Author Topic: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.  (Read 721 times)

Offline Mince n Tatties

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We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« on: February 12, 2020, 10:09:28 PM »
Going to the wire I believe.
Preston are the dark horses,for the players at
their disposal, they are superbly organised by Neil.
Cardiff have crept into picture as well,couple of places outside play offs.
« Last Edit: February 12, 2020, 10:13:10 PM by Mince n Tatties »

Offline FFC1987

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2020, 10:11:53 PM »
Yep, it's why it's even more frustrating when we don't do a WestBrom and get that breathing space. Too many teams in and around it now and I'm not confident we'll win enough games compared to others.

Offline Sgt Fulham

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2020, 10:12:18 PM »
I'd happily play Preston, Cardiff, or Millwall in the Playoffs. I'd more happily play none!


Offline Woolly Mammoth

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2020, 11:11:42 PM »
No game is easy one way or another. Some games that look hard on paper turn out to be a comfortable victory. Other games that look easier turn out to be tough as old boots and we come away with nothing.
No game is ever predictable in this Division, Fulham are not the only team dropping points. There are 3 points
between 2nd and 7th place. That’s how close it is. It’s in our own hands, if we win all our matches we go up automatically.

Offline Milo

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2020, 11:16:11 PM »
We don’t have the killer instinct to grab that winner under Parker. Too defensive.

Think we will make playoffs however.

Offline Woolly Mammoth

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2020, 11:18:42 PM »
Going to the wire I believe.
Preston are the dark horses,for the players at
their disposal, they are superbly organised by Neil.
Cardiff have crept into picture as well,couple of places outside play offs.
Going to the wire I believe.
Preston are the dark horses,for the players at
their disposal, they are superbly organised by Neil.
Cardiff have crept into picture as well,couple of places outside play offs.
Going to the wire I believe.
Preston are the dark horses,for the players at
their disposal, they are superbly organised by Neil.
Cardiff have crept into picture as well,couple of places outside play offs.

Black Beauty is also a Dark Horse. but he ain’t getting promotion either. Preston will be feeling very hoarse after playing Fulham.


Offline Woolly Mammoth

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2020, 11:20:31 PM »
We don’t have the killer instinct to grab that winner under Parker. Too defensive.

Think we will make playoffs however.

Yes the killer extinct is missing I have to admit. Which can be the difference between success and failure.

Offline The Rational Fan

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #7 on: February 13, 2020, 12:54:27 AM »
We don’t have the killer instinct to grab that winner under Parker. Too defensive.

Think we will make playoffs however.

Yes the killer extinct is missing I have to admit. Which can be the difference between success and failure.

The xG stats indicate, not only a lack of killer instinct but also a lack of creativity is also missing in 8 of the last 12 games:
against Preston our xG was 0.71
against Brentford our xG was 0.75
against Leeds our xG was 1.14
against Hull our xG was 0.14
against Charlton our xG was 0.74
against Huddersfield our xG was 0.88
against Blackburn our xG was 1.05
against Milwall our xG was 1.05
xG of 1.05 = three chances that should be scored 35% of the time= 3 x 0.35 =1.05

Our attacking midfield  and wide players need to create more chances, we cannot rely on cleans sheets and/or excellent finishing in 2/3 of our matches.
« Last Edit: February 13, 2020, 01:07:43 AM by The Rational Fan »

Offline Grumpy Worthing White

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #8 on: February 13, 2020, 10:30:11 AM »
The teams around us will all be playing each other at some point, Leeds seem to have the easiest run in (not that any games seem to be easy in the championship). Come  sometime in April it could be a case of extreme squeaky botty time  :022:.


Online ByTheRiver

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #9 on: February 13, 2020, 10:45:07 AM »
My previous relative confidence is starting to evaporate after last night. That was a real opportunity missed. I think (but hope I am wrong) we will come to really regret last night, Charlton, Luton, etc. Games we really should be winning with this squad.

Offline Woolly Mammoth

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #10 on: February 13, 2020, 02:14:06 PM »
A week on football is a long time, hopefully we shall be back on track by Saturday 5pm.

Offline hovewhite

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #11 on: February 13, 2020, 04:22:25 PM »
A week on football is a long time, hopefully we shall be back on track by Saturday 5pm.
let's hope so woolly!


Offline Fernhurst

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #12 on: February 13, 2020, 05:29:28 PM »
Or shall we get swallowed by "The Peloton"?

So disappointed we didn't take advantage last night then we should have hung on like a Piranah fish.

Offline Fulhamfan666

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #13 on: February 13, 2020, 09:41:44 PM »
Just had a look/thought/calculation and this is the table for me:

West Brom 88
Fulham 86
_____
Leeds 85
Forest 80
Brentford 77
Preston 76
_____
Cardiff 75
Blackburn 73
Bristol City 72
Swansea 72
Birmingham 68
Derby 66
Milwall 66
She Wed 64
Hull 64
reading 52
Charlton 52
Boro 50
QPR 50
Stoke 47
Luton 46
_____
Huddersfield 42
Wigan 41 
Barnsley 31

Probably completely wrong but oh well.
Using https://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-championship/


Offline FFC1987

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #14 on: February 13, 2020, 11:27:50 PM »
I just can't see how we'll flourish with those March fixtures. I'd absolutely love to come away from Bristol, Leeds and Brentford with 9 points but lets face it.....its hugely doubtful.


Offline The Rational Fan

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #15 on: February 14, 2020, 02:49:26 AM »
Just had a look/thought/calculation and this is the table for me:

West Brom 88
Fulham 86
_____
Leeds 85
Forest 80
Brentford 77
Preston 76
_____
Cardiff 75
Blackburn 73
Bristol City 72


Probably completely wrong but oh well.
Using https://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-championship/

I think most of the numbers are about right, except Fulham based on Milwall form could be around 81 points and Brenford to around 82 points. Plus I'd swap give Cardiff and Bristol move and Preston and Blackburn less.

West Brom 88
Leeds 85
_____
Brentford 82
Fulham 81
Forest 80
Cardiff 76
_____
Bristol City 75
Preston 73
Blackburn 70

« Last Edit: February 14, 2020, 02:58:32 AM by The Rational Fan »

Offline The Rational Fan

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #16 on: February 14, 2020, 03:07:06 AM »
Or shall we get swallowed by "The Peloton"?

So disappointed we didn't take advantage last night then we should have hung on like a Piranah fish.

Each team has a chance to break free of "The Peloton" with four straight wins at any point.
Leeds have Reading, Middlesbrough FC, Hull, and Huddersfield.
Fulham have Barnsley, Derby, Swansea, and Preston.
Brenford have Reading, Wigan, Charlton, and Derby.
Forest have Middlesbrough, Millwall, Wednesday, and Huddersfield.
Bristol and Preston are unlikely to break free of "The Peloton", but could scrap auto-promote.

The tougher way to break free of "The Peloton" is winning all the six-point games.
If Fulham beat Preston, Bristol, Brentford, Leeds and Forest, then auto-promotion is ours to be lost.
« Last Edit: February 14, 2020, 03:14:43 AM by The Rational Fan »

Offline filham

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Re: We're All Bunching Up For 2nd Spot.
« Reply #17 on: February 14, 2020, 05:31:02 PM »
A week on football is a long time, hopefully we shall be back on track by Saturday 5pm.

Win and we could go into second spot but lose and other games go a certain way and I think we could drop out of the top six. It is all so tight, hope Parker's nerve is stronger than mine.