Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PMgreat reply . The media don't know where their next feeding frenzy will be. brexit, Harry and Megan,the poor love island girl . They rarely latch on to good news and keep shovelling it out to us.
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PMThat's what they said in China at the beginning of January.
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
Quote from: TerryR on March 01, 2020, 06:43:12 PMQuote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PMThat's what they said in China at the beginning of January.
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
Now 300 million people are on virtual lock down.
300 million.
My office in Beijing has 160 people and no one has left their house for a month except to get food.
As of today there are 88,300 cases
42,000 have recovered
3,100 deaths
7,200 in serious condition
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
Quote from: Fulham Tup North on March 02, 2020, 12:40:08 AMQuote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
Not wanting to show disrespect to those who have passed away due to this illness, but to put it into some sort of perspective, during the Great War between 9-11 million soldiers died, added to that was around 20 million civilians. The year after the war ended, Spanish Flu killed between 40 - 50 million people. At the time it effected over 25% of the worlds population....500 million people. If 25% of today's world population were to be infected, we would be looking at around 1 billion, eight hundred & eighty two million, 500 thousand people.
I think TV & newspapers are simply trying to frighten people into panic buying or scaremongering them. Look after those most at risk and keep an eye out for your neighbours especially if they are elderly. The world is not ending folks!!
Quote from: cookieg on March 02, 2020, 07:00:59 AM
One of the very few things I remember from my Geography O-Level is Thomas Malthus and his theory on population growth. Maybe nature has had enough of the damage we are causing to the planet and is starting to fight back.
Quote from: cookieg on March 02, 2020, 07:00:59 AM
One of the very few things I remember from my Geography O-Level is Thomas Malthus and his theory on population growth. Maybe nature has had enough of the damage we are causing to the planet and is starting to fight back.
Quote from: F(f)CUK on March 01, 2020, 05:18:13 PM
As the father of a disabled son who has nearly died of pneumonia more than once, I have been following the coronavirus situation very carefully. We will have a period when they try and halt the spread before letting it go. We want it to hit in the summer to ensure that the hospitals are under less strain.
My favourite bit of news is that the alcohol gels that are selling out are bad for us. You have to wash your hands after use as there are bacteria that live on the alcohol that are worse for us than the normal bacteria. Within fifteen minutes you have twice as many bacteria on your hands than you would if you just washed with soap and water.
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 02, 2020, 07:51:13 AMFirst QPR are cited as the only London club that host games without it constituting a large gathering, and now this post !!Quote from: cookieg on March 02, 2020, 07:00:59 AM
One of the very few things I remember from my Geography O-Level is Thomas Malthus and his theory on population growth. Maybe nature has had enough of the damage we are causing to the planet and is starting to fight back.
Can the planet start with QPR supporters :dft012:
Quote from: Gezza on March 02, 2020, 07:10:27 PMYes, I heard her this morning. All I can say is that the interview that I quoted was from the Chief Medical Officer for the UK. Doesn't help when the medical profession doesn't provide a consistent message.Quote from: F(f)CUK on March 01, 2020, 05:18:13 PM
As the father of a disabled son who has nearly died of pneumonia more than once, I have been following the coronavirus situation very carefully. We will have a period when they try and halt the spread before letting it go. We want it to hit in the summer to ensure that the hospitals are under less strain.
My favourite bit of news is that the alcohol gels that are selling out are bad for us. You have to wash your hands after use as there are bacteria that live on the alcohol that are worse for us than the normal bacteria. Within fifteen minutes you have twice as many bacteria on your hands than you would if you just washed with soap and water.
According to health expert on 5 Live this morning, who seemed to know what she was talking about, what you say about alcohol gels is simply not true with regard to tackling the Coronavirus.
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PMWhat? Like it does for Summer colds?
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
Quote from: Fulham Tup North on March 02, 2020, 12:40:08 AMQuote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
Not wanting to show disrespect to those who have passed away due to this illness, but to put it into some sort of perspective, during the Great War between 9-11 million soldiers died, added to that was around 20 million civilians. The year after the war ended, Spanish Flu killed between 40 - 50 million people. At the time it effected over 25% of the worlds population....500 million people. If 25% of today's world population were to be infected, we would be looking at around 1 billion, eight hundred & eighty two million, 500 thousand people.
I think TV & newspapers are simply trying to frighten people into panic buying or scaremongering them. Look after those most at risk and keep an eye out for your neighbours especially if they are elderly. The world is not ending folks!!
[/quote
Well said !
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
Quote from: cottage expat on March 02, 2020, 11:24:34 PMQuote from: Fulham Tup North on March 02, 2020, 12:40:08 AMQuote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
Not wanting to show disrespect to those who have passed away due to this illness, but to put it into some sort of perspective, during the Great War between 9-11 million soldiers died, added to that was around 20 million civilians. The year after the war ended, Spanish Flu killed between 40 - 50 million people. At the time it effected over 25% of the worlds population....500 million people. If 25% of today's world population were to be infected, we would be looking at around 1 billion, eight hundred & eighty two million, 500 thousand people.
I think TV & newspapers are simply trying to frighten people into panic buying or scaremongering them. Look after those most at risk and keep an eye out for your neighbours especially if they are elderly. The world is not ending folks!!
[/quote
Well said !
Agree.
I think there has definitely been an overreaction, and a climate of panic has been created by the media - who i don't think are out to frighten people on purpose, but it's a sign of the times , goes along with the rise of the internet - an absurd overreaction to things that often aren't nearly as terrible as depicted.
Flu is a virus that kills more people percentage wise than Conovirus so far, and old and sick people are more at risk from this, as they are at risk generally from infections.
Now we have a flu vaccination - free to older people in this country, and i believe a conovirus vaccination will very soon become available.
Shutting down mass gatherings and closing schools, etc, because of this virus, just seems well over the top at the moment, considering the percentage of people dying from Conovirus - many who have been infected don't even realise they've had it.
The floods, caused by global warming are much more of threat tp people in this country, and taking action against the causes, and to mitigate the effects, is far more important than this virus imo.
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 02, 2020, 11:46:56 PMthat 2% figure is way off as far as I'm aware. They only test those who died in hospital to see if it was corona that killed them. All those who were welded shut into their own homes were taken straight in for cremation without being tested if the accounts of the whistle blowers are to be believed.Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
If you take our population of 66million and this virus kills around 2% that will mean 1320000 deaths..does that put it into perspective? Let's assume that only 50% of the population get it then we are talking about 670,000 deaths.
Quote from: I Ronic on March 03, 2020, 08:46:47 AMif the fa just allowed the top 3 to go up, I'd imagine that would open them up to one hell of a law suit from every club that could still mathematically achieve that position. What happened in war time, did a league ever get suspended then
My original post was aimed more towards large scale gatherings of people being cancelled. Which could lead to the last games of the season at best held behind closed doors at worst cancelled. If they were cancelled could you see the FA deciding that the tables at that moment were frozen and in the Championship for instance the top three went up?
Going back to the virus, the relatively low death toll at the moment maybe due in part to lock downs in certain areas. This may well work but it could have a devastating effect on economies. Which could cause bigger problems down the line.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 03, 2020, 09:05:29 AMIn 1939 after a few games had been played they changed the rules no team was allowed to travel more than 50 miles and a max of 8000 fans per game later on this was increased to 15000Quote from: I Ronic on March 03, 2020, 08:46:47 AMif the fa just allowed the top 3 to go up, I'd imagine that would open them up to one hell of a law suit from every club that could still mathematically achieve that position. What happened in war time, did a league ever get suspended then
My original post was aimed more towards large scale gatherings of people being cancelled. Which could lead to the last games of the season at best held behind closed doors at worst cancelled. If they were cancelled could you see the FA deciding that the tables at that moment were frozen and in the Championship for instance the top three went up?
Going back to the virus, the relatively low death toll at the moment maybe due in part to lock downs in certain areas. This may well work but it could have a devastating effect on economies. Which could cause bigger problems down the line.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 03, 2020, 07:25:06 AMQuote from: KingofCheese on March 02, 2020, 11:46:56 PMthat 2% figure is way off as far as I'm aware. They only test those who died in hospital to see if it was corona that killed them. All those who were welded shut into their own homes were taken straight in for cremation without being tested if the accounts of the whistle blowers are to be believed.Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
If you take our population of 66million and this virus kills around 2% that will mean 1320000 deaths..does that put it into perspective? Let's assume that only 50% of the population get it then we are talking about 670,000 deaths.
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
Quote from: I Ronic on March 03, 2020, 08:46:47 AM
My original post was aimed more towards large scale gatherings of people being cancelled. Which could lead to the last games of the season at best held behind closed doors at worst cancelled. If they were cancelled could you see the FA deciding that the tables at that moment were frozen and in the Championship for instance the top three went up?
Going back to the virus, the relatively low death toll at the moment maybe due in part to lock downs in certain areas. This may well work but it could have a devastating effect on economies. Which could cause bigger problems down the line.
Quote from: Andy S on March 04, 2020, 03:03:14 PM
If the corona virus became so bad that large gatherings were not allowed and some of the biggest events were shut down. Would the play off final be delayed and for how long or would 3rd place be enough to get promoted
Quote from: Andy S on March 04, 2020, 03:03:14 PM
If the corona virus became so bad that large gatherings were not allowed and some of the biggest events were shut down. Would the play off final be delayed and for how long or would 3rd place be enough to get promoted
Quote from: TerryR on March 01, 2020, 11:27:27 PMFrom all the people kissing his ring. The one on his finger possibly.
Pope now seems to be suspected of being infected
Quote from: Statto on March 03, 2020, 10:53:23 AMQuote from: fulhamben on March 03, 2020, 07:25:06 AMQuote from: KingofCheese on March 02, 2020, 11:46:56 PMthat 2% figure is way off as far as I'm aware. They only test those who died in hospital to see if it was corona that killed them. All those who were welded shut into their own homes were taken straight in for cremation without being tested if the accounts of the whistle blowers are to be believed.Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
If you take our population of 66million and this virus kills around 2% that will mean 1320000 deaths..does that put it into perspective? Let's assume that only 50% of the population get it then we are talking about 670,000 deaths.
WHO is saying the mortality rate is 2-5% but I think that's them humouring the likes of China and Iran who are likely missing the most mild cases.
I think one of the reasons the authorities are so concerned about further spread is that actually, there are probably hundreds of cases already in the UK and other countries going under the radar because they're so mild.
Most Western experts seem to be expecting a mortality rate around 1%, if anything slightly lower.
But of course even that would be 10x as a bad as influenza which is something like 0.1%, and as indicated above, if it infected 50% of the UK population, just 1% of that would be 300,000 of our loved ones, in particular the sick and elderly, being taken in the coming months, and many more hospitalised. It's still an awful situation.
With that said, we're an awful long way from 50% of the population being infected. Even at the rate at 500+ new cases per day they're currently seeing in South Korea and Italy, it would take 3-4 year just to infect 1% of our population of 60m. The issue now is IMO is whether we see the controls those countries have implemented starting to work over the coming days and weeks, and the spread being successfully contained like it was in China.
Quote from: grandad on March 04, 2020, 07:07:50 PMQuote from: TerryR on March 01, 2020, 11:27:27 PMFrom all the people kissing his ring. The one on his finger possibly.
Pope now seems to be suspected of being infected
Quote from: RaySmith on March 05, 2020, 05:06:28 AM
How come i all my 70 odd years on the planet there's never been such a reaction to any of the viruses or diseases that have been around?
The reaction to coronavirus is completely over the top, and is causing panic.
Quote from: JoelH5 on March 04, 2020, 10:09:59 PMQuote from: Statto on March 03, 2020, 10:53:23 AM
With that said, we're an awful long way from 50% of the population being infected. Even at the rate at 500+ new cases per day they're currently seeing in South Korea and Italy, it would take 3-4 year just to infect 1% of our population of 60m. The issue now is IMO is whether we see the controls those countries have implemented starting to work over the coming days and weeks, and the spread being successfully contained like it was in China.
Unfortunately it doesn't work like that. The transmission rate is x2/3 meaning one person on average infects two to three others. That means the more that get infected, the quicker it spreads. In about 2 to 3 months we could be at a peak.
Quote from: RaySmith on March 05, 2020, 05:06:28 AMI have to agree with you on all fronts.
How come i all my 70 odd years on the planet there's never been such a reaction to any of the viruses or diseases that have been around?
Ok, vulnerable people are at risk - as they are generally at this time of year, but this has been an overreaction.
Residents of an old people's home said they were fr more frightened of losing their, mostly foreign, carers, than of catching this illness.
They are now worrying about workers on self-employed and zero hours contracts who are unable to work if being in contact with this illness, but who worried about them before? - when many of these people have had to go to work while being treated for such diseases as cancer - because they had no access to sick pay.
Whatever the government says , do you think people can just claim benefits as soon as they are off work - maybe forced to stay at home although feeling ok - just like that?
The reaction to coronavirus is completely over the top, and is causing panic.
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 01:21:24 PMQuote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.
I can't contract and then expose piles to the elderly and those of low immunity though, can I? If we only think about ourselves as healthy, young (some of us) people, then sure, but if we care for others around us and in the wider public then we should take care and follow guidelines and consider the potential serious outcomes for others.
This will spread because so many people are selfish, stupid and a blend of both. Many businesses will not assist peoples best efforts to stop that from happening by supporting those with symptons to self-contain, and those businesses are not being helped to do so by Govt. £94 a week? Exceptional times call for exceptional measures, and if we, the UK, really wanted to lead in preventative measures then our Govt. should announcing plans allowing people to do so.
Quote from: Holders on March 05, 2020, 01:56:08 PMQuote from: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 01:21:24 PMQuote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.
I can't contract and then expose piles to the elderly and those of low immunity though, can I? If we only think about ourselves as healthy, young (some of us) people, then sure, but if we care for others around us and in the wider public then we should take care and follow guidelines and consider the potential serious outcomes for others.
This will spread because so many people are selfish, stupid and a blend of both. Many businesses will not assist peoples best efforts to stop that from happening by supporting those with symptons to self-contain, and those businesses are not being helped to do so by Govt. £94 a week? Exceptional times call for exceptional measures, and if we, the UK, really wanted to lead in preventative measures then our Govt. should announcing plans allowing people to do so.
It's very likely to spread because of the reasons you cite as well as asymptomatic people being carriers, or those who think they've just got a cold.
Are you suggesting that there should be no entry at all to the UK from (for example) China, South Korea and Italy? I would have thought that radical measures like that would have to be global rather than national to be effective. Testing shows nothing during the incubation period until symptoms develop.
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 02:44:07 PMQuote from: Holders on March 05, 2020, 01:56:08 PMQuote from: Dr Quinzel on March 05, 2020, 01:21:24 PMQuote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 05, 2020, 08:44:47 AM
A lot of people suffer from haemorrhoids but there has never been any panic about it, seeing as they are generally stuck with it for life, whilst these viruses come and go, so I feel that so far there may have been an overreaction as the media love a bad news scary story. Far more people have piles than Coronavirus.
I can't contract and then expose piles to the elderly and those of low immunity though, can I? If we only think about ourselves as healthy, young (some of us) people, then sure, but if we care for others around us and in the wider public then we should take care and follow guidelines and consider the potential serious outcomes for others.
This will spread because so many people are selfish, stupid and a blend of both. Many businesses will not assist peoples best efforts to stop that from happening by supporting those with symptons to self-contain, and those businesses are not being helped to do so by Govt. £94 a week? Exceptional times call for exceptional measures, and if we, the UK, really wanted to lead in preventative measures then our Govt. should announcing plans allowing people to do so.
It's very likely to spread because of the reasons you cite as well as asymptomatic people being carriers, or those who think they've just got a cold.
Are you suggesting that there should be no entry at all to the UK from (for example) China, South Korea and Italy? I would have thought that radical measures like that would have to be global rather than national to be effective. Testing shows nothing during the incubation period until symptoms develop.
No, I didn't mention stopping of flights at all. I was talking about the Govt. increasing statutory sick payment or some creative tax work to allow employers to pay absent staff where necessary.
But perhaps as a preventative, stopping flights from certain countries and areas could be wise. Either way, the Govt. should be stepping up to the plate on this. I'm feeling fortunate to be British and not American today after Trump's most recent remarks.
Quote from: grandad on March 01, 2020, 07:39:20 PM
Influenza (flu) is a very common, highly infectious disease caused by a virus. It can be very dangerous, causing serious complications and death, especially for people in risk groups. In rare cases flu can kill people who are otherwise healthy. In the UK it is estimated that an average of 600 people a year die from complications of flu. In some years it is estimated that this can rise to over 10,000 deaths (see for example this UK study from 2013 , which estimated over 13,000 deaths resulting from flu in 2008-09). Flu leads to hundreds of thousands of GP visits and tens of thousands of hospital stays a year.
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 05, 2020, 07:15:57 PM
"With approximately 100,000 CoronaVirus cases worldwide, and 3,280 deaths, the United States, because of quick action on closing our borders, has, as of now, only 129 cases (40 Americans brought in) and 11 deaths. We are working very hard to keep these numbers as low as possible!"
If the figures President Trump quotes are right, the overall death rate may well turn out to be around 3%, which is certainly consistent with Italy's figures to date.
Quote from: davew on March 05, 2020, 08:57:11 PM
Trump should be more worried about the virus than he is showing, he would be in the serious at risk category if he catches it!
Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PM0001.jpeg 0001.jpeg 0001.jpeg 0001.jpeg 0001.jpeg
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
Quote from: filham on March 05, 2020, 10:31:16 PM
The virus is on the increase and I suspect emergency restrictions cold soon be in place . If football matches were to be played behind closed gates wold it not be reasonable to allow ffctv to show our matches live.
Quote from: keithh on March 05, 2020, 02:49:17 PM😂😂😂😂😂
I popped into Boots the chemist today and asked the lady "What is the best hand sanitizer for Coronavirus please?"
She replied "Ammonia cleaner"
I said "Sorry, I thought you worked here".
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 05, 2020, 12:48:53 PM
The most reliable country in terms of openness that has suffered a considerable number of instances thus far is Italy where it seems that there have been somewhat over 3000 reported instances and 107 deaths (as of yesterday) which, if such relatively small numbers (for evaluating public health issues) prove anything like the norm suggests a mortality rate of over 3%.
Quote from: JoelH5 on March 05, 2020, 07:46:26 PMThis is the central problem with any virus. Symptoms and seriousness of illness differ person to person; infection to illness periods vary person to person; manner of infection differ from person to person and so on.
I read an article from an elderly lady on the Japanese cruise ship. She had her blood tested and was shown to have been infected. She was in hospital for two weeks. She said she woke up every morning expecting to feel awful. She never did and then she recovered. She said she only knew she had it because of the blood test. I personally think the true figures are 10 if not 100 times more infected but people don't know. Also, very few of us would call 111 in reality and say I think I have Corona if you have a cough. You're more likely to just take 2 weeks off, and that's if you even have symptoms. I'm not underplaying the seriousness at all as some people have immunodeficiencies however, I do believe it is WAY more widespread than we think.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 08:07:56 AMQuote from: JoelH5 on March 05, 2020, 07:46:26 PMThis is the central problem with any virus. Symptoms and seriousness of illness differ person to person; infection to illness periods vary person to person; manner of infection differ from person to person and so on.
I read an article from an elderly lady on the Japanese cruise ship. She had her blood tested and was shown to have been infected. She was in hospital for two weeks. She said she woke up every morning expecting to feel awful. She never did and then she recovered. She said she only knew she had it because of the blood test. I personally think the true figures are 10 if not 100 times more infected but people don't know. Also, very few of us would call 111 in reality and say I think I have Corona if you have a cough. You're more likely to just take 2 weeks off, and that's if you even have symptoms. I'm not underplaying the seriousness at all as some people have immunodeficiencies however, I do believe it is WAY more widespread than we think.
There is tacit admission that the seriousness of Covid-19 may have been under-estimated at the beginning of the outbreak because it appears more subtle in its methods of spread and delivery. How would anyone know they are carrying the virus if they feel well or just suffer a slight chill for a day or so with no worsening of symptoms? We should have been prepared for this kind of threat.
It is worth remembering that institutions like the NHS grew out of knowledge that the underlying health of a population, all of that population, was not just about treatment but also about prevention, an investment against risks of infections spreading rapidly and going out of control fast. Public health was deemed to be a way to ensure we could manage outbreaks before they got out of control. Have we forgotten how important investment in people's wherewithal is in the race to keep costs down and profits up?
Quote from: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.
Quote from: Holders on March 06, 2020, 11:06:27 AMQuote from: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.
Agreed, "Nature red in tooth and claw" - and that includes us. It cannot be contained for two main reasons: It is thought to be transmissible whilst in incubation (14-24 days) and minor symptoms can appear as common cold or flu which would not give rise to isolation in the same way. Attempting to delay it until the spring/summer, as they are, takes pressure off the NHS and allows time for (perhaps) a treatment to be developed.
But the learning points are clear in case the next time around it's more virulent.
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 06, 2020, 12:00:06 PM
I think Covid19 starts with a fever? I to have a slight cold but no temperature and no fever. We cant stop work until the temperature goes up imo.
Quote from: grandad on March 06, 2020, 12:10:25 PM
600 people a year die from the seasonal flu. In some years it has been as high as 13,000. Forms of cancer, pneumonia, car deaths, murders etc account for thousands a year. Let´s keep it in context.
Quote from: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 12:07:12 PMQuote from: Holders on March 06, 2020, 11:06:27 AMQuote from: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.
Agreed, "Nature red in tooth and claw" - and that includes us. It cannot be contained for two main reasons: It is thought to be transmissible whilst in incubation (14-24 days) and minor symptoms can appear as common cold or flu which would not give rise to isolation in the same way. Attempting to delay it until the spring/summer, as they are, takes pressure off the NHS and allows time for (perhaps) a treatment to be developed.
But the learning points are clear in case the next time around it's more virulent.
Any reason why viruses and epidemics should be more serious than in the past, especially now we have modern science and medicine to deal with them?
Historically in the UK we've had Bubonic Plague, caused by infected rats, Measles, Mumps, Diphtheria etc, dealt with by vaccination, though a return of these things with people not wanting to be vaccinated - due to online alarmism and panic based on the spread of misinformation..
Also, environmental diseases like Cholera and TB, due to poverty and poor sanitation.
So are we not generally healthier and less at risk of disease than in the past?
One reason why there might be an increase in the viruses and disease is built up resistance to modern medicines, as in the case of antibiotics.
Jut wondering whether or not we are becoming more vulnerable to such illnesses , after years of being much less vulnerable to infectious diseases through scientific and medical advance.
Quote from: Andy S on March 06, 2020, 09:25:06 AM
So what happens if teams are due to play and some members are diagnosed with the Virus?
Quote from: RaySmith on March 06, 2020, 12:07:12 PMQuote from: Holders on March 06, 2020, 11:06:27 AMQuote from: Sgt Fulham on March 06, 2020, 10:31:43 AM
At this point the virus cannot and will not be contained. Just let us be thankful that it is a low mortality rate and let it be a wake up call for future containment. Very sad for those that wont make it, but unfortunately life has always been ruthless and cruel no matter how comfortable we try and make it.
Agreed, "Nature red in tooth and claw" - and that includes us. It cannot be contained for two main reasons: It is thought to be transmissible whilst in incubation (14-24 days) and minor symptoms can appear as common cold or flu which would not give rise to isolation in the same way. Attempting to delay it until the spring/summer, as they are, takes pressure off the NHS and allows time for (perhaps) a treatment to be developed.
But the learning points are clear in case the next time around it's more virulent.
Any reason why viruses and epidemics should be more serious than in the past, especially now we have modern science and medicine to deal with them?
Historically in the UK we've had Bubonic Plague, caused by infected rats, Measles, Mumps, Diphtheria etc, dealt with by vaccination, though a return of these things with people not wanting to be vaccinated - due to online alarmism and panic based on the spread of misinformation..
Also, environmental diseases like Cholera and TB, due to poverty and poor sanitation.
So are we not generally healthier and less at risk of disease than in the past?
One reason why there might be an increase in the viruses and disease is built up resistance to modern medicines, as in the case of antibiotics.
Jut wondering whether or not we are becoming more vulnerable to such illnesses , after years of being much less vulnerable to infectious diseases through scientific and medical advance.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 06, 2020, 03:12:19 PM
People panic buying,apparently Poundland have ran out of paracetamol tablets,as if they do you much good.
One woman in Stoke has filled her cupboards with 80 tins of soup,and 40 tins of rice pudding.. lol,in case she gets laid up.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 02:15:49 PM
I read about a group in the US the other day who claim to have developed a vaccine 'that contains the missing protein necessary to combat Covid-19' whatever that may mean. There was little or no information that I could find to collaborate the claim although it does seem a number of companies are pursuing a vaccine with some optimism although most of the information is (ironically) on the finance pages rather than the medicine pages.
Quote from: grandad on March 06, 2020, 12:10:25 PM
600 people a year die from the seasonal flu. In some years it has been as high as 13,000. Forms of cancer, pneumonia, car deaths, murders etc account for thousands a year. Let´s keep it in context.
Quote from: grandad on March 06, 2020, 12:10:25 PM
600 people a year die from the seasonal flu. In some years it has been as high as 13,000. Forms of cancer, pneumonia, car deaths, murders etc account for thousands a year. Let´s keep it in context.
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 06, 2020, 03:25:27 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 06, 2020, 03:12:19 PM
People panic buying,apparently Poundland have ran out of paracetamol tablets,as if they do you much good.
One woman in Stoke has filled her cupboards with 80 tins of soup,and 40 tins of rice pudding.. lol,in case she gets laid up.
Laid up! if she eats that lot she will never get off the Loo let alone go anywhere 064.gif
Quote from: RAF_Fulham on March 06, 2020, 08:10:26 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/51777154
If I miss the Leeds &/or QPR I am going to be fuming!
Quote from: Spirit of 2000 on March 06, 2020, 07:19:07 PM
WELL HERE YOU GO:
Everyone take a deep breath... you don't need more toilet paper! That won't help with the Coronavirus BUT HERES SOME INFORMATION THAT WILL! 👇
✔️ 82,000 People are sick with Coronavirus at the moment, of which 77,000 are in China.
This means that if you are not in or haven't recently visited China, this should eliminate 94% of your concern.
🧪 If you do contract Coronavirus, this still is not a cause for panic because:
81% of the Cases are MILD
14% of the Cases are MODERATE
Only 5% of the Cases are CRITICAL
😉 Which means that even if you do get the virus, you are most likely to recover from it.
🙄 Some have said, "but this is worse than SARS!". SARS had a fatality rate of 10% while COVID-19 has a fatality rate of 2%
👍 Moreover, looking at the ages of those who are dying of this virus, the death rate for the people UNDER 50 years of age is only 0.2%
💰 This means that if you are under 50 years of age and don't live in China - you are more likely to win the lottery (which has a 1 in 45,000,000 chance)
📚 Let's take one of the worst days so far, the 10th of February, when 108 people in CHINA died of Coronavirus.
🗺 On the same day:
👉 26,283 people died of Cancer
👉 24,641 people died of Heart Disease
👉 4,300 people died of Diabetes
👉 Suicide took 28 times more lives than the virus did.
🦟 Mosquitoes kill 2,740 people every day,
👨 HUMANS kill 1,300 fellow humans every day,
🐍 Snakes kill 137 people every day,
🦈 Sharks kill 2 people a year.
Quote from: Spirit of 2000 on March 06, 2020, 07:19:07 PMOr 101914 people have tested positive for corv19
WELL HERE YOU GO:
Everyone take a deep breath... you don't need more toilet paper! That won't help with the Coronavirus BUT HERES SOME INFORMATION THAT WILL! 👇
✔️ 82,000 People are sick with Coronavirus at the moment, of which 77,000 are in China.
This means that if you are not in or haven't recently visited China, this should eliminate 94% of your concern.
🧪 If you do contract Coronavirus, this still is not a cause for panic because:
81% of the Cases are MILD
14% of the Cases are MODERATE
Only 5% of the Cases are CRITICAL
😉 Which means that even if you do get the virus, you are most likely to recover from it.
🙄 Some have said, "but this is worse than SARS!". SARS had a fatality rate of 10% while COVID-19 has a fatality rate of 2%
👍 Moreover, looking at the ages of those who are dying of this virus, the death rate for the people UNDER 50 years of age is only 0.2%
💰 This means that if you are under 50 years of age and don't live in China - you are more likely to win the lottery (which has a 1 in 45,000,000 chance)
📚 Let's take one of the worst days so far, the 10th of February, when 108 people in CHINA died of Coronavirus.
🗺 On the same day:
👉 26,283 people died of Cancer
👉 24,641 people died of Heart Disease
👉 4,300 people died of Diabetes
👉 Suicide took 28 times more lives than the virus did.
🦟 Mosquitoes kill 2,740 people every day,
👨 HUMANS kill 1,300 fellow humans every day,
🐍 Snakes kill 137 people every day,
🦈 Sharks kill 2 people a year.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 02:15:49 PM
I read about a group in the US the other day who claim to have developed a vaccine 'that contains the missing protein necessary to combat Covid-19' whatever that may mean. There was little or no information that I could find to collaborate the claim although it does seem a number of companies are pursuing a vaccine with some optimism although most of the information is (ironically) on the finance pages rather than the medicine pages.
Quote from: love4ffc on March 07, 2020, 06:56:50 AM
I feel most here care not for the rest of humanity. But rather of the mind case sera sera, let the weak die and so be it.
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 07, 2020, 10:47:29 AMMisery has always been a source of charity, investment or philanthropy, call it what you will.Quote from: toshes mate on March 06, 2020, 02:15:49 PM
I read about a group in the US the other day who claim to have developed a vaccine 'that contains the missing protein necessary to combat Covid-19' whatever that may mean. There was little or no information that I could find to collaborate the claim although it does seem a number of companies are pursuing a vaccine with some optimism although most of the information is (ironically) on the finance pages rather than the medicine pages.
Re the finance pages, I don't find that surprising. There will be some very rich people in the medical business who are absolutely rubbing their hands at this. In the same way war makes so many countries so much profit, our ill health is similar.
Quote from: andyk on March 07, 2020, 05:19:05 PM
Not quite sure what the toilet roll madness is about. It seems to be a form of mass hysteria. People see other people buying it and they buy it too.
As a product which is essential for survival, it's pretty low on the list.
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 07, 2020, 06:09:12 PM
Given the advice is 14 days self isolation if one thinks one has the virus, buying a stock to cover such a period is not unreasonable.
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 08, 2020, 08:04:00 AM
"So what's that, 2 rolls?"
Yes, if you live on your own and don't eat.
Quote from: RaySmith on March 08, 2020, 03:36:24 AM
I remember using newspaper when we ran out when I was a kid.
I suppose it wasn't any worse than that hard, waxy stuff you used to get in school and public toilets.
Our local supermarket has also run out of toilet roll and soap.
Govt remarks telling people no need to stockpile seemed to make people think that really there was.
There definitely seems an element of hysteria in the response to this virus - which is only causes a minor illness in most affected people, and only fatalities in a small minority of people with already weakened immunity.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 08, 2020, 09:09:08 AMQuote from: Oakeshott on March 08, 2020, 08:04:00 AM
"So what's that, 2 rolls?"
Yes, if you live on your own and don't eat.
A roll is 400 sheets, so "a roll a week" means "57 sheets a day" or "28 sheets per movement". No wonder the world has an environment and obesity problems, we need to consume only what we need whether it's toilet paper or food.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 08, 2020, 01:38:13 PM
Here is how Taiwan managed the threat of COVID-19.
Taiwan is 81 miles off Mainland China. It is a highly urbanized state of 24 million people with an extremely high population density. It is also one of the first places where the new Coronavirus epidemic manifested itself. All things considered Taiwan was expected to have the highest number of cases outside China, and yet Taiwan successfully managed to avoid an uncontrolled outbreak and only has 44 confirmed cases.
Less than one year after the SARS outbreak, a National Health Command Center (NHCC) was established. The NHCC is meant to serve as a disaster management center command point. People were notified on the basis of risk (by vulnerability) to watch out for evidence of infection using very basic intelligence data.
Does this help suffolkwhite?
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 02:53:22 AM
The insanity is we are not doing enough like restriction of airports, churches and stadiums. Milan (unlike Singapore) failed to contain coronavirus and its going to be bad there, London needs to think about a partial lockdown, the NHS is at its absolute limits in March, many many lives will be saved if worst of the outbreak can be delayed until May to August, when the NHS can cope better, people's immunity is higher and people can open windows.
A delay of a few weeks could add a few years to the lives of 000s and 000s of people. The data over the weekend from Milan is scary, it's so terrible they are going to be hit in March and not April as expected 72 hours ago. I predict that Fulham vs Brentford is the last game at Craven Cottage with fans this season, but we probably should do it now.
Quote from: Statto on March 09, 2020, 01:06:49 PMQuote from: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 02:53:22 AM
The insanity is we are not doing enough like restriction of airports, churches and stadiums. Milan (unlike Singapore) failed to contain coronavirus and its going to be bad there, London needs to think about a partial lockdown, the NHS is at its absolute limits in March, many many lives will be saved if worst of the outbreak can be delayed until May to August, when the NHS can cope better, people's immunity is higher and people can open windows.
A delay of a few weeks could add a few years to the lives of 000s and 000s of people. The data over the weekend from Milan is scary, it's so terrible they are going to be hit in March and not April as expected 72 hours ago. I predict that Fulham vs Brentford is the last game at Craven Cottage with fans this season, but we probably should do it now.
Airport restrictions? What, like they did in Italy? That worked well for them, didn't it.
I'd also query whether banning crowds at football stadiums would help, when it generally just transfers people from an open space (the stadium) to an enclosed space (the pub).
And what would a "partial lockdown" of London look like? Would it be like Italy where we take one half of the population and one half of our hospitals, and say you lot will get coronavirus, and the other half will be fine? Even that would have to overlook the fact that (a) massive quarantines like those just implemented in Italy are virtually unenforceable, and (b) that the cases we (and Italy) have are already spread to most parts of the country, making large-scale quarantine pretty pointless anyway.
I predict the approach in this country will be keep calm and carry on.
Quote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine, if they don't...............
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine, if they don't...............
Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.
It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.
Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine, if they don't...............
Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.
It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.
If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 04:05:57 PMQuote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine, if they don't...............
Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.
It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.
If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".
Does any club? Really, behind token gestures and social media cosying? Not really.
See also; our scandalous pricing last season (and the fallout from that) and loads of other evidence that you can find easily enough. The game has changed, match day income and so on is such a minor part of the clubs finances that their priorities are elsewhere.
Sad but true.
Quote from: Logicalman on March 09, 2020, 04:13:33 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 04:05:57 PMQuote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine, if they don't...............
Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.
It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.
If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".
Does any club? Really, behind token gestures and social media cosying? Not really.
See also; our scandalous pricing last season (and the fallout from that) and loads of other evidence that you can find easily enough. The game has changed, match day income and so on is such a minor part of the clubs finances that their priorities are elsewhere.
Sad but true.
I agree with what you say, though the smaller clubs still do depend on their fanbase for merchandise sales more than ticket sales each season.
Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine, if they don't...............
Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.
It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.
If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".
Quote from: Montague on March 09, 2020, 04:25:06 PMThis is right, so dont read anything into apart from club taking precautions.Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine, if they don't...............
Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.
It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.
If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".
If this meeting was to take place at Motspur Park then is doesn't have anything to do with respect for fans
MP is on restricted access as a precaution against Coronavirus entering or spreading through the training facility - Out of bounds to non essential staff (all visitors) unless absolutely necessary.
Won't get past reception otherwise.
Quote from: Tabby on March 09, 2020, 10:38:42 PM
Serie A now suspended completely.
Quote from: MJG on March 09, 2020, 06:27:59 PMThanks Mike. Makes sense. Don't want a virus ripping through the training ground.Quote from: Montague on March 09, 2020, 04:25:06 PMThis is right, so dont read anything into apart from club taking precautions.Quote from: love4ffc on March 09, 2020, 03:38:20 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 09, 2020, 03:16:15 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 09, 2020, 02:57:59 PM
The club have postponed today's meeting between themselves and the F.S.T because of the Corona virus,
And yet Friday's game with Brentford goes ahead in front of 18,000 people, I'm not sure which is the right or wrong decision but it does smack of double standards,
I will be amazed if the play off semi finals and final take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, these are uncharted waters the likes of which none of us have ever experienced before,
Let's hope a scientist soon comes up with a vaccine, if they don't...............
Sadly, this is no great shock. The club view the FST as nothing but a minor inconvenience, where they need to occasionally turn up, go through some stock answers, giving ultimately nothing away and purely going through the motions to appear 'close to fans'.
It's sad, I love the FST and the idea of it, but it's made very clear (to everyone but those who don't wish to see) that the club have very little respect for the FST.
If that is the case, then I interpret that as "no respect for the fans".
If this meeting was to take place at Motspur Park then is doesn't have anything to do with respect for fans
MP is on restricted access as a precaution against Coronavirus entering or spreading through the training facility - Out of bounds to non essential staff (all visitors) unless absolutely necessary.
Won't get past reception otherwise.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 11:09:03 PMEventually it will be the reason for a delay in Brexit negotiations.Quote from: Tabby on March 09, 2020, 10:38:42 PM
Serie A now suspended completely.
The Championship will be doing the same soon, the only solution is the one used in Wuhan. In time, the olympics will be cancelled too.
Quote from: F(f)CUK on March 10, 2020, 12:13:37 AMQuote from: The Rational Fan on March 09, 2020, 11:09:03 PMEventually it will be the reason for a delay in Brexit negotiations.Quote from: Tabby on March 09, 2020, 10:38:42 PM
Serie A now suspended completely.
The Championship will be doing the same soon, the only solution is the one used in Wuhan. In time, the olympics will be cancelled too.
Quote from: F(f)CUK on March 10, 2020, 05:40:07 AM
Other side effects are likely to include a spike in pregnancies and divorces as people are forced to stay home more..
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 10, 2020, 10:46:04 AMall this doesn't really help, as other professors claim that the virus struggles in warm dry places as moisture helps it thrive
The decision to delay closing schools and introduce other strict measures to combat coronavirus has been defended by England's deputy chief medical officer.
Dr Jenny Harries said experts are assessing new cases on an hourly basis to achieve a "balanced response".
She told BBC Breakfast new measures could follow as UK cases begin to rise rapidly over the next two weeks.
In the UK, five people with the virus have died. There were 319 confirmed cases as of 09:00 GMT on Monday.
Dr Harries said the vast majority of those diagnosed with coronavirus in Britain are "pretty well" but that they may "feel a bit rough for a few days".
She added: "Within 10-14 days we will be likely to advise people with symptoms to self-isolate and we are expecting that start of the peak [of coronavirus cases] to come during that period."
Dr Harries said cancelling big outdoor events like football matches would not necessarily be a decision supported by science.
"The virus will not survive very long outside," she said. "Many outdoor events, particularly, are relatively safe."
Moral: Stay panic, don't calm. :022:
Quote from: fulhamben on March 10, 2020, 10:57:23 AMCheck the weather on Friday afternoon. If it's clear and mild you should be OK. If it's raining, stay at home. If anyone approaches your home, spray sanitiser at them through the letterbox before opening the door.Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 10, 2020, 10:46:04 AMall this doesn't really help, as other professors claim that the virus struggles in warm dry places as moisture helps it thrive
The decision to delay closing schools and introduce other strict measures to combat coronavirus has been defended by England's deputy chief medical officer.
Dr Jenny Harries said experts are assessing new cases on an hourly basis to achieve a "balanced response".
She told BBC Breakfast new measures could follow as UK cases begin to rise rapidly over the next two weeks.
In the UK, five people with the virus have died. There were 319 confirmed cases as of 09:00 GMT on Monday.
Dr Harries said the vast majority of those diagnosed with coronavirus in Britain are "pretty well" but that they may "feel a bit rough for a few days".
She added: "Within 10-14 days we will be likely to advise people with symptoms to self-isolate and we are expecting that start of the peak [of coronavirus cases] to come during that period."
Dr Harries said cancelling big outdoor events like football matches would not necessarily be a decision supported by science.
"The virus will not survive very long outside," she said. "Many outdoor events, particularly, are relatively safe."
Moral: Stay panic, don't calm. :022:
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?
Quote from: sunburywhite on March 10, 2020, 12:33:59 PMQuote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?
How does he know he caught it at the Millwall game. Could have been at the Golf Club
Quote from: sunburywhite on March 10, 2020, 12:33:59 PMit never mentioned where he got it, just where he had beenQuote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?
How does he know he caught it at the Millwall game. Could have been at the Golf Club
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 12:36:41 PMQuote from: sunburywhite on March 10, 2020, 12:33:59 PMQuote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?
Millwall Forest was only 4 days ago and the virus takes 10-14 to come out so it was probably the week before that he contracted it
How does he know he caught it at the Millwall game. Could have been at the Golf Club
No no, thats not the point. The point is whether or not he had it during that time. Think of all the hands he shook, he wouldve visited the dressing room, he took pictures with fans.
He also is the owner of Olympiakos whom he spends alot of time with and theyre due to play Wolves.
The point is how much potential there is from one man to spread the virus and how will the FA respond.
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?
Quote from: Statto on March 10, 2020, 01:08:49 PMQuote from: Jurassic Parker on March 10, 2020, 11:51:33 AM
The owner of Forest has announced he has contracted the coronavirus. He was at the Millwall game, the FA will be seeing that as red alert and it will firmly be used as proof that football stadiums are a risk. Who knows if he had symptims and was spreadable during the time of that game?
All it proves is that someone at a football match had coronavirus. Which was statistically likely given about 1 in every 200,000 people in the UK are already known to have it, many more are presumed to have it, and about 500,000 people go to football every weekend. Doesn't prove much else.
Quote from: bobbo on March 01, 2020, 04:13:26 PMAlways said that bad news is good news which is why you rarely see anything to cheer about on the front page.Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PMgreat reply . The media don't know where their next feeding frenzy will be. brexit, Harry and Megan,the poor love island girl . They rarely latch on to good news and keep shovelling it out to us.
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
Not denying it's serious but it's being rammed down our throats many times during news bulletins.
Quote from: fulhamross on March 10, 2020, 03:04:28 PMAm going to buy my ticket today, but due to potential cancellation have decided to go on Club coach.
Will Leeds v Fulham be played behind closed doors? Ive spent money on a hotel for the night was gonna make a little holiday out of it
Quote from: Bill2 on March 10, 2020, 03:07:02 PMQuote from: bobbo on March 01, 2020, 04:13:26 PMAlways said that bad news is good news which is why you rarely see anything to cheer about on the front page.Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PMgreat reply . The media don't know where their next feeding frenzy will be. brexit, Harry and Megan,the poor love island girl . They rarely latch on to good news and keep shovelling it out to us.
I think that the papers have got nothing much to write about so let's panic. Masks that don't work are selling out. If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway. I'm 67 and I'm not worried. If I get it I'll give it my best shot.
Not denying it's serious but it's being rammed down our throats many times during news bulletins.
Quote from: Bill2 on March 10, 2020, 03:08:15 PMYou're going on holiday to Leeds !!Quote from: fulhamross on March 10, 2020, 03:04:28 PMAm going to buy my ticket today, but due to potential cancellation have decided to go on Club coach.
Will Leeds v Fulham be played behind closed doors? Ive spent money on a hotel for the night was gonna make a little holiday out of it
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PMWhy do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,
To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Quote from: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PMWhy do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,
To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 04:33:50 PMI find it VERY hard to believe that there is not frequent communication between EFL and all clubs on this topic. A few days ago, this was published.Quote from: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PMWhy do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,
To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
**** off !
Every time I post you immediately assume there is an ulterior motive, my point is a valid one, have we established contact with The E.F.L to establish what would happen in the event of the season not running it's true course,
Now calm yourself down, get your head together and explain to me how that is digging the club out ?
If I want to give examples of digging the club, the team and the manager out I'll just retweet some of your tweets.
Quote from: Cornishnick on March 10, 2020, 04:10:40 PMyepQuote from: Bill2 on March 10, 2020, 03:08:15 PMYou're going on holiday to Leeds !!Quote from: fulhamross on March 10, 2020, 03:04:28 PMAm going to buy my ticket today, but due to potential cancellation have decided to go on Club coach.
Will Leeds v Fulham be played behind closed doors? Ive spent money on a hotel for the night was gonna make a little holiday out of it
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 04:33:50 PMcharmingQuote from: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PMWhy do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,
To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
**** off !
Every time I post you immediately assume there is an ulterior motive, my point is a valid one, have we established contact with The E.F.L to establish what would happen in the event of the season not running it's true course,
Now calm yourself down, get your head together and explain to me how that is digging the club out ?
If I want to give examples of digging the club, the team and the manager out I'll just retweet some of your tweets.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 10, 2020, 05:08:00 PMid imagine it's a who blinks first type of situation. Whoever finally makes the decision, I believe it can come from uefa, fa hmg or the club ( I'm rulling the police out of this) and I'm not even sure the efl has the power, will possibly open themselves up to legal cases, so all will be hoping that someone else does itQuote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 04:33:50 PMI find it VERY hard to believe that there is not frequent communication between EFL and all clubs on this topic. A few days ago, this was published.Quote from: MJG on March 10, 2020, 04:20:58 PMQuote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PMWhy do you try to dig the club out time after time. It's a changing situation and the EFL are going to be communicating with ALL clubs. I'm sure they ALL have the same questions. This is not something just affecting us.
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,
To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
**** off !
Every time I post you immediately assume there is an ulterior motive, my point is a valid one, have we established contact with The E.F.L to establish what would happen in the event of the season not running it's true course,
Now calm yourself down, get your head together and explain to me how that is digging the club out ?
If I want to give examples of digging the club, the team and the manager out I'll just retweet some of your tweets.
EFL Statement: Coronavirus update
6 March 2020
As a result of the ongoing concerns posed the by Coronavirus outbreak and following specific medical advice, the Fair Play handshake between players and match officials will not take place at this weekend's EFL matches and until further notice.
Whilst the Government guidance does remain unchanged, a decision has been taken on medical advice and as a precautionary measure.
Matchday operations at EFL grounds are set to continue this weekend with Clubs being advised to take appropriate prevention measures as per the Government guidance.
It is understood, however, that individual Clubs may take decisions at a local level to help mitigate the risk of the virus spreading further ahead of this weekend's matches.
The EFL continues to remain in regular dialogue with the Government regarding the ongoing developments and is being appraised on a regular basis of developments that could potentially impact our Clubs and Competitions
We will continue to provide EFL Clubs with updates and advice as it is issued to ensure that they have all the relevant up-to date information so that they can continue to advise their players, staff and supporters.
These matters are subject to constant change and we will update as appropriate.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 10, 2020, 05:29:42 PM
One person in a football crowd of 30,000 say, isn't going to give it to the whole crowd,maybe the unlucky person. sat next.
You've got same chance of getting it off of someone talking to them on street or in Supermarket.
As that Doc has said there is no need to cancel outdoor events.
Quote from: Statto on March 10, 2020, 06:02:47 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 10, 2020, 05:29:42 PM
One person in a football crowd of 30,000 say, isn't going to give it to the whole crowd,maybe the unlucky person. sat next.
You've got same chance of getting it off of someone talking to them on street or in Supermarket.
As that Doc has said there is no need to cancel outdoor events.
Exactly. By virtue of being an open air venue, a stadium probably gives rise to less risk of transmission than a car, train, office, supermarket, gym, pub, restaurant etc. So unless you're going to ban all those things for the 1-2 years it takes to develop a vaccine, what's the point in playing football matches behind closed doors? People need to listen what the UK authorities are saying - they've clearly decided it is inevitable that this thing is going to spread, and whilst they might implement measures to soften the peak of an outbreak, they're not going to go full drama like the Italians.
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 10, 2020, 10:57:46 PMThanks for sharing. Very interesting good to hear a balanced view of what's Happening.
This guy has gainied a large following world wide, recently...
Dr. John Campbell, giving measured and educated daily updates about Cvirus, I only discovered him the other day when folk were criticising Trump and Johnson's reactions, and said this guy was giving much better information. He seems on the case to me...
In this video he focuses on some China cases first, but then opens out to various issues with it, and criticises Cheltenham Festival going ahead, but praises Ireland for cancelling St Patricks Day events,.that kind of thing.
https://youtu.be/FZV9z0RVhy4
Personally, I wouldn't go to any large gatherings or crowds now, and will be wearing disposable gloves when on public transport.. we are at a rather crucial point now
Quote from: Ged on March 11, 2020, 12:14:53 AMQuote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 10, 2020, 10:57:46 PMThanks for sharing. Very interesting good to hear a balanced view of what's Happening.
This guy has gainied a large following world wide, recently...
Dr. John Campbell, giving measured and educated daily updates about Cvirus, I only discovered him the other day when folk were criticising Trump and Johnson's reactions, and said this guy was giving much better information. He seems on the case to me...
In this video he focuses on some China cases first, but then opens out to various issues with it, and criticises Cheltenham Festival going ahead, but praises Ireland for cancelling St Patricks Day events,.that kind of thing.
https://youtu.be/FZV9z0RVhy4
Personally, I wouldn't go to any large gatherings or crowds now, and will be wearing disposable gloves when on public transport.. we are at a rather crucial point now
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 11, 2020, 02:46:59 AMQuote from: Ged on March 11, 2020, 12:14:53 AMQuote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 10, 2020, 10:57:46 PMThanks for sharing. Very interesting good to hear a balanced view of what's Happening.
This guy has gainied a large following world wide, recently...
Dr. John Campbell, giving measured and educated daily updates about Cvirus, I only discovered him the other day when folk were criticising Trump and Johnson's reactions, and said this guy was giving much better information. He seems on the case to me...
In this video he focuses on some China cases first, but then opens out to various issues with it, and criticises Cheltenham Festival going ahead, but praises Ireland for cancelling St Patricks Day events,.that kind of thing.
https://youtu.be/FZV9z0RVhy4
Personally, I wouldn't go to any large gatherings or crowds now, and will be wearing disposable gloves when on public transport.. we are at a rather crucial point now
I am sharing it around as much as possible, much better coverage than much of the media at present.
Quote from: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AMGood thinking!!
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Quote from: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AMExactly the same occurred to me. I think it is eminently sensible and fair.
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Quote from: Neil D on March 11, 2020, 09:02:04 AMQuote from: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AMExactly the same occurred to me. I think it is eminently sensible and fair.
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Quote from: Baszab on March 11, 2020, 07:07:15 AMOr forget this season. The leagues for next season stay the same and Liverpool will not be Champions. No promotion or relegation.
The obvious answer is to stop the season now
Cancel the playoffs
Top 3 are promoted
Quote from: Jurassic Parker on March 11, 2020, 12:53:05 AM
Manchester City v Arsenal postponed
Hate to say I called it but I did say early in the thread that Wolves and Olympiakis owner getting Coronavirus will make the FA take action.
The game is postponed for testing as Arsenal recently played Olympiakos.
Quote from: flyingfish on March 11, 2020, 07:03:44 AM
Think within a week we are going to see drastic measures. Many private companies are taking their own steps to protect staff (ie their assets) and so home working erc will become the norm for those able t. brentford game will be last home game this season with a crowd imo.
Quote from: fulhamross on March 11, 2020, 10:18:51 AMQuote from: Jurassic Parker on March 11, 2020, 12:53:05 AM
Manchester City v Arsenal postponed
Hate to say I called it but I did say early in the thread that Wolves and Olympiakis owner getting Coronavirus will make the FA take action.
The game is postponed for testing as Arsenal recently played Olympiakos.
Arsenal played Portsmouth and West Ham after Olympiakos so are these teams cancelling their matches too?
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 11, 2020, 01:37:12 PM
Budget 2020
Watching a man married to a Billionaires daughter dishing out a few pennies to the poor and seemingly whose priority is that the Economy survives Coronavirus... Not so much the people.
That's why events such as football and Cheltenham are still going on (at the moment), money., That's it.... The should have stopped such gatherings and event things at least a week ago.
Quote from: john dempsey on March 11, 2020, 02:45:30 PM
UK. entry in Eurovision song contest is.
MY LAST BREATH very apt...
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 11, 2020, 03:14:59 PMQuote from: john dempsey on March 11, 2020, 02:45:30 PMunfortunately, because we pay for it, we get guaranteed entry every year.
UK. entry in Eurovision song contest is.
MY LAST BREATH very apt...
Lol
Do we still go in for that,just go get no points from them countries that hate us.
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 11, 2020, 05:44:40 PM
"This is from the editor of The Lancet"
Why on earth take the editor's view rather than that of the Chief Medical Officer and Chief Scientist? They are advising the Government to act in a way they regard as proportional to the risk as they evaluate it. No doubt if they judge that more measures are needed they will recommend them, and unlike numerous party hacks in the Commons (on both sides) they are not inhibited by hopes of "promotion" but are highly competent professionals who have "made it" and would walk away in a heartbeat if their genuinely held assessments were being ignored by the Prime Minister and Health Secretary.
Quote from: Holders on March 11, 2020, 05:50:46 PM
Govt medical advisors believe Boris Johnson has attached too great policy say to behavioural economists & "future strategists" favoured by Dominic Cummings....at the expense of traditional medical expertise.
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 11, 2020, 05:44:40 PM
"This is from the editor of The Lancet"
Why on earth take the editor's view rather than that of the Chief Medical Officer and Chief Scientist? They are advising the Government to act in a way they regard as proportional to the risk as they evaluate it. No doubt if they judge that more measures are needed they will recommend them, and unlike numerous party hacks in the Commons (on both sides) they are not inhibited by hopes of "promotion" but are highly competent professionals who have "made it" and would walk away in a heartbeat if their genuinely held assessments were being ignored by the Prime Minister and Health Secretary.
Quote from: Statto on March 11, 2020, 06:08:35 PMQuote from: Holders on March 11, 2020, 05:50:46 PM
Govt medical advisors believe Boris Johnson has attached too great policy say to behavioural economists & "future strategists" favoured by Dominic Cummings....at the expense of traditional medical expertise.
James O'Brien was talking about this on LBC today. Naturally he perceived it be some right-wing-ideology-driven thing that was going to get us all killed. Whereas to me it sounded perfectly reasonably, and actually entirely consistent with what the Chief Medical Officer told a parliamentary select committee last week, which is that if we implement drastic measures now, and they fail to contain the virus, people are less likely to listen and adhere to them in a few months' time, when the virus may be much more widespread. As I said up the thread, I think what's distressing most of the public at the moment is they think this thing can be contained, and want to see the government doing all they can to contain it, immediately. Whereas the government, along with the Chief Medical Officer (and today, Angela Merkel) have indicated that containment will not be possible for long, and seem to want to save the most drastic measures for a month's time, when instead of 80 cases per day we could be getting 80,000 or even 800,000, and will desparately need to pull these levers to flatten out the peak over many weeks or months and take the strain of the health service.
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 11, 2020, 08:06:46 PM
"You clearly have no clue what the Lancet is."
Giving worked for thirty years in the Department of Health and the NHS I am fully aware of what the Lancet is. And having worked with no less than five Chief Medical Officers I am fully aware of who they are and their quality. I have no doubt whatsoever whose advice should be followed.
re James O'Brien, so sad to see a basically clever man lose his mind because his preference for us to stay within the EU (of course widely shared) developed into a pathological obsession.
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.
Quote from: love4ffc on March 12, 2020, 04:55:43 AM
Trump has informed US citizens that they have till Friday to get back to the States or risk being in a 30 day lockdown period. Trump has announced after Friday the US will no longer allow people in from Europe except for England. My daughter has who went to Spain for spring break and are now sitting in Airports trying to figure how they can get back home.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AMQuote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.
The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.
Quote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 05:12:41 AMQuote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AMQuote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.
The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.
I didn't really intend to make a point about our current reaction to CoronaV - only that things were a lot different in those days. Well, life was far worse, and more precarious, in many ways.
But it is interesting to read about this, shows that there's nothing new about disease epidemics,and even in my lifetime various strains of Flu have killed many people - like just after WW2.
But I don't think governments have any choice but to take this virus very seriously, though I do think there is an air of hysteria and panic.
Personally, I just think it is what it is - I will accept whatever the government does, well I don't have much choice, but will try to live my life as normally as possible.
Although over 70, I'm very fit, and don''t feel vulnerable myself, but am a bit worried about possibly passing it onto my wife, a cancer survivor - though she's generally very healthy. But we're both philosophical about things.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 06:57:40 AMQuote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 05:12:41 AMQuote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AMQuote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.
The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.
I didn't really intend to make a point about our current reaction to CoronaV - only that things were a lot different in those days. Well, life was far worse, and more precarious, in many ways.
But it is interesting to read about this, shows that there's nothing new about disease epidemics,and even in my lifetime various strains of Flu have killed many people - like just after WW2.
But I don't think governments have any choice but to take this virus very seriously, though I do think there is an air of hysteria and panic.
Personally, I just think it is what it is - I will accept whatever the government does, well I don't have much choice, but will try to live my life as normally as possible.
Although over 70, I'm very fit, and don''t feel vulnerable myself, but am a bit worried about possibly passing it onto my wife, a cancer survivor - though she's generally very healthy. But we're both philosophical about things.
https://youtu.be/uS821v3_E50
Here is a video about the coronavirus it Italy on the 29 Feb, they were in the same position that the UK is now. The host is saying the action in Italy is no way near strong enough, we now know that Italy needed to take more drastic action earlier. Italy closed the stadiums 2 days later, the UK will probably close the stadiums in two days so is following the same plan. The UK will be in total lockdown like Italy soon, more drastic action or same results no other options.
Hulan missed the golden period of containment, China outside Wuhan responsed it, Taiwan responsed to it, Iran missed it, Singapore responsed to it, South Korea did ok, Italy missed it and UK seems to be following the Italian model.
Quote from: love4ffc on March 12, 2020, 04:55:43 AMonly British or flights from Britain? If it's the later then we will have lots of possibly infected people making their way here just to try and get to America
Trump has informed US citizens that they have till Friday to get back to the States or risk being in a 30 day lockdown period. Trump has announced after Friday the US will no longer allow people in from Europe except for England.
My daughter has who went to Spain for spring break and are now sitting in Airports trying to figure how they can get back home.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 06:57:40 AMQuote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 05:12:41 AMQuote from: The Rational Fan on March 12, 2020, 04:55:12 AMQuote from: RaySmith on March 12, 2020, 03:33:16 AM
Bit different to the Great Plague of 1665, as written about by Samuel Pepys in his Diary, which killed 100,000 Londoners, a quarter of the population.
Pepys survived, despite living near the Tower of London and going about his job, which took him to different parts of the city - apparently the fleas, from rats, which carried the plague, didn't like him.
The number of cases in the UK is the same as Italy on 26 Feb. Italy has been heavily criticized for waiting 5 days from 26 Feb to 2nd March to act, closing down football, etc. The best the UK can do is close down football 5 days earlier, it is really a no-brainer and it maybe a year until we see another game live.
I didn't really intend to make a point about our current reaction to CoronaV - only that things were a lot different in those days. Well, life was far worse, and more precarious, in many ways.
But it is interesting to read about this, shows that there's nothing new about disease epidemics,and even in my lifetime various strains of Flu have killed many people - like just after WW2.
But I don't think governments have any choice but to take this virus very seriously, though I do think there is an air of hysteria and panic.
Personally, I just think it is what it is - I will accept whatever the government does, well I don't have much choice, but will try to live my life as normally as possible.
Although over 70, I'm very fit, and don''t feel vulnerable myself, but am a bit worried about possibly passing it onto my wife, a cancer survivor - though she's generally very healthy. But we're both philosophical about things.
https://youtu.be/uS821v3_E50
Here is a video about the coronavirus it Italy on the 29 Feb, they were in the same position that the UK is now. The host is saying the action in Italy is no way near strong enough, we now know that Italy needed to take more drastic action earlier. Italy closed the stadiums 2 days later, the UK will probably close the stadiums in two days so is following the same plan. The UK will be in total lockdown like Italy soon, more drastic action or same results no other options.
Hulan missed the golden period of containment, China outside Wuhan responsed it, Taiwan responsed to it, Iran missed it, Singapore responsed to it, South Korea did ok, Italy missed it and UK seems to be following the Italian model.
Quote from: FFC1987 on March 12, 2020, 09:50:19 AMyes got told the same thing from my daughters head teacher yesterday.
Probably obvious but my wife is a teacher and told me today it's highly likely schools will be closed from Monday. We'll know more after Cobra obviously but just a heads up.
That's sounds very silly season ITK, apologies!
Quote from: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 10:15:53 AM
Some good news about vaccines :
Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0 (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0)
Real footage of Cobra meeting - coronavirus action plan.#Coronavid19 pic.twitter.com/QXFNOQ0BAn
— Teeta 💚🤍❤ (@OnlyOneTeeta) March 11, 2020
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 12, 2020, 11:08:57 AM
Cobra Meeting:Real footage of Cobra meeting - coronavirus action plan.#Coronavid19 pic.twitter.com/QXFNOQ0BAn
— Teeta 💚🤍❤ (@OnlyOneTeeta) March 11, 2020
Quote from: Holders on March 12, 2020, 10:43:11 AMThere has been a marked interest in how the virus exploits our auto-immune systems which gives a lot of credence to that.Quote from: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 10:15:53 AM
Some good news about vaccines :
Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0 (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0)
There's also an article (in Italian) that reports that a common anti-inflammatory rheumatoid arthritis drug alleviates the symptoms but I couldn't see the name of it given.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 11:45:31 AMQuote from: Holders on March 12, 2020, 10:43:11 AMThere has been a marked interest in how the virus exploits our auto-immune systems which gives a lot of credence to that.Quote from: toshes mate on March 12, 2020, 10:15:53 AM
Some good news about vaccines :
Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit the recently emerged novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in vitro.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0 (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41422-020-0282-0)
There's also an article (in Italian) that reports that a common anti-inflammatory rheumatoid arthritis drug alleviates the symptoms but I couldn't see the name of it given.
Quote from: brightster on March 12, 2020, 12:29:16 PM
John Travolta was hospitalized for suspected COVID-19, he had chills they were multiplying and he was losing control, but doctors now confirm that it was only Saturday Night Fever, and they assure everyone that he is Staying Alive.
Quote from: brightster on March 12, 2020, 12:29:16 PM
John Travolta was hospitalized for suspected COVID-19, he had chills they were multiplying and he was losing control, but doctors now confirm that it was only Saturday Night Fever, and they assure everyone that he is Staying Alive.
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 12, 2020, 01:08:49 PM
March 12th...
Ireland has 43 people tested positive for Cvirus and just had its first death... Closes schools, Churches and any events of over 100 people.
UK... 450 positive Cvirus cases, 8 deaths, Cheltenham Festival and Football continuing and looks like life will carry on as normal for now...just keep washing your hands folks.
Quote from: Holders on March 12, 2020, 02:35:58 PM
Rumoured that Leicester FC have players with symptoms being tested. Details awaited.
Quote from: Dr Quinzel on March 12, 2020, 02:38:38 PMQuote from: Holders on March 12, 2020, 02:35:58 PM
Rumoured that Leicester FC have players with symptoms being tested. Details awaited.
No rumour. The manager confirmed it.
I was informed by someone in the sports TV industry that 3 Arsenal players had symptoms - that was Tuesday. Today the rumour has spread, but hasn't been confirmed, unless I've missed it.
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PMI Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlightsQuote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes
I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PMQuote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PMI Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlightsQuote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes
I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:59:42 PMits the same way as if you buy a pass to watch a game if your abroad you just log in with your pass dont think they would care if other people used it to log inQuote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PMQuote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PMI Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlightsQuote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes
I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
Yes, but how would they control access to the site? If I buy a ticket for a game, only I or one other person can turn up at the ground and sit in that seat. For online viewing, that means sending out unique codes to each ticket purchaser by email (if they have the email address) and then ensuring that simultaneous logins using the same code don't work. Strikes me as a lot of work for each match.
Quote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening
Quote from: ffcne on March 12, 2020, 04:12:49 PMthe pm is scheduled to address the nation at five o'clockQuote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening
There is a meeting going on .
Why is the silence deafening?
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PMQuote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PMI Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlightsQuote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes
I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
Quote from: ffcne on March 12, 2020, 04:12:49 PMQuote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening
There is a meeting going on .
Why is the silence deafening?
Quote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:59:42 PMwhen I listen to jim through ffctv I can only log onto one device.Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PMQuote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PMI Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlightsQuote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes
I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
Yes, but how would they control access to the site? If I buy a ticket for a game, only I or one other person can turn up at the ground and sit in that seat. For online viewing, that means sending out unique codes to each ticket purchaser by email (if they have the email address) and then ensuring that simultaneous logins using the same code don't work. Strikes me as a lot of work for each match.
Quote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 04:54:15 PMQuote from: ffcne on March 12, 2020, 04:12:49 PMQuote from: fulhamross on March 12, 2020, 03:11:09 PM
still no announcement from our government. the silence is deafening
There is a meeting going on .
Why is the silence deafening?
all the other countries made announcements why not ours
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 04:07:11 PMQuote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:59:42 PMits the same way as if you buy a pass to watch a game if your abroad you just log in with your pass dont think they would care if other people used it to log inQuote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 03:37:37 PMQuote from: Plodder on March 12, 2020, 03:23:54 PMI Would think you would have to log on to the Fulham web site and watch like you do the highlightsQuote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 10:54:15 AM
Exactly, perhaps use the ticket ref as a login to ensure uniqueness, with, perhaps, an additional piece of info about the buyer.
● All Premier League season-ticket holders and ticket holders for individual games will be able to stream coverage of matches into their homes
I am not an expert on these things, but it seems to my untutored brain to be extremely difficult to organise bespoke viewing for individuals to this extent, whilst barring those who have not paid.
Yes, but how would they control access to the site? If I buy a ticket for a game, only I or one other person can turn up at the ground and sit in that seat. For online viewing, that means sending out unique codes to each ticket purchaser by email (if they have the email address) and then ensuring that simultaneous logins using the same code don't work. Strikes me as a lot of work for each match.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 12, 2020, 04:54:27 PM
The Dorset Left Handed Shove Ha'penny Championships due to commence this weekend have been cancelled,along with the"Isle Of Sheppey" blindfolded Tiddlywinks tournament.😑
Quote from: Logicalman on March 12, 2020, 05:56:04 PM.Yes..😁Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 12, 2020, 04:54:27 PM
The Dorset Left Handed Shove Ha'penny Championships due to commence this weekend have been cancelled,along with the"Isle Of Sheppey" blindfolded Tiddlywinks tournament.😑
Are those the one's held at Sixpenny Handley per chance? :005:
Quote from: Statto on March 12, 2020, 05:28:35 PMOr the way i read it the old and vulnerable are going to die and were not going to do a thing about it
I think the key takeaway from the speeches just now is this, which pretty much explains the UK approach:
"It is not possible to stop everyone getting it and not helpful, as we need to build immunity"
The elderly and vulnerable can start making plans to isolate themselves from society for the next few months but the rest of us need to accept the cold, hard fact that...
we are probably going to get coronavirus
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 06:40:56 PMQuote from: Statto on March 12, 2020, 05:28:35 PMOr the way i read it the old and vulnerable are going to die and were not going to do a thing about it
I think the key takeaway from the speeches just now is this, which pretty much explains the UK approach:
"It is not possible to stop everyone getting it and not helpful, as we need to build immunity"
The elderly and vulnerable can start making plans to isolate themselves from society for the next few months but the rest of us need to accept the cold, hard fact that...
we are probably going to get coronavirus
Quote from: Bokonon on March 12, 2020, 06:54:02 PMBoris and his chums have got a handle on this, it looks like they have opted for a later but shorter lockdown and resigned to the fact that a lot of older people are going to die regardless of timings. I can't believe we are not closing down large gatherings, but the government knows best.Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 06:40:56 PMQuote from: Statto on March 12, 2020, 05:28:35 PMOr the way i read it the old and vulnerable are going to die and were not going to do a thing about it
I think the key takeaway from the speeches just now is this, which pretty much explains the UK approach:
"It is not possible to stop everyone getting it and not helpful, as we need to build immunity"
The elderly and vulnerable can start making plans to isolate themselves from society for the next few months but the rest of us need to accept the cold, hard fact that...
we are probably going to get coronavirus
That, and they are willing to chance hospitals being overloaded so that the mortality rate of serious non-covid-19 respiratory illness (like normal pneumonia and influenza) will increase because they refuse to do any serious effort toward flattening the active case load.
Quote from: bobby01 on March 12, 2020, 07:44:33 PMThe Virus because its new to man will take at least a year if not longer. The Spanish Flu took two years. If it mutates as most virus do then it starts affecting younger people as we dont have enough beds to treat everybody hospitals have to choose who they treat. Your best bet is to get it Early before the services become overrun or much later with the hope they find a cure or at least something that helps
I really know little but one thing I cannot fathom is, Italy shuts down large areas to stop the virus. Presuming that works they lift the quarantine, somebody flies in from basically anywhere with the virus, off it goes again, if as I understand it you have not had it you are not immune.what then shut the country down again?
Quote from: bobby01 on March 12, 2020, 07:44:33 PM
I really know little but one thing I cannot fathom is, Italy shuts down large areas to stop the virus. Presuming that works they lift the quarantine, somebody flies in from basically anywhere with the virus, off it goes again, if as I understand it you have not had it you are not immune.what then shut the country down again?
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 07:59:10 PMQuote from: bobby01 on March 12, 2020, 07:44:33 PMThe Virus because its new to man will take at least a year if not longer. The Spanish Flu took two years. If it mutates as most virus do then it starts affecting younger people as we dont have enough beds to treat everybody hospitals have to choose who they treat. Your best bet is to get it Early before the services become overrun or much later with the hope they find a cure or at least something that helps
I really know little but one thing I cannot fathom is, Italy shuts down large areas to stop the virus. Presuming that works they lift the quarantine, somebody flies in from basically anywhere with the virus, off it goes again, if as I understand it you have not had it you are not immune.what then shut the country down again?
Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 07:48:10 PMBoris and his chums have got a handle on this, it looks like they have opted for a later but shorter lockdown and resigned to the fact that a lot of older people are going to die regardless of timings. I can't believe we are not closing down large gatherings, but the government knows best.
Quote from: Southdowns White on March 12, 2020, 08:34:47 PMReally? population of China 1,408,526,449 China is in lock down no public transport no large gatherings private use of cars forbidden shops closed new cases today 18Quote from: Ged on March 12, 2020, 07:48:10 PMBoris and his chums have got a handle on this, it looks like they have opted for a later but shorter lockdown and resigned to the fact that a lot of older people are going to die regardless of timings. I can't believe we are not closing down large gatherings, but the government knows best.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:27:02 PM
The arsenal manager Mikel arteta has tested positive for corona.
Quote from: Wingnut on March 12, 2020, 10:31:33 PMid be amazed if uefa doesn't suspend all football next weekQuote from: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:27:02 PM
The arsenal manager Mikel arteta has tested positive for corona.
Arsenal, Leicester, Chelsea and Man City have contact with it now.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:34:17 PMCan't suspend national leagues, but they're apparently suspending all the competitions they have control over. The European Championship moving to 2021.Quote from: Wingnut on March 12, 2020, 10:31:33 PMid be amazed if uefa doesn't suspend all football next weekQuote from: fulhamben on March 12, 2020, 10:27:02 PM
The arsenal manager Mikel arteta has tested positive for corona.
Arsenal, Leicester, Chelsea and Man City have contact with it now.
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 13, 2020, 05:04:56 AM
https://nypost.com/2020/03/12/canadian-prime-minister-justin-trudeaus-wife-tests-positive-for-coronavirus/
Blimey.
She was at a do in London, so.looks.like we managed to pass it on to Canada now.
Quote from: RaySmith on March 13, 2020, 05:37:37 AM
I don't think you should try to shut down society for this.
The damage to the economy would probably lead to far greater loss of life in the long term, after so many years of austerity policies, which have already put so much pressure on our services for the old and vulnerable.
I think the govt. is right to try and keep things as normal as possible, while maintaining measures to try and combat the virus as much as possible - if that is their policy.
Quote from: stokesy on March 13, 2020, 06:44:11 AM
Iafter watching tv this morning decided to miss tonight's game have to travel from Warwick on the train and don't think it's worth the risk of passing it on to my elderly parents, I do believe all football should have been postponed but I suppose money rules .
Quote from: RaySmith on March 05, 2020, 05:06:28 AMAsk the Italians, it's all over reaction until you get it, just like mate of mine, he had the view that everyone going over the top, it's just a flu, he was diagnosed on Wednesday, now of course he complaining that the govt did not take it seriously.
How come i all my 70 odd years on the planet there's never been such a reaction to any of the viruses or diseases that have been around?
Ok, vulnerable people are at risk - as they are generally at this time of year, but this has been an overreaction.
Residents of an old people's home said they were fr more frightened of losing their, mostly foreign, carers, than of catching this illness.
They are now worrying about workers on self-employed and zero hours contracts who are unable to work if being in contact with this illness, but who worried about them before? - when many of these people have had to go to work while being treated for such diseases as cancer - because they had no access to sick pay.
Whatever the government says , do you think people can just claim benefits as soon as they are off work - maybe forced to stay at home although feeling ok - just like that?
The reaction to coronavirus is completely over the top, and is causing panic.
Quote from: Riversider on March 10, 2020, 02:24:52 PM
Does anybody on here have the confidence to believe that the club have been in contact with the E.F.L , and started a conversation along the lines of " What would happen in the event of........."
So many various strands from there, things aren't due to take off with corona virus until April with the peak expected between May and June, there is next to no chance that the play offs are going to take place in front of supporters, that's if they take place at all, and that assumes that no players from the competing clubs goes down with it,
To all the people saying "it's only flu" , I say very naive and very uneducated.
Quote from: TerryR on March 13, 2020, 05:56:33 PM:plus one:
Panic and doom mongering do nothing but create anxiety
We will come through this.
OK?
Ok
Quote from: TerryR on March 13, 2020, 05:56:33 PMSome will and sadly some won´t, the question is how many will be in the latter category?
Panic and doom mongering do nothing but create anxiety
We will come through this.
OK?
Ok
Quote from: I Ronic on March 13, 2020, 10:45:21 PM
I guess we're nowhere near the worst of this yet but I'd like to know if any of you are considering changing your life styles? Holidays, savings, food stocks etc?
Quote from: Statto on March 14, 2020, 12:04:36 AMQuote from: I Ronic on March 13, 2020, 10:45:21 PM
I guess we're nowhere near the worst of this yet but I'd like to know if any of you are considering changing your life styles? Holidays, savings, food stocks etc?
I'm currently working on the assumption that for the remainder of 2020 there will be no sport, no holidays abroad, less pub/socialising/eating out, end expecting to be asked to WFH either 50% of the time or substantially all the time, with very few F2F meetings.
I stocked up on food but only because we had literally zero long-life foods. Now we could get through a week or so, but nothing more. I really don't think it will be necessary anyway.
However I do think things will get better. I reckon sooner or later we'll get a bit of good luck with this virus, eg it will turn out be much less contagious in the warmer weather, it will mutate into a much milder illness, the mortality rate will be found to be much lower than anticipated, an effective treatment will be found for the most severe symptoms, a vaccine will be produced quicker than expected, or something like that. And in any case, people can only stay scared of something for so long. When something is new and not well understood, that scares us, but once we become accustomed to something, no matter how bad or dangerous it is, fear goes away. Most of us are probably more likely to get killed by a car than coronavirus in the coming months but we don't lose any sleep over traffic, because we're used to it.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 14, 2020, 08:23:39 AMa lot of people didn't self isolate in Wuhan, they welded them shut into their homesQuote from: Statto on March 14, 2020, 12:04:36 AMQuote from: I Ronic on March 13, 2020, 10:45:21 PM
I guess we're nowhere near the worst of this yet but I'd like to know if any of you are considering changing your life styles? Holidays, savings, food stocks etc?
I'm currently working on the assumption that for the remainder of 2020 there will be no sport, no holidays abroad, less pub/socialising/eating out, end expecting to be asked to WFH either 50% of the time or substantially all the time, with very few F2F meetings.
I stocked up on food but only because we had literally zero long-life foods. Now we could get through a week or so, but nothing more. I really don't think it will be necessary anyway.
However I do think things will get better. I reckon sooner or later we'll get a bit of good luck with this virus, eg it will turn out be much less contagious in the warmer weather, it will mutate into a much milder illness, the mortality rate will be found to be much lower than anticipated, an effective treatment will be found for the most severe symptoms, a vaccine will be produced quicker than expected, or something like that. And in any case, people can only stay scared of something for so long. When something is new and not well understood, that scares us, but once we become accustomed to something, no matter how bad or dangerous it is, fear goes away. Most of us are probably more likely to get killed by a car than coronavirus in the coming months but we don't lose any sleep over traffic, because we're used to it.
If all of London self-isolate for 3 weeks, then the most deadly strains will die out. London may have to go through what Wuhan went through or have a massive body count. The Wuhan solution is almost an option.
Quote from: Riversider on March 05, 2020, 02:33:10 PMthey did a thing on the McDonald's touch screens not long ago. You don't want to know the results.
I was in an Asda store last night, just after 11pm, the shelves had literally been stripped bare, we got to the till and the poor woman told us that it had been absolute mayhem all day because of the Corona virus,
I put my card in to pay then asked her how many times today somebody has been round to wipe the key pad clean,
Looking bewildered she replied that nobody ever wipes the key pad down,
There were 24 tills there plus all the self service tills, imagine for a second how many people would have used those key pads in a single day !
Is it any wonder that this virus is going to spread out of control ?
Quote from: toshes mate on March 14, 2020, 10:38:15 AM
An expression to watch out for in the detail of Covid-19 is the Gompertz Curve. It's used to describe epidemics—it's a very good fit to real-world epidemiological data. The Curve rises very sharply and then climbs increasingly more gently to a maximum figure. Fatalities in both the Chinese and South Korean outbreaks seem to be following the maths behind the Gompertz Curve reasonably well and suggests ball park figures for total deaths as 8100 and 3500 respectively. There can be complicating occurrences in any epidemic which then complicates the maths behind calculating maximum figures but the Gompertz Curve has, in the past, been a reliable predictive tool.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 14, 2020, 05:30:23 PMIt is actually the virus's effectiveness that follows the curve in any given situation by responding to ease of transmission between potential hosts. Isolation has always been the main means of stopping the spread of any infectious disease among human beings and the real issue with Covid-19 is 'how do you know you've got it or had and survived it' without testing when the symptoms are either not present or are very mild? The current evidence is that countries with efficient testing regimes will have better control than those without, and that self isolation will work unless you are already infected but unable to fight off the infection without medical care which may prove insufficient anyway. All influenza outbreaks work on this same premise and death rates are usually much larger than we may know and believe but are seldom reported in the media (certainly not as headline sensational material that Coronavirus has received).
Basically, [Gompertz Curve] means that the UK will continue to loss more and more people every day until it reaches an inflection point. According to the study, Wuhan reached that infection point on the 9th of February which is 17 days after the lockdown. In other words, it took the people of Wuhan 17 days after lockdown to start following the rules set out by the government. Who long will it take the British people to follow all the government rules? I don't know, as a comparison, I'm sure China could have done Brexit in less than 17 days and maybe less than an hour.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 15, 2020, 09:20:23 AMQuote from: The Rational Fan on March 14, 2020, 05:30:23 PMIt is actually the virus's effectiveness that follows the curve in any given situation by responding to ease of transmission between potential hosts. Isolation has always been the main means of stopping the spread of any infectious disease among human beings and the real issue with Covid-19 is 'how do you know you've got it or had and survived it' without testing when the symptoms are either not present or are very mild? The current evidence is that countries with efficient testing regimes will have better control than those without, and that self isolation will work unless you are already infected but unable to fight off the infection without medical care which may prove insufficient anyway. All influenza outbreaks work on this same premise and death rates are usually much larger than we may know and believe but are seldom reported in the media (certainly not as headline sensational material that Coronavirus has received).
Basically, [Gompertz Curve] means that the UK will continue to loss more and more people every day until it reaches an inflection point. According to the study, Wuhan reached that infection point on the 9th of February which is 17 days after the lockdown. In other words, it took the people of Wuhan 17 days after lockdown to start following the rules set out by the government. Who long will it take the British people to follow all the government rules? I don't know, as a comparison, I'm sure China could have done Brexit in less than 17 days and maybe less than an hour.
In my view the situation is not helped by over sensationalism and hype generated largely because this virus has truly crossed all the class boundaries and has no vaccine and no known treatment. That is why IMO it has been sensationalised and that suggests to me we have very few strong leaders where we need them. We reap what we sow.
Quote from: Holders on March 15, 2020, 11:28:39 AMIt has certainly become an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership, and there are examples of this. Not least the example of those who have rigorously followed a realisitic self isolation period of at least fourteen days (if they have felt unwell with a high temperature, etc or have returned from a high risk environment which almost any long distance travel is). It would be nice to believe they would also be able to be tested negative at the end of the isolation period too as a kind of reward for bothering to care. In my books comprehensive testing should be high on the agenda as a first measure and then self isolation and further testing when positive results occur. I think the first measures taken in many countries have been inadequate and ill thought through and that has led to after thoughts rather than first thoughts. The reasoning behind these failures will almost entirely be down to poor priorities.
This is an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership. There are examples of this.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 15, 2020, 01:28:42 PMQuote from: Holders on March 15, 2020, 11:28:39 AMIt has certainly become an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership, and there are examples of this. Not least the example of those who have rigorously followed a realisitic self isolation period of at least fourteen days (if they have felt unwell with a high temperature, etc or have returned from a high risk environment which almost any long distance travel is). It would be nice to believe they would also be able to be tested negative at the end of the isolation period too as a kind of reward for bothering to care. In my books comprehensive testing should be high on the agenda as a first measure and then self isolation and further testing when positive results occur. I think the first measures taken in many countries have been inadequate and ill thought through and that has led to after thoughts rather than first thoughts. The reasoning behind these failures will almost entirely be down to poor priorities.
This is an exceptional situation demanding exceptional, clear-headed leadership. There are examples of this.
Quote from: Motspur Park on March 15, 2020, 04:43:06 PMYou make it sound intuitive when in fact the Government's outline proposition runs counter to intelligent thinking - whatever age you are if you haven't got the virus then you are no danger to anyone with the reverse also being absolutely true. Schools have been long recognised (and statistically proven) as a major assembly point for rapid spread of infections. Elderly people with underlying health issues tend to get ill quickly and die from infections based around influenza as they grow older which is why they are offered free jabs for 'flu, pneumonia and shingles. It is what was called 'preventative medicine' at the advent of the NHS and has been effective in stifling many troubling illnesses in my lifetime. Testing for Covid-19 is a part of preventative care and should be available to us all on demand once we have gone through a self isolation period in concert with NHS telephone or on-line support.
I think you may misunderstand the reasoning why Ray. In more elderly people their immune systems do not function as efficiently as younger people so when an elderly person is infected it more likely to lead to being hospitalised and placing a system under siege under even more pressure. It is not oppression against the elderly but more a suppressive action to slow down the rate of infection.
Quote from: Baszab on March 15, 2020, 07:30:00 PMMy son is seriously at risk. He has nearly died twice over the past four years of pneumonia. I am not commuting any more.
so...are we supposed to go to work tomorrow morning as usual ?
on the tube ?!!
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 08:45:31 PM
In Italy the number dead has shot up.from 370 to 1800 in 24 hours (is that right ?... If so that is very disturbing, don't know if the DM has messed up.figures, of not its awful...)
Quote from: Tabby on March 15, 2020, 09:00:12 PMQuote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 08:45:31 PM
In Italy the number dead has shot up.from 370 to 1800 in 24 hours (is that right ?... If so that is very disturbing, don't know if the DM has messed up.figures, of not its awful...)
About 370 dead in the last 24 hours, bringing the total to 1800.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-toll/italy-coronavirus-deaths-rise-25-to-1809-idUSKBN212113 (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-toll/italy-coronavirus-deaths-rise-25-to-1809-idUSKBN212113)
Quote from: love4ffc on March 15, 2020, 09:45:35 PM
Just getting back from Telluride, Colorado ski resort. The governor of Colorado last night declared that all ski resorts within the state of Colorado to be closed immediately.
So, as we were leaving the airport to fly back home, a lot of people were arriving to find out that the ski resort was closed and that their holiday planning had been undone. Let's just say I was glad I was leaving and not one of the poor airlines, hotel or car rental employees who had to deal with all the mad and upset travelers that were hoping to go skiing.
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 01:25:52 AM
Spain is pretty much going on full lockdown now... And the Spanish Prime Ministers wife has tested positive.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8112691/Drunk-British-holidaymakers-clash-police-armed-batons-Benidorm.html
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 15, 2020, 08:45:31 PM
An ex.policeman, aged 59, was one of those who died in the UK today, the youngest UK victim so far
This over 70 thing is possibly because most of those people are retired (with a few exceptions) and they want to keep.the general.work.force out there doing their thing a bit longer before they do have to.restrict further.
I think other countries have reported a significant number of people in their 50s passing away from it (usually with underlying conditions such as diabetes, heart issues, etc.
Quote from: I Ronic on March 16, 2020, 01:29:44 PM
Coronavirus isn't just going to disappear. Surely when we all venture back onto the streets the whole thing will kick off again? Or am I missing something?
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 02:50:31 PMbut Italy is now doing what We are doing and what China never did, they are no longer testing people at home, so of course the numbers will go down. Doesn't mean the infection rate has thoughQuote from: I Ronic on March 16, 2020, 01:29:44 PM
Coronavirus isn't just going to disappear. Surely when we all venture back onto the streets the whole thing will kick off again? Or am I missing something?
The percentage by which the number of cases goes up day-on-day in Italy is already decreasing. These controls seem to be working just as they did in China. If it takes a two-month total lockdown to control the virus in the UK, then in 6 months we have to do it all over again, so what?
Quote from: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 04:03:38 PMIt's absolutely true that the absence of comprehensive testing means that the statistics are largely whimsical although many scientists/medics/professionals in the business of working with figures will claim that small scale data are much better than nothing. The crux of that claim will always be 'but how much better than nothing?' In an epidemic you need to have a big picture and we don't seem to have one.Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 02:50:31 PMbut Italy is now doing what We are doing and what China never did, they are no longer testing people at home, so of course the numbers will go down. Doesn't mean the infection rate has thoughQuote from: I Ronic on March 16, 2020, 01:29:44 PM
Coronavirus isn't just going to disappear. Surely when we all venture back onto the streets the whole thing will kick off again? Or am I missing something?
The percentage by which the number of cases goes up day-on-day in Italy is already decreasing. These controls seem to be working just as they did in China. If it takes a two-month total lockdown to control the virus in the UK, then in 6 months we have to do it all over again, so what?
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 16, 2020, 04:45:40 PMtest test test and then do what you were told to do even if you hadn't been tested. Makes little sense to me.
Just been watching today's WHO press conference, and theai guy said that the One Thing that he wants the Government's of the World to take from today was to "Test, Test, Test !!!" Otherwise it is " like fighting a fire blindfolded ".
UK government continues not to test.
Boris is up in a minute with the first of his daily updates.
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 05:24:14 PMand by the time they all got home they could have picked it up from somewhere.
They tested 5,000 people on Saturday
Quote from: RaySmith on March 16, 2020, 05:28:40 PMso how often do we test, every hour, day, week, once a year? If it's not at least daily on every person then it's kinda of pointless as you could have infected dozens in a day depending on your daily routine.
As said, not testing means that essential NHS and care staff are self isolating for weeks or months,, when they may only have a cold or flu, thus their services are lost when most needed.
Also, people self isolating en-masse, when they may not have it, or just because they are in a certain age group but are perfectly fit, causes unnecessary alienation, distress and panic, not to mention the effects on the economy - causing even greater distress and problems in the future.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 16, 2020, 05:38:53 PM27 days is the highest recorded incubation period at the moment. Which is scary stuff. But yes we need a test to find out who's had it, not who does or doesn't currently have it. As like I say you could contract it one minute after taking your test.
There was a little half truth or deception about testing in the PM's broadcast. The current test is for presence of the virus which will also indicate positive for someone who has no symptoms. Currently the UK is testing people with symptoms and then finding the symptoms are not because of Covid-19, which is not the same as testing people who don't have symptoms but find they are indeed infected and therefore infectious to others.
Likewise there is a very important test currently being devised or designed to identify the question of immunity post infection but no indication of when it may be available. The whole argument about comprehensive testing is to identify people who are carriers of the virus regardless of how healthy they may feel, because they are the ones likely infecting others.
As fulhamben and RaySmith suggest the Government are not exactly making sense when that is what is needed.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 16, 2020, 06:32:18 PMexactly that. Bbc got 200 scientist to sign a petition against government strategy, and not one of them was a virologist.
So many 'experts', so much noise, so little knowledge.
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PMSensible advice? To mix with others in enclosed spaces, what about the bar staff probably on zero hours contracts too frightened not to go to work .
"what sort of advice is that"
Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Quote from: f321ffc on March 16, 2020, 06:47:15 PMdont forget supermarket staff too. They are mixing with far more people than bar staff would.Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PMSensible advice? To mix with others in enclosed spaces, what about the bar staff probably on zero hours contracts too frightened not to go to work .
"what sort of advice is that"
Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 16, 2020, 06:49:08 PMVery true, in Spain the numbers allowed into supermarkets are restricted so as to keep customers distant from staff, and in pharmacies one customer at a time and must keep 2 metres away from staff.Quote from: f321ffc on March 16, 2020, 06:47:15 PMdont forget supermarket staff too. They are mixing with far more people than bar staff would.Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PMSensible advice? To mix with others in enclosed spaces, what about the bar staff probably on zero hours contracts too frightened not to go to work .
"what sort of advice is that"
Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"
Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 16, 2020, 08:43:34 PM
Boat Race gone😵
Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 08:22:51 PMQuote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"
Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Agreed
The way I interpret it, today I was advised that if I carry on going to the office, pubs etc, I risk getting infected with a disease that could kill me and/or passing it on to many others who could also be killed
So I'm not going to the office, pubs etc. anymore.
Simple.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 17, 2020, 06:39:56 AMwuhan style? Now I'm going to be quite kind here as the vast majority wouldn't have seen some of the things that actually happened in Wuhan, but that is not plan that we want to emulate.Quote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 08:22:51 PMQuote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"
Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Agreed
The way I interpret it, today I was advised that if I carry on going to the office, pubs etc, I risk getting infected with a disease that could kill me and/or passing it on to many others who could also be killed
So I'm not going to the office, pubs etc. anymore.
Simple.
The problem is this disease is spreading exponential, which means the time it takes to increase the worldwide deaths from 1 per day to 1,000 per day (taking about 3 months) is the same time it takes to increase from 1,000 per day to 1,000,000 per day (say another 3 months). We cannot let 1,000,000 people per day die by late June, the other truth their is little point banning pubs and not banning non-essential work outside the house. Total lockdown is the only solution, Wuhan style not Milan style.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on March 17, 2020, 06:39:56 AMQuote from: Statto on March 16, 2020, 08:22:51 PMQuote from: Oakeshott on March 16, 2020, 06:20:39 PM
"what sort of advice is that"
Sensible advice which allows for sensible responses. So much more mature and respectful of individuals than what we are seeing in most other countries.
Agreed
The way I interpret it, today I was advised that if I carry on going to the office, pubs etc, I risk getting infected with a disease that could kill me and/or passing it on to many others who could also be killed
So I'm not going to the office, pubs etc. anymore.
Simple.
The problem is this disease is spreading exponential, which means the time it takes to increase the worldwide deaths from 1 per day to 1,000 per day (taking about 3 months) is the same time it takes to increase from 1,000 per day to 1,000,000 per day (say another 3 months). We cannot let 1,000,000 people per day die by late June, the other truth their is little point banning pubs and not banning non-essential work outside the house. Total lockdown is the only solution, Wuhan style not Milan style.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).
And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).
Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.
Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.
Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:31:35 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).
And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).
Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.
Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.
Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!
Best you leave then mate .
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:37:11 PMQuote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:31:35 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).
And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).
Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.
Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.
Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!
Best you leave then mate .
Or best we start questioning and demanding more from those we pay (we pay them remember) to look after us? Maybe that? Rather than a ridiculous nationalistic nonsense 'best you leave mate'. If you ave an elderly relative die because this government assumed it knew better than just about every country/scientist in the world and did the exact opposite, only to then realise that actually they were right, will you then be angry at them? Or still back them and 'they must know best', good old tories, etc?
Honest question.
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:37:11 PMQuote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:31:35 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:20:03 PM
No mention of the U-turn the government has done from last weeks policy of, basically, 'your nan is gonna die lol'? It's now come out that that would have caused approx. 250k unnecessary deaths but will now only result in 10s of thousands (they let it run all weekend).
And to think, people that pulled them up on it were jumped on by the boot lickers on the press (and socials). Why are we such a subservient nation? It's the reason we still abide a monarchy (a monarchy! In 2020! people better than you because their great, great, great grandfather killed some folks and held more land than you...).
Take France for example. The government has going to raise the pension age by two years to 62 (still waaaaay lower than ours). Riots on the streets last year, things burned all sorts, its now reversed. Our pension age continually raised (and weakened) - nothing.
Boris throwing small businesses (and the entire arts industry) under a bus yesterday, nothing. Apart from him trying to support his mates in insurance above everyone else. France; bit of kick off, Macron has halted utility payments, rent/mortgage payments for those affected, pledged billions to support struggling businesses.
Embarrasing. A nation of serfs. The Victorian attitude lives on!
Best you leave then mate .
Or best we start questioning and demanding more from those we pay (we pay them remember) to look after us? Maybe that? Rather than a ridiculous nationalistic nonsense 'best you leave mate'. If you ave an elderly relative die because this government assumed it knew better than just about every country/scientist in the world and did the exact opposite, only to then realise that actually they were right, will you then be angry at them? Or still back them and 'they must know best', good old tories, etc?
Honest question.
What is nationalistic about that.?
Damned if they do ,damned if they dont.
My work has disappeared i am self employed and work in exhibition freight worldwide.
But not blaming anyone .
Would your mate Corbyn have done better?
Get over it mate you lost.
Quote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PMQuote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.
Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:05:20 PMits what happens when a large amount of people can not accept results of ref and ge's. hell there's a few demanding that corbyn 😂 be installed as an emergency pm to get us through this pandemic.Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PMQuote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.
Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?
Apparently so. And it's seemingly quite widespread. Politics reduced to tribal football type following. Worrying times. More worrying than Covid-19 if I'm honest.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:05:20 PMQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PMQuote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.
Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?
Apparently so. And it's seemingly quite widespread. Politics reduced to tribal football type following. Worrying times. More worrying than Covid-19 if I'm honest.
Quote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:58:16 PMQuote from: ffcne on March 17, 2020, 02:43:31 PM
Get over it mate you lost.
Have people's minds been so poisoned by Brexit that you're not allowed to criticise government anymore?
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMand yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hatsQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM
Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.
I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMand yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hatsQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PMand you know we could have lowered most things whilst still being in the Eu and never did rightQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMand yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hatsQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:25:56 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PMand you know we could have lowered most things whilst still being in the Eu and never did rightQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMand yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hatsQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:33:16 PMala sad dam and co? Not a great example considering it was a labour government who took us in illegally to over throw him 😂Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:25:56 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PMand you know we could have lowered most things whilst still being in the Eu and never did rightQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMand yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hatsQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
'most' being the key word here.
Look, let's agree to disagree? You think the current Tory party are great, Get Brexit Done, Boris will look after us, etc. I think that, given NATO stepped in and called their treatment of disabled people a 'human rights violation' just a couple of years ago, they are possibly the worse and most wilfully evil government in history and that, if they had been in the middle east, we would probably be invading to stage an intervention and save them from themselves (a la Sadaam and co). #
So it's fair to say you and I won't agree any time soon, so let's stick to our common interest Fulham (mind you I think we fell out over Rodak too, so... haha).
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:45:14 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:33:16 PMala sad dam and co? Not a great example considering it was a labour government who took us in illegally to over throw him 😂Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:25:56 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:22:05 PMand you know we could have lowered most things whilst still being in the Eu and never did rightQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:17:18 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMand yet we didn't lower any even when we could, let's hope you can still get enough tin foil to keep making your hatsQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
You know we haven't actually left the EU yet, right?
'most' being the key word here.
Look, let's agree to disagree? You think the current Tory party are great, Get Brexit Done, Boris will look after us, etc. I think that, given NATO stepped in and called their treatment of disabled people a 'human rights violation' just a couple of years ago, they are possibly the worse and most wilfully evil government in history and that, if they had been in the middle east, we would probably be invading to stage an intervention and save them from themselves (a la Sadaam and co). #
So it's fair to say you and I won't agree any time soon, so let's stick to our common interest Fulham (mind you I think we fell out over Rodak too, so... haha).
Quote from: Oakeshott on March 17, 2020, 04:21:33 PM
we are trading with the EU on the same basis as when we were members
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:24:04 PMQuote from: Oakeshott on March 17, 2020, 04:21:33 PM
we are trading with the EU on the same basis as when we were members
Just amended that for you to highlight the point relevant to the discussion we were having. All rules and regulations are, at present, exactly the same.
Quote from: snarks on March 17, 2020, 04:43:09 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:24:04 PMQuote from: Oakeshott on March 17, 2020, 04:21:33 PM
we are trading with the EU on the same basis as when we were members
Just amended that for you to highlight the point relevant to the discussion we were having. All rules and regulations are, at present, exactly the same.
True and this thread will be locked soon, this government has already said it will diverge from Europe in regard to the Human Rights Act, reduce worker protections etc as soon as they can do which is 31 December 2020
Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:49:06 PM
Which would be a shame as no one is being outright rude to anyone, merely exchanging viewpoints. But yes, they have, you're right. People seem to have selective vision though as to what they see and miss (or, being less courteous, 'don't do politics' so just take what they see in the Sun/Mail/Torygraph as gospel).
A real shame.
Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in power
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM
Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.
I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on March 17, 2020, 05:05:00 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:49:06 PM
Which would be a shame as no one is being outright rude to anyone, merely exchanging viewpoints. But yes, they have, you're right. People seem to have selective vision though as to what they see and miss (or, being less courteous, 'don't do politics' so just take what they see in the Sun/Mail/Torygraph as gospel).
A real shame.Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in powerQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM
Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.
I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.
:doh:
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PMsaid party didn't go against all advice, in fact it was quite the opposite.Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread
I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.
It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.
I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.
But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:07:39 PMQuote from: MikeTheCubed on March 17, 2020, 05:05:00 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 04:49:06 PM
Which would be a shame as no one is being outright rude to anyone, merely exchanging viewpoints. But yes, they have, you're right. People seem to have selective vision though as to what they see and miss (or, being less courteous, 'don't do politics' so just take what they see in the Sun/Mail/Torygraph as gospel).
A real shame.Quote from: fulhamross on March 17, 2020, 03:11:08 PM
Corbyn getting blamed by brexit supporting twats for COVID 19 and hes not even in powerQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:14:25 PM
Yep. Honestly, you couldn't make it up. A nation of idiots. Supporting the very people booting them in the ribs and attacking (as ordered/coordinated by years of press nonsense) those who want to help change their situation for the better.
I'd laugh it wasn't all so tragic.
:doh:
Pray tell, who those were being directly rude to? *facepalm*
My own comment 'a nation of idiots' would include myself, no? Being born not far from the cottage. So, with generalising like that, anyone choosing to take that as a slur upon themselves is doing exactly that. Choosing to make it about themselves.
Good day x
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:10:37 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PMsaid party didn't go against all advice, in fact it was quite the opposite.Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread
I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.
It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.
I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.
But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:21:51 PMas you know we were at different stages. But yes big mistakes were made. As soon as the virus was known about we should have shut our borders to all foreign nationals and quarantined every British National returning home. Hopefully legislation will be put in place to prevent another outcome like this in the future. Although I doubt it as we are still letting flights in from mainland Europe, which is just crazyQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:10:37 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PMsaid party didn't go against all advice, in fact it was quite the opposite.Quote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread
I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.
It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.
I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.
But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me.
Oh dear god. Where have you been? We're not talking about Dominic Cummins and Patrick Vallance. The World Health Organisation, several medical councils, just about every other 'Expert' in every other country, told them it was wrong and pleaded with them to change. How have you not seen any of that? They choose to listen to the ones that wanted/briefed. The plan that caused least harm (short term at least, they've messed themselves up now!) to the economy at the expense of human life.
And guess what? As of yesterday, turns out all those other experts/countries were right. They won. Get over it etc.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:48:15 PM
Apparently all European leagues have committed to finishing their leagues by June 30th. Which as we all know means very little at the moment. But the calendar has been extended by a month
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 17, 2020, 06:19:26 PMpersonally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 05:48:15 PM
Apparently all European leagues have committed to finishing their leagues by June 30th. Which as we all know means very little at the moment. But the calendar has been extended by a month
Think they clutching at straws.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
Quote from: Statto on March 17, 2020, 06:46:17 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
Seems like a very long-winded way of saying the answer to ben's question is 'no' 086.gif
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 07:02:16 PMbut again, we could have easily lowered all our standards to Eu recommendations should we have choose too. But guess what we didn't. Didn't even try. But we will be raising our standards when we leave, especially in animal welfare where we have committed to the end of transportation of livestock. Something the Eu strangely forbids us from doing. But then they still allow barbaric sports like bull fighting tooQuote from: Statto on March 17, 2020, 06:46:17 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
Seems like a very long-winded way of saying the answer to ben's question is 'no' 086.gif
They can't as they still bound by EU law until we 'leave'. This has been covered already here, chap!
Quote from: SP on March 17, 2020, 08:12:30 PMyes it's been on the news all day although they called it a weekend service
Overheard a couple of TfL guys chatting on the train tonight & they claim the trains will shortly revert to a Sunday service & parts of the tube will be cancelled for a couple of weeks.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 05:01:15 PMQuote from: john dempsey on March 17, 2020, 04:54:14 PM
the virus makes no distinction to any ones political beliefs
so better off leaving politics out of what has been a very
sobering thread
I merely made mention of the very sobering complete miscue made by the government last week. As that is, in the grand scheme of things, with all the potential ramifications of getting it wrong, very big news. The biggest news relating to this threads title.
It wasn't supposed to be a political debate. I would have said the same regardless of the party in charge (as its really not a 'winning/losing' 'football tribe' type thing) if said party in charge went against all advice, against what every other country on earth was doing, as they arrogantly thought they knew better, then 3 days later said 'sorry folks, we got it wrong, so loads more people are going to die because of our ridiculous decisions'. Wouldn't matter if it was Tory, Labour, Lib Dem, Green, whatever, this is a human issue not a political one.
I don't know about you, but I'm quite fond of my elderly relatives so silliness and/or wilful negligence on this kinda matters to me. For people not to them pull up those responsible genuinely shocks me.
But, alas, I will move on and not post again unless someone quotes/has a pop at me.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 18, 2020, 08:13:56 AMthere can be quite a few side effects with chloroquine so anyone thinking of getting some should do their homework first
This is all good.
Interesting video (Youtube) by Dr Roger Seheult (MedCram) about chloroquine and how it allows zinc to protect cells from viral attacks including Covid-19. This seventeen minute video covers the whole process and discusses papers written in South Korea and China documenting testing processes used there since early February to treat patients. He keeps the subject interesting, simple and clear.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M)
Quote from: fulhamben on March 18, 2020, 08:18:04 AMIt's prescription only but safe to be used (as explained in the video) for 5-7 days. Testing in France for shorter periods has reduced infection time to seven days or less.Quote from: toshes mate on March 18, 2020, 08:13:56 AMthere can be quite a few side effects with chloroquine so anyone thinking of getting some should do their homework first
This is all good.
Interesting video (Youtube) by Dr Roger Seheult (MedCram) about chloroquine and how it allows zinc to protect cells from viral attacks including Covid-19. This seventeen minute video covers the whole process and discusses papers written in South Korea and China documenting testing processes used there since early February to treat patients. He keeps the subject interesting, simple and clear.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7F1cnWup9M)
Quote from: Holders on March 18, 2020, 10:06:53 AM
Here, it's loo rolls and soap that you can't get but in Germany they're hamstering sausages and cheese. That's the Würst-Käse scenario.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 07:02:16 PMQuote from: Statto on March 17, 2020, 06:46:17 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 03:11:00 PMQuote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 03:06:45 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on March 17, 2020, 02:59:23 PMless rights, can you name one that has changed. Pretty sure we are above the Eu recommendation on every single oneQuote from: Tabby on March 17, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
There are a lot of people who can't deal with losing two weeks of wages for quarantine due to rent, food and utilities. Any attempt at getting people to self-quarantine under those circumstances is ridiculous.
There needs to be either a freeze in payment of rent and utilities or a financial support for those that need it.
100%. A huge amount of people live month to month, overdraft, whatever. Especially with the current push (again from a certain political party but I'll leave it) toward zero hour contracts, less rights, etc. That financial support is being given around Europe, most other countries, our government has done the opposite (and still people - even here - are defending them! Beggars belief!).
You've not be following have you? Less rights is literally the reason Brexit was put forward. The EU intervened to stop certain rights being lessened (do some Googling, find out for yourself) hence the referendum. Wait until Brexit actually happens and you willsee us far far below the rights you have become used to.
Seems like a very long-winded way of saying the answer to ben's question is 'no' 086.gif
They can't as they still bound by EU law until we 'leave'. This has been covered already here, chap!
Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PMIndeed. Terribly disappointing news - a further 475 deaths in the last 24 hours and after 9 nine days of a severe lockdown. All this in a country with twice as many intensive care beds, twice as many doctors and 50 more hospital beds per 100,000 of population.
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Quote from: Neil D on March 18, 2020, 05:56:08 PMNumbers in Italy as a percentage of existing cases are way down this week. 13% day on day increase today. A few days ago it was around 18-19% and a few days before that it was 20-25%. Positive signs.Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PMIndeed. Terribly disappointing news - a further 475 deaths in the last 24 hours and after 9 nine days of a severe lockdown. All this in a country with twice as many intensive care beds, twice as many doctors and 50 more hospital beds per 100,000 of population.
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Quote from: Statto on March 18, 2020, 06:12:43 PMis percentage best way to judge it, because the percentage has gone down but actual numbers have gone up by way over 4000.Quote from: Neil D on March 18, 2020, 05:56:08 PMNumbers in Italy as a percentage of existing cases are way down this week. 13% day on day increase today. A few days ago it was around 18-19% and a few days before that it was 20-25%. Positive signs.Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PMIndeed. Terribly disappointing news - a further 475 deaths in the last 24 hours and after 9 nine days of a severe lockdown. All this in a country with twice as many intensive care beds, twice as many doctors and 50 more hospital beds per 100,000 of population.
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Quote from: Statto on March 18, 2020, 06:12:43 PMThe number of fatalities is not encouraging though, especially as they have been taking more stringent measures than the UK, no wonder the value of the pound is crashing! Not sure what the positive signs are that you are referring to? Statistics are only a guide they don´t mean anything unless everybody is tested, sample analysis is not conclusive just a guide, but then you know that.Quote from: Neil D on March 18, 2020, 05:56:08 PMNumbers in Italy as a percentage of existing cases are way down this week. 13% day on day increase today. A few days ago it was around 18-19% and a few days before that it was 20-25%. Positive signs.Quote from: fulhamben on March 17, 2020, 06:25:48 PMIndeed. Terribly disappointing news - a further 475 deaths in the last 24 hours and after 9 nine days of a severe lockdown. All this in a country with twice as many intensive care beds, twice as many doctors and 50 more hospital beds per 100,000 of population.
personally I do especially when you look at Italy, think they've just posted their highest numbers for most new confirmed cases in a day.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PMTotally agree, please let me know the name of your supermarket, because it is worse than that in our main local supermarket i.e. Tesco. Already posted another thread about self isolation, which I have now breached because the next available online shopping delivery date is about 3 weeks away, so (on my own and I hate shopping) I visited Tesco´s and could not believe how many shelves were empty! It would have been better to make a list of things we didn´t need! Absolutely disgusting the way the public are behaving, next went to Lidl´s and I loved their slogans "when it is gone, it´s gone"! Shame they don´t sell Gordons and but they have now run out of Sauvignon Blanc! Close all the shops and supermarkets and bring back food rationing, something I didn´t experience in World War 2, but born shortly afterwards!
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PM
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 18, 2020, 08:17:46 PMGood question which I can´t answer, I was searching for a stiff drink!Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PM
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness
Was there any Viagra left.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 18, 2020, 06:58:49 PM
Went to local Supermarket at 1pm.
Shelves stripped of bog roll,tea bags,sugar,cereals,porridge,tinned soup,tinned beans,long life milk.....Utter madness
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 19, 2020, 07:07:53 AMwell let's hope none of them are ones that drs nurses police fireman and teachers rely on
40 Underground Stations in London closed
from this morning.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AMThere has been no new cases of infection in Wuhan so don't know what you mean. And there is no evidence that it is seasonal
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case.
Quote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 08:35:56 AMPeak rate mean no more infections (read up about epidemiological curves please).Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AMThere has been no new cases of infection in Wuhan so don't know what you mean. And there is no evidence that it is seasonal
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:48:20 AMQuote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 08:35:56 AMPeak rate mean no more infections (read up about epidemiological curves please).Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AMThere has been no new cases of infection in Wuhan so don't know what you mean. And there is no evidence that it is seasonal
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:48:20 AMAre you for real? No only patronising but wrong you should do your homework before making a fool of yourself. That would only be true if everybody got sick at the same time as in food poisoningQuote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 08:35:56 AMPeak rate mean no more infections (read up about epidemiological curves please).Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 08:00:52 AMThere has been no new cases of infection in Wuhan so don't know what you mean. And there is no evidence that it is seasonal
I seems Wuhan has reached or is close to reaching its peak rate of infection roughly three months from first confirmed case.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 09:50:38 AMdeluded
You started the patronage, Ged. Get over yourself.
Quote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 10:44:07 AM"All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusion is called a philosopher." ― Ambrose BierceQuote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 09:50:38 AMdeluded
You started the patronage, Ged. Get over yourself.
/dɪˈluːdɪd/
adjective
believing something that is not true.
"the poor deluded creature"
Quote from: john dempsey on March 19, 2020, 09:44:19 AM
saying they are bringing retired doctors back into service
if yours is called DR. Harold Shipman head for the hills....
Quote from: john dempsey on March 19, 2020, 01:12:00 PM
didn't know he was brown bread
at last a bit of good news. many thanks.
Quote from: Steeeeeeeeeed on March 19, 2020, 11:17:06 AM
Thank God Mr Arteta got ill last week (and subsequently recovered) otherwise I think we would have been looking at huge numbers by now.
Not trying to be flippant, but it took that "famous name" to make the football stop itself, while the government were doing nothing, and that led to the domino effect of other large gatherings stopping over the next few days, until now we are at the nearly t the point where we should have been at least 10 days ago.
Been good to see the stronger measures on transport and schools, but hoping that they go further... I really think the Tube should be closed down except for esseential workers to use.
Once you get more than 10.people in a train car you are pretty much pushing the 'keep your distance' rules.
At least with buses they have natural ventilation .
Quote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 12:27:10 PMfair enoughQuote from: Ged on March 19, 2020, 10:44:07 AM"All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusion is called a philosopher." ― Ambrose BierceQuote from: toshes mate on March 19, 2020, 09:50:38 AMdeluded
You started the patronage, Ged. Get over yourself.
/dɪˈluːdɪd/
adjective
believing something that is not true.
"the poor deluded creature"
And so, Ged, name calling, animosity and denial get none of us anywhere, on that I hope we agree. I apologise if I have upset you.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 07:31:54 AM? Who day 1 advice was don't worry as it doesn't transmit from human to human.
Meanwhile many 'experts' around the world continue to change their perspectives on an almost daily basis as more information becomes available and different pressure points attract their local attention influencing public announcements and prognostications.
The key expert advice from the WHO remains exactly the same for coronavirus as it was on day one - test, test, test and understand this virus so that you can deal with it. The countries that have followed this advice are doing notably better than those who didn't and Sandra, bless her heart, may have noticed this.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 20, 2020, 09:34:38 AMFor argument sake day one is the actual human outbreak (infection by person to person) date which even now is in heavy dispute because no one can be clear about what actually happened in China between roughly September/October 2019 and December 2019 when the virus was identified and confirmed in China. Conspiracy theories abound.Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 07:31:54 AM? Who day 1 advice was don't worry as it doesn't transmit from human to human.
Meanwhile many 'experts' around the world continue to change their perspectives on an almost daily basis as more information becomes available and different pressure points attract their local attention influencing public announcements and prognostications.
The key expert advice from the WHO remains exactly the same for coronavirus as it was on day one - test, test, test and understand this virus so that you can deal with it. The countries that have followed this advice are doing notably better than those who didn't and Sandra, bless her heart, may have noticed this.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AM
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
Quote from: Black and White Town on March 20, 2020, 11:46:53 AMwell said
Look after yourselves, and each other.
Check on vulnerable neighbours and relatives.
Above all, keep stringent physical distance. Avoid groups.
The best thing everyone can do right now is disrupt the infection pathways to buy enough time to allow the NHS to cope with the massive influx of critical patients who are coming.
Stay safe.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AMFirst case reported 17th November 2019 !
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
Quote from: Dr Know on March 20, 2020, 03:01:46 PMQuote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AMFirst case reported 17th November 2019 !
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
Quote from: Logicalman on March 20, 2020, 03:38:41 PMFrom the WHO website:Quote from: Dr Know on March 20, 2020, 03:01:46 PMQuote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AMFirst case reported 17th November 2019 !
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
Where was that? Source please (genuine interest)
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 20, 2020, 03:57:47 PMFrom WikiQuote from: Logicalman on March 20, 2020, 03:38:41 PMFrom the WHO website:Quote from: Dr Know on March 20, 2020, 03:01:46 PMQuote from: toshes mate on March 20, 2020, 10:30:30 AMFirst case reported 17th November 2019 !
It was actually identified and confirmed as COVID-19 on 7/1/2020 by China
Where was that? Source please (genuine interest)
• A pneumonia of unknown cause detected in Wuhan, China was first reported to the WHO Country Office in China on 31 December 2019.
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/events-as-they-happen
Quote from: Milo on March 20, 2020, 06:48:44 PMOf course it does and to me also, but I am not sure that changing things every few days has a significant effect? Obviously supermarkets and other food shops and pharmacies need to remain open, not trying to be argumentative, but now most children are at home they can go shopping with their parent(s), so more people in the shops during the week than before, increases the risk doesn´t it? By the way I don´t know the answer either! Annoyed me today that I could only buy 3 bottles of wine from Tesco, people must have had some prewarning that pubs were going to shut, not sure if you are allowed 3 items of each wine or 3 bottles in total. I only bought 2 litre bottles of gin though!
I think he made it clear that lockdown too early and you risk people getting fatigue and breaking the rules after a few weeks. Have to push the button at the right time. Sounds sensible to me.
Quote from: Milo on March 20, 2020, 07:53:24 PMLOL, first time I have smiled for a few days!! Thanks, by the way just to correct 3 bottles is not enough for any night!
Dave you bring up an important point. 3 bottles of wine is not enough for a Friday night and Boris should be doing more to solve these problems. Jokanovic would find a solution!
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 20, 2020, 09:25:20 PMPresumably Woolly you live in the London area? It is just the beginning and my prediction is that we will have results as bad if not worse than Italy, they reacted quickly and it has got out of hand, we didn´t turn up until the second half (sounds like FFC) so logically we will not see better results, very sad!!
My wife is a Pharmacist Technician at our local hospital, and I have been fairly laid back about it, but she is on the front line and has convinced me this is no picnic, believe me everyone must take it seriously. Seven people have already died in her hospital in the last week due to this virus, so we all must be vigilant, and this is just the beginning.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 21, 2020, 09:44:46 AM
I have wondered why Italy is such a 'hotspot' and was interested to read this. https://uncoverdc.com/2020/03/20/why-italy/
Quote from: Southcoastffc on March 21, 2020, 09:44:46 AMHmmm. An alternative explanation is that Italy and Japan have the highest proportions of over 65s in the world. That Italian culture involves more physical contact on greeting than northern European ones, for example, and that the physical space between Italians socially tends be shorter. That the weather tends to be better and encourages more outside interaction. 24/100 of Europe's most polluted cities are in Northern Italy. If none of this convinces, you can default to Trump mode and just blame the Chinese like the article in the link.
I have wondered why Italy is such a 'hotspot' and was interested to read this. https://uncoverdc.com/2020/03/20/why-italy/
Quote from: Holders on March 21, 2020, 12:48:39 PM
That's a further powerful case for extensive testing.
Quote from: davew on March 20, 2020, 07:44:40 PMWe are in lockdown in southern Spain and have been for almost a week now. Only one person is allowed in a supermarket at a time to limit the numbers so we take it in turns to go. Similarly we are allowed out to walk our dog but only in the vicinity of our house and again only singly. At least our wine purchases aren't being rationed! In fact nothing is. Everyone is behaving quite sensibly and although stocks are low on some items from time to time they soon get replenished. We can buy plenty of fresh fruit and veg, meat and fish. No problems with pasta or loo rolls either...Quote from: Milo on March 20, 2020, 06:48:44 PMOf course it does and to me also, but I am not sure that changing things every few days has a significant effect? Obviously supermarkets and other food shops and pharmacies need to remain open, not trying to be argumentative, but now most children are at home they can go shopping with their parent(s), so more people in the shops during the week than before, increases the risk doesn´t it? By the way I don´t know the answer either! Annoyed me today that I could only buy 3 bottles of wine from Tesco, people must have had some prewarning that pubs were going to shut, not sure if you are allowed 3 items of each wine or 3 bottles in total. I only bought 2 litre bottles of gin though!
I think he made it clear that lockdown too early and you risk people getting fatigue and breaking the rules after a few weeks. Have to push the button at the right time. Sounds sensible to me.
Quote from: Fulham 442 on March 21, 2020, 01:01:54 PMQuote from: davew on March 20, 2020, 07:44:40 PMWe are in lockdown in southern Spain and have been for almost a week now. Only one person is allowed in a supermarket at a time to limit the numbers so we take it in turns to go. Similarly we are allowed out to walk our dog but only in the vicinity of our house and again only singly. At least our wine purchases aren't being rationed! In fact nothing is. Everyone is behaving quite sensibly and although stocks are low on some items from time to time they soon get replenished. We can buy plenty of fresh fruit and veg, meat and fish. No problems with pasta or loo rolls either...Quote from: Milo on March 20, 2020, 06:48:44 PMOf course it does and to me also, but I am not sure that changing things every few days has a significant effect? Obviously supermarkets and other food shops and pharmacies need to remain open, not trying to be argumentative, but now most children are at home they can go shopping with their parent(s), so more people in the shops during the week than before, increases the risk doesn´t it? By the way I don´t know the answer either! Annoyed me today that I could only buy 3 bottles of wine from Tesco, people must have had some prewarning that pubs were going to shut, not sure if you are allowed 3 items of each wine or 3 bottles in total. I only bought 2 litre bottles of gin though!
I think he made it clear that lockdown too early and you risk people getting fatigue and breaking the rules after a few weeks. Have to push the button at the right time. Sounds sensible to me.
Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PMthebholding out in the summer is so that the nhs isn't fighting corona and influenza at the same time
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer. Is this virus resistant to hot weather? No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 21, 2020, 03:42:03 PMFighting both has probably been happening everywhere since not all causes of death will be clearly identified as covid19 unless it is being looked for and tested for specifically. It has also been suggested that some deaths may have been put down to covid19 when in fact the infection may not have been the main cause. This is primarily happening because the testing and isolation is not comprehensive and the vast majority of infected cases are going under the radar where they can still harmfully infect others even if they are not suffering symptoms themselves.Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PMthebholding out in the summer is so that the nhs isn't fighting corona and influenza at the same time
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer. Is this virus resistant to hot weather? No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PMthat depends, have you asked him to stop delivering all your mail or just junk mail. If it's the latter then yes you are paranoid
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 23, 2020, 03:51:49 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PMthat depends, have you asked him to stop delivering all your mail or just junk mail. If it's the latter then yes you are paranoid
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 04:00:33 PMand that's my point, you believe that junk mail is handled by loads of people yet actual mail isn't. I'm no expert but I'm guessing that junk mail comes straight off the machine and is loaded into packs by machines and then is taken to the post office where sorting staff would allocate it to a postman. (Or woman). Where as id imagine utility bills and the like don't go through such an automated process and would be handled by a human before it gets to the sorting office. Meaning imo that the bills would be handled far more than junk mail.Quote from: fulhamben on March 23, 2020, 03:51:49 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PMthat depends, have you asked him to stop delivering all your mail or just junk mail. If it's the latter then yes you are paranoid
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?
Its lots of junk we get all the time,only other mail is bills,like gas today.
All that junk mail is being handled by how many before postie...lol
Just a thought that it could be being passed on that say...Yes the wife believes I'm being paranoid.. lol
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 05:20:51 PMwas saying this yesterday. McDonald's should have shut there and then if prime concern was staff. Today was all about selling stock and putting staff more at risk
Hundreds of people queuing round the blocks at McDonald's before they close today....Get a life😵
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 23, 2020, 03:44:02 PM
Told postman to stop putting junk mail through letterbox...If one postie is a carrier and sticking them through everyone's doors.
Or am I being paranoid?
Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer. Is this virus resistant to hot weather? No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.
Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PMIs that said in bad taste m8? Maybe it is about supply and demand, the demand is reducing so keep on stockpiling if you are 1 of the selfish doing this in the UK, if you aren´t then I will apologise!Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.
Yep me too, idiot Italians!
Quote from: davew on March 23, 2020, 08:09:49 PMQuote from: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PMIs that said in bad taste m8? Maybe it is about supply and demand, the demand is reducing so keep on stockpiling if you are 1 of the selfish doing this in the UK, if you aren´t then I will apologise!Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.
Yep me too, idiot Italians!
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 23, 2020, 08:13:04 PMQuote from: davew on March 23, 2020, 08:09:49 PMQuote from: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PMIs that said in bad taste m8? Maybe it is about supply and demand, the demand is reducing so keep on stockpiling if you are 1 of the selfish doing this in the UK, if you aren´t then I will apologise!Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PMOh okay sorry, but the latest news is not!
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.
Yep me too, idiot Italians!
I think it's a joke tbf.
Quote from: Burt on March 23, 2020, 06:18:21 PMThe evidence I have seen from those who know about epidemics is that the virus spreads efficiently between good hosts from the start and an optimum host is someone who either doesn't get sick too quickly or doesn't get sick at all thus infecting as many others as it can before the virus dies in that most effective of hosts. It is the lack of comprehensive testing that is failing to identify those effective hosts.Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer. Is this virus resistant to hot weather? No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.
No sign that it is. I support an office of c200 people in Chennai where the temperature is 25c or more all year around and it's just taking off there. They have just invoked a mandatory "stay at home" order only seen in times of war or civil unrest.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 07:49:30 AMQuote from: Burt on March 23, 2020, 06:18:21 PMThe evidence I have seen from those who know about epidemics is that the virus spreads efficiently between good hosts from the start and an optimum host is someone who either doesn't get sick too quickly or doesn't get sick at all thus infecting as many others as it can before the virus dies in that most effective of hosts. It is the lack of comprehensive testing that is failing to identify those effective hosts.Quote from: Neil D on March 21, 2020, 03:32:35 PM
The hot weather in Sydney (28 degrees today) doesn't seem to be killing off this virus yet we were told this would be the case - if we could just hold out until the summer. Is this virus resistant to hot weather? No-one seems to be discussing this possibility.
No sign that it is. I support an office of c200 people in Chennai where the temperature is 25c or more all year around and it's just taking off there. They have just invoked a mandatory "stay at home" order only seen in times of war or civil unrest.
Quote from: SuffolkWhite on March 23, 2020, 08:13:04 PMQuote from: davew on March 23, 2020, 08:09:49 PMQuote from: KingofCheese on March 23, 2020, 07:48:55 PMIs that said in bad taste m8? Maybe it is about supply and demand, the demand is reducing so keep on stockpiling if you are 1 of the selfish doing this in the UK, if you aren´t then I will apologise!Quote from: SP on March 23, 2020, 07:10:32 PM
It sickens me to see the BBC footage from Italy where the shops are still fully stocked due to the complete absence of panic buying.
Yep me too, idiot Italians!
I think it's a joke tbf.
Quote from: sarnian on March 24, 2020, 09:13:05 AM
Can you believe it. Flew back from Maldives yesterday ( went on 8 March before anything became serious here ) and the stewardesses had to hide toilet rolls because people on board were pinching them.
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 24, 2020, 02:47:22 PMQuote from: sarnian on March 24, 2020, 09:13:05 AM
Can you believe it. Flew back from Maldives yesterday ( went on 8 March before anything became serious here ) and the stewardesses had to hide toilet rolls because people on board were pinching them.
people want to feel they are in control and they think that toilet rolls gives that to the. Went to the Co-op last night to get some milk and there were toilet rolls there - because there isnt a shortage of them..only clowns hoarding them.
Quote from: Holders on March 24, 2020, 03:45:51 PMQuote from: KingofCheese on March 24, 2020, 02:47:22 PMQuote from: sarnian on March 24, 2020, 09:13:05 AM
Can you believe it. Flew back from Maldives yesterday ( went on 8 March before anything became serious here ) and the stewardesses had to hide toilet rolls because people on board were pinching them.
people want to feel they are in control and they think that toilet rolls gives that to the. Went to the Co-op last night to get some milk and there were toilet rolls there - because there isnt a shortage of them..only clowns hoarding them.
Dustmen reporting more vegetables being thrown away as people had over-bought on fresh.
Quote from: sunburywhite on March 24, 2020, 02:38:17 PM
Golf courses to close
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/golf/52018267
Quote from: clemattlee on March 24, 2020, 05:50:34 PMInteresting chart, thanks for that. To me what I think it confirms is (excluding China who were testing more people, not just those turning up/admitted to hospital) if you are in a country e.g here, Italy, Spain, Germany and quite a few others who seem to be just testing people at the hospitals, there is almost a 50:50 chance that you will survive, the amount of active cases compared to total cases is staggering except China. The recovery time period must be 2 to 3 weeks, if you recover?
I find this website quite informative looks like they properly check the figures
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Quote from: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 10:16:08 PM
I caught Matt Hancock welcoming back to the House of Commons an 'Honourable Friend' live on TV. She had recovered from Covid-19 and Hancock followed his welcome with a remark that he was assured by informed opinion that she now had immunity from further infection or, at least, would not be infected again so soon after recovery.
In either of these cases I know of no expert who has made such a claim and if any have done so then it is surely of fundamental substance to us all.
If this is the stuff of which supposedly responsible politicians are made of, then it is no wonder so many things have been misjudged in the UK's response to this virus.
Is it not politicians who daily complain about not listening to fake news?
All just In my honest opinion, of course.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 07:46:03 AM
"Immune for at least a short while"means what in terms of seconds, minutes, hours, days. It's a throwaway line that no scientist would wish to be associated with.
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PMYou're right. Lazy journo not willing to analyse the data properly.
Controls in Italy beginning to work
So of course the BBC headline is "BREAKING Huge jump in Italy death toll" just in case anyone is tempted to stop feeling scared sh1tless for a moment... and then a small admission in the small print at the end that "It does appear as though the number of new cases is slowing down, however"
Quote from: toshes mate on March 24, 2020, 02:01:29 PM
It will be Tokyo Olympics 2021 as a decision is finally made. Probably the only sensible route given the absolute dissaray there has been in the qualifying competitions that have been recently abandoned, but it is still sad to see so much being lost to a virus that has been allowed to get out of control rather than being under control from day one (whenever that may have been). I do hope that the real lesson learned for the future is for all nations to realise how seemingly unpredictable these outbreaks can be, and how predictable it is that the moment you lose the ability to track a virus you endanger far too many people which causes panic, selfishness and ever greater risk.
I especially like this history and summary of epidemics by Victor Davis Hanson using statistics but ending up with how this story is all about humility and the great gifts it brings with it.
https://www.city-journal.org/coronavirus-pandemic-humility#.XnZErksn-Pc.twitter (https://www.city-journal.org/coronavirus-pandemic-humility#.XnZErksn-Pc.twitter)
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 08:00:07 AMYou will have to do a hell of a lot better than that, Statto, to engage my interest in your perception.Quote from: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 07:46:03 AM
"Immune for at least a short while"means what in terms of seconds, minutes, hours, days. It's a throwaway line that no scientist would wish to be associated with.
Months. Many months. Or longer. See for example Chris Whitty, Chief Medical Adviser last week: "Even in diseases which do not have long-lasting immunity there's usually a short period of immunity and that's enough for a season, an epidemic in the initial phases."
The whole search for a vaccine is relying on the idea that having the virus makes you immune, at least for a season, because that's how vaccines work.
Quote from: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 08:26:17 AMShould be mentioned that the Italian authorities are telling people to not get too excited by the numbers as they've also had a significant reduction in testing.Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PMYou're right. Lazy journo not willing to analyse the data properly.
Controls in Italy beginning to work
So of course the BBC headline is "BREAKING Huge jump in Italy death toll" just in case anyone is tempted to stop feeling scared sh1tless for a moment... and then a small admission in the small print at the end that "It does appear as though the number of new cases is slowing down, however"
Quote from: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 10:02:08 AMQuote from: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 08:26:17 AMShould be mentioned that the Italian authorities are telling people to not get too excited by the numbers as they've also had a significant reduction in testing.Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PMYou're right. Lazy journo not willing to analyse the data properly.
Controls in Italy beginning to work
So of course the BBC headline is "BREAKING Huge jump in Italy death toll" just in case anyone is tempted to stop feeling scared sh1tless for a moment... and then a small admission in the small print at the end that "It does appear as though the number of new cases is slowing down, however"
But if we look at numbers with no context they look ok I guess.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 12:08:38 PMWhat is 'off-guardian' precisely?
https://off-guardian.org/2020/03/24/12-experts-questioning-the-coronavirus-panic/
Some interesting views that run counter to much current political decision making.
Quote from: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 12:16:44 PMLet me answer my own question:Quote from: toshes mate on March 25, 2020, 12:08:38 PMWhat is 'off-guardian' precisely?
https://off-guardian.org/2020/03/24/12-experts-questioning-the-coronavirus-panic/
Some interesting views that run counter to much current political decision making.
Quote from: Neil D on March 25, 2020, 12:19:08 PMIndeed the founders of the site share that same common denominator but not the experts that the article refers to ... at least not as far as I know if indeed they have ever been moved to use CiF.
OffGuardian was launched in February 2015 and takes its name from the fact its founders had all been censored on and/or banned from the Guardian's 'Comment is Free' sections.
Enough said.
Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMMaybe but the death rate is continuing at the same sort of level nearly 700 the last 24 hours, that is not an improvement!Quote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Quote from: davew on March 25, 2020, 06:30:59 PMTime from case confirmation to death is typically two weeks or more. So come back and look at the number of deaths in another fortnight and you should be in for a pleasant surprise.
Maybe but the death rate is continuing at the same sort of level nearly 700 the last 24 hours, that is not an improvement!
Quote from: Andy S on March 01, 2020, 03:29:41 PM
If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway.
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:36:38 PMHope you are right about that and I respect your nickname on here and yes you do know a lot about statistics as I do but I am just a simple retired accountant.,I think you could be wrong though, as I said on another post if people go into intensive care there is just above a 50% chance of surviving. From the statistics provided on the internet I also agree that it is must be between 2 to 3 weeks before people recover (if they recover), not than many people recovered so far?Quote from: davew on March 25, 2020, 06:30:59 PMTime from case confirmation to death is typically two weeks or more. So come back and look at the number of deaths in another fortnight and you should be in for a pleasant surprise.
Maybe but the death rate is continuing at the same sort of level nearly 700 the last 24 hours, that is not an improvement!
Quote from: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 08:52:48 PMThink I agree with that, the sad thing is that the number of deaths so far could well double. We are still on a parallel course, but Trump has it well under control, everybody will be safe by Easter, what a w***-r!
The increase lowering at the rate it currently is would mean that deaths would change if we assume that daily new cases correspond with deaths. The increase is at a steady rate currently rather than exponential, which is preferrable, but there hasn't really been a decrease in absolute numbers. The best case scenario is that they're heading for a plateu at the moment.
If we look at the new cases two weeks ago they were around 1/3rd of the current number. Of course, all this is very shaky as the amount of cases is likely at least an order of magnitude higher than the confirmed cases.
Quote from: davew on March 25, 2020, 09:04:16 PMQuote from: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 08:52:48 PMThink I agree with that, the sad thing is that the number of deaths so far could well double. We are still on a parallel course, but Trump has it well under control, everybody will be safe by Easter, what a w***-r!
The increase lowering at the rate it currently is would mean that deaths would change if we assume that daily new cases correspond with deaths. The increase is at a steady rate currently rather than exponential, which is preferrable, but there hasn't really been a decrease in absolute numbers. The best case scenario is that they're heading for a plateu at the moment.
If we look at the new cases two weeks ago they were around 1/3rd of the current number. Of course, all this is very shaky as the amount of cases is likely at least an order of magnitude higher than the confirmed cases.
Quote from: Tabby on March 25, 2020, 08:52:48 PM
The increase is at a steady rate currently rather than exponential, which is preferrable, but there hasn't really been a decrease in absolute numbers. The best case scenario is that they're heading for a plateu at the moment.
Quote from: Burt on March 26, 2020, 10:04:55 AM
Stats relating to the number of reported new cases are, by and large, meaningless.
For every one reported case there are countless others out there who:
1. Like me, may or may not have had coronavirus, but the symptoms they did have were sufficiently mild for it not to warrant medical attention. And for all I may know, I may have just had a bog-standard cold. Without a test, we will never know...
2. Have the virus but are asymptomatic.
The more meaningful stat to trend, regretfully, is probably something like deaths / 1m of population, or something like that.
Quote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
Quote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PMQuote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.
Quote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PMfor all we know, it has helped to stop the spread and it could have been so much more worse in n those places had it been cold and dampQuote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PMQuote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.
That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.
Quote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PMQuote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PMQuote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.
That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 26, 2020, 11:07:38 PMQuote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PMQuote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PMQuote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.
That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.
Italy is cold in March generally.
Quote from: I Ronic on March 27, 2020, 06:47:06 AMQuote from: KingofCheese on March 26, 2020, 11:07:38 PMQuote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PMQuote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PMQuote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.
That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.
Italy is cold in March generally.
Particularly the north, where things have been worse. Also as mentioned they have an ageing population. Couple that with the fact that you often get several generations living under one roof and they are a very sociable group of people could be a reason they have suffered so badly. Much like the Spanish, who are having such a bad time of it as well.
Quote from: Holders on March 27, 2020, 11:42:02 AM
That's why we didn't see him last night then. Perhaps this would be a good time for that visit to Trump.
Quote from: KingofCheese on March 27, 2020, 10:33:19 AMItaly Feb 25th 11 deathsQuote from: I Ronic on March 27, 2020, 06:47:06 AMQuote from: KingofCheese on March 26, 2020, 11:07:38 PMQuote from: Holders on March 26, 2020, 12:08:17 PMQuote from: filham on March 26, 2020, 12:00:56 PMQuote from: SP on March 01, 2020, 02:38:32 PM
Some say the warmer weather will halt the spread?
I understand countries in the Southern have suffered in spite of it being their summer and our winter which suggests to me the warmer weather is not going to help us.
That seems to be the word coming out of Australia and, of course, much of Italy and Spain experience temperatures at this time of the year akin to our summer. We can't put our reliance on that.
Italy is cold in March generally.
Particularly the north, where things have been worse. Also as mentioned they have an ageing population. Couple that with the fact that you often get several generations living under one roof and they are a very sociable group of people could be a reason they have suffered so badly. Much like the Spanish, who are having such a bad time of it as well.
And places with many smokers too...glad I gave up 20 years ago..
Quote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 09:15:27 AMThat is probably nearer the truth than any MSM rubbish being spouted 24/7. the king IS naked
A very measured look at Covid-19 from Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg, who gives a rather clear and alarming message to us all about what coronavirus epidemiology really says about influenza related illnesses and deaths. Not a good video to watch for those who prefer panic to calm.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title (https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title)
Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Quote from: john dempsey on March 27, 2020, 11:55:46 AMFrom WikiQuote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 09:15:27 AMThat is probably nearer the truth than any MSM rubbish being spouted 24/7. the king IS naked
A very measured look at Covid-19 from Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg, who gives a rather clear and alarming message to us all about what coronavirus epidemiology really says about influenza related illnesses and deaths. Not a good video to watch for those who prefer panic to calm.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title (https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=563&v=p_AyuhbnPOI&feature=emb_title)
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
Quote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMUnfortunately yes. Next set of figures released 17.00 GMT. The guy from Civil Protection who chaired the daily press meetings was absent yesterday through illness. In the meantime, 41 doctors have died.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMThats right i if you start at say 100 a 22.8% rise would mean 128 new people got infected and if you have reached 500 a 8.3% rise would mean 541 new people got infected even a 1% increase is bad newsQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:31:27 PMA) Wiki has poor form on a number of subjects and should not be regarded as reliable without a lot of double checking done away from it. It has been highly criticised by scientists in many groups.
From Wiki
His comments on the COVID 19 pandemic caused criticism from German scientists. Various German media examined Wodarg's claims for accuracy and concluded that his statements would largely contradict the verifiable facts, some statements were neither refutable nor verifiable, but on closer examination proved to be misleading. It would mix up facts that had nothing to do with each other.
Transparency International Germany, on whose board of directors Wodarg is on, distanced itself from his statements on 17 March 2020: "Transparency International Germany rejects the sweeping criticism of board member Dr Wolfgang Wodarg of the government measures to protect the population from the corona virus. Wolfgang Wodarg is speaking on this matter as a private individual and not in his capacity as a member of the Management Board." On March 25, 2020, the board decided to suspend his membership in the association "until further notice", which means that Wodarg can no longer exercise any functions on the board or as head of the health working group for the time being. The Board of Directors will commission an independent committee to look into Wodarg's statements about the Conora virus and to determine whether his behaviour has harmed the interests of Transparency International Germany.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 12:51:55 PMyep we would all be flat earthers if it wasn't for the likes of pythagorus and Plato who were ridiculed for their ludicrous viewsQuote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:31:27 PMA) Wiki has poor form on a number of subjects and should not be regarded as reliable without a lot of double checking done away from it. It has been highly criticised by scientists in many groups.
From Wiki
His comments on the COVID 19 pandemic caused criticism from German scientists. Various German media examined Wodarg's claims for accuracy and concluded that his statements would largely contradict the verifiable facts, some statements were neither refutable nor verifiable, but on closer examination proved to be misleading. It would mix up facts that had nothing to do with each other.
Transparency International Germany, on whose board of directors Wodarg is on, distanced itself from his statements on 17 March 2020: "Transparency International Germany rejects the sweeping criticism of board member Dr Wolfgang Wodarg of the government measures to protect the population from the corona virus. Wolfgang Wodarg is speaking on this matter as a private individual and not in his capacity as a member of the Management Board." On March 25, 2020, the board decided to suspend his membership in the association "until further notice", which means that Wodarg can no longer exercise any functions on the board or as head of the health working group for the time being. The Board of Directors will commission an independent committee to look into Wodarg's statements about the Conora virus and to determine whether his behaviour has harmed the interests of Transparency International Germany.
B) The doctor's views are by no means unique among epidemiological professionals who say that figures being recorded by the minute on mass media suggest an accuracy that is just not supportable for coronavirus episodes of any kind, since current tests are not reliable to the known standards required and are not even in place (or even exist in practical terms) for things like previous episodes of coronavirus type infections.
C) The history of outbreaks since epidemiology (there was a Royal Institute Lecture on this in 2018?) became an important science has often noted that getting meaningful data has been very difficult to achieve for influenza because there is much competition to be first to identify a new type. This is what may have happened in China last year and if you read enough stuff you can begin to understand why Covid-19 may not eventually be described as a worse case episode.
D) These days there seems to always be a problem when people oppose consensus views and yet that opposition is precisely the way science has always evolved. Go figure.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:59:20 PMPlato and Pythagoras were scholars and philosophers who studied the facts unlike flat earthers who believed in superstitionQuote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 12:51:55 PMyep we would all be flat earthers if it wasn't for the likes of pythagorus and Plato who were ridiculed for their ludicrous viewsQuote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:31:27 PMA) Wiki has poor form on a number of subjects and should not be regarded as reliable without a lot of double checking done away from it. It has been highly criticised by scientists in many groups.
From Wiki
His comments on the COVID 19 pandemic caused criticism from German scientists. Various German media examined Wodarg's claims for accuracy and concluded that his statements would largely contradict the verifiable facts, some statements were neither refutable nor verifiable, but on closer examination proved to be misleading. It would mix up facts that had nothing to do with each other.
Transparency International Germany, on whose board of directors Wodarg is on, distanced itself from his statements on 17 March 2020: "Transparency International Germany rejects the sweeping criticism of board member Dr Wolfgang Wodarg of the government measures to protect the population from the corona virus. Wolfgang Wodarg is speaking on this matter as a private individual and not in his capacity as a member of the Management Board." On March 25, 2020, the board decided to suspend his membership in the association "until further notice", which means that Wodarg can no longer exercise any functions on the board or as head of the health working group for the time being. The Board of Directors will commission an independent committee to look into Wodarg's statements about the Conora virus and to determine whether his behaviour has harmed the interests of Transparency International Germany.
B) The doctor's views are by no means unique among epidemiological professionals who say that figures being recorded by the minute on mass media suggest an accuracy that is just not supportable for coronavirus episodes of any kind, since current tests are not reliable to the known standards required and are not even in place (or even exist in practical terms) for things like previous episodes of coronavirus type infections.
C) The history of outbreaks since epidemiology (there was a Royal Institute Lecture on this in 2018?) became an important science has often noted that getting meaningful data has been very difficult to achieve for influenza because there is much competition to be first to identify a new type. This is what may have happened in China last year and if you read enough stuff you can begin to understand why Covid-19 may not eventually be described as a worse case episode.
D) These days there seems to always be a problem when people oppose consensus views and yet that opposition is precisely the way science has always evolved. Go figure.
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 12:40:44 PMQuote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMThats right i if you start at say 100 a 22.8% rise would mean 128 new people got infected and if you have reached 500 a 8.3% rise would mean 541 new people got infected even a 1% increase is bad newsQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
Quote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 01:28:40 PMThere is whole list of them but just two example scientists in the strict meaning of the word - Darwin and Galileo - should suffice.
Plato and Pythagoras were scholars and philosophers who studied the facts unlike flat earthers who believed in superstition
Its science and facts that mater but of course we can never be sure of anything but ask yourself why you believe one or a few people who the scientific community disown
Quote from: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 01:31:24 PM
It is my guess that the numbers will become increasingly frightening even when we are more obviously on the road to recovery. But the infection rate is the only figure that shows if the measures are working, the death rate just provides data on how deadly the virus is.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵
You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PMbut only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.
I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.
So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PMSo you don't think there's any correlation between the total number infected and the number of people turning up at hospital with severe symptoms?Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PMbut only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.
I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.
So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PMQuote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵
You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.
You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PMQuote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PMbut only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.
I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.
So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 27, 2020, 03:31:24 PMI have my own theory about you and Mince. The only two posters on here who think the Hilda jokes are funny... always on at the same time... always posting to back each other up....Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PMQuote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵
You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.
You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.
Hmm interesting theory mince, and I share your suspicions, and on that basis I have instructed my Crack Investigations Unit to commence enquires as whether we have a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde on board ship, one suspect posing as two suspects.
As they say " no smoke without fire " said the Arsonist to the Fireman. "
I believe most prosecutions succeed due to DNA these days, we have come along way since the days of the Red Hot Poker and The Rack.
Quote from: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 03:31:45 PMwe are measuring it on the very small amount of people who have become so unwell that they have to be omitted to hospital for Treatment and the test. It tells us absolutely sod all about the infection rate as the overwhelming majority will recover at home and will never be recorded.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PMQuote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PMbut only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.
I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.
So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.
Speaking as an idiot.... as long as you are measuring in a relatively consistent manner and we are, then you can draw a vast amount of information. you can tell if the trend is up or down and how quickly it is moving in one direction or another. And as you seem to be a learned scholar of sampling theory i think you will know the numbers they are measuring mean the figures are just about meaningful and actually, if you check other countries results too as I do you can see in many countries a corelation developing... but what would I know I am just an idiot drinking from a chocolate teapot.
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:33:29 PMQuote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 27, 2020, 03:31:24 PMI have my own theory about you and Mince. The only two posters on here who think the Hilda jokes are funny... always on at the same time... always posting to back each other up....Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PMQuote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵
You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.
You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.
Hmm interesting theory mince, and I share your suspicions, and on that basis I have instructed my Crack Investigations Unit to commence enquires as whether we have a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde on board ship, one suspect posing as two suspects.
As they say " no smoke without fire " said the Arsonist to the Fireman. "
I believe most prosecutions succeed due to DNA these days, we have come along way since the days of the Red Hot Poker and The Rack.
Very suspicious....
Quote from: Logicalman on March 27, 2020, 03:40:05 PMid be surprised if the stats we have are the only ones the government has. For one I'd imagine they are recording everyone who rings 111 to report that they have symptoms. I don't even know how they are recording deaths. As the virus won't kill you but something like pneumonia that was bought on by the virus will
I guess one issue with reviewing the stats on all this is that different countries are using different methods that make up the 'confirmed cases' number.
The US is, perhaps, one of the best examples for this. Inconsistent testing week-on-week makes any degree of infection rate rise, or fall, not a true indication of the rise, or fall, of the actual rate.
This then directly affects the mortality rate stats, as, unless every death is investigated as to whether the actual cause of death could be attributed to the virus, or whether the person did, or did not, have the virus present at death, then again those figures are biased one way or the other I would think.
So, In conclusion, the stats we have are the best we have, and so are the only indicator being used by those making the decisions that affect the rest of us. Anything else might well be supposition on the part of those that are intent on assisting.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 27, 2020, 01:58:40 PMthats because the proportion of those who got infected that actually died will be small.It also means that the virus can be treated in non HCID facilities . that whole your digging is getting bigger and bigger beter get out before you make a fool of yourselfQuote from: Ged on March 27, 2020, 01:28:40 PMThere is whole list of them but just two example scientists in the strict meaning of the word - Darwin and Galileo - should suffice.
Plato and Pythagoras were scholars and philosophers who studied the facts unlike flat earthers who believed in superstition
Its science and facts that mater but of course we can never be sure of anything but ask yourself why you believe one or a few people who the scientific community disown
Or you may want to consider this which you would be hard put to find in the MSM consensus:
Public Health England issued a policy statement on 19/3/2020 as follows"Covid-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious disease (HCID)."
Covid-19 was given HCID status as an interim recommendation in January 2020.
Is this because it is less infectious than first appearances suggested, or that it leads to less consequences than they thought in January? Why wasn't this headline news ahead of the PM's lockdown announcement? Or is PHE guilty of breaking the required narrative?
Just gentle questions you may wish to ask yourself before the wagon is moving too quickly for you to get off of it.
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:30:21 PMthere would be if we knew how many people were infected, but we don't and possibly never will unless they check every single person in the country to see if they have the anti bodies. And considering that there is no test for that currently, I wouldn't hold my breathQuote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PMSo you don't think there's any correlation between the total number infected and the number of people turning up at hospital with severe symptoms?Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PMbut only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.
I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.
So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 04:02:59 PMThe test for antibodies will be rolled out in the coming weeks. And they won't need to test "every single person in the country". If they tested say 100,000 people, and 5% of them had the antibodies, they could say with a very high degree of confidence that 5% of the rest of population also have it. In much the same way that exit polls after elections only involve a relatively small portion of those who have voted but are generally very accurate.Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:30:21 PMthere would be if we knew how many people were infected, but we don't and possibly never will unless they check every single person in the country to see if they have the anti bodies. And considering that there is no test for that currently, I wouldn't hold my breathQuote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PMSo you don't think there's any correlation between the total number infected and the number of people turning up at hospital with severe symptoms?Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PMbut only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.
I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.
So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.
Quote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:33:29 PMQuote from: Woolly Mammoth on March 27, 2020, 03:31:24 PMI have my own theory about you and Mince. The only two posters on here who think the Hilda jokes are funny... always on at the same time... always posting to back each other up....Quote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 03:15:31 PMQuote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 03:00:11 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on March 27, 2020, 02:53:48 PM
Its getting really depressing reading all these different theories and so and statts,as though being shut up isn't bad enough.
Go do a feckin Jigsaw that'll get your mind off it😵
You could always post something interesting to take our minds off it.
Unlikely I know, but there's a first time for everything.
You and your other half posting all this poo theories and so on,you must think all of us on here are stupid and don't know what's going on...Patronising pricks.
Hmm interesting theory mince, and I share your suspicions, and on that basis I have instructed my Crack Investigations Unit to commence enquires as whether we have a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde on board ship, one suspect posing as two suspects.
As they say " no smoke without fire " said the Arsonist to the Fireman. "
I believe most prosecutions succeed due to DNA these days, we have come along way since the days of the Red Hot Poker and The Rack.
Very suspicious....
Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:38:51 PMQuote from: ALG01 on March 27, 2020, 03:31:45 PMwe are measuring it on the very small amount of people who have become so unwell that they have to be omitted to hospital for Treatment and the test. It tells us absolutely sod all about the infection rate as the overwhelming majority will recover at home and will never be recorded.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 03:18:45 PMQuote from: Statto on March 27, 2020, 02:59:04 PMbut only an idiot would read anything into the infection rate, as Everyman with a brain cell knows, that we are not testing the vast majority of the people with symptoms. So the infection rate stats gathered from the numbers released by the government is about as useful as a chocolate tea pot.Quote from: fulhamben on March 27, 2020, 12:33:39 PMQuote from: Twig on March 27, 2020, 11:58:19 AMthe numbers are always pretty much on the rise, it's just they use percentages instead.Quote from: Statto on March 25, 2020, 06:19:11 PMQuote from: Statto on March 24, 2020, 05:28:09 PM
Day-on-day increase in cases over last two weeks
22.8%
21.3%
16.9%
19.8%
17.0%
13.1%
12.6%
13.4%
14.9%
14.6%
13.9%
10.4%
8.1%
8.2%
7.5% today
They've really turned the tide in Italy
Am I right in thinking these numbers are on the rise again today?
If you have 1000 infected and 100 more get infected today you say 10% rise
But if you have 10,000 infected and 900 new cases today you can say that it's dropped to 9%. It's a stupid way of doing it if you ask me
The number was mildly higher yesterday, 8.3%, but still very firmly on a downward trend.
I appreciate looking at the percentages, ie the infection rate, may seem "stupid" to those only thinking about things very casually or simplistically, and only looking at the current situation. Someone with the intellect of say, a young child or dog, may struggle to think more than a few minutes ahead of their present situation. But for the rest of us, and certainly if you look at government policy and the scientists' analyses, the focus is on the rate of infection and how that might pan out over the coming weeks.
So if, for example, a country had 100,000 cumulative infections today, but that number was only increasing by 1% day-on-day, then 3 months from now they'd have about 250,000 infections, which may be manageable. If the rate of infection was say 8%, then in 3 months the number of infected would be 150 million, which is obviously catastrophic. If it was around 20%, it would be equally catastrophic, but after only 1 month.
Speaking as an idiot.... as long as you are measuring in a relatively consistent manner and we are, then you can draw a vast amount of information. you can tell if the trend is up or down and how quickly it is moving in one direction or another. And as you seem to be a learned scholar of sampling theory i think you will know the numbers they are measuring mean the figures are just about meaningful and actually, if you check other countries results too as I do you can see in many countries a corelation developing... but what would I know I am just an idiot drinking from a chocolate teapot.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies.
Quote from: Neil D on March 29, 2020, 12:11:59 PM
Re. above, Southcoastffc: interesting and useful. Thank you.
Quote from: Statto on March 28, 2020, 09:48:44 AMPlease note: This article explains exactly what the NHS are getting: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19 (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19)Quote from: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies.
The antigen test isn't the antibodies test. This is the one that just tells them whether they currently have the virus.
Quote from: toshes mate on March 30, 2020, 08:54:38 AMIndeed. The antigen test. Not the antibodies test.Quote from: Statto on March 28, 2020, 09:48:44 AMPlease note: This article explains exactly what the NHS are getting: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19 (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19)Quote from: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies.
The antigen test isn't the antibodies test. This is the one that just tells them whether they currently have the virus.
Quote from: Statto on March 30, 2020, 09:23:28 AMPer article the antibodies test is part of the Oxford project.Quote from: toshes mate on March 30, 2020, 08:54:38 AMIndeed. The antigen test. Not the antibodies test.Quote from: Statto on March 28, 2020, 09:48:44 AMPlease note: This article explains exactly what the NHS are getting: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19 (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/29/the-two-tests-that-will-help-to-predict-spread-of-covid-19)Quote from: toshes mate on March 28, 2020, 07:21:46 AM
At long last antigen tests will be available from next week to front line NHS staff which will help to show previous episodes of coronavirus and indicate presence of relevant antibodies.
The antigen test isn't the antibodies test. This is the one that just tells them whether they currently have the virus.
Quote from: Neil D on March 29, 2020, 12:11:59 PM
Re. above, Southcoastffc: interesting and useful. Thank you.
Quote from: love4ffc on March 29, 2020, 05:35:38 PMWe're in Estepona, between Gibraltar and Malaga. We're doing okay as we have been far less affected by the virus than the Madrid region. Lockdown has been in force since 16th March and is strictly adhered to as we are subject to massive fines if we are outside without good reason ie grocery shopping, going to the pharmacy, a hospital appointment, walking a dog, but only in the vicinity of the house, and helping an elderly or sick relative/friend or for work. We cannot go out together either. All shops are closed except for those mentioned and also communications stores but they are on reduced hours. Garages are also open for petrol and also selling gas canisters which are used widely here for cooking and heating. Some building work is still going on and all the gardeners and street cleaners are still working. We can still get deliveries as we are not in a "red" zone, in fact we have just had a paint delivery! All fresh food is plentiful and we have no problem getting pasta, rice or toilet rolls! There is a sense that we are all in this together, which leads to a calm acceptance which is helpful. Unfortunately we have had a lot of rain lately so sincerely hoping that ends soon. Like a lot of houses in the Old Town Centre we have no garden, just a terrace, and when the sun does pop out it is nice to get up there for some fresh air. Our lockdown was due to end on the 30th March but was extended to April 11th. Fingers crossed it does! First thing we will do is head for the beach, together with our dog!
Question, how are any of you expats doing in Spain?
Quote from: Sgt Fulham on April 01, 2020, 09:29:32 AMWithout wishing to bat things to and fro, (there are others who will do that until Kingdom come!) the piece I posted doesn't actually say that DNA is a protein; and Northern Italy and Barcelona are not hot at this time of year, indeed Milan was around 6 degrees Celsius when things took off. I can't comment about Australia.Quote from: Neil D on March 29, 2020, 12:11:59 PM
Re. above, Southcoastffc: interesting and useful. Thank you.
There is a lot of good advice there, but alarm bells rang when it was stated that DNA is a protein. There is also little evidence that heat has any real impact on the virus. Think of all the hot places it is going wild (Italy, Australia, Spain).
Without fact checking the rest it looks good at first sight. Stay safe everyone.
Quote from: SP on April 04, 2020, 09:31:40 PMWouldn't be able to watch anything on the subject. I wouldn't be able to sleep.
Watched a clip of the wet market in Wuhan, absolutely disgusting, I don't now why they allow these places to function like this?
Quote from: SP on April 04, 2020, 09:31:40 PMhttps://indonesiaexpat.biz/news/wuhan-wet-market-reopens-wild-animals-for-sale/
Watched a clip of the wet market in Wuhan, absolutely disgusting, I don't now why they allow these places to function like this?
Quote from: sarnian on April 05, 2020, 09:24:49 AMhe lives in jersey
So if he hasn't been in contact with a human for ages how does he know he has it.
Quote from: john dempsey on April 05, 2020, 06:50:01 PMQuote from: sarnian on April 05, 2020, 09:24:49 AMhe lives in jersey
So if he hasn't been in contact with a human for ages how does he know he has it.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 05, 2020, 09:10:17 AMhavent seen eye to eye with you in the past mince. But you are so spot on with this. I've been saying it from the beginning.
Some recluse in the backwaters of Canada who lives 40 miles from anyone and hasn't been in contact with a human in ages has it.
I'm telling you this is a man made disease put in to the atmosphere somehow by the Chinese.
When this is over there are going to be serious problems for World peace between America and China.
Conspiracy Theory No 55, starring Mel Gibson and Julia Roberts.
Quote from: bog on April 06, 2020, 03:59:45 PMsometimes the truth is painful, I've been there its true.
There was a letter in the Mail on Sunday from someone in the Chinese Embassy full of condemnation of this country's regards to their filthy meat markets etc. Attack being the best form of defence he seemed to think.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 06, 2020, 09:47:18 PM
Nobody is safe from this bloody thing,as shown by the bloke living in the backwoods of Canada.
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 06, 2020, 10:51:19 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 06, 2020, 09:47:18 PM
Nobody is safe from this bloody thing,as shown by the bloke living in the backwoods of Canada.
Or the Bear he met in the woods.
Quote from: Fernhurst on April 06, 2020, 09:34:50 PM
Good Luck Boris...... miles away from your political views, but on a human level, very best wishes to you and your family for a speedy recovery.
Quote from: ffcne on April 07, 2020, 07:28:37 AMQuote from: Fernhurst on April 06, 2020, 09:34:50 PM
Good Luck Boris...... miles away from your political views, but on a human level, very best wishes to you and your family for a speedy recovery.
Very insincere.Why mention anything about political views.?
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 05, 2020, 09:10:17 AMunfortunately you are probably closer too the truth than we are being told.
Some recluse in the backwaters of Canada who lives 40 miles from anyone and hasn't been in contact with a human in ages has it.
I'm telling you this is a man made disease put in to the atmosphere somehow by the Chinese.
When this is over there are going to be serious problems for World peace between America and China.
Conspiracy Theory No 55, starring Mel Gibson and Julia Roberts.
Quote from: john dempsey on April 07, 2020, 11:20:44 AMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 05, 2020, 09:10:17 AMunfortunately you are probably closer too the truth than we are being told.
Some recluse in the backwaters of Canada who lives 40 miles from anyone and hasn't been in contact with a human in ages has it.
I'm telling you this is a man made disease put in to the atmosphere somehow by the Chinese.
When this is over there are going to be serious problems for World peace between America and China.
Conspiracy Theory No 55, starring Mel Gibson and Julia Roberts.
as it would not be the first time that something like this has been used against populations
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PMHes been mad for years
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...
I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.
And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.
Quote from: ffcne on April 07, 2020, 07:28:37 AMQuote from: Fernhurst on April 06, 2020, 09:34:50 PM
Good Luck Boris...... miles away from your political views, but on a human level, very best wishes to you and your family for a speedy recovery.
Very insincere.Why mention anything about political views.?
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...
I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.
And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...
I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.
And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.
Quote from: Statto on April 07, 2020, 11:30:18 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...
I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.
And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.
If you want to find a conspiracy in this sort of context, you will. All sounds a bit 'Brexiteers-are-shorting-the-Pound' to me. I'm going to lay down a challenge: name a highly wealthy person and some other thing - anything. With the power of Google I'm willing to bet I can find a link between them.
Quote from: Fernhurst on April 07, 2020, 11:49:52 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...
I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.
And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.
Agreed, however, his approval rating with The American People is brilliant???
Go figure...?
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:05:19 AMQuote from: Statto on April 07, 2020, 11:30:18 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...
I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.
And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.
If you want to find a conspiracy in this sort of context, you will. All sounds a bit 'Brexiteers-are-shorting-the-Pound' to me. I'm going to lay down a challenge: name a highly wealthy person and some other thing - anything. With the power of Google I'm willing to bet I can find a link between them.
Eh? There's no conspiracy or digging needed, just simple facts. it's on Forbes and other news outlets today. Seems obvious given he's been the only one in the world going on about it. Absolutely scandalous. Amazed you are not equally appalled.
I said it weeks ago when our government ignored the advice of WHO and just about every expert around the world, that we and the US would end up the worst hit. As we have two absolutely incompetent simpletons at the helm. And guess what? We are both on exactly that trajectory!
Quote from: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:23:08 AMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:05:19 AMQuote from: Statto on April 07, 2020, 11:30:18 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...
I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.
And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.
If you want to find a conspiracy in this sort of context, you will. All sounds a bit 'Brexiteers-are-shorting-the-Pound' to me. I'm going to lay down a challenge: name a highly wealthy person and some other thing - anything. With the power of Google I'm willing to bet I can find a link between them.
Eh? There's no conspiracy or digging needed, just simple facts. it's on Forbes and other news outlets today. Seems obvious given he's been the only one in the world going on about it. Absolutely scandalous. Amazed you are not equally appalled.
I said it weeks ago when our government ignored the advice of WHO and just about every expert around the world, that we and the US would end up the worst hit. As we have two absolutely incompetent simpletons at the helm. And guess what? We are both on exactly that trajectory!
But outside the sphere of events covered by the Guardian, Trump isn't the only one going on about. It was tried by the Chinese, French and now the Australians. The world is in the grips of a virus for which there's currently no treatment or vaccine. It doesn't surprise me that states and leaders are trying various unproven potential treatments. I don't dispute that there's little or no evidence it works, but nonetheless, it's still perceived by a much wider community than just Trump to be one of the most promising short-term options, albeit in a very weak field.
As to you your second paragraph, the UK's approach has, ostensibly at least, been decided thus far by scientists like Chris Witty and Patrick Valance, not Johnson. Are you suggesting those characters are actually just reading lines the government has written for them, fraudulently or under duress? Or do you accept their independence but just think you know better? I'm not sure which of those is less plausible.
I also repeat my challenge.
Quote from: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:50:03 AM
I've no gripe with the WHO but let's be clear, it's essentially a forum for international cooperation on health. In order to function in that role, it has to be deferential and diplomatic towards the various corrupt and mad states among its membership (Google 'WHO Taiwan' for enlightenment). It also has a budget that is a tiny fraction of what countries like the US and even the UK spend on medical research. I've no doubt that its leaders are sincerely trying to do their best and they certainly know a lot more than I do, but it's not by any stretch of the imagination a more reliable source of guidance than domestic experts appointed in the large Western economies.
Here's a semi-intelligent analysis of the Trump/Sanofi story FYI
https://www.vox.com/2020/4/7/21211872/trump-coronavirus-hydroxychloroquine-covid19-drugs-sanofi-owns
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 08, 2020, 12:59:44 AM
One final thing though - and what you say seems plausible re. Research budgets etc - US and UK being two of the leading lights, if it continues as it is and the US and the UK are the most severely hit, how does that tally up? Surely that would suggest they got it badly wrong? Despite all the supposedly superior knowledge?
Quote from: Holders on April 08, 2020, 10:36:22 AM
We all have our views at this point but the post mortem, when it comes, will determine what went wrong - and right.
Meantime, as well as the drug mentioned above, it's been found that ivermectin, a common treatment for fleas and ticks on animals and head-lice in children, has been found to kill the virus in vitro. I've not heard it suggested that Trump has shares in that. With animals, you apply it either orally or topically so kids must absorb a dose when their nits are treated so it must be safe at some dosage.
Maybe there's some mileage in that.
Quote from: Statto on April 08, 2020, 12:13:17 PMQuote from: Holders on April 08, 2020, 10:36:22 AM
We all have our views at this point but the post mortem, when it comes, will determine what went wrong - and right.
Meantime, as well as the drug mentioned above, it's been found that ivermectin, a common treatment for fleas and ticks on animals and head-lice in children, has been found to kill the virus in vitro. I've not heard it suggested that Trump has shares in that. With animals, you apply it either orally or topically so kids must absorb a dose when their nits are treated so it must be safe at some dosage.
Maybe there's some mileage in that.
Trump's connection to hydroxychloroquine was through a tiny stake in Sanofi. Sanofi also makes invermectin products. So yes Trump does "have shares in that". Which somewhat demonstrates the flaws in the conspiracy.
Quote from: Holders on April 08, 2020, 01:37:51 PM
No conspiracy suggested for ivermectin, which I see is a generic drug with a range of manufacturers.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 07, 2020, 03:55:15 PM
I suppose, yes, it could be worse. We could be the US...
I notice today that, shock horror, that miracle drug (untested and not a cure apparently) that Trump has been banging on about (hydroxychloroquine or something), turns out he has 'a financial interest' in the manufacturers. Bent as a nine bob note, that one.
And genuinely quite, quite crazy going by recent press conferences.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on April 14, 2020, 12:51:02 AM
Getting "Herd Immunity without a Vaccine" would require 30 million people in the UK to gain immunity from Covid-19, which is 60x the official number of people worldwide that have so far gained herd immunity. I don't think the UK would be willing to accept 60x the current deaths of 120k in order to achieve herd immunity (i.e. 7 million deaths in the UK). Most experts assume that the number of people with herd immunity is much higher than the official figures, but unless the figures are more than 7x wrong (a real possibility but far from certain), then herd immunity may not be a path forward.
In summary, we cannot seriously consider herd immunity as a real option until governments know that the current official figures are wrong and wrong by a large amount. I would point out that we know the official UK figures are wrong estimating the death rate for herd immunity higher than it actually is, but no one knows if that error is small or large. If the error in UK official figures are small, then I don't think herd immunity is an option, as most people will just all go on the dole (especially doctors, nurses and aged care workers) rather than risk catching it.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 12:59:51 PM
I noticed that over 200 successfully got in boats and crossed the channel and picked up by our Navy over the easter period....How many of them have it?
Are the French actually just letting them jump into boats and sending them on their way.
I laugh at the comments you read that another group were rescued... Rescued from what ...France?.
Nobody from anywhere should be allowed in while this is going on.
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PMQuote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PMQuote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.
BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PMQuote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.
BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 04:11:37 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PMQuote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.
BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
A few lads in a boat?..lol 6 boats this past week.
Over 3,000 come across since last June..
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PMNo we're not?Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PMQuote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.
BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
Quote from: Fulhamfan666 on April 14, 2020, 04:52:40 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PMNo we're not?Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PMQuote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.
BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 05:38:22 PMQuote from: Fulhamfan666 on April 14, 2020, 04:52:40 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PMNo we're not?Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PMQuote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.
BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
We're three weeks behind Spain and Italy, remember. Going to dwarf those at this rate!
Quote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 06:10:13 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 05:38:22 PMQuote from: Fulhamfan666 on April 14, 2020, 04:52:40 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 03:41:44 PMNo we're not?Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 03:03:40 PMQuote from: Statto on April 14, 2020, 02:51:20 PM
The time it was worthwhile to pull up the drawbridge was probably mid-December. Now many millions of people here already have it, so personally I'm not worried about the few blokes in a boat or even a fully-packed airliner. Particularly since they'll probably be coming from somewhere where less people have it than here.
Really?
Only takes one in the plane or boat to be a carrier,and then pass it on to how many more?
We are the worst affected country in Europe (as predicted...). I don't think we can be high and mighty about a few lads in a boat from France. France are probably worried they are only 26 miles away from this comedy of errors.
BTW, if you are that worried about a couple of boats, you might not want to have a look at how many flights are still coming in to the various UK airports, on a daily basis, with no checks/tests from Spain, Italy, US, all over...
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
We're three weeks behind Spain and Italy, remember. Going to dwarf those at this rate!
People on here (well, Mince) have given me stick for my posts about the data but really people should look at it for themselves before typing.
Apart from Germany, we and most of our peer countries (ie big, densely-populated European countries that experience high levels of international traffic) have followed almost exactly the same trajectory, albeit a few weeks apart, in terms of the number of infections, number of deaths, and the rate those things have progressed both before and after the lockdowns.
The UK, Italy, France and Spain (and proportionate to their population size, other countries such as Belgium) will all be affected to broadly the same degree. If anything we're on course to do slightly better than Belgium, Spain and probably France in terms of number of deaths. We'll also still be better off than Italy, not because we'll see much less cases/deaths, but because we've at least had more time to prepare and the outbreak will be less concentrated in a particular region. Yes we'll look poor in comparison to Germany, but great in comparison to New York state, which will be one of the worst affected regions in the developed world. You can't win 'em all.
There's this totally false narrative that we're suffering the worst because we implemented our lockdown last. We implemented it at the same time as France and Germany, and before Ireland, among others.
Of course all this predicated on the idea that less infections is better. If the world decides this virus isn't deadly enough to justify the economic damage of a protracted lockdown, and decides to go for herd immunity, then countries/regions like New York and Spain will actually have an 'advantage' in that more of their population, perhaps 20%, will already have immunity.
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 14, 2020, 07:03:08 PM
I really struggle to appreciate the leading source on an opinion being from the independent. Once a great paper with amazing journalistic integrity, now a shallow, click baity hole of half truths and political smears. I'll give it a read but will likely take with a pinch of salt.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 07:41:50 PM
Tom Peck... 064.gif
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 07:45:53 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 07:41:50 PM
Tom Peck... 064.gif
Not quite as partisan as your beloved Fox News, I concede...
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 07:45:53 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 14, 2020, 07:41:50 PM
Tom Peck... 064.gif
Not quite as partisan as your beloved Fox News, I concede...
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 07:15:26 PMQuote from: FFC1987 on April 14, 2020, 07:03:08 PM
I really struggle to appreciate the leading source on an opinion being from the independent. Once a great paper with amazing journalistic integrity, now a shallow, click baity hole of half truths and political smears. I'll give it a read but will likely take with a pinch of salt.
Fair. It wasn't that it was in The Independent, just that it brought together my own thoughts (and some much longer, detailed articles I've read) in a very digestible, immediate way. I'm hoping that will get more people to read it and then potentially explore further...
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 06:58:34 PM
Disagree with almost everything here, old bean. I don't want to bore people with as to why, but this short succinct '5 min read' in The Independent yesterday covers most of the points I've made previously. I implore everyone here to have a read (it's literally 5 mins) regardless of their current mindset.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 14, 2020, 06:58:34 PM
Disagree with almost everything here, old bean. I don't want to bore people with as to why, but this short succinct '5 min read' in The Independent yesterday covers most of the points I've made previously. I implore everyone here to have a read (it's literally 5 mins) regardless of their current mindset.
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/coronavirus-uk-deaths-lockdown-boris-johnson-nhs-testing-a9462951.html
Quote from: filham on April 14, 2020, 10:31:38 PM
So after all that can anyone say a likely date for the next match at the Cottage ?
Quote from: jarv on April 16, 2020, 03:00:29 PM
Woolly, love your post about your fitness routine. I have not read many on this subject (too many) but will do to see what everyone else is doing.
For me, not great... I was 2 or 3 days away from an agreement to sell my business then this virus hit :doh:. Then my annual trip back to UK cancelled, BA sent official email this morning, flight cancelled, confirmed. Next, I caught the bloody virus but not too bad, just felt like crap for a few days then ok. Did not go out for 2 weeks so doing nothing much, I consider it my apprenticeship for full retirement when the business is sold.
Reading quite a bit which is good, otherwise it is netflix, good home cooked food and plenty of wine. (and some walking but don't tell anyone)
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 16, 2020, 06:03:53 PMQuote from: jarv on April 16, 2020, 03:00:29 PM
Woolly, love your post about your fitness routine. I have not read many on this subject (too many) but will do to see what everyone else is doing.
For me, not great... I was 2 or 3 days away from an agreement to sell my business then this virus hit :doh:. Then my annual trip back to UK cancelled, BA sent official email this morning, flight cancelled, confirmed. Next, I caught the bloody virus but not too bad, just felt like crap for a few days then ok. Did not go out for 2 weeks so doing nothing much, I consider it my apprenticeship for full retirement when the business is sold.
Reading quite a bit which is good, otherwise it is netflix, good home cooked food and plenty of wine. (and some walking but don't tell anyone)
Jarv, Sorry to hear about you catching this dam virus, though glad to hear your back in shape.
Hopefully you can sell your business in due course. I find reading a good way to relax, passing the time and increases knowledge, especially now we appear to have more time on our hands.
I have become a fan of Netflix since the lockdown, but I have to say that a fitness routine is a must. It is just a case of not trying to do too much at once, just ease back in and do not over train. Let the body recover and remember discipline is so important. Not to miss a session when you may not feel like it, it's all in the mind, but once you get started and blood starts pumping round your body, and carries oxygen to the brain, and suddenly you get the flavour, and you won't want to miss a session, and if you do miss a session for any reason you feel guilty, so I do recommend it because once you get to a certain age and you start to slow down, the body will strip the bones for the calcium if you are not getting it in the normal way through diet and sunshine, and that's when the body/skeleton starts to shrink and the bones become brittle. That's why there are not that many overweight pensioners around, and the ones that are generally suffer with health issue.
The body including muscles and the skeleton is designed to be active and exercise, just as important in later life with weight bearing exercises. Too many people when they retire make the mistake of loafing around as the no longer are following a strict regime, and the well known secret is to carry out weight bearing exercise for a better quality of life, and it very good for the brain.
Very much like a car, if you neglect your car or stop using it, the car will seize up as it is designed to be driving around much like the human body. You are what you eat, so now is the time to turn your body into a Temple.
Quote from: cottage expat on April 16, 2020, 07:06:24 PM
Sound advice, Woolly. Being in home detention it is even more more important, for both physical and mental health ,to have a daily exercise routine.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PMI heard they tried but no one here (or not enough) was prepared to put in the hours of back-breaking work. A few years ago there was a TV programme on this point. Of the few Brits who signed up for the work none turned up the 2nd day.
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
Quote from: FFCAli on April 17, 2020, 12:58:23 PM
I heard they tried but no one here (or not enough) was prepared to put in the hours of back-breaking work. A few years ago there was a TV programme on this point. Of the few Brits who signed up for the work none turned up the 2nd day.
Quote
Record numbers of people in the UK are looking for farming jobs, according to figures released by job search engines.
Totaljobs says it has seen 50,000 searches for farming jobs in the past week alone.
Steve Warnham of Totaljobs said workers "who have been temporarily displaced due to Covid-19 are now looking for roles in other sectors".
The UK faces a shortage of fruit and vegetable pickers because of travel restrictions on overseas workers.
Totaljobs said it had seen an 83% increase in applications for agricultural roles in the past month.
It added that searches for terms such as "fruit picker" or "farm worker" had surged by 338% and 107% respectively.
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 17, 2020, 12:58:30 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.Quote from: FFCAli on April 17, 2020, 12:58:23 PM
I heard they tried but no one here (or not enough) was prepared to put in the hours of back-breaking work. A few years ago there was a TV programme on this point. Of the few Brits who signed up for the work none turned up the 2nd day.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52215606 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52215606)Quote
Record numbers of people in the UK are looking for farming jobs, according to figures released by job search engines.
Totaljobs says it has seen 50,000 searches for farming jobs in the past week alone.
Steve Warnham of Totaljobs said workers "who have been temporarily displaced due to Covid-19 are now looking for roles in other sectors".
The UK faces a shortage of fruit and vegetable pickers because of travel restrictions on overseas workers.
Totaljobs said it had seen an 83% increase in applications for agricultural roles in the past month.
It added that searches for terms such as "fruit picker" or "farm worker" had surged by 338% and 107% respectively.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PMdon't know if it is a misprint or fake news but there is a report in todays press
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
Quote from: FFCAli on April 17, 2020, 12:58:23 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PMI heard they tried but no one here (or not enough) was prepared to put in the hours of back-breaking work. A few years ago there was a TV programme on this point. Of the few Brits who signed up for the work none turned up the 2nd day.
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
Quote from: Statto on April 17, 2020, 02:56:53 PMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 12:46:08 PM
150 Romanians were flown into this country by charter plane yesterday to pick fruit and veg.
Couldn't they find 150 Virus free people from here,who would be glad of the money at this time to do it...Country is insane sometimes.
Number of COVID-19 deaths in Romania... 400
Number of COVID-19 deaths in UK... 14,576
I expect they, quite rightly, thought they'd a far better chance of getting "150 virus free people" by flying some in from Romania rather than by sourcing them from our own disease-riddled population
Bloody Romanians, coming over here and catching our diseases :005:
Quote from: filham on April 17, 2020, 03:34:17 PM
If it is correct that Rumania has suffered only 400 Coronavirus deaths isn't it time someone asked the question why. It doesn't show up on those official graphs we are being shown every evening at about 5pm.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PMAccording to local growers, there is a need for experienced pickers to train/supervise novices. Also, pickers need to live very close by - I know one Brit living near Guildford who volunteered but withdrew when told he'd have to move to Hampshire and stay in a caravan on site.Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.
Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 18, 2020, 10:04:41 AMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PMAccording to local growers, there is a need for experienced pickers to train/supervise novices. Also, pickers need to live very close by - I know one Brit living near Guildford who volunteered but withdrew when told he'd have to move to Hampshire and stay in a caravan on site.Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.
Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 18, 2020, 10:04:41 AMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PMAccording to local growers, there is a need for experienced pickers to train/supervise novices. Also, pickers need to live very close by - I know one Brit living near Guildford who volunteered but withdrew when told he'd have to move to Hampshire and stay in a caravan on site.Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.
Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
Quote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
Quote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 10:33:37 AMIf anyone's really interested, the information is all here (and really well set out):Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 18, 2020, 10:04:41 AMQuote from: Mince n Tatties on April 17, 2020, 02:37:13 PMAccording to local growers, there is a need for experienced pickers to train/supervise novices. Also, pickers need to live very close by - I know one Brit living near Guildford who volunteered but withdrew when told he'd have to move to Hampshire and stay in a caravan on site.Quote from: South Coast White on April 17, 2020, 01:50:07 PM
The main reason the brits dont want this work is the fact that the wages are so pitifull. Agreed it is quite physical work and long hours, but how about offering those out of work and on benefits, other than those currently being furloughed doing this work and allowing their benefits to remain unaffected. We should NOT be flying in workers from abroad at this time, its madness.
Brits have applied, that's what makes it mind boggling at this time....
My brother-in-law is a grower in Wisbech and it is absolutely correct that the pickers have to Either be locals or move to stay in local accommodation. There is an old army camp that is used by a lot of these seasonal workers. If a British applicant were prepared to move then he sees no reason why they wouldn't be selected. But bear in mind that a lot of it is done on a piecework basis so unless you are reasonably quick and willing to graft Long hours you won't earn much.
Quote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AMQuote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
I like this comment
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PMQuote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AMQuote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
I like this comment
Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.
Quote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 10:57:40 AM
Today's Sunday Times summarises what many of us have been saying for weeks.
Quote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PMQuote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PMQuote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AMQuote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
I like this comment
Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.
Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.
"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."
Quote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PMQuote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PMQuote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PMQuote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AMQuote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
I like this comment
I heard on BBC's more or less that the analysis shows that deaths follow the same patern as during any other period. the proportion of old and infirm is x% and those that are apparently fit and healthy but die anyway is y%. the same rough order of magnotude applies to this virus. so being fit and healthy is good but is not a 100% guarantee.
Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.
Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.
"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."
Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.
Quote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PMQuote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PMQuote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PMQuote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AMQuote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
I like this comment
Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.
Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.
"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."
Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 19, 2020, 04:32:50 PMQuote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PMQuote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PMQuote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PMQuote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AMQuote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
I like this comment
Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.
Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.
"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."
Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.
I seem to recall they always suggested there would be mortality rates of about 1% or less in the fit category didn't they? So the cases your suggesting are still in line I believe if the stats maintain.
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 19, 2020, 04:53:11 PM
Clearly some people don't have elderly parents or grandparents who they love. My son was not supposed to make double figures (now 25) and has nearly died twice of pneumonia in the past 4years. Perhaps we should catch the illness and let him die, because we should be ok. I am alright Jack.
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 19, 2020, 04:53:11 PM
Clearly some people don't have elderly parents or grandparents who they love. My son was not supposed to make double figures (now 25) and has nearly died twice of pneumonia in the past 4years. Perhaps we should catch the illness and let him die, because we should be ok. I am alright Jack.
Quote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 04:38:31 PMYou say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die. In NYC it is right now more than 10% of tested cases. Yes, a lot of people are walking around asymptomatic so the true figure is certainly much below 10%. Bit it will be much more than 0.37% of those infected, that figure is more likely relevant to the whole population, which In NYC that would be mean more than 32,000. But that figure, again, will totally depend on how many get infected. So just stay indoors! As someone with a dear friend, NOT part of a "risk group", 3 weeks in hospital but since yesterday on ventilator this is just fecking awful and I am personally afraid for me, my family and friends.Quote from: FFC1987 on April 19, 2020, 04:32:50 PMQuote from: Twig on April 19, 2020, 03:15:21 PMQuote from: Statto on April 19, 2020, 02:48:21 PMQuote from: Holders on April 19, 2020, 02:45:15 PMQuote from: ffcthereligion on April 19, 2020, 11:24:18 AMQuote from: Robbie on March 01, 2020, 06:17:04 PM
It is bad flu and will be non-news by the end of the Month.
I like this comment
Yes, that's one of several whereas some other posters have since done a volte-face.
Still think Andy S comment on the first page of this thread sums it up.
"If you are fit you will recover. If you're not you probably didn't have long left anyway."
Sums it up, just incorrectly. Plenty of fit people and with no underlying problems have died and more will no doubt follow. A minority of the total, but a significant minority.
I seem to recall they always suggested there would be mortality rates of about 1% or less in the fit category didn't they? So the cases your suggesting are still in line I believe if the stats maintain.
1% is across all ages and backgrounds. Even at that level there's data suggesting it will be lower - 0.37% is the last I read (from antibodies testing of c. 1,000 people in a village in Germany). If you're healthy and under 40, the mortality rate will be much lower still, almost certainly less than 0.1% (so less than 1 in 1,000) or perhaps even 0.01% (1 in 10,000).
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AMQuote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.
I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.
In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.
Quote from: The Rational Fan on April 20, 2020, 06:59:32 AM
I completely disagree with your logic that "the lockdown should end", because the "official statistics are wrong"
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
Regional data here
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/#regions
There's a largess of publicly-available data on this. Almost all the data and expert analysis is published (in the West, at least). The man on the street can easily become as informed as central govt on most facets this (albeit perhaps not on specific issues like PPE supplies). Which admittedly, still leaves a lot of unknowns but that's a consequence of this being a novel, complex issue rather than a lack of transparency.
But most people don't want to read data, charts and academic studies. They want soundbites and (in your case) the odd Sunday Times article.
Quote from: Holders on April 20, 2020, 11:11:16 AM
Those data don't pro-rate per population.
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 11:38:16 AMQuote from: Holders on April 20, 2020, 11:11:16 AM
Those data don't pro-rate per population.
Wikipedia population data
MS Excel
2 mins
Et voila
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
the odd Sunday Times article.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PMQuote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
the odd Sunday Times article.
The odd Sunday Times article alongside medical journal The Lancet, The New Statesman, the WHO, Guardian (oh, I forgot that has an agenda...), countless publications actually - too many to name individually and hold peoples attention, almost every epidemiologist outside of the UK and, most surprising of all, a few posters here from before 'lockdown' even begun.
What was most surprising (and important) about The Sunday Times article is that it was The Times. One of their own. Essentially their own parish newsletter. Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
Quote from: Holders on April 20, 2020, 12:28:23 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PMWe wait in anticipation to see how the Sun continues to see the issueQuote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 10:51:18 AM
the odd Sunday Times article.
The odd Sunday Times article alongside medical journal The Lancet, The New Statesman, the WHO, Guardian (oh, I forgot that has an agenda...), countless publications actually - too many to name individually and hold peoples attention, almost every epidemiologist outside of the UK and, most surprising of all, a few posters here from before 'lockdown' even begun.
What was most surprising (and important) about The Sunday Times article is that it was The Times. One of their own. Essentially their own parish newsletter. Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"
But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PMQuote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"
But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.
As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).
Quote from: Plodder on April 20, 2020, 01:08:46 AMHi Plodder. An interesting and thoughtful response and yes I feel pity for all sorts of people, including myself as in order to keep my son alive, I will have to remain isolated for far longer than most. The position changed approximately 3-4 weeks ago when the Govt models showed that without lockdown the NHS would be overwhelmed and approximately 250,000 people would die as a result. The govt was trying to hold the numbers to 20,000, which they will probably miss.Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 19, 2020, 04:53:11 PM
Clearly some people don't have elderly parents or grandparents who they love. My son was not supposed to make double figures (now 25) and has nearly died twice of pneumonia in the past 4years. Perhaps we should catch the illness and let him die, because we should be ok. I am alright Jack.
I have stayed off this thread for a number of reasons until now, but you raise a serious point which deserves a serious answer. Coronavirus left to spread without any social measures will claim lives, and cause tragedy and suffering. However, continuing lockdown for too long will also claim lives, and cause tragedy and suffering. To take one small example, I know two 94 year old people to whom I spoke on the same day a couple of weeks ago. One already has multiple serious health problems and is unlikely to live for more than 2-3 months, the other is reasonably fit for for her age, but has some problems and knows that at 94 she is unlikely to have long left. Both of them went into isolation (and this is the admirable point) not for their own sakes, but so that they might not become coronavirus spreaders. Yet both also said (in a non-dramatic way) the same thing, namely that the current strategy has effectively stolen life from them, as everything they hold dear in life has been taken away. One is resigned to never seeing her children or grand-children again; the other thinks it is very unlikely, and also thinks it is unlikely that she will be able to take up her volunteer work again. All we have done is to take away what precious little time they have left to "live" rather than "exist". Sure, they are no longer likely to die from coronavirus, but still likely to die from another cause, condemned to what both describe as "pointless" existence. Yet they are selflessly following rules for the benefit of others. We use the word "heroes" a lot at the moment - people like these are heroes making the ultimate sacrifice. I could mention the host of other things caused by lockdown (suicide, mental health, physical health, domestic abuse, financial ruin, homelessness, youngsters' education ruined etc. etc.), but that would take for ever.
I understand how worried you must be about your son. The point I am trying to make in a long-winded way is that there are no easy answers, and we (as a society via our elected government) have to make choices which will lead to deaths and suffering for people who (like your son, you, me and everyone else) are blameless. Too much to discuss here, but I think we have to start relaxing the restrictions after the current three week period, whilst keeping in place measures to protect those who deem themselves especially vulnerable. People use too easily the expression "lives are more important than the economy"; the two are closely linked. There are many people who (like myself in the emergency services) are lucky as we are in jobs which continue to be paid, but some in this situation fail to appreciate how shattering it is for individuals and families when their income suddenly disappears and they have no money. In a way, the "Stay at Home - Protect the NHS - Save Lives" has been a victim of its own success, as it has spooked a lot of people into thinking we can't try to resume some form of "normality" for several months and made them petrified of returning to work or going out when the time comes to do so; but I think we have to start soon, otherwise the catastrophe will greater than whatever the virus is achieving.
Wishing you and everyone the best in these difficult times
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PMQuote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"
But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.
As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).
Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PM
the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PMQuote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PMQuote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"
But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.
As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).
Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?
Really? You've not looked at enough of my posts then. My point was (and it was made prior to this recent run of articles saying the same thing) that the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff.
I didn't want to go down this route and point it out so obviously as it may be provocative still for some, but you asked.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PMQuote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PMQuote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"
But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.
As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).
Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?
Really? You've not looked at enough of my posts then. My point was (and it was made prior to this recent run of articles saying the same thing) that the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff.
I didn't want to go down this route and point it out so obviously as it may be provocative still for some, but you asked.
Quote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 03:08:52 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 01:59:16 PMQuote from: FFC1987 on April 20, 2020, 01:30:25 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:43:51 PMQuote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 12:30:39 PMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 12:20:33 PM
Surely now, no one could deny or overlook what's been going on? Oh. I see. Okay...
As a supplement to my current routine of sitting in my study all day pretending to work remotely, I'd love nothing more than a thoughtful discussion of "what's been going on"
But that would involve you articulating something specific and reasoned, with reference to facts and data. Some numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation, independent analysis... that sort of thing. Which hasn't been your forte thus far.
As you rightly point out; numbers, dates, direct quotes, coherent explanation and analysis are not really my forte. So I simply draw your attention to articles in the publications referenced in my previous post. They should contain all you need (if read with an open mind).
Having read your last few posts, you've linked articles, but not really an opinion. Whats the actual point being argued here?
Really? You've not looked at enough of my posts then. My point was (and it was made prior to this recent run of articles saying the same thing) that the government have handled this appallingly, from start to finish and have contributed through, at best incompetence and/or arrogance or, at worst, wilful negligence, towards the shockingly high number of deaths and death of frontline care staff.
I didn't want to go down this route and point it out so obviously as it may be provocative still for some, but you asked.
I have, but having left this discussion after it got heated last time, I think some of it has gone slightly awry and didn't make sense to me and thought I'd try and and ask, politely, whats specifically being argued here. I don't think what you said is beyond the pale, or really, too provocative compared to posts that are now gone. It's probably fair that things have been done, badly, too slowly, and poorly coordinated but i'm sure the government have done good things too. I still reserve judgement till, after all this, a thorough postmortem will be done and we'll see much more, good and bad.I think the only thing I'd add is, its abundantly clear is, the NHS hasn't had the funding or the management it deserves and I hope this will be our main priority going forward.
Stay safe everyone and be nice, its hard enough as it is.
Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM
Point 2: although I buy the ST I didn't read the article
Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM
Also Point 2: I knew it was a load of clowns who thought now what can we criticise the government for in their handling of a crisis unprecedented in 300 years.
Point 4: most COBRA meetings do not include the PM. But hey, let's just say he's lazy for not attending every one.
Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM
Point 3: Why is anyone taking Prof Ferguson seriously? Take a look at his track record: BSE, his forecast 150k dead, actual deaths 200; bird flu, his forecast 200 million deaths, actual deaths 450. The man's a joke, but of course he feeds certain journalists just the ammunition they want.
Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 03:16:05 PM
For the same reason I won't be reading any more of your posts.
Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 04:04:30 PM
Couldn't resist one more, but promise it's the last!
You seem to be addicted to newspaper articles so read the leader in today's Telegraph regarding my point about the NHS being the procurement body. Or maybe you only want to quote newspapers that support your rants? Who exactly do you think orders PPE? MPs? Civil servants? No, it's the NHS! The government has now got involved because the NHS are incompetent - and before you start I'm referring to the bureaucrats not the nurses and doctors.
I won't bother with the rest of your reply.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 20, 2020, 04:19:05 PMMagicians? Hilarious. The Telegraph is behind a firewall so I suppose you have an excuse not to read another slant on this. Here's the relevant bit:Quote from: GloucesterWhite on April 20, 2020, 04:04:30 PM
Couldn't resist one more, but promise it's the last!
You seem to be addicted to newspaper articles so read the leader in today's Telegraph regarding my point about the NHS being the procurement body. Or maybe you only want to quote newspapers that support your rants? Who exactly do you think orders PPE? MPs? Civil servants? No, it's the NHS! The government has now got involved because the NHS are incompetent - and before you start I'm referring to the bureaucrats not the nurses and doctors.
I won't bother with the rest of your reply.
I... I... I'm not sure where to even begin. The bureaucrats, as you so put it, are magicians. Deserving of every bit as much praise as the frontline staff for saving the governments skin and somehow keeping the NHS going. Certainly in response to this. Have a look at the reports from 2006 when pandemic response plans were tested and we were, to quote, 'the envy of the world' in our actions and resources. Look again at the 2016 outcome, following over half a decade of austerity cuts and underfunding and it's a massive red warning. Was any action taken based on that? No sir, it was not. And that is the very least of the complaints in a very long list!
It's not unpatriotic to ask questions of our government, it's the opposite. It shouldn't be brushed away or shut down. Otherwise, where would we end up? History (and hell, even a couple modern day!) has examples of that...
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AMYou believe wrong. I believe it is actually important to fact check before making statements, so here are the facts as of now, re. NY State and NY City (i.e. Manhattan, Queens, the Bronx, Brooklyn and Staten Island).Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.
I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.
In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.
Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 04:40:19 PM
You believe wrong. I believe it is actually important to fact check before making statements, so here are the facts as of now, re. NY State and NY City (i.e. Manhattan, Queens, the Bronx, Brooklyn and Staten Island).
NYS 18,298 dead and 248,431 cases
NYC 14,451 dead and 138,700 cases
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 05:23:27 PM
FWIW this is the German antibodies testing study which indicated 14% of people in one German town had been infected with coronavirus and the true mortality rate was likely around 0.37%
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/09/999015/blood-tests-show-15-of-people-are-now-immune-to-covid-19-in-one-town-in-germany/
Cuomo has just announced that they're going to carry out the same exercise in New York so we'll see what that shows soon
https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/amid-ongoing-covid-19-pandemic-governor-cuomo-announces-statewide-antibody-testing-survey-will
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 09:21:12 AMQuote from: The Rational Fan on April 20, 2020, 06:59:32 AM
I completely disagree with your logic that "the lockdown should end", because the "official statistics are wrong"
(1) I didn't say "the lockdown should end"
(2) I didn't say the "official statistics are wrong". The "official statistics" are for the number of hospitalisations and deaths, which is a completely different metric to the mortality rate of the disease. No one involved in compiling and publishing those stats is holding them out as the latter. It's like having a debate about how many Fulham fans there are worldwide and you saying the "official statistic" is 1,200 because that's how many we took to Bristol away last month.
Quote from: Milo on April 21, 2020, 02:28:46 AM
Trying to keep the thread alive but having to edit quite a few posts that have boiled over.
Please try to keep civil.
Quote from: Peabody on April 21, 2020, 08:06:20 AM+1. well said Peabody!
My first contribution to this thread. Why not be grateful that you all are still able to write your opinions on this subject, that you are still able to be isolated and be able to work from home, that you are able to go out and take your daily exercise, that you are still able to struggle to find a food shopping slot. We all have so much to be grateful for. There will be more worry about when this evil virus has left us but in the meantime, let's just celebrate that we have so far, avoided getting the virus and long may that continue.
Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 08:41:18 AMQuote from: Peabody on April 21, 2020, 08:06:20 AM+1. well said Peabody!
My first contribution to this thread. Why not be grateful that you all are still able to write your opinions on this subject, that you are still able to be isolated and be able to work from home, that you are able to go out and take your daily exercise, that you are still able to struggle to find a food shopping slot. We all have so much to be grateful for. There will be more worry about when this evil virus has left us but in the meantime, let's just celebrate that we have so far, avoided getting the virus and long may that continue.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 09:19:37 AM
Just a quick one to say I agree with the two points made above (F(f)CUK and Peabody).
Good job to the mods for keeping it going and allowing people to exchange views. It's a really difficult one as its not football or Fulham related so should usually have no place (such as election chat and so on) but its so all consuming and huge (those of us fortunate enough to have been born after the war have never known anything of this magnitude and impact) that its always going to resurface in discussions. And, I don't know, maybe in a weird way, talking about it, even disagreeing and seeing other viewpoints, helps in a way.
Also agree with Peabody. We are fortunate. Very fortunate when you look at the impact this has on people here with less stable finances and/or work, and certainly those who have become ill or whose family/friends/loved ones have. Even more so, perhaps, when you consider countries less well off where there is no furloughed salaries, where there is no readily available internet (for arguing with people who support the same side and are therefore, ordinarily, on the same side as you), no Netflix, no open spaces, supermarkets, etc, etc, etc.
I'll leave it with one final positive thought: Just think of that first Friday night when the pubs are back open! The vibe and spirit will be unreal. Like one big street party I imagine. And the first game back at the cottage with the usual afternoon spent in related boozers. Hell, even the toilets in the Lion will seem palatial and a rare treat after this!
I wish you all a good day.
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 21, 2020, 11:14:50 AMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 09:19:37 AM
Just a quick one to say I agree with the two points made above (F(f)CUK and Peabody).
Good job to the mods for keeping it going and allowing people to exchange views. It's a really difficult one as its not football or Fulham related so should usually have no place (such as election chat and so on) but its so all consuming and huge (those of us fortunate enough to have been born after the war have never known anything of this magnitude and impact) that its always going to resurface in discussions. And, I don't know, maybe in a weird way, talking about it, even disagreeing and seeing other viewpoints, helps in a way.
Also agree with Peabody. We are fortunate. Very fortunate when you look at the impact this has on people here with less stable finances and/or work, and certainly those who have become ill or whose family/friends/loved ones have. Even more so, perhaps, when you consider countries less well off where there is no furloughed salaries, where there is no readily available internet (for arguing with people who support the same side and are therefore, ordinarily, on the same side as you), no Netflix, no open spaces, supermarkets, etc, etc, etc.
I'll leave it with one final positive thought: Just think of that first Friday night when the pubs are back open! The vibe and spirit will be unreal. Like one big street party I imagine. And the first game back at the cottage with the usual afternoon spent in related boozers. Hell, even the toilets in the Lion will seem palatial and a rare treat after this!
I wish you all a good day.
You were doing alright until you mentioned the toilets in the Lion.
Quote from: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 11:36:53 AMQuote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 21, 2020, 11:14:50 AMQuote from: ByTheRiver on April 21, 2020, 09:19:37 AM
Just a quick one to say I agree with the two points made above (F(f)CUK and Peabody).
Good job to the mods for keeping it going and allowing people to exchange views. It's a really difficult one as its not football or Fulham related so should usually have no place (such as election chat and so on) but its so all consuming and huge (those of us fortunate enough to have been born after the war have never known anything of this magnitude and impact) that its always going to resurface in discussions. And, I don't know, maybe in a weird way, talking about it, even disagreeing and seeing other viewpoints, helps in a way.
Also agree with Peabody. We are fortunate. Very fortunate when you look at the impact this has on people here with less stable finances and/or work, and certainly those who have become ill or whose family/friends/loved ones have. Even more so, perhaps, when you consider countries less well off where there is no furloughed salaries, where there is no readily available internet (for arguing with people who support the same side and are therefore, ordinarily, on the same side as you), no Netflix, no open spaces, supermarkets, etc, etc, etc.
I'll leave it with one final positive thought: Just think of that first Friday night when the pubs are back open! The vibe and spirit will be unreal. Like one big street party I imagine. And the first game back at the cottage with the usual afternoon spent in related boozers. Hell, even the toilets in the Lion will seem palatial and a rare treat after this!
I wish you all a good day.
You were doing alright until you mentioned the toilets in the Lion.
:005:
The one part of the pub so desperately in need of a refurb (or a cleaning from someone in a hazmat suit) completely missed out and overlooked in the refurb. You really couldn't make it up!
In related news, The Bricklayers is in trouble. We need to do something to help there if we can. Can't let that go. I vary my boozers on match days but the brick is my favourite (based mostly on ale!).
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 05:11:23 PMAn app called News Break that breaks down US cases by State and State cases by city/county. The State figure I quoted tracks with JHU stats which are generally considered the best source.Quote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 04:40:19 PM
You believe wrong. I believe it is actually important to fact check before making statements, so here are the facts as of now, re. NY State and NY City (i.e. Manhattan, Queens, the Bronx, Brooklyn and Staten Island).
NYS 18,298 dead and 248,431 cases
NYC 14,451 dead and 138,700 cases
Could you share the source for that?
The NY Times coverage of Cuomo's latest press conference here says "Deaths statewide: down for the sixth straight day, to 478, bringing the total number of deaths to 14,347."
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/nyregion/coronavirus-new-york-update.html
Nothing in the rest of your post appears to relate to anything I said and I'm trying to avoid political, ethical and generally opinion-based debates so I've not responded to that.
Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.
Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.
Quote from: Holders on April 21, 2020, 07:39:20 PMIt is possible that part of the spread in Cornwall is likely to have been caused by people travelling down here to stay in their 2nd homes, agree that there should be statistics available to report on cases/deaths per regional population. Not sure about complacency, stupidity maybe?Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.
Do you find, Dave, that there is a degree of complacency and denial in the SW? We see the graph daily that shows us at the bottom of the chart and London at the top but it's not adjusted for population which would show us higher. One wonders where those people near you might have got it over the past four weeks if they're only going out for shopping.
People who go into the village shop where my partner works are in and out several times a day for booze and fags and things as trivial as lottery tickets and scratchcards, It beggars belief.
Keep safe.
Quote from: davew on April 22, 2020, 07:45:56 AMQuote from: Holders on April 21, 2020, 07:39:20 PMIt is possible that part of the spread in Cornwall is likely to have been caused by people travelling down here to stay in their 2nd homes, agree that there should be statistics available to report on cases/deaths per regional population. Not sure about complacency, stupidity maybe?Quote from: davew on April 21, 2020, 06:53:48 PM
The stat´s in Cornwall are better than most parts of the UK and yet the family next door to me (6 people) and the family across the road (2 pensioners...like me) have both had the Covid symptons, on that basis it is far more wide spread than we know, shame as testing would have revealed more! Got to keep a lid on what I think about the whole situation, otherwise I might get in trouble on here! My views are changing by the day, not for the better!! Scrap the daily Government briefings, total waste of time, so we make the best of what we can do during the day, enjoy the weather even though confined to being home and then have to listen to the same rubbish, night after night and then become more depressed. Hurry back Boris, I am sure you will cheer us all up.
Do you find, Dave, that there is a degree of complacency and denial in the SW? We see the graph daily that shows us at the bottom of the chart and London at the top but it's not adjusted for population which would show us higher. One wonders where those people near you might have got it over the past four weeks if they're only going out for shopping.
People who go into the village shop where my partner works are in and out several times a day for booze and fags and things as trivial as lottery tickets and scratchcards, It beggars belief.
Keep safe.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 22, 2020, 09:32:58 AMThank you for that , much better information than we get on TV at 5pmm.
"agree that there should be statistics available to report on cases/deaths per regional population" Doesn't this give you that?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51768274
Quote from: rebel on April 22, 2020, 08:23:37 AM
The virus started in China (Wuhan), spread to Italy (possibly students who studied in China or possibly through Chinese backed infra-structure projects) and Iran (possibly through Chinese backed infra-structure projects).
Those two countries were hit very early with Covid-19. Chinese has a infra-structure projects scheme (it's a dubious scheme, where projects could easily fall back into the hands of the Chinese, if payments aren't made).
Two countries who signed up to the scheme are Italy (only European country to do so) and Iran.
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 22, 2020, 07:23:39 PMThe lights will be stuck on red for a long time yet, a light at the end of the tunnel ... won´t go there!!
They are introducing a Stop Go Man to replace Traffic Lights, as he will ensure nobody jumps them.
Quote from: Holders on April 23, 2020, 04:48:09 PM
To the above, one could add Cruft's around the same time with 155,000 attendees from 55 countries.
Quote from: Statto on April 23, 2020, 05:42:11 PMSo Heathrow should have been restricted earlier.Quote from: Holders on April 23, 2020, 04:48:09 PM
To the above, one could add Cruft's around the same time with 155,000 attendees from 55 countries.
Less than Heathrow airport gets in one day...
Quote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant :doh:
Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PMQuote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant :doh:
Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PMHave you actually viewed the press conference and heard exactly what he said? And now he claims that he was 'being sarcastic to reporters'. 064.gifQuote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PMQuote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant :doh:
Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach
Haha yes exactly.
But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 06:22:35 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PMHave you actually viewed the press conference and heard exactly what he said?Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PMQuote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant :doh:
Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach
Haha yes exactly.
But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Quote"And then I see the disinfectant, which knocks it out in a minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection? Or almost a cleaning?"
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 07:07:28 PMerrm, the words disinfectant, iniection?Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 06:22:35 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PMHave you actually viewed the press conference and heard exactly what he said?Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PMQuote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant :doh:
Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach
Haha yes exactly.
But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Yes, what made you doubt this? The words I've heard are:Quote"And then I see the disinfectant, which knocks it out in a minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection? Or almost a cleaning?"
While this is not well articulated, I'm not sure how anyone could take "we should inject disinfectant / cleaning-fluid / bleach" from that.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 07:39:06 PMQuote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 07:07:28 PMerrm, the words disinfectant, iniection?Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 06:22:35 PM
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PMHave you actually viewed the press conference and heard exactly what he said?Quote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PMQuote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant :doh:
Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach
Haha yes exactly.
But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Yes, what made you doubt this? The words I've heard are:Quote"And then I see the disinfectant, which knocks it out in a minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection? Or almost a cleaning?"
While this is not well articulated, I'm not sure how anyone could take "we should inject disinfectant / cleaning-fluid / bleach" from that.
[/url]...WHAT pic.twitter.com/CCOYIsfSm7
— Pod Save America (@PodSaveAmerica) April 23, 2020
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 08:03:55 PMThe premise of my posts were based on the sentences Trump said and the context behind them. Not on the reaction of Dr Birx or any other person present, as interesting as that may be.
No, I saw the press conference, and the reaction of Dr Birx as Trump came out with his remarks.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 08:03:55 PMSounds like a straw-man argument. I've made no such claim and even removed that part of your quote so as to avoid conflation.
Are you also claiming that he was being sarcastic?
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PMWell you may think that, I may think that but I bet that a majority of Americans will vote to give him another term in office.
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 09:00:15 PMYou couldn't be more specific than the entire quote? On further reflection I can see how this may be taken literally rather than figuratively, as his usage of "something like" and "almost a" leaves the statement open to interpretation (I did acknowledge in a previous post that it is not well articulated).
"I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning? Because you see it gets in the lungs, and it does a tremendous number on the lungs. So it would be interesting to check that."
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 09:00:15 PMI agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.
While you can ignore the reference to sarcasm, this is what he said today. "I was asking a question sarcastically to reporters just like you, just to see what would happen. I was asking a sarcastic and a very sarcastic question to the reporters in the room about disinfectant on the inside. But it does kill it and it would kill it on the hands, and it would make things much better."
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 09:00:15 PM
"I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning? Because you see it gets in the lungs, and it does a tremendous number on the lungs. So it would be interesting to check that."
While you can ignore the reference to sarcasm, this is what he said today. "I was asking a question sarcastically to reporters just like you, just to see what would happen. I was asking a sarcastic and a very sarcastic question to the reporters in the room about disinfectant on the inside. But it does kill it and it would kill it on the hands, and it would make things much better."
Seems clear to me.
Quote from: filham on April 24, 2020, 09:23:24 PMQuote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PMWell you may think that, I may think that but I bet that a majority of Americans will vote to give him another term in office.
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Quote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.
Quote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.
Quote from: Twig on April 25, 2020, 11:16:19 AMQuote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.
The most evil people on earth? If they are your definition of "most evil" then you have strange values.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PMBrilliant Clean round the bend.Like domestos
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.
Quote from: mrmicawbers on April 25, 2020, 11:43:57 AMI thank you. I'm here all week. :003:Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 24, 2020, 04:44:31 PMBrilliant Clean round the bend.Like domestos
Trump is bonkers - clean round the bend.
Quote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AMExcellent
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.
Quote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 01:06:25 PMQuote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.
Fair comment, I was also disappointed with that, but he was fighting an impossible battle. As far as I can tell the Americans in a similar position to the UK after Br***t, and this crisis has just become a vehicle for the aggrieved half of the country (which, as it did over here, includes most of the media) to unleash 4 yrs of pent up bitterness. The reaction in our own press seems absurd (even this morning, the BBC has churned out more articles misrepresenting what he said) but over there it's off the scale. I watched one of his press conferences for a while and the tone taken by the journalists is unlike anything that would ever confront a UK PM, or even a shadow minister. Crazy situation considering the US is now leading the world in terms of testing numbers, ventilator availability etc.
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 25, 2020, 01:48:05 PMQuote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 01:06:25 PMQuote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.
Fair comment, I was also disappointed with that, but he was fighting an impossible battle. As far as I can tell the Americans in a similar position to the UK after Br***t, and this crisis has just become a vehicle for the aggrieved half of the country (which, as it did over here, includes most of the media) to unleash 4 yrs of pent up bitterness. The reaction in our own press seems absurd (even this morning, the BBC has churned out more articles misrepresenting what he said) but over there it's off the scale. I watched one of his press conferences for a while and the tone taken by the journalists is unlike anything that would ever confront a UK PM, or even a shadow minister. Crazy situation considering the US is now leading the world in terms of testing numbers, ventilator availability etc.
The BBC even decided to publish a fact check based on this misrepresentation:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464)
I don't know who their target audience is or whether it's in any way funded by UK TV License payers, but was this really necessary?
Quote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 02:26:13 PMQuote from: MikeTheCubed on April 25, 2020, 01:48:05 PMQuote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 01:06:25 PMQuote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 09:55:23 PM
I agree that his backtracking is absurd and foolish. He's dug himself in to a hole there.
Fair comment, I was also disappointed with that, but he was fighting an impossible battle. As far as I can tell the Americans in a similar position to the UK after Br***t, and this crisis has just become a vehicle for the aggrieved half of the country (which, as it did over here, includes most of the media) to unleash 4 yrs of pent up bitterness. The reaction in our own press seems absurd (even this morning, the BBC has churned out more articles misrepresenting what he said) but over there it's off the scale. I watched one of his press conferences for a while and the tone taken by the journalists is unlike anything that would ever confront a UK PM, or even a shadow minister. Crazy situation considering the US is now leading the world in terms of testing numbers, ventilator availability etc.
The BBC even decided to publish a fact check based on this misrepresentation:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52399464)
I don't know who their target audience is or whether it's in any way funded by UK TV License payers, but was this really necessary?
Yep, the fact-checking is one of my pet hates actually. One of those ways the BBC subtly, and probably unintentionally, deviates from neutrality. It sounds innocent but imagine you and I were among a crowd talking in a pub, and every time you finished a sentence, I said "I can confirm what Mike just said is true." Even if I was agreeing with you, the fact the I had to comment would totally undermine your credibility. And of course with Trump, they'll look for every opportunity to disagree. So for example when he said the US was testing more than anyone in the world, the BBC did a fact-check and said, yes they are testing the most overall, but not per capita. Which is fine, but then when Sir Jeremy Farrar said around the same time that the UK may be the worst affected country in Europe by Covid-19, did the BBC coverage include a fact-check and say maybe overall, but not per capita? Of course not.
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 11:25:22 AMQuote from: Twig on April 25, 2020, 11:16:19 AMQuote from: Russianrob on April 25, 2020, 10:20:16 AM
Slightly off track.Trump is no Saint but he did put a stop to the most evil people on earth- the Clintons.
The most evil people on earth? If they are your definition of "most evil" then you have strange values.
That statement may sound extreme, but If you could tap Mrs Clinton's telephone line you would be more understanding of what was meant, ask Monica Samille Lewinsky who did a good job in the White House whilst she was in attendance, ask Bill I am sure he would confirm.
Quote from: Mince n Tatties on April 25, 2020, 09:45:50 PMI for one hope that he goes on to Finish a 2nd term. But I do recognise there are many who'm it would bring great Comfort if he were to Vanish in a Flash.
Love Donald he's ace.
Quote from: davew on April 25, 2020, 09:39:13 PM
Your days are numbered as being the most incompetent President of the USA
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM😂😂😂😂😂😂
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.
Quote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.
Quote from: PaulUMD on April 26, 2020, 02:41:12 AM
He's a garbage human being, a sociopath without empathy or care for anyone but himself, a narcissist obsessed with his own vanity, a grown man with the attention span and intellectual curiosity of a toddler, and a giant idiot who has succeeded on the backs of others for his entire life.
Quote from: Statto on April 25, 2020, 10:15:07 PMGun Laws ?Quote from: davew on April 25, 2020, 09:39:13 PM
Your days are numbered as being the most incompetent President of the USA
FWIW the area of US policy that I perceive to affect me most is its response to climate change, and on that subject, my personal views and wishes seem to be the complete opposite of Trump's, and for that reason I'd love to see a different president over there in November.
But it won't happen, because he's not "incompetent" at all. On almost any reasonable metric (besides climate policy) he's done a decent job for them.
Quote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place
Quote from: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PMQuote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place
This, Well said Andy
Quote from: BarryP on April 27, 2020, 02:48:03 PMQuote from: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PMQuote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place
This, Well said Andy
In general this is hogwash since the man got fewer total votes than his opponent.
Quote from: BarryP on April 27, 2020, 02:48:03 PMBut a choice between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton is not a great offering. Friends of ours in the States were horrified at being in that situation, they couldn't bring themselves to vote for DT for a number of reasons but at the same time said that they couldn't 'reinforce the status quo of a self-serving establishment continuing to p*** their taxes up the wall.' The wonder of the US electoral system is that the electorate ended up with such desperately abysmal candidates.Quote from: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PMQuote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place
This, Well said Andy
In general this is hogwash since the man got fewer total votes than his opponent.
Quote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AMQuote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.
I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.
In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.
Quote from: Southcoastffc on April 27, 2020, 03:22:28 PMQuote from: BarryP on April 27, 2020, 02:48:03 PMBut a choice between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton is not a great offering. Friends of ours in the States were horrified at being in that situation, they couldn't bring themselves to vote for DT for a number of reasons but at the same time said that they couldn't 'reinforce the status quo of a self-serving establishment continuing to p*** their taxes up the wall.' The wonder of the US electoral system is that the electorate ended up with such desperately abysmal candidates.Quote from: HobGoblin on April 26, 2020, 07:51:04 PMQuote from: Andy S on April 26, 2020, 07:45:06 PM
I don't like the man but I will not get involved with American politics. I do think it shows what Americans are in general that they elected him in the first place
This, Well said Andy
In general this is hogwash since the man got fewer total votes than his opponent.
Quote from: Statto on April 27, 2020, 11:24:54 PMQuote from: Statto on April 20, 2020, 02:27:09 AMQuote from: Clebi on April 20, 2020, 01:22:02 AM
You say 0.37%. Of those infected or the total population? New York City has 8.77 million inhabitants and as of now 14,286 dead. That is 0.16% of the total population and we are only at the crest of the epidemic. Much more to come. So seems we are NOT talking about 0.37% of those infected that will die.
I believe the death toll you've quoted is for New York state (not only the city) which has a population of 20m. A 0.37% mortality rate among those infected and 14k deaths would imply that around 4m people, or 1 in 5 people in the state, have now been infected. I think that quite conceivable. FWIW I believe New York is by some distance the worst affected region in the developed world, proportionately.
In response to the last part of your post and some other posts above, I've not made any political or ethical points (although FWIW I think Plodder makes some good points) or disputed that people should be fearful. But a lot of the most extreme fearmongering is disconnected from the facts and numbers, (and often a little politically-motivated) and I don't see how that sort of talk can do anything positive.
And there you have it - antibodies testing indicating 1 in 4 in NYC may have already been infected with coronavirus, which would imply a similarly low mortality rate to the German testing...
https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/cuomo-outlines-reopening-roadmap-for-new-york-as-daily-deaths-hit-lowest-level-in-weeks/2390949/
Quote from: Jem on April 28, 2020, 09:26:22 AM
I can't help but smile when I think of the BBC and fact checking. Here is a video showing how they edited the video of Trump's briefing. Things are not always quite what they seem. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aFXdWWiF0oU
Quote from: Logicalman on April 28, 2020, 03:54:27 PM
.. and US (or anyplace else) Politics per se has nothing to do with this thread, so let's keep it on point please lads & lasses. We all appreciate that it is the Politicians that make decisions, right or wrong, but discussing the decisions is one thing, discussing the persons performance over the past 3.5 years is something different.
Quote from: PaulUMD on April 26, 2020, 02:41:12 AMQuote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.
I'm sorry...what? He has certainly done more things than Obama...more immigrant children in cages, separated from their parents and family, more tax cuts for the rich, a much higher budget deficit (long before emergency measures due to COVID-19), more love letters and calls with dictators from Kim Jong Un to his best buddy Vlad, more business deals for his company and his kids as bribes for Trump's attention and gratitude, etc.
He's a garbage human being, a sociopath without empathy or care for anyone but himself, a narcissist obsessed with his own vanity, a grown man with the attention span and intellectual curiosity of a toddler, and a giant idiot who has succeeded on the backs of others for his entire life. For months he reminded us every day at those press conferences, and his approval rating has suffered appropriately. He'll always have his 40ish% of Republicans who feast on his brand of white, Christian grievance politics and they will stick with him until the end. But luckily, as things stand, it appears the end will be in November and not in 2024. His predictably incompetent response to the pandemic has likely sealed his fate, though crazier things have happened.
Quote from: Twig on April 28, 2020, 06:05:42 PMQuote from: PaulUMD on April 26, 2020, 02:41:12 AMQuote from: Woolly Mammoth on April 25, 2020, 10:24:51 PM
Donald Trump will more than likely serve a second term, as he has done more for the American people in 4 years what Obama did in 8 years.
I'm sorry...what? He has certainly done more things than Obama...more immigrant children in cages, separated from their parents and family, more tax cuts for the rich, a much higher budget deficit (long before emergency measures due to COVID-19), more love letters and calls with dictators from Kim Jong Un to his best buddy Vlad, more business deals for his company and his kids as bribes for Trump's attention and gratitude, etc.
He's a garbage human being, a sociopath without empathy or care for anyone but himself, a narcissist obsessed with his own vanity, a grown man with the attention span and intellectual curiosity of a toddler, and a giant idiot who has succeeded on the backs of others for his entire life. For months he reminded us every day at those press conferences, and his approval rating has suffered appropriately. He'll always have his 40ish% of Republicans who feast on his brand of white, Christian grievance politics and they will stick with him until the end. But luckily, as things stand, it appears the end will be in November and not in 2024. His predictably incompetent response to the pandemic has likely sealed his fate, though crazier things have happened.
This will probably get removed but I completely agree. Well said.
Quote from: MikeTheCubed on April 24, 2020, 03:29:50 PMQuote from: Statto on April 24, 2020, 03:20:58 PMQuote from: F(f)CUK on April 24, 2020, 02:51:27 PM
Disinfectant...disinfectant...disinfectant :doh:
Trump yesterday - we're looking at creative solutions, for example light and certain chemicals kill the virus so we're exploring solutions based on that
Media today - Trump tells everyone to drink bleach
Haha yes exactly.
But apparently he "shouldn't have said it" because his "ill-informed followers will harm themself". Perfectly ok for the media to misconstrue his words...
Quote from: RaySmith on May 01, 2020, 09:09:59 AM
Not really possible to discuss this subject, or other controversial, relevant subjects, such as the Holocaust - a recently deleted thread - without it being political, because people have fiercely opposing views on these things, usually related to which side of the political spectrum they inhabit.
There is no 'objective' point of view on these matters.
I am certain that the BBC isn't biased towards the left, and anti-Trump or Brexit, as its opponents think, but that is their reality.
People on the Left think the BBC is biased against them.
These days Truth seems to be in the eye of the beholder.
[/url]I was one of those who spoke to Panorama and put them in touch with health workers. They told me that they would not let them down and would tell the truth. They did. You should all watch it #Panorama #coronavirus Shame on anyone who believes the Govt now
— Nigel Flanagan (@NigelUNI) April 27, 2020
QuoteI was one of those who spoke to Panorama and put them in touch with health workers. They told me that they would not let them down and would tell the truth. They did. You should all watch it #Panorama #coronavirus Shame on anyone who believes the Govt now
QuoteFor the avoidance of any doubt. The BBC +Channel 4 researchers who contacted me (I have kept the messages) never asked my politics or asked for Labour supporters. They only wanted to talk to key workers. They made an honest documentary. Good on them! #coronavirus #BBCPanorama
Quote from: RaySmith on May 01, 2020, 09:09:59 AM
Not really possible to discuss this subject, or other controversial, relevant subjects, such as the Holocaust - a recently deleted thread - without it being political, because people have fiercely opposing views on these things, usually related to which side of the political spectrum they inhabit.
There is no 'objective' point of view on these matters.
I am certain that the BBC isn't biased towards the left, and anti-Trump or Brexit, as its opponents think, but that is their reality.
People on the Left think the BBC is biased against them.
These days Truth seems to be in the eye of the beholder.
Quote from: Twig on May 01, 2020, 10:32:45 AM:plus one: This discussion is reminiscent of the old, often quoted, story. Chap asks accountant "What's the answer?" Accountant replies "What would you like the answer to be?" It seems these days that your truth may not be my truth. People select quotes, news, data to reinforce individual prejudices.Quote from: RaySmith on May 01, 2020, 09:09:59 AM
Not really possible to discuss this subject, or other controversial, relevant subjects, such as the Holocaust - a recently deleted thread - without it being political, because people have fiercely opposing views on these things, usually related to which side of the political spectrum they inhabit.
There is no 'objective' point of view on these matters.
I am certain that the BBC isn't biased towards the left, and anti-Trump or Brexit, as its opponents think, but that is their reality.
People on the Left think the BBC is biased against them.
These days Truth seems to be in the eye of the beholder.
Spot on
Quote from: Statto on May 01, 2020, 09:22:18 AM
There is absolutely such a thing as objective truth on most matters. For example, whether two statements are contradictory is a matter of language and logic, not opinion.
I agree, and have always said, the BBC isn't *intentionally* biased. Their Brexit coverage was awful at times, but I won't go into specifics on that. Corbyn wasn't my cup of tea but I fully accept he probably got misrepresented by the BBC at times. So yes it cuts both ways generally.
But it's coverage of Trump is certainly biased, albeit unintentionally, and much of its general coverage of this crisis has been woeful, unhelpful, selective, misguided and/or sensationalist fear-mongering.
Quote from: rebel on May 01, 2020, 11:55:06 AMQuote from: Statto on May 01, 2020, 09:22:18 AM
There is absolutely such a thing as objective truth on most matters. For example, whether two statements are contradictory is a matter of language and logic, not opinion.
I agree, and have always said, the BBC isn't *intentionally* biased. Their Brexit coverage was awful at times, but I won't go into specifics on that. Corbyn wasn't my cup of tea but I fully accept he probably got misrepresented by the BBC at times. So yes it cuts both ways generally.
But it's coverage of Trump is certainly biased, albeit unintentionally, and much of its general coverage of this crisis has been woeful, unhelpful, selective, misguided and/or sensationalist fear-mongering.
Sky News was mega biased in the UK election. They brought over Diana Magnay from Russia to cover the election. She covered the Labour Party. Her reports covering the Labour Party followed a clear methodology, all the Labour daily woes were tagged on each day, this went on for weeks. The reporter covering the Conservative Party had a totally different and balanced way of reporting the days events.