Who is most desperate for 3 points on Boxing Day, Fulham or West Ham

[ImperialWhite]

Fulham at home, last 6 agg: 6(Fulham)-8(away side) =        1 - 1.3 (mean)
West Ham away, last 6 agg: 9 (homeside)-4(West Ham) =   1.5 - 0.7 (mean)

Put that up there, not really sure how to interpret it. That both teams aren't all that? Our record suggests that we should score one, but West Ham's record says we should score 1.5. So let's chalk that up as between 1 and 2 goals for us. Our record says that we should concede 1.3, but their away record says they'll only score 0.7. So let's chalk that up as 1 goal for West Ham.

Fulham (1-1.5)  West Ham (0.7-1.3)

Fulham have scored in 5/6, but have score twice only 1/6.
West Ham have scored in 3/6 games.

So...if West Ham don't score we're probably fine. We usually score at least one goal. However, if they do score (and it's about 50:50) than we're probably in trouble, because we don't score twice very often (only twice all season, in fact).

*pop* (sound of brain exploding).

Is this the science behind a draw IW?!

There's a special prize if anyone can figure out what I was going on about...

(although I stand by the last bit -

So...if West Ham don't score we're probably fine. We usually score at least one goal. However, if they do score (and it's about 50:50) than we're probably in trouble, because we don't score twice very often (only twice all season, in fact).

-although we're good enough to go after West Ham, we should be patient. If we push too hard then they suddenly go get us on the counter we could be in trouble - because they'd be very very happy to sit on a goal. Like the Birmingham game.)

[King_Crud]

What time is the game? Website says 12pm but my pocket guide says 1pm