Friends of Fulham

General Category => General Discussion => Topic started by: Tempest on May 08, 2018, 01:11:25 PM

Title: Finishing 3rd and winning play offs
Post by: Tempest on May 08, 2018, 01:11:25 PM
Is not unusual but statistically as of 2016 (as per sky sports) 10 teams have done it and 17 times 3rd place has failed. Apparently the team with the momentum is also a bigger favourite,  worked well last year! Personally if we beat Derby we'll win the final, ideally against Villa, think they are a little more open than Boro,  I'm just a little worried about being 3-0 down from the first leg!

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Title: Re: Finishing 3rd and winning play offs
Post by: Stoneleigh Loyalist on May 08, 2018, 03:06:22 PM
When we beat Villa 2-0 they had Grealish and another forward missing. Not unbeatable, but they missed thoughts two badly.
Title: Re: Finishing 3rd and winning play offs
Post by: Stoneleigh Loyalist on May 08, 2018, 03:08:28 PM
Bad typing  and  spellcheck playing tricks - Those two badly
Title: Re: Finishing 3rd and winning play offs
Post by: Bassey the warrior on May 08, 2018, 04:02:21 PM
It's a shame we lost and Derby won, but my hope is we catch them complacent whereas we are really fired up. I hope KMac has given everyone an earful.
Title: Re: Finishing 3rd and winning play offs
Post by: Marcel_Gecov on May 08, 2018, 04:10:24 PM
Quote from: Stoneleigh Loyalist on May 08, 2018, 03:06:22 PM
When we beat Villa 2-0 they had Grealish and another forward missing. Not unbeatable, but they missed thoughts two badly.

To be fair, Grealish isn't someone to be afraid of. 8 goals in 2 seasons in the championship as an attacking midfielder is frankly awful for a player who prem teams are still looking at. Like Berahino seems to be another one whose brand is bigger than their accomplishments...
Title: Re: Finishing 3rd and winning play offs
Post by: Twig on May 08, 2018, 05:59:35 PM
I checked and more 3rd place sides have won the Championship play offs than any other of the positions (9 times).
Title: Re: Finishing 3rd and winning play offs
Post by: filham on May 08, 2018, 06:41:27 PM
Remember we finished 13 points ahead of Derby, that must make us favourites to beat them. But of course anything can happen on the day.
Title: Re: Finishing 3rd and winning play offs
Post by: HatterDon on May 08, 2018, 07:50:10 PM
If you want to see a statistical analysis that would even garner MJG's praise, go over to FulhamUSA.com  and read Micah's "lottery or not" post. Pack a snack. It'll take a while.

http://www.fulhamusa.com/threads/championship-playoffs-lottery-or-not.9758/#post-115622