Current Relegation Probability

[Jimsbeerbelly]

Team                 Relegation Probability

Hull City            63.5%

Coventry City        58.9%

Ipswich Town         35.9%

Sunderland           35.7%

Crystal Palace       25.2%

Nottingham Forest    20.6%

Fulham               16.0%


This is based on ChatGBT looking at all the probabilities, along with the bookies, who currently have us at handsome 9/2.

Not sure what they are looking at when it comes to Hull, maybe squad depth, fixtures, who are currently sat in 10th on 10pts. 

[Jim©]

Maybe they watched them against us, where it should have been 4-0. They were utterly useless, the worst Prem team I've seen for a while.

[Fulham 1879]

The odds in the first post above don't include Man City being relegated. The bookies have them slight odds on, so hopefully it's Man City, Hull and Coventry for the drop.

[Kingjay81]

Be interesting to see this again after the next 6 games, 4 of which are very loseable away at Villa, Man City, Spurs and Everton. The Newcastle and Bournemouth home games could be huge for us.

[Jules]

Be interesting to see this again after the next 6 games, 4 of which are very loseable away at Villa, Man City, Spurs and Everton. The Newcastle and Bournemouth home games could be huge for us.

Hmm these are all tricky. I cant see more than 2 or 3 points from that lot.

[Woolly Mammoth]

Too early to talk about relegation. Too much Doom Mongering. Let other clubs do the worrying.
We should be talking about winning the FA Cup, as it is about time we did, and it is the quickest route to winning silverware and glory, especially for the players.

[cookieg]

Be interesting to see this again after the next 6 games, 4 of which are very loseable away at Villa, Man City, Spurs and Everton. The Newcastle and Bournemouth home games could be huge for us.

If they are loseable for us they are loseable for a lot of teams.

[_Putney_]

Hull started the season so well

[perry geyton]

Why are Manchester Utd. not in the mix ?
They are absolutely atrocious, not much better then Hull

[WindyCity]

Thinkin' the same thing.  I really thought ManU was gonna be much better this season, and it still may happen.  Right now, pretty poor.  Getting smoked again today....

[hopper]

Thinkin' the same thing.  I really thought ManU was gonna be much better this season, and it still may happen.  Right now, pretty poor.  Getting smoked again today....

You're right on form - but they're still a team that finished third last year with superstars, so it's not to be expected they'll seriously threaten relegation. Imagine if this stink continues and they do end up in a relegation battle, would be amazing.

Good chance only 19th and 20th goes down this season should City get a big punishment.

[WindyCity]

Thinkin' the same thing.  I really thought ManU was gonna be much better this season, and it still may happen.  Right now, pretty poor.  Getting smoked again today....

You're right on form - but they're still a team that finished third last year with superstars, so it's not to be expected they'll seriously threaten relegation. Imagine if this stink continues and they do end up in a relegation battle, would be amazing. Good chance only 19th and 20th goes down this season should City get a big punishment.

Been reading some speculation on City punishment.  Have seen anywhere from 30 to 50 points.  Quite frankly I feel 30-40 is not nearly enough, basically a slap on the hand.  Embarrassing really.  50 points seems more a fair punishment, but whatever it is has to see them in the Champ next season.  In addition, there would be a one year transfer ban imposed, they can sell players, but can't buy, will have to rely on youth players and keeping some of the existing.  I've heard some think that is too harsh.  I don't.

[hopper]

Thinkin' the same thing.  I really thought ManU was gonna be much better this season, and it still may happen.  Right now, pretty poor.  Getting smoked again today....

You're right on form - but they're still a team that finished third last year with superstars, so it's not to be expected they'll seriously threaten relegation. Imagine if this stink continues and they do end up in a relegation battle, would be amazing. Good chance only 19th and 20th goes down this season should City get a big punishment.

Been reading some speculation on City punishment.  Have seen anywhere from 30 to 50 points.  Quite frankly I feel 30-40 is not nearly enough, basically a slap on the hand.  Embarrassing really.  50 points seems more a fair punishment, but whatever it is has to see them in the Champ next season.  In addition, there would be a one year transfer ban imposed, they can sell players, but can't buy, will have to rely on youth players and keeping some of the existing.  I've heard some think that is too harsh.  I don't.

I would have wanted it to be more like 60-70 to ensure relegation personally.

There's a pretty reasonable chance that through Champions League, FA Cup and Carabao they can qualify for Europe next season too.

[Jules]

Relegation to the championship isn't nearly enough for City. They need to go down to League 2 and work their way back from there. Transfer bans and sizeable fines on top. Anything less and its a complete farce and the premier league risk damaging the integrity of the sport.

[WindyCity]

Can't argue with the above commentary re ManCity.  I do believe it should be harsh, very harsh.  But a lot of the speculation I've been reading does not suggest something as harsh as banishment to one of the lower tiers.  When all said and done (maybe next year?) I think many of us will be disappointed.  I still see City getting basically a slap on the wrist.

Another thing I never see talked about - The harm in world football.  All the trophies won and not won as result from losing to City in European football.  They should be howling.  And thinking why can't UK/FA keep their own freaking house in order????  There has been harm caused in the Premier League, BUT, also throughout Europe as well........

[SP]

The Palace board is in meltdown tonight, Sage needs a win from somewhere.

[sunburywhite]

The Palace board is in meltdown tonight, Sage needs a win from somewhere.

And to think Sage was one of the names in the hat to replace Marco

[SP]

Sunderland seem to be picking up a few injuries

[Jim©]

The Palace board is in meltdown tonight, Sage needs a win from somewhere.

They'll be worried then that they're not playing at Craven Cottage anytime soon.

[Woolly Mammoth]

The Palace board is in meltdown tonight, Sage needs a win from somewhere.

And to think Sage was one of the names in the hat to replace Marco

That was Sage & Onion.