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Summer Silly Season Transfer Thread 2025

Started by Deeping_white, April 24, 2025, 05:08:09 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

jayffc

Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:29:21 PMAll this direct sniping is not great, can you guys leave it out

It's on topic tbf. was a discussion about transfer approach for Serbian kid with impersonal reasoning on both sides.
One guy then made a silly additional callback joke about validity of Transfermarkt valuations. Was hardly harsh stuff.

Groundhog day in ere at this point, we need a signing or 3 asap 😂

hopper

Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:34:50 PM
Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:29:21 PMAll this direct sniping is not great, can you guys leave it out

It's on topic tbf. was a discussion about transfer approach for Serbian kid with impersonal reasoning on both sides.
One guy then made a silly additional callback joke about validity of Transfermarkt valuations. Was hardly harsh stuff.

Groundhog day in ere at this point, we need a signing or 3 asap 😂

It's tiresome in the wider context however you want to justify it

jayffc

#6122
Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:40:04 PM
Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:34:50 PM
Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:29:21 PMAll this direct sniping is not great, can you guys leave it out

It's on topic tbf. was a discussion about transfer approach for Serbian kid with impersonal reasoning on both sides.
One guy then made a silly additional callback joke about validity of Transfermarkt valuations. Was hardly harsh stuff.

Groundhog day in ere at this point, we need a signing or 3 asap 😂

It's tiresome in the wider context however you want to justify it

OK, so is this interaction and ones like it, at least the other stuff was actually about transfers.

So back to that...

fulham twitter admin on the wind up?

https://x.com/FulhamFC/status/1958148262965162466

They must know the timing of this'll get people talking, so, just for engagement? Or we think there's an actual chance it happens.
tick tock, guess we'll find out soon.




Nero


hopper

It's probably just one of the many on this day posts they have lined up, as they'll do for Wilson's goals last season etc.

Doesn't seem any club is close to signing Mitro. Hope he ends up in Serie A.

FFC1987

Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:49:45 PM
Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:40:04 PM
Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:34:50 PM
Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:29:21 PMAll this direct sniping is not great, can you guys leave it out

It's on topic tbf. was a discussion about transfer approach for Serbian kid with impersonal reasoning on both sides.
One guy then made a silly additional callback joke about validity of Transfermarkt valuations. Was hardly harsh stuff.

Groundhog day in ere at this point, we need a signing or 3 asap 😂

It's tiresome in the wider context however you want to justify it

OK, so is this interaction and ones like it, at least the other stuff was actually about transfers.

So back to that...

fulham twitter admin on the wind up?

https://x.com/FulhamFC/status/1958148262965162466

They must know the timing of this'll get people talking, so, just for engagement? Or we think there's an actual chance it happens.
tick tock, guess we'll find out soon.




They've done this twice now. First time was with Willian and we signed him a little later. Then they used Palinhas goal footage against Brighton when we were linked with him which came to no end.....Can't help but think our social media are absolute trolls.

As for objective chat, 'If I speak, I'm in big trouble'.  :slap:


Tabby

https://x.com/fulhamtransfer/status/1958166807573123581?s=46

Would make sense, he has no shot at being called up for Brazil again if he is being benched by King. Doubt Silva will want to lose him but if AP pushes for it he may sanction it.

At some point we have to move players on before they lose all their value. He is a decent option but between King and ESR he might get very limited minutes.

We could use that money to reinvest in a younger option that can could compete more in the CM position.

jayffc

https://x.com/FulhamTransfer/status/1958166807573123581

And how much do we think we can get for AP now? I'd assume this only happens if we see one in at CM. So what do we think we can realistically get towards that kitty? 15m? less?

Could have got 20m+ for him last summer I suspect given the marseille reports then, but after another not so hot year his stocks likely down. Rumoured we rejected 16.5m last January from Palmieras.

Angus Telford

Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:10:08 PM
Quote from: Angus Telford on August 20, 2025, 02:52:13 PMThe Johnson sale balanced their last breach, albeit a few months too late, hence the fine. All this summer's business will amortise over the next few years so be financed by Elanga plus the £200m annual revenue they'll probably get now they're in Europe. Remember the Douglas Luiz fee reported above as an example on a four year contract would only cost £6m per year.

But they're taking on a lot of extra players wages so that needs to be taken into consideration as well beyond the fees. They'll be getting more revenue due to Europe sure, but wouldn't be surprised if they're in breach or at the least sailing close to the wind.

Marinakis is ambitious for sure and will be doing everything he can to get a squad that can win the Europa. He's not content to just make up the numbers.

I agree, I don't dispute that if you add it all up they'll be close to (if not over) the margin. I just think most comments aren't doing that, it tends just to be an oversimplistic "how can they keep spending, they must be in nreaxh of FFP". I think a lot of posts also reference our spending as a benchmark but as I've said previously, I don't reckon we're being held back by FFP at all - we just don't have the appetite to spend.


Angus Telford

Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:20:59 PM
Quote from: Angus Telford on August 20, 2025, 02:41:32 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on August 20, 2025, 12:12:00 PM
Quote from: Angus Telford on August 20, 2025, 12:05:20 PM
Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 10:39:30 AMSetting the frame.

If you go in that level, you can often set the expectation of a lower ceiling to negotiation. If we go in at 1m, they very well might say - no - nothing under 2m (purely for example). Whereas if you go in as we have, you might well pick him up for closer to that just shy of 1m range who knows.

It's a game, and all money saved is money saved. Especially in a business where club record fees are going elswhere reportedly, with that selling club squeezing us high as possible. And as mentioned it's only £20k off of what they sold another striker a similar age for, not long ago. That player had very comparable stats. So regardless of what their situation at the time was, it's not like it's really an absurd completely out-of-pocket suggestion.

Meanwhile Atlanta reportedly offered 25.8m at first for Muniz...that was never getting accepted in a million years either, a silly offer for a young prem striker with his goals to mins ratio. That's the game and many clubs with any sense try their luck. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't.

Based on Serbian Lad's comments we seem to have offered about a quarter of what the lad is worth. I've no idea if the reports are true but if so, it's more like Atalanta making an opening bid of £8-10m for Muniz. I don't think that resets the frame, it just undermines the offeror's credibility at the outset and for the rest of the negotiations.


Speaking objectively here, Dusan Jovanovic is valued at 500k euros on transfermarkt.com so we went in at roughly half his valuation. Seems fine to me.

Perfect. So it would be comparable to bidding half of Muniz's Transfermarkt valuation - £10m as I said.

I guess I gotta do the whoosh again on 1987s behalf. He was taking the p*** making a callback joke about being "objective" and the validity or usefulness of transfermarkt valuations :slap:

As for the muniz correlation, have covered that already.

It was a misplaced whoosh. The takeaway from all this is just that, whilst Transfermarkt valuations tend to undervalue, they do so consistently so are nonetheless a good objective tool for comparing one player to another.

demeant0r

Quote from: Nero on August 20, 2025, 03:55:13 PMHe end up at Newcastle again

No he won't. They made an improved bid of £40m for Wissa. If they get Wissa they won't want Mitro.

Neutral Zone Ultra

Quote from: Tabby on August 20, 2025, 03:58:19 PMhttps://x.com/fulhamtransfer/status/1958166807573123581?s=46

Would make sense, he has no shot at being called up for Brazil again if he is being benched by King. Doubt Silva will want to lose him but if AP pushes for it he may sanction it.

At some point we have to move players on before they lose all their value. He is a decent option but between King and ESR he might get very limited minutes.

We could use that money to reinvest in a younger option that can could compete more in the CM position.
Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:59:44 PMhttps://x.com/FulhamTransfer/status/1958166807573123581

And how much do we think we can get for AP now? I'd assume this only happens if we see one in at CM. So what do we think we can realistically get towards that kitty? 15m? less?

Could have got 20m+ for him last summer I suspect given the marseille reports then, but after another not so hot year his stocks likely down. Rumoured we rejected 16.5m last January from Palmieras.
Can't see us getting any more than £12-13m for Pereira


Angus Telford

Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:40:04 PM
Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:34:50 PM
Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:29:21 PMAll this direct sniping is not great, can you guys leave it out

It's on topic tbf. was a discussion about transfer approach for Serbian kid with impersonal reasoning on both sides.
One guy then made a silly additional callback joke about validity of Transfermarkt valuations. Was hardly harsh stuff.

Groundhog day in ere at this point, we need a signing or 3 asap 😂

It's tiresome in the wider context however you want to justify it

Blimey. It was about 3 posts back and forth, on topic as Jay says, and nothing personal was said. Maybe there are forums where replies aren't allowed but my understanding was that debate is allowed on this one.

FFC1987

Quote from: Angus Telford on August 20, 2025, 04:07:01 PM
Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:20:59 PM
Quote from: Angus Telford on August 20, 2025, 02:41:32 PM
Quote from: FFC1987 on August 20, 2025, 12:12:00 PM
Quote from: Angus Telford on August 20, 2025, 12:05:20 PM
Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 10:39:30 AMSetting the frame.

If you go in that level, you can often set the expectation of a lower ceiling to negotiation. If we go in at 1m, they very well might say - no - nothing under 2m (purely for example). Whereas if you go in as we have, you might well pick him up for closer to that just shy of 1m range who knows.

It's a game, and all money saved is money saved. Especially in a business where club record fees are going elswhere reportedly, with that selling club squeezing us high as possible. And as mentioned it's only £20k off of what they sold another striker a similar age for, not long ago. That player had very comparable stats. So regardless of what their situation at the time was, it's not like it's really an absurd completely out-of-pocket suggestion.

Meanwhile Atlanta reportedly offered 25.8m at first for Muniz...that was never getting accepted in a million years either, a silly offer for a young prem striker with his goals to mins ratio. That's the game and many clubs with any sense try their luck. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't.

Based on Serbian Lad's comments we seem to have offered about a quarter of what the lad is worth. I've no idea if the reports are true but if so, it's more like Atalanta making an opening bid of £8-10m for Muniz. I don't think that resets the frame, it just undermines the offeror's credibility at the outset and for the rest of the negotiations.


Speaking objectively here, Dusan Jovanovic is valued at 500k euros on transfermarkt.com so we went in at roughly half his valuation. Seems fine to me.

Perfect. So it would be comparable to bidding half of Muniz's Transfermarkt valuation - £10m as I said.

I guess I gotta do the whoosh again on 1987s behalf. He was taking the p*** making a callback joke about being "objective" and the validity or usefulness of transfermarkt valuations :slap:

As for the muniz correlation, have covered that already.

It was a misplaced whoosh. The takeaway from all this is just that, whilst Transfermarkt valuations tend to undervalue, they do so consistently so are nonetheless a good objective tool for comparing one player to another.

 :slap:  if you say so!

Looping in how much should we get for Andreas Pereria, as we know, Transfermarkt tend to undervalue, so presumably we'd get upwards of £20m for him when he's valued at £18m no?

Hatch007

Jay vs Angus Podcast incoming 🙏🙏🙏


FFC1987

I'd happily be the impartial adjudicator.

hopper

Quote from: Angus Telford on August 20, 2025, 04:10:31 PM
Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:40:04 PM
Quote from: jayffc on August 20, 2025, 03:34:50 PM
Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:29:21 PMAll this direct sniping is not great, can you guys leave it out

It's on topic tbf. was a discussion about transfer approach for Serbian kid with impersonal reasoning on both sides.
One guy then made a silly additional callback joke about validity of Transfermarkt valuations. Was hardly harsh stuff.

Groundhog day in ere at this point, we need a signing or 3 asap 😂

It's tiresome in the wider context however you want to justify it

Blimey. It was about 3 posts back and forth, on topic as Jay says, and nothing personal was said. Maybe there are forums where replies aren't allowed but my understanding was that debate is allowed on this one.

Debate away, just seems you guys are continuously trying to wind up and take the piss out of each other. You both seem to think I read it wrong, so that's fine - won't say any more on it.

ffcthereligion

Quote from: FFC1987 on August 20, 2025, 04:16:18 PMI'd happily be the impartial adjudicator.

I'm afraid lighthouse gets my vote


Coastwalker

Sky just saying Fulham have enquired about Sterling.

Forest in talks with Sevilla right back Carmona.

DevonFFC

Quote from: hopper on August 20, 2025, 03:10:08 PM
Quote from: Angus Telford on August 20, 2025, 02:52:13 PMThe Johnson sale balanced their last breach, albeit a few months too late, hence the fine. All this summer's business will amortise over the next few years so be financed by Elanga plus the £200m annual revenue they'll probably get now they're in Europe. Remember the Douglas Luiz fee reported above as an example on a four year contract would only cost £6m per year.

But they're taking on a lot of extra players wages so that needs to be taken into consideration as well beyond the fees. They'll be getting more revenue due to Europe sure, but wouldn't be surprised if they're in breach or at the least sailing close to the wind.

Marinakis is ambitious for sure and will be doing everything he can to get a squad that can win the Europa. He's not content to just make up the numbers.



Fair play to forest and the owner, sometimes wish we had a little bit more desire to achieve