Interesting Take From Bookies

[FFC1987]

I did two bets at the start of the season on teams winning/getting promoted/surviving relegation.

First one was Fulham to Survive, Sheffield United to be promoted, Ipswich Town to be promoted. £10 on with a £186 return.

Second was City to win the league, Norwich to be promoted, Ipswich to be promoted. £10, £103 return.

What I'm finding interesting, unless my betting brain is out of synch, is, the cash outs currently are £41 on bet one, £18 on bet two. Is that indicating, the bookies are more confident in Fulham surviving than City winning the league? Or am i missing out on some weird odds calculating here? As that's a pretty big boost if the bookies are that confident currently.

[Oakeshott]

You can't draw that conclusion (though it may be right) just from the facts you present.

Forget Ipswich, common to both bets. (Though no long term Fulham fan can ever forget Ipswich for that glorious Boxing Day.)

Then there is no common factor - on the one hand us and Sheff. United, on the other City and Norwich. Impossible to tell what the weightings are for the four clubs.

[FFC1987]

You can't draw that conclusion (though it may be right) just from the facts you present.

Forget Ipswich, common to both bets. (Though no long term Fulham fan can ever forget Ipswich for that glorious Boxing Day.)

Then there is no common factor - on the one hand us and Sheff. United, on the other City and Norwich. Impossible to tell what the weightings are for the four clubs.

Even if you factor in form position, likely outcome of odds and who is statistically likely to to get promoted using the same bookies odds?

[We Are Premier League]

Or it might be easier to compare the odds of City to win the league and Fulham to not get relegated...

[FFC1987]

Or it might be easier to compare the odds of City to win the league and Fulham to not get relegated...

That's a good point actually....our odds have definitely shortened.