Covid-19. Chinese has a infra-structure projects scheme (it's a dubious scheme, where projects could easily fall back into the hands of the Chinese, if payments aren't made).

Two countries who signed up to the scheme are Italy (only European country to do so) and Iran.     
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 22, 2020, 09:32:58 AM
"agree that there should be statistics available to report on cases/deaths per regional population"  Doesn't this give you that?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51768274
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Holders on April 22, 2020, 09:44:13 AM
Quote from: davew on April 22, 2020, 07:45:56 AM
Quote from: Holders on April 21, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.

Do you find, Dave, that there is a degree of complacency and denial in the SW? We see the graph daily that shows us at the bottom of the chart and London at the top but it's not adjusted for population which would show us higher. One wonders where those people near you might have got it over the past four weeks if they're only going out for shopping.

People who go into the village shop where my partner works are in and out several times a day for booze and fags and things as trivial as lottery tickets and scratchcards, It beggars belief. 

Keep safe.
It is possible that part of the spread in Cornwall is likely to have been caused by people travelling down here to stay in their 2nd homes, agree that there should be statistics available to report on cases/deaths per regional population. Not sure about complacency, stupidity maybe?

Indeed, though that does seem to have been reduced, here in Devon at least. But do you think that's where your neighbours might have got it? As to the other, I put it down to population" density", all part of the same general attitude.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: filham on April 22, 2020, 10:17:35 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 22, 2020, 09:32:58 AM
"agree that there should be statistics available to report on cases/deaths per regional population"  Doesn't this give you that?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51768274
Thank you for that , much better information than we get on TV at 5pmm.
Those charts on TV are irritating, the printed word is so small that I have to get my nose on the screen to read it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Logicalman on April 22, 2020, 01:34:09 PM
Quote from: rebel on April 22, 2020, 08:23:37 AM
The virus started in China (Wuhan), spread to Italy (possibly students who studied in China or possibly through Chinese backed infra-structure projects) and Iran (possibly through Chinese backed infra-structure projects).

Those two countries were hit very early with Covid-19. Chinese has a infra-structure projects scheme (it's a dubious scheme, where projects could easily fall back into the hands of the Chinese, if payments aren't made).

Two countries who signed up to the scheme are Italy (only European country to do so) and Iran.   

You are referencing the Belt & Road Initiative I guess.

Multiple countries have signed a memorandum of understanding with China though it is less well known how many actual projects are in more than discussion phase at this time, and I have seen none in process involving European Countries (outside of the Silk Road project through Russia that will ultimately encompass Poland & Germany)

The main website is here: https://www.beltroad-initiative.com/info/ (https://www.beltroad-initiative.com/info/)
A Brief overview can be found here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belt_and_Road_Initiative (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belt_and_Road_Initiative)
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on April 22, 2020, 02:39:48 PM
No way of knowing Holders, you stay safe also m8!
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: mrmicawbers on April 22, 2020, 06:19:05 PM
Interesting reading the traffic light relaxing of the lockdown drawn up by scientists.It was in most papers so sure many must have had a chance to look at it.This would obviously be subject to the relaxation going on in parts of Europe now. Back in the pub by June with restrictions would be great.Sorry I am unable to put the article up for those who haven't seen it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 22, 2020, 07:23:39 PM
They are introducing a Stop Go Man to replace Traffic Lights, as he will ensure nobody jumps them.
Title: Re: Coronavirus?
Post by: davew on April 22, 2020, 09:35:37 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 22, 2020, 07:23:39 PM
They are introducing a Stop Go Man to replace Traffic Lights, as he will ensure nobody jumps them.
The lights will be stuck on red for a long time yet, a light at the end of the tunnel ... won´t go there!!
Title: Victims v Atletico Madrid: Mayor calls for inquiry amid coronavirus concerns
Post by: Statto on April 23, 2020, 04:01:35 PM
The mayor of Victim City Region has called for an investigation into whether a Champions League fixture should have taken place in the city in March amid concerns it could have led to a high number of local coronavirus cases.
Victim's match against Atletico Madrid at Anfield on 11 March was attended by 52,000 supporters, including 3,000 from the Spanish capital, where a partial lockdown was already in force.
The UK government has defended its decision to allow such events to go ahead before restrictions on mass gatherings were enforced 10 days later.
But Steve Rotheram told BBC Sport an independent inquiry was needed into a potential connection with a surge of cases in Victim since.
"If people have contracted coronavirus as a direct result of a sporting event that we believe shouldn't have taken place, well that is scandalous," he said.
"That's put not just those people in danger, but those frontline staff in the NHS and others in their own families that may have contracted it."
The latest figures show 246 people have died with coronavirus in Victim's NHS hospitals.
Meanwhile, Madrid is one of Europe's worst affected cities and Spain has the second highest number of confirmed infection cases in the world, behind the United States.
"We've seen an increase in the infection curve, and that's resulted in 1,200 people [in Victim] contracting Covid-19," said Rotheram.
"That needs to be investigated to find out whether some of those infections are due directly to the Atletico fans. There were coronavirus hot cities, and Madrid was one of those.
"They weren't allowed to congregate in their own country, but 3,000 of those fans came over to ours, and potentially may well have spread coronavirus.
"So it does need looking at, and it does need the government to take some responsibility for not locking down sooner."
The mayor of Madrid has already said the decision to allow the match to go ahead was "a mistake", as has Victim city council's director of public health Matthew Ashton.
'An interesting hypothesis'
On the day of the match at Anfield, England's deputy chief medical officer, Dr Jenny Harries, said the UK was "following the science and the evidence" in not banning sports events, as other countries had done by then.
"In general, those sorts of events and big gatherings are not seen to be something which is going to have a big effect," she said, despite the World Health Organization urging tougher action by governments that day.
A few days earlier, Prime Minister Boris Johnson had attended England v Wales in the Six Nations at Twickenham.
But while there is no confirmed link between the Victim match and any coronavirus cases, on 20 April the government's deputy chief scientific adviser, Angela McLean, said it warranted further investigation, describing it as an "interesting hypothesis."
"The government was saying it was a low risk at the time, but of course just a few days later they completely locked down the country; they banned sports and events and large gatherings," said Rotheram.
"And this could have happened sooner. I haven't got access to the government's scientific advisors, but they would have been asking those questions.
"That's why I think an inquiry needs to tease out just what the government was being advised to do at that time."
On Wednesday, Culture Secretary Oliver Dowden defended the timing of the UK government's ban on mass gatherings.
"Throughout all of this, we have based what we did on the scientific evidence we received both from Sage (Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies) and from the medical officers," he told MPs.
"There wasn't a case for singling out mass gatherings."
'I wish I could go back in time and not go'
'Poor decision' to stage Atletico game in March
A Victim fan who fears he may have unwittingly spread the disease at Anfield told the BBC the decision to stage the match was "negligent".
Having returned from a holiday a few days earlier, Ben Johnson felt slightly unwell on the day of the Atletico game and sought medical advice.
As he did not have a cough or fever, he was told to carry on as normal and attended the match.
In the days that followed he developed coronavirus symptoms. He was not tested but says he was on the verge of going to hospital, before recovering.
"It was obvious it shouldn't have gone ahead," he said.
"It just seems crazy. I wish I could go back in time and not go, and I wish there wasn't the opportunity to go. I just don't understand how it was allowed to go ahead."
Both European football's governing body Uefa and Victim have declined to comment.
Cheltenham 'should have been stopped'
The Victim v Atletico match was the last major football game to be played in England, with the season suspended two days later.
There have also been calls for an investigation into whether horse racing's Cheltenham Festival - staged in the second week of March - should have gone ahead. There are concerns it may also have led to a high number of local coronavirus cases, with 251,684 spectators in attendance across the four days.
Professor Gabriel Scally, former director of public health in the south west of England and visiting professor of public health at the University of Bristol, said there "seemed to be" a high number of Covid-19 cases in Gloucestershire.
"I think it's very tempting to link it to the Cheltenham Festival," he said. "Really, from a health point of view, [it] should have been stopped in advance."
Government data shows there have been 972 cases of the virus in Gloucestershire, and 147 people have died.
A number of high-profile attendees have reported symptoms - including West Bromwich Albion player Charlie Austin, comedian Lee Mack and Gold Cup-winning jockey Andrew Thornton.
Cheltenham organisers introduced special hygiene measures for the event, including extra hand-washing stations, and say they had followed clear guidance from the government and science experts.
Dr Sue Smith, senior racecourse medical officer for the festival, has said the hygiene standards were "of the highest level and all measures were taken in accordance with daily updates from Public Health England".

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/52399569
Title: Re: Victims v Atletico Madrid: Mayor calls for inquiry amid coronavirus concerns
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 23, 2020, 04:21:16 PM
I'm sure the victims would have accepted the decision without complaint had the game been postponed.
Title: Re: Victims v Atletico Madrid: Mayor calls for inquiry amid coronavirus concerns
Post by: Holders on April 23, 2020, 04:48:09 PM
To the above, one could add Cruft's around the same time with 155,000 attendees from 55 countries.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on April 23, 2020, 05:42:11 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 23, 2020, 04:48:09 PM
To the above, one could add Cruft's around the same time with 155,000 attendees from 55 countries.

Less than Heathrow airport gets in one day...
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: filham on April 23, 2020, 06:35:35 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 23, 2020, 05:42:11 PM
Quote from: Holders on April 23, 2020, 04:48:09 PM
To the above, one could add Cruft's around the same time with 155,000 attendees from 55 countries.

Less than Heathrow airport gets in one day...
So Heathrow should have been restricted earlier.
Is it not becoming clear that we were late starting Lockdown and that it is now so important that we are not early in lifting it.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant  :doh:
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant  :doh:

Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant  :doh:

Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach

Haha yes exactly.

But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PM
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 06:22:35 PM
 
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant  :doh:

Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach

Haha yes exactly.

But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Have you actually viewed the press conference and heard exactly what he said? And now he claims that he was 'being sarcastic to reporters'.  064.gif
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 07:07:28 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 06:22:35 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant  :doh:

Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach

Haha yes exactly.

But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Have you actually viewed the press conference and heard exactly what he said?

Yes, what made you doubt this? The words I've heard are:

Quote"And then I see the disinfectant, which knocks it out in a minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection? Or almost a cleaning?"

While this is not well articulated, I'm not sure how anyone could take "we should inject disinfectant / cleaning-fluid / bleach" from that.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 07:39:06 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 07:07:28 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 06:22:35 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant  :doh:

Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach

Haha yes exactly.

But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Have you actually viewed the press conference and heard exactly what he said?

Yes, what made you doubt this? The words I've heard are:

Quote"And then I see the disinfectant, which knocks it out in a minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection? Or almost a cleaning?"

While this is not well articulated, I'm not sure how anyone could take "we should inject disinfectant / cleaning-fluid / bleach" from that.
errm, the words disinfectant, iniection?
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 07:50:11 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 07:39:06 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 07:07:28 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 06:22:35 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant  :doh:

Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach

Haha yes exactly.

But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Have you actually viewed the press conference and heard exactly what he said?

Yes, what made you doubt this? The words I've heard are:

Quote"And then I see the disinfectant, which knocks it out in a minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection? Or almost a cleaning?"

While this is not well articulated, I'm not sure how anyone could take "we should inject disinfectant / cleaning-fluid / bleach" from that.
errm, the words disinfectant, iniection?

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

For the sake of clarity, this is the video from which I've listened to it:
1253454856544595969[/tweet]] (//%5Btweet)[/url]

A source which is critical towards Trump so safe to assume the video is not a doctored version in which to defend Trump.

Unless you're just cherry-picking words and ignoring context?
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 08:03:55 PM
No, I saw the press conference, and the reaction of Dr Birx as Trump came out with his remarks. Are you also claiming that he was being sarcastic?
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 08:41:58 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 08:03:55 PM
No, I saw the press conference, and the reaction of Dr Birx as Trump came out with his remarks.
The premise of my posts were based on the sentences Trump said and the context behind them. Not on the reaction of Dr Birx or any other person present, as interesting as that may be.

Merely mentioning that you have seen the press conference doesn't shed any light on how you've reached your conclusion. What is it that Trump has said exactly which has convinced you he was referring to either general disinfectant, bleach or a household cleaning product? (apologies if I am falsely paraphrasing!)

Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 08:03:55 PM
Are you also claiming that he was being sarcastic?
Sounds like a straw-man argument. I've made no such claim and even removed that part of your quote so as to avoid conflation.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 09:00:15 PM
"I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning? Because you see it gets in the lungs, and it does a tremendous number on the lungs. So it would be interesting to check that."

While you can ignore the reference to sarcasm, this is what he said today.  "I was asking a question sarcastically to reporters just like you, just to see what would happen.  I was asking a sarcastic and a very sarcastic question to the reporters in the room about disinfectant on the inside. But it does kill it and it would kill it on the hands, and it would make things much better."

Seems clear to me.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: filham on April 24, 2020, 09:23:24 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PM
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Well you may think that, I may think that but I bet that a majority of Americans will vote to give him another term in office.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 09:00:15 PM
"I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning? Because you see it gets in the lungs, and it does a tremendous number on the lungs. So it would be interesting to check that."
You couldn't be more specific than the entire quote? On further reflection I can see how this may be taken literally rather than figuratively, as his usage of "something like" and "almost a" leaves the statement open to interpretation (I did acknowledge in a previous post that it is not well articulated).

Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 09:00:15 PM
While you can ignore the reference to sarcasm, this is what he said today.  "I was asking a question sarcastically to reporters just like you, just to see what would happen.  I was asking a sarcastic and a very sarcastic question to the reporters in the room about disinfectant on the inside. But it does kill it and it would kill it on the hands, and it would make things much better."
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: rebel on April 25, 2020, 10:04:03 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 09:00:15 PM
"I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning? Because you see it gets in the lungs, and it does a tremendous number on the lungs. So it would be interesting to check that."

While you can ignore the reference to sarcasm, this is what he said today.  "I was asking a question sarcastically to reporters just like you, just to see what would happen.  I was asking a sarcastic and a very sarcastic question to the reporters in the room about disinfectant on the inside. But it does kill it and it would kill it on the hands, and it would make things much better."

Seems clear to me.

There are citizens in the US who will take it as gospel (I love the US, but it is a strange place); the President is a deluded fool, a danger to himself and others. The night he won the 'Presidency', he was the most shocked person on the planet. He won because the people of the US wanted something different. They got it.

Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Holders on April 25, 2020, 10:09:03 AM
Quote from: filham on April 24, 2020, 09:23:24 PM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PM
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Well you may think that, I may think that but I bet that a majority of Americans will vote to give him another term in office.

QED
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:42:13 AM
Quote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.

Nice one ☝️
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Twig on April 25, 2020, 11:16:19 AM
Quote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.

The most evil people on earth? If they are your definition of "most evil" then you have strange values.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 11:25:22 AM
Quote from: Twig on April 25, 2020, 11:16:19 AM
Quote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.

The most evil people on earth? If they are your definition of "most evil" then you have strange values.

That statement may sound extreme, but If you could tap Mrs Clinton's telephone line you would be more understanding of what was meant, ask Monica Samille Lewinsky who did a good job in the White House whilst she was in attendance, ask Bill I am sure he would confirm.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: mrmicawbers on April 25, 2020, 11:43:57 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PM
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Brilliant Clean round the bend.Like domestos
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on April 25, 2020, 01:06:25 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.

Fair comment, I was also disappointed with that, but he was fighting an impossible battle. As far as I can tell the Americans in a similar position to the UK after Br***t, and this crisis has just become a vehicle for the aggrieved half of the country (which, as it did over here, includes most of the media) to unleash 4 yrs of pent up bitterness. The reaction in our own press seems absurd (even this morning, the BBC has churned out more articles misrepresenting what he said) but over there it's off the scale. I watched one of his press conferences for a while and the tone taken by the journalists is unlike anything that would ever confront a UK PM, or even a shadow minister. Crazy situation considering the US is now leading the world in terms of testing numbers, ventilator availability etc.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 25, 2020, 01:34:51 PM
Quote from: mrmicawbers on April 25, 2020, 11:43:57 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PM
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Brilliant Clean round the bend.Like domestos
I thank you. I'm here all week.   :003:
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: St Eve on April 25, 2020, 01:46:14 PM
Quote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.
Excellent
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 25, 2020, 01:48:05 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 01:06:25 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.

Fair comment, I was also disappointed with that, but he was fighting an impossible battle. As far as I can tell the Americans in a similar position to the UK after Br***t, and this crisis has just become a vehicle for the aggrieved half of the country (which, as it did over here, includes most of the media) to unleash 4 yrs of pent up bitterness. The reaction in our own press seems absurd (even this morning, the BBC has churned out more articles misrepresenting what he said) but over there it's off the scale. I watched one of his press conferences for a while and the tone taken by the journalists is unlike anything that would ever confront a UK PM, or even a shadow minister. Crazy situation considering the US is now leading the world in terms of testing numbers, ventilator availability etc.

The BBC even decided to publish a fact check based on this misrepresentation:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464)

I don't know who their target audience is or whether it's in any way funded by UK TV License payers, but was this really necessary?
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on April 25, 2020, 02:26:13 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 25, 2020, 01:48:05 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 01:06:25 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.

Fair comment, I was also disappointed with that, but he was fighting an impossible battle. As far as I can tell the Americans in a similar position to the UK after Br***t, and this crisis has just become a vehicle for the aggrieved half of the country (which, as it did over here, includes most of the media) to unleash 4 yrs of pent up bitterness. The reaction in our own press seems absurd (even this morning, the BBC has churned out more articles misrepresenting what he said) but over there it's off the scale. I watched one of his press conferences for a while and the tone taken by the journalists is unlike anything that would ever confront a UK PM, or even a shadow minister. Crazy situation considering the US is now leading the world in terms of testing numbers, ventilator availability etc.

The BBC even decided to publish a fact check based on this misrepresentation:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464)

I don't know who their target audience is or whether it's in any way funded by UK TV License payers, but was this really necessary?

Yep, the fact-checking is one of my pet hates actually. One of those ways the BBC subtly, and probably unintentionally, deviates from neutrality. It sounds innocent but imagine you and I were among a crowd talking in a pub, and every time you finished a sentence, I said "I can confirm what Mike just said is true." Even if I was agreeing with you, the fact the I had to comment would totally undermine your credibility. And of course with Trump, they'll look for every opportunity to disagree. So for example when he said the US was testing more than anyone in the world, the BBC did a fact-check and said, yes they are testing the most overall, but not per capita. Which is fine, but then when Sir Jeremy Farrar said around the same time that the UK may be the worst affected country in Europe by Covid-19, did the BBC coverage include a fact-check and say maybe overall, but not per capita? Of course not.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 25, 2020, 02:32:45 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 02:26:13 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 25, 2020, 01:48:05 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 01:06:25 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.

Fair comment, I was also disappointed with that, but he was fighting an impossible battle. As far as I can tell the Americans in a similar position to the UK after Br***t, and this crisis has just become a vehicle for the aggrieved half of the country (which, as it did over here, includes most of the media) to unleash 4 yrs of pent up bitterness. The reaction in our own press seems absurd (even this morning, the BBC has churned out more articles misrepresenting what he said) but over there it's off the scale. I watched one of his press conferences for a while and the tone taken by the journalists is unlike anything that would ever confront a UK PM, or even a shadow minister. Crazy situation considering the US is now leading the world in terms of testing numbers, ventilator availability etc.

The BBC even decided to publish a fact check based on this misrepresentation:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464)

I don't know who their target audience is or whether it's in any way funded by UK TV License payers, but was this really necessary?

Yep, the fact-checking is one of my pet hates actually. One of those ways the BBC subtly, and probably unintentionally, deviates from neutrality. It sounds innocent but imagine you and I were among a crowd talking in a pub, and every time you finished a sentence, I said "I can confirm what Mike just said is true." Even if I was agreeing with you, the fact the I had to comment would totally undermine your credibility. And of course with Trump, they'll look for every opportunity to disagree. So for example when he said the US was testing more than anyone in the world, the BBC did a fact-check and said, yes they are testing the most overall, but not per capita. Which is fine, but then when Sir Jeremy Farrar said around the same time that the UK may be the worst affected country in Europe by Covid-19, did the BBC coverage include a fact-check and say maybe overall, but not per capita? Of course not.

The only reason I even browsed to the article in the first place was because I thought they were going to do a fact check as to whether he really said what the rest of the media had purported him to.  :doh:
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: FFC1987 on April 25, 2020, 07:36:30 PM
At first I thought what Trump said wasn't 'that' bad due to common sense and having faith in people in general, but then I realised, we have to remind people not to drink bleach on bottles and young well educated people snort tide pods for lols so maybe, as a man in a very prestigious, influential position, should think a little more responsibly before he talks.....or just leave to to the actual experts.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: mrmicawbers on April 25, 2020, 08:08:22 PM
Look what happened to Michael Jackson
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Twig on April 25, 2020, 08:42:07 PM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 11:25:22 AM
Quote from: Twig on April 25, 2020, 11:16:19 AM
Quote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.

The most evil people on earth? If they are your definition of "most evil" then you have strange values.

That statement may sound extreme, but If you could tap Mrs Clinton's telephone line you would be more understanding of what was meant, ask Monica Samille Lewinsky who did a good job in the White House whilst she was in attendance, ask Bill I am sure he would confirm.

Still a very extreme opinion imo.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: davew on April 25, 2020, 09:39:13 PM
Wtf, lost track reading some of these posts, by all means Donald start testing your cure or cures on yourself and your supporters and then come back and let us know how you got on, you have suggested 2 in the last week! Your days are numbered as being the most incompetent President of the USA, you will be remembered for that, especially by those of us are that are more intelligent than you and will hopefully still be around to report true news, not fake news! That man really pi$$es me off, sorry mods, admin and anybody else offended by my post!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Mince n Tatties on April 25, 2020, 09:45:50 PM
Love Donald he's ace.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 09:52:34 PM
I have some very encouraging news, my pet Grizzly Bears diarrhoea problems are getting better, although he is not out of the woods yet.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 25, 2020, 09:59:57 PM
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 25, 2020, 09:45:50 PM
Love Donald he's ace.
I for one hope that he goes on to Finish a 2nd term. But I do recognise there are many who'm it would bring great Comfort if he were to Vanish in a Flash.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on April 25, 2020, 10:15:07 PM
Quote from: davew on April 25, 2020, 09:39:13 PM
Your days are numbered as being the most incompetent President of the USA

FWIW the area of US policy that I perceive to affect me most is its response to climate change, and on that subject, my personal views and wishes seem to be the complete opposite of Trump's, and for that reason I'd love to see a different president over there in November.
But it won't happen, because he's not "incompetent" at all. On almost any reasonable metric (besides climate policy) he's done a decent job for them. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Ged on April 26, 2020, 12:36:34 AM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.
😂😂😂😂😂😂
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: PaulUMD on April 26, 2020, 02:41:12 AM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.

I'm sorry...what?  He has certainly done more things than Obama...more immigrant children in cages, separated from their parents and family, more tax cuts for the rich, a much higher budget deficit (long before emergency measures due to COVID-19), more love letters and calls with dictators from Kim Jong Un to his best buddy Vlad, more business deals for his company and his kids as bribes for Trump's attention and gratitude, etc. 

He's a garbage human being, a sociopath without empathy or care for anyone but himself, a narcissist obsessed with his own vanity, a grown man with the attention span and intellectual curiosity of a toddler, and a giant idiot who has succeeded on the backs of others for his entire life.  For months he reminded us every day at those press conferences, and his approval rating has suffered appropriately.  He'll always have his 40ish% of Republicans who feast on his brand of white, Christian grievance politics and they will stick with him until the end.  But luckily, as things stand, it appears the end will be in November and not in 2024.  His predictably incompetent response to the pandemic has likely sealed his fate, though crazier things have happened.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Neil D on April 26, 2020, 09:32:05 AM
Quote from: PaulUMD on April 26, 2020, 02:41:12 AM

He's a garbage human being, a sociopath without empathy or care for anyone but himself, a narcissist obsessed with his own vanity, a grown man with the attention span and intellectual curiosity of a toddler, and a giant idiot who has succeeded on the backs of others for his entire life.

Accurate assessment of the Orange One.  But nothing that a good infusion of disinfectant wouldn't put right...
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: filham on April 26, 2020, 11:29:01 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 10:15:07 PM
Quote from: davew on April 25, 2020, 09:39:13 PM
Your days are numbered as being the most incompetent President of the USA

FWIW the area of US policy that I perceive to affect me most is its response to climate change, and on that subject, my personal views and wishes seem to be the complete opposite of Trump's, and for that reason I'd love to see a different president over there in November.
But it won't happen, because he's not "incompetent" at all. On almost any reasonable metric (besides climate policy) he's done a decent job for them. 
Gun Laws ?
Health Services ?
Dieting ?
Must be careful we are getting political, but it is difficult not to respond.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PM
Quote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place

This, Well said Andy
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: BarryP on April 27, 2020, 02:48:03 PM
Quote from: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PM
Quote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place

This, Well said Andy

In general this is hogwash since the man got fewer total votes than his opponent.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Woolly Mammoth on April 27, 2020, 02:58:22 PM
Come to think of it, Kim Jong-Un The only fat person living in that well known Globalist country North Korea never got a single vote, unless you include his sister, his skin & blister, just saying.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on April 27, 2020, 03:14:33 PM
Quote from: BarryP on April 27, 2020, 02:48:03 PM
Quote from: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PM
Quote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place

This, Well said Andy

In general this is hogwash since the man got fewer total votes than his opponent.

One problem with this argument is that the rules of the contest were known to the contestants beforehand. Had the presidency been determined by the popular vote instead then the contestants would have focused their campaigning differently, and it is not a safe assumption that it would have produced the exact same result.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Southcoastffc on April 27, 2020, 03:22:28 PM
Quote from: BarryP on April 27, 2020, 02:48:03 PM
Quote from: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PM
Quote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place

This, Well said Andy

In general this is hogwash since the man got fewer total votes than his opponent.
But a choice between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton is not a great offering.  Friends of ours in the States were horrified at being in that situation, they couldn't bring themselves to vote for DT for a number of reasons but at the same time said that they couldn't 'reinforce the status quo of a self-serving establishment continuing to  p*** their taxes up the wall.'   The wonder of the US electoral system is that the electorate ended up with such desperately abysmal candidates.   
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on April 27, 2020, 11:24:54 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AM
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.

I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that  around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.

In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.

And there you have it - antibodies testing indicating 1 in 4 in NYC may have already been infected with coronavirus, which would imply a similarly low mortality rate to the German testing...

https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/cuomo-outlines-reopening-roadmap-for-new-york-as-daily-deaths-hit-lowest-level-in-weeks/2390949/
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: rebel on April 28, 2020, 09:01:36 AM
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 27, 2020, 03:22:28 PM
Quote from: BarryP on April 27, 2020, 02:48:03 PM
Quote from: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PM
Quote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place

This, Well said Andy

In general this is hogwash since the man got fewer total votes than his opponent.
But a choice between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton is not a great offering.  Friends of ours in the States were horrified at being in that situation, they couldn't bring themselves to vote for DT for a number of reasons but at the same time said that they couldn't 'reinforce the status quo of a self-serving establishment continuing to  p*** their taxes up the wall.'   The wonder of the US electoral system is that the electorate ended up with such desperately abysmal candidates.   

He wins the 'corruption stakes', hands down; what it does prove is that 'spin and waffle' can get you a long way. The only reason why he's got anywhere in life is, in the US suing people is easy as throwing 'confetti', he has been involved in over 3,500 law suits. There is a ton of other stuff.

More importantly how to you get from the colour 'orange' to the colour 'peach', I would say in stages.   
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: rebel on April 28, 2020, 09:05:47 AM
Quote from: Statto on April 27, 2020, 11:24:54 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AM
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.

I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that  around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.

In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.

And there you have it - antibodies testing indicating 1 in 4 in NYC may have already been infected with coronavirus, which would imply a similarly low mortality rate to the German testing...

https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/cuomo-outlines-reopening-roadmap-for-new-york-as-daily-deaths-hit-lowest-level-in-weeks/2390949/

Germany has 'efficiency and infrastructure' regards it's 'testing' abilities. In some ways it was prepared for it. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Jem on April 28, 2020, 09:26:22 AM
I can't help but smile when I think of the BBC and fact checking. Here is a video showing how they edited the video of Trump's briefing. Things are not always quite what they seem. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aFXdWWiF0oU
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: rebel on April 28, 2020, 10:24:21 AM
Quote from: Jem on April 28, 2020, 09:26:22 AM
I can't help but smile when I think of the BBC and fact checking. Here is a video showing how they edited the video of Trump's briefing. Things are not always quite what they seem. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aFXdWWiF0oU

The substance of what he said is the man thing; he can't stop himself, he's president now; he should let the grown up's do the thinking; he actually reminds me of a 'five' year old, but still 'throwing his toys out of a pram'.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Logicalman on April 28, 2020, 03:54:27 PM
.. and US (or anyplace else) Politics per se has nothing to do with this thread, so let's keep it on point please lads & lasses. We all appreciate that it is the Politicians that make decisions, right or wrong, but discussing the decisions is one thing, discussing the persons performance over the past 3.5 years is something different.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: rebel on April 28, 2020, 04:09:52 PM
Quote from: Logicalman on April 28, 2020, 03:54:27 PM
.. and US (or anyplace else) Politics per se has nothing to do with this thread, so let's keep it on point please lads & lasses. We all appreciate that it is the Politicians that make decisions, right or wrong, but discussing the decisions is one thing, discussing the persons performance over the past 3.5 years is something different.

Unfortunately, Convid 19 is littered with politics; from China 'trying to save face' when things go wrong, to the politicians from various countries who relied on the WHO to investigate; who didn't investigate; there are many failures I could highlight. There were news items about the virus on 1st January, the politicians failed big time.       
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Twig on April 28, 2020, 06:05:42 PM
Quote from: PaulUMD on April 26, 2020, 02:41:12 AM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.

I'm sorry...what?  He has certainly done more things than Obama...more immigrant children in cages, separated from their parents and family, more tax cuts for the rich, a much higher budget deficit (long before emergency measures due to COVID-19), more love letters and calls with dictators from Kim Jong Un to his best buddy Vlad, more business deals for his company and his kids as bribes for Trump's attention and gratitude, etc. 

He's a garbage human being, a sociopath without empathy or care for anyone but himself, a narcissist obsessed with his own vanity, a grown man with the attention span and intellectual curiosity of a toddler, and a giant idiot who has succeeded on the backs of others for his entire life.  For months he reminded us every day at those press conferences, and his approval rating has suffered appropriately.  He'll always have his 40ish% of Republicans who feast on his brand of white, Christian grievance politics and they will stick with him until the end.  But luckily, as things stand, it appears the end will be in November and not in 2024.  His predictably incompetent response to the pandemic has likely sealed his fate, though crazier things have happened.

This will probably get removed but I completely agree. Well said.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: HV71 on April 28, 2020, 09:50:03 PM
Well said indeed . Totally with you
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: I Ronic on April 29, 2020, 08:02:40 AM
Personally I don't have a problem with a bit of politics creeping into this thread. All countries are reporting their figures differently. So trying to draw any logical conclusions is impossible and as we've  seen some leaders are in denial, make ridiculous suggestions or both.
However to bring it back on track. Here's  a comment by Nick Stripe. He heads the Office for National Statistics. He was commenting on a week back in January 2000, when there was a bad flu season and a higher number of deaths in one week than one of the recent weeks. It's this sentence that I think is probably the one that should start any public announcement. I'd never heard of the guy before but I'm betting he's got a big heart beating in his chest.

"Each one is a person. Each one has a family. We must always remember this,"

Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: ALG01 on April 29, 2020, 04:05:12 PM
Quote from: Twig on April 28, 2020, 06:05:42 PM
Quote from: PaulUMD on April 26, 2020, 02:41:12 AM
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.

I'm sorry...what?  He has certainly done more things than Obama...more immigrant children in cages, separated from their parents and family, more tax cuts for the rich, a much higher budget deficit (long before emergency measures due to COVID-19), more love letters and calls with dictators from Kim Jong Un to his best buddy Vlad, more business deals for his company and his kids as bribes for Trump's attention and gratitude, etc. 

He's a garbage human being, a sociopath without empathy or care for anyone but himself, a narcissist obsessed with his own vanity, a grown man with the attention span and intellectual curiosity of a toddler, and a giant idiot who has succeeded on the backs of others for his entire life.  For months he reminded us every day at those press conferences, and his approval rating has suffered appropriately.  He'll always have his 40ish% of Republicans who feast on his brand of white, Christian grievance politics and they will stick with him until the end.  But luckily, as things stand, it appears the end will be in November and not in 2024.  His predictably incompetent response to the pandemic has likely sealed his fate, though crazier things have happened.

This will probably get removed but I completely agree. Well said.

Whilst i share the view about trump I am not sure he will be voted out. national disasters always favour the incumbent no matter how hopeless they are. do not expect that the american voting public will behave rationally!
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Holders on April 29, 2020, 04:58:25 PM
As was said above:

"Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend".
"Well you may think that, I may think that but I bet that a majority of Americans will vote to give him another term in office".

The American public were bonkers enough to vote for him the first time around.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on May 01, 2020, 08:51:10 AM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PM
Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PM
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant  :doh:

Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach

Haha yes exactly.

But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...

US intelligence yesterday: Covid-19 wasn't man-made but may have mistakenly come from a Chinese research lab
Trump yesterday: I've seen evidence it came from a Chinese lab and there was a mistake
BBC headline today: "Trump seems to undercut US spies"

Truly absurd levels of incompetence and bias, albeit unintended, from the BBC this morning
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: RaySmith on May 01, 2020, 09:09:59 AM
Not really possible to discuss this subject, or other controversial, relevant subjects, such as the Holocaust - a recently deleted thread - without it being political, because people have fiercely opposing views on these things, usually related to which side of the  political spectrum they inhabit.

There is no 'objective' point of view on these matters.

I am certain that the BBC isn't biased towards the left, and anti-Trump or Brexit, as its opponents think, but  that is their reality.
People on the Left think the BBC is biased against them.

These days Truth  seems to be in the eye of the beholder.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on May 01, 2020, 09:22:18 AM
There is absolutely such a thing as objective truth on most matters. For example, whether two statements are contradictory is a matter of language and logic, not opinion.

I agree, and have always said, the BBC isn't *intentionally* biased. Their Brexit coverage was awful at times, but I won't go into specifics on that. Corbyn wasn't my cup of tea but I fully accept he probably got misrepresented by the BBC at times. So yes it cuts both ways generally.

But it's coverage of Trump is certainly biased, albeit unintentionally, and much of its general coverage of this crisis has been woeful, unhelpful, selective, misguided and/or sensationalist fear-mongering.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: MikeTheCubed on May 01, 2020, 09:43:02 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on May 01, 2020, 09:09:59 AM
Not really possible to discuss this subject, or other controversial, relevant subjects, such as the Holocaust - a recently deleted thread - without it being political, because people have fiercely opposing views on these things, usually related to which side of the  political spectrum they inhabit.

There is no 'objective' point of view on these matters.

I am certain that the BBC isn't biased towards the left, and anti-Trump or Brexit, as its opponents think, but  that is their reality.
People on the Left think the BBC is biased against them.

These days Truth  seems to be in the eye of the beholder.

What about when the BBC interviews supposedly impartial health workers, only for it to emerge that many of them were in fact political activists?

For example in the case of the BBC's recent Panorama broadcast it emerged they had asked an individual to procure health workers (something which the BBC had to back-track on), who within their Twitter profile describes themself as a Communist - 1254858388170653697[/tweet]] (//%5Btweet)[/url]

QuoteI was one of those who spoke to Panorama and put them in touch with health workers. They told me that they would not let them down and would tell the truth. They did. You should all watch it #Panorama #coronavirus Shame on anyone who believes the Govt now

QuoteFor the avoidance of any doubt. The BBC +Channel 4 researchers who contacted me (I have kept the messages) never asked my politics or asked for Labour supporters. They only wanted to talk to key workers. They made an honest documentary.  Good on them! #coronavirus #BBCPanorama
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Russianrob on May 01, 2020, 10:08:48 AM
The BBC is like crying wolf but in reverse. The majority of what they report is fair and factual.However when it gives false news it is impossible to spot.Bigger liars are The Guardian newspaper however even they tell the truth now and again.This is a highly subjective post as you can tell.Each to their own!!
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Twig on May 01, 2020, 10:32:45 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on May 01, 2020, 09:09:59 AM
Not really possible to discuss this subject, or other controversial, relevant subjects, such as the Holocaust - a recently deleted thread - without it being political, because people have fiercely opposing views on these things, usually related to which side of the  political spectrum they inhabit.

There is no 'objective' point of view on these matters.

I am certain that the BBC isn't biased towards the left, and anti-Trump or Brexit, as its opponents think, but  that is their reality.
People on the Left think the BBC is biased against them.

These days Truth  seems to be in the eye of the beholder.

Spot on
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Southcoastffc on May 01, 2020, 11:01:40 AM
Quote from: Twig on May 01, 2020, 10:32:45 AM
Quote from: RaySmith on May 01, 2020, 09:09:59 AM
Not really possible to discuss this subject, or other controversial, relevant subjects, such as the Holocaust - a recently deleted thread - without it being political, because people have fiercely opposing views on these things, usually related to which side of the  political spectrum they inhabit.

There is no 'objective' point of view on these matters.

I am certain that the BBC isn't biased towards the left, and anti-Trump or Brexit, as its opponents think, but  that is their reality.
People on the Left think the BBC is biased against them.

These days Truth  seems to be in the eye of the beholder.

Spot on
:plus one:  This discussion is reminiscent of the old, often quoted, story. Chap asks accountant "What's the answer?" Accountant replies "What would you like the answer to be?"   It seems these days that your truth may not be my truth.  People select quotes, news, data to reinforce individual prejudices.
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: rebel on May 01, 2020, 11:55:06 AM
Quote from: Statto on May 01, 2020, 09:22:18 AM
There is absolutely such a thing as objective truth on most matters. For example, whether two statements are contradictory is a matter of language and logic, not opinion.

I agree, and have always said, the BBC isn't *intentionally* biased. Their Brexit coverage was awful at times, but I won't go into specifics on that. Corbyn wasn't my cup of tea but I fully accept he probably got misrepresented by the BBC at times. So yes it cuts both ways generally.

But it's coverage of Trump is certainly biased, albeit unintentionally, and much of its general coverage of this crisis has been woeful, unhelpful, selective, misguided and/or sensationalist fear-mongering.

Sky News was mega biased in the UK election. They brought over Diana Magnay from Russia to cover the election. She covered the Labour Party. Her reports covering the Labour Party followed a clear methodology, all the Labour daily woes were tagged on each day, this went on for weeks. The reporter covering the Conservative Party had a totally different and balanced way of reporting the days events.           
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Statto on May 01, 2020, 01:35:52 PM
Quote from: rebel on May 01, 2020, 11:55:06 AM
Quote from: Statto on May 01, 2020, 09:22:18 AM
There is absolutely such a thing as objective truth on most matters. For example, whether two statements are contradictory is a matter of language and logic, not opinion.

I agree, and have always said, the BBC isn't *intentionally* biased. Their Brexit coverage was awful at times, but I won't go into specifics on that. Corbyn wasn't my cup of tea but I fully accept he probably got misrepresented by the BBC at times. So yes it cuts both ways generally.

But it's coverage of Trump is certainly biased, albeit unintentionally, and much of its general coverage of this crisis has been woeful, unhelpful, selective, misguided and/or sensationalist fear-mongering.

Sky News was mega biased in the UK election. They brought over Diana Magnay from Russia to cover the election. She covered the Labour Party. Her reports covering the Labour Party followed a clear methodology, all the Labour daily woes were tagged on each day, this went on for weeks. The reporter covering the Conservative Party had a totally different and balanced way of reporting the days events.           

Hmmm, makes up for 2017 when they spent a week talking about a plastic F falling off the wall at the Tory conference then. On general Labour/Tory stuff I still think, as others have said, that it cuts both ways and evens itself out over time. I'm not trying to make a point about that. 
Title: Re: Coronavirus Thread / New / Old / Merged
Post by: Friendsoffulham on May 01, 2020, 09:01:14 PM
Sorry guys, as much as we've tried to bend the rules a little, by keeping this post open for COVID19 reasons, it's turned very political, even after a Mod had asked for things to be kept on track. Due to this, we are now locking it to prevent any more political discussions.